Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

High winds and heavy rain in places this week (Discussion Thread)

  • 10-10-2012 8:09pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭


    The GFS is running the same outcomes for 3 days of a Low weather system of 980mb crossing Ireland next week between 16th to 18th October. Very much keeping an eye on as ECM shows a system of 990, UKMO goes for a 995 all positioned over Ireland. Lets see how it pans out on the models over the coming week and can they hold it together!

    The GFS runs the system in a loop back across Northern Ireland from the 17th to 20th which leads me to think we might see some very high rainfall accum across Ireland.


«1345

Comments

  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    I wouldn't call wet and windy Fantasy Island unless I were a potato farmer in a desert.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    This is looking interesting now on the 12Z GFS. 114 hours. Could be gone on the next run though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    rtzSo.gif
    gimDc.gif
    ORcEP.gif

    Gusts up to about 110kph on some south/east coasts on this run.

    Q8x9C.gif
    Olsc9.gif


    It's not very far away but it's really subject to change so still FI in terms of intensity.


  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭Wicklow Weather


    I have been watching this system for 4 days and she is still relatively close to Ireland on the ECM but GFS shows its further West and in the latest run further North of Ireland. The ECM Air Pressure is about 965mb. Either way next week from Tuesday through Sunday looks wet, windy and miserable!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    I have been watching this system for 4 days and she is still relatively close to Ireland on the ECM but GFS shows its further West and in the latest run further North of Ireland. The ECM Air Pressure is about 965mb. Either way next week from Tuesday through Sunday looks wet, windy and miserable!!!

    The low on the 17th? GFS has the center passing right over Ireland, I posted the charts above. :)

    0Z ECM is less severe, brings it down to 984mb on the west coast. 12Z isn't out yet.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,585 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Model trend today is towards a heavy rainfall event lasting 2-3 days, Tuesday to possibly Friday, Munster could potentially see local rainfall totals of 60-100 mm during the period. Will raise to alert status on Sunday if development trend continues.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Model trend today is towards a heavy rainfall event lasting 2-3 days, Tuesday to possibly Friday, Munster could potentially see local rainfall totals of 60-100 mm during the period. Will raise to alert status on Sunday if development trend continues.

    Yeah, more of a rain than a wind thing since I lasted posted those charts. Still a good deal on uncertainty on exact amounts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭Wicklow Weather


    As we head into a very unsettled week I think the second half of the week will be a nowcast. Models are going in a flip flop from an earlier high wind outlook to a wetter outlook on the 18z. Looking at the latest GFS its rainfall accumulation is only 35mm for the week from an earlier 100mm across Eastern areas but its notable that 90mm is showing about 100 miles west of Kerry so Munster areas could see highest totals. Eyes peeled on this week!!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    There's an unseasonably strong 180 kt jet
    stream over us at the moment. Anyone flying to Spain today and tonight can expect a very bumpy ride indeed.

    PGDE14_EGRR_1800.PNG


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,810 ✭✭✭Calibos


    With all that cloud and the Autumn here, it looks like next week is going to be really dark man!


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭Wicklow Weather


    Latest GFS and ECM all but removed the system from the 20th of October.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Looking fairly wild for the east on the 18th on the 18Z GFS. Heavy rain with a low spinning right up the Irish Sea.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Hows it looking for the south? That heavy rainfall still looking likely?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    leahyl wrote: »
    Hows it looking for the south? That heavy rainfall still looking likely?

    It's still FI in a way even though its only a few days away because its fairly unpredictable. The secondary low that forms on the 18Z GFS wasn't there in the 12Z run and could/will be changed again on the 0Z.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,760 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    Looks like a very wet week on tonights MetO fax charts!! - would anyone like to hazard a guess at totals around the country??:confused:


  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭Wicklow Weather


    85mm by weekend?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Weather forecast read after the 0900 news on Radio 1 gave a gale warning with storm force winds this afternoon in the west. Anyone else hear the forecast or was I imagining the gale warning?

    From the gale warning on met.ie

    Westerly gales or strong gales at times today from late afternoon onwards on coasts from Carnsore Pt to Mizen Head to Slyne Head with a risk of storm force for a time this evening in the west.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Yes, I heard it too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Do you feel they are being cautious and issuing a warning with the wording used on a just in case basis?

    Was surprised as I don't recall seeing anything on boards.ie in relation to a potential wind event, however brief it may be.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Birdnuts wrote: »
    Looks like a very wet week on tonights MetO fax charts!! - would anyone like to hazard a guess at totals around the country??:confused:

    I'd guess maybe up to around 60mm in parts by Sunday.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Tactical wrote: »
    Weather forecast read after the 0900 news on Radio 1 gave a gale warning with storm force winds this afternoon in the west. Anyone else hear the forecast or was I imagining the gale warning?

    From the gale warning on met.ie

    Westerly gales or strong gales at times today from late afternoon onwards on coasts from Carnsore Pt to Mizen Head to Slyne Head with a risk of storm force for a time this evening in the west.

    Well here is the 06Z NAE for 3am Tuesday showing strong gales along parts of the coast and storm force winds just off shore.

    Xclan.gif

    06Z HIRLAM isn't up on weatheronline so can't compare them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    They are probably making use of their new HARMONIE model.

    Does look like a tricky little customer alright.

    Looks like nothing much on the Atlantic lower res maps.

    But NAE has it showing near sustained 50knot winds off the west coast.

    12101603_1506.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    WRF develops the system too. Here it is later.

    Severe gales touching storm force at sea.

    Interesting little feature, you can it winding up now on the satellite just off the west coast.

    WIND-D2-111.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Latest NAE shifts this across the country faster a little bit weaker, still very interesting.

    Very much a nowcast situation!

    Has strong winds ashore in the west by 9pm!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Latest NAE shifts this across the country faster a little bit weaker, still very interesting.

    Very much a nowcast situation!

    Has strong winds ashore in the west by 9pm!

    Seems to be a tricky one for the models. Arrives about six hours faster now than the 06Z showed earlier today. Little bit weaker too but still showing gales for some of the coast there.

    Looks nice on Sat24!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Ye looks decent, nice dry wedge there too.

    Made a crappy image here.

    todaysetup.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 227 ✭✭diceyd


    guys could any of yous make an educated guess for the east for thursday,i was going to bring my son to the zoo for his birthday,thanks.


  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭Wicklow Weather



    Very much a nowcast situation!

    Has strong winds ashore in the west by 9pm!

    I agree with Weathercheck on the nowcast situation overnight. It seems that this will pass over the country alot quicker than previous runs have shown and will lessen the overall estimated rainfall. Storm force seas on Irish Sea and Atlantic are a foregone conclusion at this stage????????
    My updated weather watch on Facebook will not be upgraded to an Alert or Warning for the time being! I will look to update Wicklow Weather Facebook by 9pm if necessary for driving warnings in the morning as a **** load of leaves after a windy night and wet roads will make some journeys to work early morning a little tricky!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,244 ✭✭✭MrFrisp


    diceyd wrote: »
    guys could any of yous make an educated guess for the east for thursday,i was going to bring my son to the zoo for his birthday,thanks.



    Well,,,M.E. are thinking this;

    Thursday and Friday will both be cool with a mix of bright or sunny spells and occasional heavy or prolonged showers of rain or hail with a risk of thunder. Temperatures will reach between 10 and 12 degrees.


    Could still be too soon to be spot on though.




    .


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Surprisingly windy in Galway tonight all right. I noticed the tide was very high around 5pm, probably less than 30cm away from coming over the top of the bank around the Spanish Arch, I'd assume its lowered again by now so lucky the wind didn't hit a few hours earlier or there could have been a bit of a surge


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Windy in Castlebar,alot of leafs down!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    On the radar you can see the 'hook' of the low stretching into Galway Bay.

    If we had a visible satellite imagery it would look quite well structured.

    Interested to hear any more reports of high winds!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 411 ✭✭RoisinD


    On the radar you can see the 'hook' of the low stretching into Galway Bay.


    Interested to hear any more reports of high winds!

    I am just on the edge of that hook you mention. Unfortunately my weather station is playing up so have been unable to post wind speeds. We have just been outside to move some things as we had thought that everything had been secured (we are used to fairly strong winds). The wind had other ideas. It is one of the strongest winds we have had in some time and the gusts are particularly strong.

    NW Clare


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The wind's picked up suddenly at Shannon Airport in the last 30 minutes.

    EINN 152030Z 24028G39KT 9999 -SHRA FEW021 SCT034 BKN050 11/07 Q0991 NOSIG=
    EINN 152000Z 23018KT 9999 FEW021 SCT032 BKN050 11/07 Q0992 NOSIG=
    EINN 151930Z 24017KT 9999 FEW021 SCT034 BKN050 11/07 Q0992 NOSIG=

    The TAFs for Shannon, Dublin and Casement call for around 28 gust 43 knots tonight, with wind warnings issued.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    no change at 21z

    SHANNON AIRPORT SW 28 Gust 40


  • Advertisement
  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Pressure has dropped 22hPa in Galway since midnight, currently 980hPa

    Thick misty rain blowing horizontally now with some strong gusts, horrible night out but nice to watch from the window


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    growing interest in that second system that approaches tomorrow night to the south, slowly inching north from run to run.

    Also it really goes through an explosive phase of development around T24,


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭Chicken1


    Just listening to Shannon Airport ATC, warning landing aircraft wind gusting over 40 knots and severe wind shear reported by landing aircraft passing through 1000 feet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    My wind machine in Galway is showing gusts over 40 knots from West North West.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

    the hook is hitting the midlands now - Absolutely bucketing down here in Athlone


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,929 ✭✭✭Raiser


    On the radar you can see the 'hook' of the low stretching into Galway Bay.

    If we had a visible satellite imagery it would look quite well structured.

    Interested to hear any more reports of high winds!

    In west Limerick - Kids playhouse had to be rescued after being catapulted to back of garden - some very strong gusts here since last hour or so.

    - Tied the trampoline down as soon as I copped on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,130 ✭✭✭mel.b


    Absolutely blowing a gale here in Ennis as well. I must have missed the weather forecast this evening as i wasn't expecting this!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Severe turbulence forecast to strengthen between the surface and 7,000 ft within the given coordinates below.

    EISN SIGMET 01 VALID 152027/160025 EINN- EISN SHANNON FIR SEV TURB FCST LAN SW OF A LINE N5320 W01000 - N5300 W00700 - N5200 W00700 BTN SFC/FL070 MOV E AT 30KT INTSF=


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Gone quiet in Galway in teh last 30 mins, are we in the eye or something??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Amazing its like as if someone turned off a switch, flat calm suddenly must be the centre of this depression passing over.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    SHANNON AIRPORT W 30 Gust 49


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    A Met Eireann 2258 update
    Rain will continue to affect parts of Connacht, Ulster and north Leinster tonight. Some heavy falls are likely and it will be quite cloudy and misty too. In Munster and south Leinster a clearance has already developed, with just the odd shower. However this drier weather will bring with it very windy conditions. Strong to near gale force west to southwest winds will affect these areas but will decrease overnight. Lowest temperatures will range from 4 to 7 degrees. (West to northwest winds will reach gale force or higher for a time overnight on coastal waters from Wicklow Head to Roche's Pt to Slyne Head and on the Irish Sea south of Anglesey.)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Its almost time to head over to Met Eireann for the latest on RTE Radio1/Sky 0160....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 309 ✭✭Wolfe_IRE


    SHANNON AIRPORT W 30 Gust 49

    yep 91km/h gust at Shannon. Fairly wild here in West Clare. Aunty Em, Aunty Em...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,699 ✭✭✭mud


    Very windy in East Limerick. The chimney is giving me the heebie-jeebies :eek:


  • Advertisement
This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement