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May 2018 Boards weather forecast contest

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,180 ✭✭✭pauldry


    have we sussed out con?

    As well as Blizzard congrats to one MTC for 87


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,589 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    This would be the annual scoring if no changes required in the May scores ... including the spring totals and points for the four seasons contest.

    Annual Scoring Summary for 2018 (Jan to May)

    rank _FORECASTER _______ JAN _ FEB _ MAR _ APR _ MAY _ TOTAL _ APR rank ___ Spring total __ points

    01 _Pauldry______________ 73 __ 58 __ 89 __ 48 __ 75 ___ 343 ___ 02 _________ 212 ________ 10
    02 _Dacogawa ____________71 __ 67 __ 70 __ 67 __ 62 ___ 337 ___ 01 _________ 199 _________ 3
    03 _DOCARCH ____________63 __ 62 __ 75 __ 61 __ 69 ___ 330 ___ 04 _________ 205 _________ 6

    (03t) _Con Sensus ________ 73 __ 67 __ 69 __ 51 __ 70 ___ 330 ___(05) _________190 _________ 1

    04 _Rikand ______________ 66 __ 64 __ 62 __ 61 __ 75 ___ 328 ___ 05 _________ 198 _________ 2
    05 _sryanbruen ___________56 __ 71 __ 65 __ 60 __ 75 ___ 327 ___ 06 _________ 200 _________ 4
    06 _MrSkinner ____________73 __ 64 __ 72 __ 42 __ 68 ___ 319 ___ 07 _________ 182 _________ --
    t07_mickger844posts ______ 75 __ 77 __ 69 __ 42 __ 53 ___ 316 ___ 03 _________ 164 _________ --
    t07_waterways ___________ 81 __ 34 __ 51 __ 73 __ 77 ___ 316 ___ 10 _________ 201 _________ 5
    09 _BLIZZARD7 ___________27 __ 73 __ 46 __ 70 __ 93 ___ 309 ___ 16 _________ 209 _________ 7

    (10) NormaL _____________75 __ 52 __ 48 __ 71 __ 62 ___ 308 ___(08) _________181 _________ --

    10 _Jpmarn ______________ 71 __ 61 __ 49 __ 57 __ 67 ___ 305 ___ 11 _________ 173 _________ --
    t11_sunflower3 ___________ 68 __ 56 __ 63 __ 58 __ 56 ___ 301 ___ 08 _________ 177 _________ --
    t11_Tae laidir _____________78 __ 53 __ 63 __ 47 __ 60 ___ 301 ___ 09 _________ 170 _________ --
    13 _M.T. Cranium _________ 60 __ 45 __ 52 __ 56 __ 87 ___ 300 ___ 18 _________ 195 _________ 1
    14 _Rameire _____________ 52 __ 56 __ 67 __ 49 __ 75 ___ 299 ___ 14 _________ 191 _________ 1
    15 _dasa29 ______________ 69 __ 40 __ 83 __ 43 __ 53 ___ 288 ___ 12 _________ 179 _________ --
    16 _Joe Public ____________ 35 __ 62 __ 48 __ 81 __ 60 ___ 286 ___ 13 _________ 189 _________ 1
    17 _200motels ____________36 __ 65 __ 47 __ 49 __ 84 ___ 281 ___ 22 _________ 180 _________ --
    18 _JCXBXC ______________34 __ 72 __ 54 __ 43 __ 76 ___ 279 ___ 20 _________ 173 _________ --
    19 _Bsal _________________63 __ 49 __ 71 __ 38 __ 55 ___ 276 ___ 15 _________ 164 _________ --
    20 _sdanseo _____________ 45 __ 61 __ 57 __ 52 __ 56 ___ 271 ___ 17 _________ 165 _________ --
    21 _john mac ____________ 48 __ 58 __ 58 __ 42 __ 62 ___ 268 ___ 19 _________ 162 _________ --
    22 _Kindred Spirit. ________ 59 __ 56 __ 55 __ 28 __ 65 ___ 263 ___ 21 _________ 148 _________ --
    23 _Lumi ________________54 __ 54 __ 62 __ --- __ 76 ___ 246 ___ 23
    24 _Artane2002 ___________--- __ --- __ ---__ 59 __ 58 ___ 117 ___ 24
    25 _Adam240610 _________ --- __ --- __ 56 __ --- __ xx ___ 056 ___ 25
    ________________________________________________________________

    Four Seasons contest update

    (winter and spring seasons points totals)

    FORECASTER _________ Winter __ Spring _____ TOTAL to date

    Pauldry _______________ 6 ________10 ________ 16
    JPmarn ______________ 10 ________ -- ________ 10
    Dacogawa _____________ 5 ________ 3 _________ 8
    Tae laidir ______________7 ________ -- _________ 7
    BLIZZARD7 ____________-- ________ 7 _________ 7

    ___ NormaL____________7 ________ -- _________ 7

    DOCARCH _____________ -- ________6 _________ 6
    Waterways ____________ -- ________ 5 _________ 5

    ___ Con Sensus_________4 ________ 1 _________ 5

    mickger844posts _______ 4 ________ -- _________ 4
    sryanbruen ___________ -- ________ 4 __________4
    MrSkinner _____________3 ________ -- _________ 3
    rikand ________________1 ________ 2 __________3
    sunflower3 ____________ 2 ________ -- _________ 2
    Kindred Spirit __________ 1 ________ -- _________ 1
    John mac ______________1 ________ -- _________ 1
    M.T. Cranium __________ -- ________ 1 _________ 1
    rameire _______________-- ________ 1 _________ 1
    Joe Public _____________ -- ________ 1 _________ 1

    Congrats to Pauldry who is leading the annual contest and the Four Seasons contest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,589 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    The Monthly Summary confirms most of the scoring data, the sunshine came in at 110% rather than 115% (Casement managed 118%), the monthly totals vs 1981-2010 normals always seem to track slightly differently from the weekly numbers and the end of month estimate, so what that means is, if your sunshine prediction was 113 or higher, you lose one point and if 112 or lower you gain one point.

    Rather than showing all the May scores again with that slight difference, I am just going to republish the annual scoring with the corrected numbers. The two highest scores go down by one point to 92 (BLIZZARD7) and 86 (MTC) while 200motels goes up to 85.

    Here's the slightly corrected annual scoring table and four seasons update.

    Annual Scoring Summary for 2018 (Jan to May)

    rank _FORECASTER _______ JAN _ FEB _ MAR _ APR _ MAY _ TOTAL _ APR rank ___ Spring total __ points

    01 _Pauldry______________ 73 __ 58 __ 89 __ 48 __ 76 ___ 344 ___ 02 _________ 213 ________ 10
    02 _Dacogawa ____________71 __ 67 __ 70 __ 67 __ 63 ___ 338 ___ 01 _________ 200 _________ 5

    (03) _ Con Sensus ________ 73 __ 67 __ 69 __ 51 __ 71 ___ 331 ___(05) _________191 _________ 1

    03 _DOCARCH ____________63 __ 62 __ 75 __ 61 __ 68 ___ 329 ___ 04 _________ 204 _________ 6
    04 _Rikand ______________ 66 __ 64 __ 62 __ 61 __ 74 ___ 327 ___ 05 _________ 197 _________ 2
    05 _sryanbruen ___________56 __ 71 __ 65 __ 60 __ 74 ___ 326 ___ 06 _________ 199 _________ 3
    06 _MrSkinner ____________73 __ 64 __ 72 __ 42 __ 69 ___ 320 ___ 07 _________ 183 _________ --
    07 _mickger844posts ______ 75 __ 77 __ 69 __ 42 __ 54 ___ 317 ___ 03 _________ 165 _________ --
    08 _waterways ___________ 81 __ 34 __ 51 __ 73 __ 76 ___ 315 ___ 10 _________ 200 _________ 5

    (09) NormaL _____________75 __ 52 __ 48 __ 71 __ 63 ___ 309 ___(08) _________182 _________ --

    09 _BLIZZARD7 ___________27 __ 73 __ 46 __ 70 __ 92 ___ 308 ___ 16 _________ 208 _________ 7
    10 _Jpmarn ______________ 71 __ 61 __ 49 __ 57 __ 68 ___ 306 ___ 11 _________ 174 _________ --
    t11_sunflower3 ___________ 68 __ 56 __ 63 __ 58 __ 57 ___ 302 ___ 08 _________ 178 _________ --
    t11_Tae laidir _____________78 __ 53 __ 63 __ 47 __ 61 ___ 302 ___ 09 _________ 171 _________ --
    13 _Rameire _____________ 52 __ 56 __ 67 __ 49 __ 76 ___ 300 ___ 14 _________ 192 _________ 1
    14 _M.T. Cranium _________ 60 __ 45 __ 52 __ 56 __ 86 ___ 299 ___ 18 _________ 194 _________ 1
    15 _dasa29 ______________ 69 __ 40 __ 83 __ 43 __ 54 ___ 289 ___ 12 _________ 180 _________ --
    16 _Joe Public ____________ 35 __ 62 __ 48 __ 81 __ 61 ___ 287 ___ 13 _________ 190 _________ 1
    17 _200motels ____________36 __ 65 __ 47 __ 49 __ 85 ___ 282 ___ 22 _________ 181 _________ --
    18 _JCXBXC ______________34 __ 72 __ 54 __ 43 __ 77 ___ 280 ___ 20 _________ 174 _________ --
    19 _Bsal _________________63 __ 49 __ 71 __ 38 __ 56 ___ 277 ___ 15 _________ 165 _________ --
    20 _sdanseo _____________ 45 __ 61 __ 57 __ 52 __ 57 ___ 272 ___ 17 _________ 166 _________ --
    21 _john mac ____________ 48 __ 58 __ 58 __ 42 __ 63 ___ 269 ___ 19 _________ 163 _________ --
    22 _Kindred Spirit. ________ 59 __ 56 __ 55 __ 28 __ 66 ___ 264 ___ 21 _________ 149 _________ --
    23 _Lumi ________________54 __ 54 __ 62 __ --- __ 77 ___ 247 ___ 23
    24 _Artane2002 ___________--- __ --- __ ---__ 59 __ 57 ___ 116 ___ 24
    25 _Adam240610 _________ --- __ --- __ 56 __ --- __ xx ___ 056 ___ 25
    ________________________________________________________________

    Four Seasons contest update

    (winter and spring seasons points totals)

    FORECASTER _________ Winter __ Spring _____ TOTAL to date

    Pauldry _______________ 6 ________10 ________ 16
    JPmarn ______________ 10 ________ -- ________ 10
    Dacogawa _____________ 5 ________ 5 _________10
    Tae laidir ______________7 ________ -- _________ 7
    BLIZZARD7 ____________-- ________ 7 _________ 7

    ___ NormaL____________7 ________ -- _________ 7

    DOCARCH _____________ -- ________6 _________ 6
    Waterways ____________ -- ________ 5 _________ 5

    ___ Con Sensus_________4 ________ 1 _________ 5

    mickger844posts _______ 4 ________ -- _________ 4
    sryanbruen ___________ -- ________ 3 __________3
    MrSkinner _____________3 ________ -- _________ 3
    rikand ________________1 ________ 2 __________3
    sunflower3 ____________ 2 ________ -- _________ 2
    Kindred Spirit __________ 1 ________ -- _________ 1
    John mac ______________1 ________ -- _________ 1
    M.T. Cranium __________ -- ________ 1 _________ 1
    rameire _______________-- ________ 1 _________ 1
    Joe Public _____________ -- ________ 1 _________ 1

    Congrats to Pauldry who is leading the annual contest and the Four Seasons contest.


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