NFL Betting Thread 2018

Fitzmagic cost me from lifting 100€ tonight

Went close on bets this week lost 2 bets with the Bills letting a TD at the end and a five teamer last night lost due to the Saints.

thomond2006 wrote: »

Spread accum: Eagles -4.5, Houston +4, Patriots -5.5, Cardinals -5.5. That pays 12.28/1.

Moneyline accum: Patriots, Chargers, Buccaneers, Cardinals. That pays 2.86/1.

1/4 and 2/4. Yikes!

thomond2006 wrote: »

I swear, every time I bet against Ryan Fitzpatrick on a spread he costs me money.

I saw him described in an article this week as "half the time hes Fitzmagic, the other half hes Fitztragic" - its a pretty good description of him. Hes just so completely unpredictable.

eagle eye wrote: »

Bet of the night for me is Robert Tonyan jr. anytime TD at 9/4. He's had one in each if the last two games and the Falcons have given up four in three games to tight ends.

Nice bet! he only got the 3 TDs

I know it's aftertiming, but I've been putting on silly doubles, trebels (and more) like this all season. Nice to have one finally pay off and cover the losses on previous weeks. Can't wait to lose it all again.

Gonna stick to the player props markets and see how I fare out have picked out 6 different bets after a bit of studying.


Justin Jefferson longest reception over 26.5 yards @5/6

The longest reception against atlanta has gone over this line in all but the green bay game this year including with multiple receivers against dallas and chicago. Jefferson has topped this line in 3 of the 5 games. Atlantas defence is like a sieve these days and Jefferson seems to be the best deep threat the vikes have.


Irv smith jr anytime td @7/2

Smith had a bit of a breakout game last week clocking in season high totals in targets and receptions in the prime time game against Seattle. Hoping he will continue here the Falcons have given up 7 tds to tight ends this year and without dalvin cook there may be a bit of variance in the red zone play of minnesota.


Joe Mixon over 15.5 rushing attempts 10/13

Mixon has topped this line in 17 of the last 21 games and in every game this year. Playing the colts I can see this game staying close for a long period the colts wouldnt exactly be a quick strike offence so Mixon should see enough touches here to land this bet.


David Montgomery over 24.5 receiving yards @5/6

Since tarik Cohen went down he has topped this line in both games and 3 of 5 games this year. The bears o line is strong for a running even though Carolina are struggling against the run so now that it is mainly Montgomery in the back field this line looks well within range. Todd Gurley even topped this line last week against the panthers and he wouldnt be a strong pass catching back this is where teams will look to target the panthers.


Kenny golladay longest reception over 25.5 yards @4/5

Golladay went over this line in 12 of 16 games last year started this season struggling with a hamstring injury but coming off the bye week he should be fully back up to speed this week the jags give up a lot of yards in the passing game and golladay is a bit of a freak will be looking for Stafford to find golladay as his go to man this and going forward.


Antonio gibson over 3.5 receptions @6/5

Gibson has been growing into the washington offence and topped this line in his last 2. He went over this line very early last week before kyle allen went down and the passing game moved away from Gibson. Allen is back this week and think he will look to get plenty of ball into gibsons hands coming out of the backfield.

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Gonna stick to the player props markets and see how I fare out have picked out 6 different bets after a bit of studying.


Justin Jefferson longest reception over 26.5 yards @5/6

The longest reception against atlanta has gone over this line in all but the green bay game this year including with multiple receivers against dallas and chicago. Jefferson has topped this line in 3 of the 5 games. Atlantas defence is like a sieve these days and Jefferson seems to be the best deep threat the vikes have.


Irv smith jr anytime td @7/2

Smith had a bit of a breakout game last week clocking in season high totals in targets and receptions in the prime time game against Seattle. Hoping he will continue here the Falcons have given up 7 tds to tight ends this year and without dalvin cook there may be a bit of variance in the red zone play of minnesota.


Joe Mixon over 15.5 rushing attempts 10/13

Mixon has topped this line in 17 of the last 21 games and in every game this year. Playing the colts I can see this game staying close for a long period the colts wouldnt exactly be a quick strike offence so Mixon should see enough touches here to land this bet.


David Montgomery over 24.5 receiving yards @5/6

Since tarik Cohen went down he has topped this line in both games and 3 of 5 games this year. The bears o line is strong for a running even though Carolina are struggling against the run so now that it is mainly Montgomery in the back field this line looks well within range. Todd Gurley even topped this line last week against the panthers and he wouldnt be a strong pass catching back this is where teams will look to target the panthers.


Kenny golladay longest reception over 25.5 yards @4/5

Golladay went over this line in 12 of 16 games last year started this season struggling with a hamstring injury but coming off the bye week he should be fully back up to speed this week the jags give up a lot of yards in the passing game and golladay is a bit of a freak will be looking for Stafford to find golladay as his go to man this and going forward.


Antonio gibson over 3.5 receptions @6/5

Gibson has been growing into the washington offence and topped this line in his last 2. He went over this line very early last week before kyle allen went down and the passing game moved away from Gibson. Allen is back this week and think he will look to get plenty of ball into gibsons hands coming out of the backfield.

5 for 6 on these Smith jnr dropped/had one knocked out on the goal line to prevent a clean sweep.

Mostert to have over 2.5 receptions @1/1 will be the final play for me tonight will have a look into the games tomorrow too

Wentz/Philly cost me my bet with that late score.

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

5 for 6 on these Smith jnr dropped/had one knocked out on the goal line to prevent a clean sweep.

Mostert to have over 2.5 receptions @1/1 will be the final play for me tonight will have a look into the games tomorrow too

Had 2 before ht and got knocked out of the game on the first play of the second half.

Happy to tak the over on kelces yards in the early game tonight should see more targets without watkins and the Bills have given up some decent yardage to alot worse te's than kelce

Over 72.5 @5/6

What site are you guys using for a lot of the markets listed above? Haven't seen them on Paddy Power.

My bets so far haven't been great. Got a nice enhanced treble up last Sunday though. AJBrown, Claypool and Fulgham all anytime TD - €5 at 25/1

I keep backing the 'Both teams to score a TD & FG in each half' at about 12/1... always tempts me, and never comes in

Looking at travis fulgham tonight as I think his line looks to be set on the low side has had 23 targets in the last 2 games with sanders and ertz out I wouldnt be too worried about the return of jackson it may well help take some of the heat off him. Like I said these lines look wrong to me so will get involved in more than 1

Fulgham over 4.5 receptions @4/5
Fulgham over 60.5 receiving yards @5/6

And a little go on the paddy power power price

Fulgham 100+ receiving yards and a td @17/2

I like Boston Scott for at least one touchdown tonight. He has two career games with double digit touches in his career to this point and they were both against the Giants last season. He had a combined four touchdowns in those games and he starts tonight.

8 of my last 9 props have come in, so it's time to come crashing back down to earth with:

• Golloday over 74.5 yds
• Keenan Allen over 5.5 rec.
• Schultz over 27.5 yds
• Kyle Allen over 1.5 passing TDs
• Kareem Hunt anytime TD
• Todd Gurley anytime TD
• Bills -10

gerryfed wrote:

I just leaped on a bunch of PP specials..

45+ points in each 5PM game - 12/1 Each team in the 5PM to have a TD and a FG - 14/1 Each team in the 5PM, 8PM and 8.25 games to have a TD and a FG - 90/1 Ridley & Golladay to get 2 TDs each - 90/1 Hunt & Davis to have both a rushing and receiving TD each - 125/1

Fin bets but awful bets.

I did Kamara and Hunt for 2 or more tds at 25/1.

gerryfed wrote:

Thanks?

Sorry not try to insult you, just the prices are awful on those bets.

adrian522 wrote: »

Had the Browns -3, got burned on the missed extra point at the end. At least I bought the extra half point, so got a push at -3, rather than the -3.5 it would have been otherwise.

I was on the other side of that though the win kept me alive for an 8/1 7-timer which put me back in the green

Guffy wrote: »

Waiting on cards here for a 38/1 ML accy.... here's hoping murray lights it up.

Some finish to that accy. I love when they're that close

eagle eye wrote: »

Did you post up your bet in advance?

Like anybody can come on here and tell us they have one leg to go on an acca.

It's considered bad etiquette to do that on this site.

Seriously, you posted your bet 20 min after start time. I posted my selection of the cards ML at KO time and said i had it in an acca. It's not the horse racing forum, don't drag it into that quagmire.

You also had two other proper aftertiming posts before mine, but mine is the one that irked you?