Cold Spell Discussion (Ireland): Cold/Frosty/Icy with Snow for some

Graupel · 17-01-2013 4:00pm

jo06555 wrote: »

I noticed that too .. I know nothing about it but is it likely it could keep creeping closer??

Probably not as far as Waterford, But East/North/Northeast Wexford may see something in the early hours.

maquiladora · 17-01-2013 4:01pm

-10 uppers reaching the northeast Ulster coast at 33 hours.

-8 reaching the Donegal.

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 17-01-2013 4:02pm

maquiladora wrote: »

-10 uppers reaching the northeast Ulster coast at 33 hours.

-8 reaching the Republic.

A definite upgrade Maq

We deserve it at this stage !

maquiladora · 17-01-2013 4:05pm

Wicklow Mts have higher snowfall accumulation on the NAE than anywhere in the UK at 33 hours.

patneve2 · 17-01-2013 4:05pm

The GFS a world apart compared to the NAE. NAE has -6 uppers on the East Coast, GFS -2 uppers...I expect a major upgrade on the 12z GFS...we'll find out at 15:35 or so...

maquiladora · 17-01-2013 4:07pm

patneve2 wrote: »

The GFS a world apart compared to the NAE. NAE has -6 uppers on the East Coast, GFS -2 uppers...I expect a major upgrade on the 12z GFS...we'll find out at 15:35 or so...

NAE is higher resolution than the GFS though. Global models can miss small scale differences like that.

Slashermcguirk · 17-01-2013 4:09pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Wicklow Mts have higher snowfall accumulation on the NAE than anywhere in the UK at 33 hours.

Why does that not surprise me, Wicklow mountains are just unreal for snow. Might go up there and take some photos at the weekend if it's even accessible!!! They are like the scottish highlands when it comes to snow. Ski resort potential :-)))

200motels · 17-01-2013 4:14pm

It looks like rain all the way for most of us here in Munster. Enjoy the snow everywhere else.

ninebeanrows · 17-01-2013 4:15pm

NAE very good, for marginal areas of east Dublin/Meath/Louth still need a further shift south of the Low Feature to secure settling snow!

maquiladora · 17-01-2013 4:18pm

At 42 hours. You can see the small area of darker purple in Wicklow (40cm), higher than the area in south Wales which is under a UK Met Office red warning. That should tell you what conditions would be like there if this model was right.

BEASTERLY · 17-01-2013 4:28pm

maquiladora wrote: »

At 42 hours. You can see the small area of darker purple in Wicklow (40cm), higher than the area in south Wales which is under a UK Met Office red warning. That should tell you what conditions would be like there if this models was right.

Sooooo tempting to go up there on Saturday. Anyone know anywhere I can park at a relativity low altitude and make a good burst for one of the higher summits in 5/6 hours?

maquiladora · 17-01-2013 4:28pm

Rougies wrote: »

That NAE run has any snowfall turning back to rain on Friday night for everywhere except Ulster and NE Connaught. This will probably change I know, but that's how it as it stands.

Yep, thats how it has looks. High ground would retain the snow and areas furthest north. For other places could be a real messy mix of heavy rain turning to snow then back to rain again.

Redsunset · 17-01-2013 4:29pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSLlZh9yelk

Spindle · 17-01-2013 4:30pm

589 people in here at the moment, I wonder why............

hollster2 · 17-01-2013 4:30pm

Saturday: Many areas will have a mainly dry day but some heavy, wintry showers will occur. A very cold day with top temperatures only 2 to 6 degrees and there will be a widespread severe or very severe air and ground frost Saturday night with icy patches.

Sunday: A bitterly cold day; highest temperatures only 1 to 5 degrees in a strong to gale force easterly wind. Many areas will have a dry morning, just a few wintry showers in the east and south. Heavy rain and sleet will move in across Munster and south Leinster during the afternoon and evening turning to sleet and snow here on Sunday night with cloudy conditions further north and patchy sleet and snow.

Problem123456 · 17-01-2013 4:30pm

Lets hope gfs is a upgrade so we all get some snow :P

whippet · 17-01-2013 4:30pm

i've just moved to the coast in Louth .. so for the first winter i'm living about 500 meters from the sea ... I am assuming that any snow falling will be well away from me ?

Rougies · 17-01-2013 4:32pm

Spindle wrote: »

589 people in here at the moment, I wonder why............

Recession + Snow = Weather forum meltdown

patneve2 · 17-01-2013 4:33pm

interesting to note that Casement reported 9 deg at 1500, and Dun Laoghaire Harbour currently is at 6.7 deg...colder uppers hugging the coast? seems strange to me...

Rougies · 17-01-2013 4:34pm

Problem123456 wrote: »

Lets hope gfs is a upgrade so we all get some snow :P

It's an upgrade so far. Following the NAE, but not quite as impressive

dacogawa · 17-01-2013 4:34pm

Looks like a slightly better 18h

keep it up!

Saganist · 17-01-2013 4:34pm

GFS 850's look further west @ +18h to my untrained eye.

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 17-01-2013 4:34pm

Uppers upgrade already on GFS

Villain · 17-01-2013 4:35pm

Well its not a downgrade so far little better out to +24 not much but a little

Mr Cumulonimbus · 17-01-2013 4:35pm

Small upgrade on the precipitation chart at +18.

Reckless Abandonment · 17-01-2013 4:35pm

Already more west

Problem123456 · 17-01-2013 4:35pm

Yeah GFS looking better

Cold going further west

DOCARCH · 17-01-2013 4:36pm

patneve2 wrote: »

interesting to note that Casement reported 9 deg at 1500, and Dun Laoghaire Harbour currently is at 6.7 deg...colder uppers hugging the coast? seems strange to me...

Got to 9.4c here. It was sunny here for a while. I suspect Casement was similar.

I think there has been rain/and drizzle along the coast.

Saganist · 17-01-2013 4:37pm

Cold uppers pushed North @ +t30h

Rougies · 17-01-2013 4:38pm

GFS also agreeing with NAE on back to rain by Friday night unfortunately. Downgrade for Ulster too compared with previous GFS run and current NAE run too.
This could be very messy.

DOCARCH · 17-01-2013 4:38pm

Saganist wrote: »

Cold uppers pushed North @ +t30h

Looks like it. More rain - less snow! :rolleyes:

Problem123456 · 17-01-2013 4:40pm

Saganist wrote: »

Cold uppers pushed North @ +t30h

Nooo

davidsr20 · 17-01-2013 4:40pm

DOCARCH wrote: »

Looks like it. More rain - less snow! :rolleyes:

Here we go again confused.com lol
Upgrades upgrades and then a post like this!

SnowDrifts · 17-01-2013 4:41pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Sooooo tempting to go up there on Saturday. Anyone know anywhere I can park at a relativity low altitude and make a good burst for one of the higher summits in 5/6 hours?

Depending on the snow line, park here (Not really a car park as map shows - that was just a filming day a few years ago). From here, you can walk up to the foot of Djouce Mountain. That will take about 20 min. You can then walk to the summit of Djouce (750m). Depending on the snow depth, this could take around 1.5 hours.

There should be a good covering of snow there from tomorrow on.

Donny5 · 17-01-2013 4:41pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Sooooo tempting to go up there on Saturday. Anyone know anywhere I can park at a relativity low altitude and make a good burst for one of the higher summits in 5/6 hours?

You can do any peak in Wicklow in 5 or 6 hours at a leisurely pace. Starting at the Glen of Imaal, you can do Lugnacoille up and down in 3 or 4 hours. Other options include starting on the Sally Gap road and sauntering up Mullaghcleevaun, which wouldn't take 2 hours up and down, or staring on the Wicklow Gap and sauntering up Tonlagee, which is about 90 minutes. If you aren't confident in navigating, then try starting in Glendalough and following one of the marked trails up to Mullacor or Lugduff. That way, you stay sheltered in forestry most of the way up, too.

Villain · 17-01-2013 4:43pm

Umm going pear-shaped on Saturday!

BEASTERLY · 17-01-2013 4:43pm

Donny5 wrote: »

You can do any peak in Wicklow in 5 or 6 hours at a leisurely pace. Starting at the Glen of Imaal, you can do Lugnacoille up and down in 3 or 4 hours. Other options include starting on the Sally Gap road and sauntering up Mullaghcleevaun, which wouldn't take 2 hours up and down, or staring on the Wicklow Gap and sauntering up Tonlagee, which is about 90 minutes. If you aren't confident in navigating, then try starting in Glendalough and following one of the marked trails up to Mullacor or Lugduff. That way, you stay sheltered in forestry most of the way up, too.

Familiar with Tonlagee but the road might be a bit high considering the conditions? Ill wait and see what actually happens first anyway. Thanks.

Rougies · 17-01-2013 4:45pm

Villain wrote: »

Umm going pear-shaped on Saturday!

Looks ok for Irish Sea showers at 54h

downwiththatsor · 17-01-2013 4:45pm

Villain wrote: »

Umm going pear-shaped on Saturday!

Better by 7pm @ +54h, for East Coast

RedmanDublin · 17-01-2013 4:46pm

We have been hearing there is going to be a lashing of snow for some time now. Does anyone dare to say what are the chances this is actually going to happen % wise?

I have a feeling it will all just fizzle out. I hope I am wrong though!

Tabnabs · 17-01-2013 4:46pm

DOCARCH wrote: »

Got to 9.4c here. It was sunny here for a while. I suspect Casement was similar.

I think there has been rain/and drizzle along the coast.

An appealingly wet and windy day since about 10am along the Dublin coastline.

Saganist · 17-01-2013 4:48pm

Nice bit of cold creeping down at +60h

Mr Cumulonimbus · 17-01-2013 4:49pm

The uppers chart at +30 doesn't seem great for alot of the country, but there seems to be a battleground for northern parts of Ulster. There are, what, roughly -1 uppers on the Louth/Armagh border while -8's are grazing the Antrim coast. A fair contrast for less than 100 miles distance.

dopolahpec · 17-01-2013 4:49pm

RedmanDublin wrote: »

We have been hearing there is going to be a lashing of snow for some time now. Does anyone dare to say what are the chances this is actually going to happen % wise?

I have a feeling it will all just fizzle out. I hope I am wrong though!

For Dublin, I would say you will see snow fall at some stage, but only 5- 10% for snow sticking at low elevations tomorrow, ie marginal, considerably higher in the mountains.

Tomorrow's event is very very marginal. Better chance of snow on Monday/Sunday, but don't get excited until you see the Sunday morning forecasts.

Nothing is ever locked in.

dacogawa · 17-01-2013 4:50pm

I think this is going down to the wire (in & around Dublin), it's so close at 60h & 66h you can smell it, hope the 18 brings an upgrade...

Donny5 · 17-01-2013 4:53pm

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Familiar with Tonlagee but the road might be a bit high considering the conditions? Ill wait and see what actually happens first anyway. Thanks.

Yeah, if the snow comes down, then to be honest, none of the suggestions are really safe. Even getting to Laragh at times during the big freeze took 4WDs and the right tires. Going near the Sally Gap is a bad idea in icy or snowy weather unless you have the above and a winch. If the R755 is clear, then starting in Glendalough is your best bet, I think.

fontenoy7 · 17-01-2013 4:54pm

I think there is a much better chance on Monday and Tuesday and Wednesday for Dublin area. Definite snow on high ground as of this evening though.

davidsr20 · 17-01-2013 4:54pm

Rougies wrote: »

Looks ok for Irish Sea showers at 54h

Can someone that knows there stuff tell us what's happening on sat please as there's a bit of a downer on it now!

TV4Ever · 17-01-2013 4:54pm

Check out the UKMO. Much better than GFS

Slashermcguirk · 17-01-2013 4:54pm

Dont generally care about what BBC have to say about weather in Republic of Ireland but they have snow for east Ireland from 3am through tomorrow.

Will just have to see how things pan out, upgrades, downgrades then upgrades again followed by downgrades, never seen so many twists and turns. crazy stuff

Cold Spell Discussion (Ireland): Cold/Frosty/Icy with Snow for some

Comments