October 2013 Boards forecast contest

After 22 days, the IMT stands at 12.6 C

Precip at 11 stations used in the MS stands at about 100% (estimates for J.C.) ... at this point much lower in the west and north

Sunshine also around 100% or slightly under.

Look for a new thread for the November contest to open later this week. The bonus question will be interesting, you'll be asked to predict how large a temperature spread will occur between inland (IMT) and coastal stations on the morning of the coldest temperature at IMT stations. This will take a bit of careful explanation in that regard but here's an example, if you believe the coldest reading at an IMT station (at 06z) might be -4 and at that same time the mildest reading at five coastal stations would be +6 then your forecast will be 10 deg. Bonus points can be gained for predicting which stations are in play.

The IMT was sitting right on 11.9 after 30 days and I don't expect it to change after today unless it slips down to 11.8 by decimals. Rainfall looks to be in the vicinity of 117% give or take, and sunshine seems to be close to normal. We'll see about those estimates and perhaps solve the mystery of the gust (see above) tomorrow when scoring will appear.

Confirmed final values:

IMT 11.9 C

MAX 21.1 C (2nd, Mountdillon)

MIN -1.3 C (11th, Markree)

PRC 125%

SUN 102%

bonus max wind 60 kts at Mace Head

(as Lumi posted above, quality control issues led to different postings on the website ... meanwhile the IMT held on by .01 at 11.86, the max and min were noted earlier and a bit more rain crept into the gauges while the sunshine figure was despite four out of six stations below 100% and so far Knock is denied entry, which could be some sort of a pun for those more wide awake than moi ... scoring day on three contests, ya gotta love it).

So anyway, a scoring table is the next order of business here after coffee in these severely light-deprived surroundings ... I think the sun is up but maybe the moon is extra bright).

Updated Annual scoring report

rank/
best 8 _ Forecaster _______ J __ F __ M __ A __ M __ J __ J __ A __ S __ O __ Total


01 508 Tae laidir ________ 73 _ 68 _ 38 _ 59 _ 54 _ 55 _ 59 _ 47 _ 65 _ 75 __ 593 (1)

02 506 Con Sensus _______75 _ 69 _ 24 _ 60 _ 54 _ 76 _ 44 _ 55 _ 58 _ 59 __ 574 (2)

02 490 harps ___________ 73 _ 61 _ 47 _ 48 _ 53 _ 70 _ 42 _ 57 _ 61 _ 67 __ 579 (2)
03 479 dasa29___________35 _ 76 _ 69 _ 61 _ 69 _ 68 _ 21 _ 42 _ 59 _ 31 __ 531 (4)
04 469 kindredspirit ______66 _ 34 _ 55 _ 51 _ 42 _ 66 _ 51 _ 65 _ 60 _ 55 __ 545 (3)
05 457 Jerry Seinfeld_____ 69 _ 54 _ 45 _ 60 _ 52 _ 74 _ 24 _ 44 _ 59 _ 43 __ 524 (6)

06 453 Bsal _____________54 _ 35 _ 53 _ 38 _ 73 _ 75 _ 38 _ 75 _ 37 _ 47 __ 525 (5)
07 450 DOCARCH________ 42 _ 50 _ 36 _ 73 _ 30 _ 70 _ 60 _ 39 _ 56 _ 60 __ 516 (7)
08 447 omicron _________ 47 _ 49 _ 22 _ 50 _ 66 _ 67 _ --- _ 72 _ 45 _ 51 __ 469 (17)
09 445 Pauldry __________59 _ 60 _ 34 _ 53 _ 51 _ 57 _ 32 _ 42 _ 51 _ 72 __ 511 (9)
10 442 mickger844posts __ 35 _ 67 _ 40 _ 54 _ 37 _ 49 _ 66 _ 39 _ 60 _ 67 __ 514 (8)

11 441 homolumo _______ 69 _ 72 _ 40 _ 50 _ 31 _ 67 _ 27 _ 35 _ 73 _ 35 __ 499 (10)
12 433 rameire__________ 60 _ 29 _ 44 _42 _ 56 _ 80 _ 18 _ 65 _ 39 _ 47 __ 480 (13t)
13 430 traecy.1 _________ 79 _ 36 _ 21 _ 54 _ 29 _ 56 _ 50 _ 33 _ 60 _ 62 __ 480 (13t)
14 423 200motels________ 54 _ 61 _ 36 _ 52 _ 49 _ 25 _ 33 _ 46 _ 67 _ 58 __ 481 (12)
15 419 Joe Public ________ 25 _ 58 _59 _ 35 _ 21 _ 44 _ 62 _ 55 _ 57 _ 49 __ 465 (19)

16 416 John mac_________50 _ 23 _ 21 _ --- _ 64 _ 94 _ 31 _ 60 _ 50 _ 44 __ 437 (24)
17 412 jpmarn __________ 36 _ 47 _ 23 _ 35 _ 54 _ 59 _ 65 _ 36 _ 54 _ 61 __ 470 (16)
18 411 nilhg ____________44 _ 47 _ 41 _ 50 _ 44 _ 51 _ 76 _ 54 _ 37 _ 45 __ 489 (11)
19 408 okla ____________ 52 _ 43 _ 47 _ 60 _ 45 _ 54 _ 38 _ 17 _ -- _ 69 __ 425 (25)
20 405 talkabout ________ 52 _ 58 _ 31 _ 44 _ 44 _ 67 _ 43 _ 43 _ 54 _ 30 __ 466 (18)

21 403 jd ______________ 49 _ 67 _ 14 _ 46 _ 36 _ 56 _ 31 _ 47 _ 59 _ 43 __ 448 (23)
22 401 waterways _______ 57 _ 70 _ 21 _ 45 _ 41 _ 43 _ 14 _ --- _ 73 _ 51 __ 415 (26)
23 399 dacogawa________ 51 _ 56 _ 35 _ 43 _ 38 _ 51 _ 40 _ 44 _ 76 _ 37 __ 471 (15)
24 393 Rickylovesuall_____ 41 _ 48 _ 18 _ 56 _ 45 _ 75 _ 38 _ 42 _ 48 _ 38 __ 449 (21t)
24 393 lostinashford _____ 27 _ 43 _ 29 _ 39 _ 58 _ 73 _ 50 _ 38 _ 57 _ 35 __ 449 (21t)

26 387 M.T. Cranium _____ 34 _ 39 _ 31 _ 52 _ 47 _ 48 _ 52 _ 40 _ 55 _ 54 __ 452 (20)
27 386 Strasser _________ 69 _ 38 _ 28 _ 54 _ -- _ 43 _ 28 _ 72 _ 38 _ 44 __ 414 (27)
28 384 snowstreams______ -- _ 54 _ 29 _ 36 _ 57 _ 50 _ 28 _ 46 _ 46 _ 66 __ 412 (28)
29 371 delw_____________46 _ 56 _ 66 _ 34 _ 75 _ -- _ 26 _ 21 _ 47 _ 13 __ 384 (30)
30 349 Seafields ________ 35 _ 33 _ 16 _ 49 _ 50 _ 56 _ 36 _ 44 _ 46 _ 26 __ 391 (29)

31 320 H2UMrsRobinson __ 41 _ 36 _ 22 _ 44 _ 39 _ 10 _ 32 _ 25 _ 46 _ 57 __ 352 (31)
32 279 cherryghost ______ 71 _ 58 _ 21 _ -- _ --- _ --- _ 42 _ 38 _ 49 _ --- __ 279 (32)


Three or four entries __

Hammer Archer _____ 63 _ 60 _ --- _ 46 _ 46 _ -- _ --- _ -- _ -- _ --- __ 215 (33)
Bejubby ___________ -- _ 46 _ 44 _ 40 _ 25 _ -- _ --- _ -- __ 21 _ -- __ 176 (34)
Rebelbrowser _______ 52 _ 14 _ 33 _ 55 _ -- _ -- _ --- _ -- _ -- _ -- ___ 154 (35)
dexter647 __________ -- _ 32 _ --- _ 63 _ -- _ --- _ -- _ --- _ 54 _ -- __ 149 (36)
Gonzo _____________________ 30 _ -- _ 52 _ -- _ --- _ --- _ 53 _ -- __ 135 (37)
Rocky Bay _________ 43 _ -- _ -- _ -- _ -- _ 37 _ 20 _ --- _ --- _ --- ___ 100 (40)

____________________________________________

Two entries

jambofc 71 (Jan), 54 (Feb) ____ 125 (38)
nabber 69 (Feb) 38 (Mar) _____ 107 (39)
Quixelles 64 (June) 19 (July) ____83
Keith96 52 (July), 18 (Aug) _____70
MiNdGaM3 30 (Jan) 32 (Feb) ____62
clintondaly 50 (June) 10 (July) __ 60

(one entry)

singers 53 (Aug)
blackbird 49 (Aug)
Tazio 58 (June)
E. Fudd 55 (Feb)
Deank 53 (Feb)
baraca 50 (Feb)
Deep Easterly 69 (Jan)
Danno 65 (Jan)
howlinwolf 59 (Jan)
"plan comes together" 53 (Jan)

NIALL_D 35 (Jan)
BEASTERLY 34 (Jan)
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