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FI Charts (T120+ onwards) Summer/ Autumn 2018 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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    #302
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Don't have the charts here but ECM 12z is properly cooler and more unsettled for the weekend into early next week.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #303
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    The fact it changed so quickly suggests that the models don't know their arses from their elbows right now.


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    #304
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Summer ain't done yet ;)
    viewimage.pbx?type=ens;date=20180725;time=00;ext=006;file=t850Dublin;sess=11cfdb8992eed491791e9e2bf4a16c12;


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    #305
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,891 ✭✭✭pauldry


    I dont believe so either.

    Id say the weather will be fair until September and even hot at times with just short wet periods


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    #306
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Villain wrote: »
    Summer ain't done yet ;)
    viewimage.pbx?type=ens;date=20180725;time=00;ext=006;file=t850Dublin;sess=11cfdb8992eed491791e9e2bf4a16c12;

    Sadly won't load for me Villain!


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    #307
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Sadly won't load for me Villain!

    It was (doesn't load for me either now) the GFS 0z ensembles from Netweather and they showed it staying largely warm for the most part into August with only short cooler interludes like the coming weekend.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #308
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    It was (doesn't load for me either now) the GFS 0z ensembles from Netweather and they showed it staying largely warm for the most part into August with only short cooler interludes like the coming weekend.

    Eh well don't worry, the 12Z is quite good too, from the 2nd of August onwards.


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    #309
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Doh should have uploaded image some where, summary in my last tweet:
    https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1022084997497454592


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    #310
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,891 ✭✭✭pauldry


    GFS upgraded from 2nd Aug bringing Scandi High down over us.

    A long way off yet but warm weather quite likely still after a few days rain


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    #311
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 12z 850hPa temperature charts.

    jFW6GV2.gif

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #312
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 12z ensembles for Dublin looking really warm to hot for early August, an unanimous amount of support here! The ensemble mean gets close to 15c at 850hPa.....

    e9gsT5B.png

    Cork's ones are similar.

    QgsQTkd.png

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #313
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,891 ✭✭✭pauldry


    High on latest GFS more retrogressive as a low FINALLY hits Scandanavia.

    Still all pie in the sky

    Next run might bring heat back


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    #314
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    pauldry wrote: »
    High on latest GFS more retrogressive as a low FINALLY hits Scandanavia.

    Still all pie in the sky

    Next run might bring heat back

    It indeed has, it goes off on one if I'm completely honest :pac:.

    vd3l2uK.gif

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #315
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    When the GFS shows temperatures of 29c over Ireland you know it would be a hot verification!


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    #316
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    When the GFS shows temperatures of 29c over Ireland you know it would be a hot verification!

    It shows 37c for England on 8th August but on its 12z run yesterday, barely reaching 20c in a northerly wind for that exact day.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #317
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    It shows 37c for England on 8th August but on its 12z run yesterday, barely reaching 20c in a northerly wind for that exact day.

    Never said it was likely to happen!


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    #318
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    ukmaxtemp.png

    ukmaxtemp.png

    ukmaxtemp.png

    ukmaxtemp.png


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    #319
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    [IMG][/img]fuaxck.jpg


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    #320
    wing52
    Registered Users Posts: 277 ✭✭wing52


    squarecircles wrote: »
    [IMG][/img]fuaxck.jpg

    Now that's just dangerous heat.


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    #321
    Sammy2012
    Registered Users Posts: 1,233 ✭✭✭Sammy2012


    When is that predicted for Spain and Portugal? Flying to Portugal on the 12th of Aug.


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    #322
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,732 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Sammy2012 wrote: »
    When is that predicted for Spain and Portugal? Flying to Portugal on the 12th of Aug.

    that's predicted for next week. Temperatures for most of Spain look normal enough, high 20s to low 30's near the south and east coasts, where most people spend their holidays.

    It's really the western inland part of Spain near Seville where extreme heat will be felt, but even there temperatures of 40C are fairly regular during July and August.

    the coasts of Portugal look similar to the coasts of Spain, high 20s to low 30s, it's only inland where the extreme heat kicks in.


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    #323
    Sammy2012
    Registered Users Posts: 1,233 ✭✭✭Sammy2012


    Oh right. Thanks gonzo. I don't the heat so I'll deal with it if it's really hot when we are there. Was there 3 years ago at the end of June and temps were in the the low 40s. It's usually in the mid 30s when we are there anyway. Lovely weather for sitting around doing nothing.


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    #324
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 12z is high pressure mania after mid-week next week. Expect a lot more flip flops of this until we get closer to the expected period of time which should be around the first weekend of August.

    tempresult_pdr9.gif

    KMHakJo.gif

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #325
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,523 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Don't have charts but ECM 12z is settled for the first week of August. However, the heat is less extreme than the GFS. Deep low attempts to push eastwards near mid-week next week but gets put off by the anticyclones.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



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    #326
    Luke-m
    Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭Luke-m


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Don't have charts but ECM 12z is settled for the first week of August. However, the heat is less extreme than the GFS. Deep low attempts to push eastwards near mid-week next week but gets put off by the anticyclones.

    Agree, the op doesn’t quite build the heat. But the mean is more different. It’s warmer. I think it’s a case of more runs needed.


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    #327
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,495 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Definitely signs that high pressure will be building in again from Wednesday. Don't get caught up on the details yet though...


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    #328
    km79
    Registered Users Posts: 48,137 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    Definitely signs that high pressure will be building in again from Wednesday. Don't get caught up on the details yet though...

    That will do nicely

    The garden will go crazy !


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    #329
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,495 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    To note, no amount of rain this week is going to make up for the losses so far this year. So if a block like this occurs we could be heading for issues.

    J180-21.GIF?26-12


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    #330
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Not a very nice 00Z GFS run at all.


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    #331
    White Clover
    Registered Users Posts: 4,563 ✭✭✭White Clover


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Not a very nice 00Z GFS run at all.

    What is it indicating? Thanks


This discussion has been closed.
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