Aurora Prospects 2014

Rikand · 09-01-2014 9:45pm

Pretzill wrote: »

It's cloudy here in the northwest hoping for it to clear up.

http://www.sat24.com/?ir=true&ra=false&region=gb

tis looking cloudy alright

RebelButtMunch · 09-01-2014 9:55pm

Just said on tv that the cme has just hit now

maquiladora · 09-01-2014 9:58pm

RebelButtMunch wrote: »

Just said on tv that the cme has just hit now

Yeah about 50 mins ago. Weaker than expected though.

Gonzo · 09-01-2014 10:05pm

completely clouded over here now:(

fits · 10-01-2014 12:45am

Activity looking to be kicking off according to space weather.

maquiladora · 10-01-2014 7:04pm

Pretty disappointing in the end.

CME Impact Recap: Geomagnetic activity following the much weaker than predicted CME impact remained well below storm levels. Solar wind speeds were mostly steady near 400-450 km/s, and the Bz/IMF component was for the most part positive, with only minor periods of slightly south pointing Bz. Earth bound protons continue to gradually decrease and remain within the minor S1 radiation storm threshold.

The large sunspot group has been remarkably quiet since the X flare and will soon be rotating away from the earth, so we are running out of time for a second chance of another large CME in the near term.

FrDougalMcguire · 13-01-2014 2:19am

Any chance of anything tonight?

Keep track of http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/North_New.html for updates

Popoutman · 13-01-2014 2:52am

Kp is currently about 3.5. So not a chance of seeing aurorae from .ie tonight - certainly none strong enough to see through the moonlit sky. For visible aurorae (not just a glow on the horizon) from e.g Dublin or Limerick, we need Kp of 6 or greater.

Daniel O Donnel · 14-01-2014 1:15am

Convinced I saw activity in the last half hour. I know it is really bright with the moon but unless my eyes are wonky I think I saw them.:)

I'm north of Letterkenny.

Rikand · 14-01-2014 1:17am

judging by the image 2 posts up, there's a definite chance of that Daniel!

Moon doing some really funky stuff with the clouds to the north of Athlone right now - they look almost like a big silver tree in the sky

Daniel O Donnel · 14-01-2014 2:14pm

Must admit I didn't realise the above chart was a live one!
Boy does that make it easier to predict.

lolie · 14-02-2014 4:24pm

Might be something for people up far North to keep an eye over the weekend.
From http://www.solarham.net/ two days ago.

Weekend Aurora Watch
The solar wind prediction model released by NOAA has been updated to include a pair of coronal mass ejections with potential Earth directed components. A model released by the Goddard Space Flight Center is also updated to include a halo CME from earlier this morning. An impact to our geomagnetic field will be possible this weekend (Feb 15) and could lead to aurora displays at high latitudes.

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 13: None (Below G1) Feb 14: G1 (Minor) Feb 15: G2 (Moderate)
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.

Hal1 · 19-02-2014 11:57am

I just got an auroral alert from gse. All it says is:

A large auroral event is in progress now.

It doesn't seem strong enough to be seen this far south though.

http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast/Europe/2014/02/19

lolie · 27-02-2014 8:32pm

People up near the North coast should be on the lookout for Aurora later after earth was hit by a small CME from a flare that left the sun on Tuesday.

Currently KP-5 and IMF south and clear skies so a good chance of seeing something if its stays like this.

peter1892 · 27-02-2014 9:44pm

Reported as visible as far south in the UK as Yorkshire & Norfolk. Of course its cloudy here in Dublin :mad:

Auldloon · 27-02-2014 10:39pm

Best I've seen here just north of aberdeen. Green and red curtains with green beams

finally!!!

lolie · 27-02-2014 10:43pm

Auldloon wrote: »

Best I've seen here just north of aberdeen. Green and red curtains with green beams finally!!!

Some amazing pics on twitter from scotland alright.

Villain · 27-02-2014 10:56pm

From Inishowen Facebook page

hellboy99 · 28-02-2014 12:02am

Villain · 28-02-2014 12:06am

Another from Donegal this time from Rita Wilson on Facebook

hellboy99 · 28-02-2014 12:15am

Think a wee road trip may be called for now

Pangea · 28-02-2014 12:57am

Is this actually visible to the naked eye or do you have to own an expensive camera and use special settings to see it

Auldloon · 28-02-2014 8:54am

Very much so visible to the naked eye but last night where I was I couldn't see 10 meters it was that dark. In those pics above it almost like daylight so the camera can pick up much more at night than the eye. The colours I could see weren't as vivid as in those pics either.

ednwireland · 28-02-2014 9:54am

Auldloon wrote: »

Very much so visible to the naked eye but last night where I was I couldn't see 10 meters it was that dark. In those pics above it almost like daylight so the camera can pick up much more at night than the eye. The colours I could see weren't as vivid as in those pics either.

yep looked out last night and there was a bit of green glow in thenorthern sky definietly seems to come out better in photographs

this was a couple of miles up the road from me last night

but it wasnt anything like when i was looking at it

The_Mask · 28-02-2014 9:58am

ednwireland wrote: »

yep looked out last night and there was a bit of green glow in thenorthern sky definietly seems to come out better in photographs

this was a couple of miles up the road from me last night

but it wasnt anything like when i was looking at it

Which part of the country are you if you don't mind me asking?

ednwireland · 28-02-2014 10:07am

The_Mask wrote: »

Which part of the country are you if you don't mind me asking?

thats carnaween in the bluestack mountains a couple of miles north of donegal town (co. donegal)
i was out when it was supposed to 6.7 and could barely see anything

could be seen in norfolk apparently
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2569881/Aurora-Borealis-Norfolk-Skies-East-Anglia-turn-red-green-stunning-display-Aurora-Borealis.html

James74 · 28-02-2014 10:20am

Photo by Patryk Sadowski from Malin Head last night, nicked from Facebook

tylercollins · 28-02-2014 10:56am

Absolutely fantastic images from everyone last night. Being reported as one of the displays in 10 years. Was so glad to finally see them and to also capture them.

Here's one of my images from last night.

hellboy99 · 28-02-2014 12:52pm

Will there be a show of it again tonight?

ednwireland · 28-02-2014 1:21pm

hellboy99 wrote: »

Will there be a show of it again tonight?

doesnt look like it

http://www.softservenews.com/Aurora.htm

Aurora Prospects 2014

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