The Football Tips Thread IV

Toobz · 21-03-2013 4:37pm

Double of gareth bale anytime and Russia ht/ft at over 6/1 any good?

Headshot · 21-03-2013 5:04pm

See the excuse I got from sporting bet

"This is the standard procedure for fraud reasons"

JonnyM · 21-03-2013 5:31pm

netnerd wrote: »

HT AB Copenhagen, FT SKIVE. 30/1 @ Paddies, matched to be played on saturday.

Whats the deal with this??

buyer95 · 21-03-2013 5:37pm

Sweden to lead at half time and Ireland to win is available at 80/1, worth a euro bet imo.

UnknownSpecies · 21-03-2013 5:51pm

95% of bets are on Skive/AB according to oddschecker. What's up with that? Is the order wrong?

inforfun · 21-03-2013 5:53pm

No card bets (yet?) on bet365 but look who is in charge of Croatia - Serbia?
Yep, it is him

Would expect a pretty fiery game to begin with and with him in charge a red car bet is a must.(@3.05 on marathon)

Lasagna Diarra · 21-03-2013 5:56pm

Don't Northern Ireland often raise their game against the big teams? The draw away to Portugal is a good example of that. I remember them beating Spain and England too a few years ago and yet they didn't qualify for anything that year, so it seems to prove my theory.

I'll have a small bet on NI double chance @ 2.45

SteelyDanJalapeno · 21-03-2013 5:58pm

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Don't Northern Ireland often raise their game against the big teams? The draw away to Portugal is a good example of that. I remember them beating Spain and England too a few years ago and yet they didn't qualify for anything that year, so it seems to prove my theory.

I'll have a small bet on NI double chance @ 2.45

They look absolutely awful lately

tinodz · 21-03-2013 6:03pm

JonnyM wrote: »

Whats the deal with this??

That bet is been made by a fair few people at various bookies, which itself is a bit odd. The odds are falling on it at most bookies too. I just saw Paddy dropped the odds from 25/1 to 16/1 - also a bit odd.

Worth throwing €10 on it if you have it to spare. Don't go mad, as such bets don't always come off.

If you want to be safer about it. Wait until half time of the game (2.45PM on Sat). Check to see who is winning, and if Kopenhagen are, then stick a bit on Skive to win in-play. Odds most likely will be much worse then.

JonnyM · 21-03-2013 6:12pm

tinodz wrote: »

That bet is been made by a fair few people at various bookies, which itself is a bit odd. The odds are falling on it at most bookies too. I just saw Paddy dropped the odds from 25/1 to 16/1 - also a bit odd.

Worth throwing €10 on it if you have it to spare. Don't go mad, as such bets don't always come off.

If you want to be safer about it. Wait until half time of the game (2.45PM on Sat). Check to see who is winning, and if Kopenhagen are, then stick a bit on Skive to win in-play. Odds most likely will be much worse then.

thanks thought there was something more to it alrite just cudnt see it

Dio On The Doubles · 21-03-2013 6:19pm

inforfun wrote: »

No card bets (yet?) on bet365 but look who is in charge of Croatia - Serbia?
Yep, it is him

Would expect a pretty fiery game to begin with and with him in charge a red car bet is a must.(@3.05 on marathon)

This is shaping up well isn't it

I checked Powers and no card market yet either. Must check a few others later tonight. Reckon this could be a good runner.

Cheers!

magherakid · 21-03-2013 7:30pm

Brazil XI vs Italy: Júlio César; Dani Alves, Thiago Silva, David Luiz, Filipe Luís; Fernando, Hernanes, Oscar; Hulk, Fred, Neymar

Italy Team Buffon; Maggio, Bonucci, Barzagli, De Sciglio; De Rossi, Pirlo, Marchisio; Montolivo; Balotelli, Osvaldo

no bet for me

Bobeagleburger · 21-03-2013 7:52pm

Will Neymar play the whole game?

tinodz · 21-03-2013 7:58pm

magherakid wrote: »

Anyone fancy Brazil?

Brazil XI vs Italy: Júlio César; Dani Alves, Thiago Silva, David Luiz, Filipe Luís; Fernando, Hernanes, Oscar; Hulk, Fred, Neymar

I was thinking of a Hulk Wincast at small stakes, but I also hate friendlies with a passion.

magherakid · 21-03-2013 8:02pm

tinodz wrote: »

I was thinking of a Hulk Wincast at small stakes, but I also hate friendlies with a passion.

enough to put me off

tinodz · 21-03-2013 8:09pm

magherakid wrote: »

enough to put me off

I think I will be staying away from any big dent in he bank, but I might just do a low stake high odds bets for fun.

tinodz · 21-03-2013 8:21pm

Small stakes on Hulk to score 2 or more @ 14.00

Hope it is a fun game.

mrdmb · 21-03-2013 10:29pm

Internationals are back..!

in the AFC qualifications tmoro for the early afternoon..i see good value in UAE beating Uzbekistan.... priced around 2.35 for the home team or 1.73 for the DNB...

UAE are currently classified as the best team in western asia.. with 9 consecutive wins in their last games including friendlies and the Gulf cup...and leading their mid field is the talented Omer Abulrahman who is linked with a move in the summer to one of the premier league clubs.

Uzbekistan on the other hand..are more experienced...but shocking at times..in their last qualification game they failed to beat 10 men Hong Kong in their home stadium.

Back UAE to win or DNB....at ur own risk..!

mailburner · 21-03-2013 10:30pm

gonna have a decent bet on the sweden/belgium double
at almost 13/8 with pp

I just can't see past either of these
belgium will surely have too much class for macedonia
sweden, speaks for itself really

PurpleSt4in · 21-03-2013 10:59pm

mailburner wrote: »

gonna have a decent bet on the sweden/belgium double
at almost 13/8 with pp

I just can't see past either of these
belgium will surely have too much class for macedonia
sweden, speaks for itself really

Belgium are a solid bet IMO. They've only leaked once so far in WCQ, against Croatia. Beat Serbia and Wales away 3-0 and 2-0. The only thing I'd say is.. Vincent Kompany, captain and not 100% if he's starting? Can't see how that Irish team will cause Sweden any problems.

redarmy · 21-03-2013 11:44pm

Montenegro @ 8/13
Win-Draw-Win
Moldova v Montenegro
Russia @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Northern Ireland v Russia
Sweden @ 8/15
Win-Draw-Win
Sweden v Ireland. treble

Avfctom · 22-03-2013 12:16am

Sweden to win
Portugal to win
Russia to win
Montenegro to win
Belgium to win

9/1 £20

Scotland v wales

Wales or draw 11/10. £50

cruais · 22-03-2013 2:13am

germany @1.11, belgium @1.70, croatia @1.72 and a bit of golf with mr woods @ 3.50

( the golf part was bet by accident so hoping it will bring me luck :-) )

accum 10 euro

PunterAssist · 22-03-2013 4:08am

The bets that are holding my interest at the minute are:

Columbia -1 @ 1.75 (v Bolovia)
Scotland v Wales - Both Teams To Score - 2.0
Spain to score over 2.5 goals @ 1.57 (v Finland)

ben.schlomo · 22-03-2013 10:58am

PunterAssist wrote: »

The bets that are holding my interest at the minute are:

Columbia -1 @ 1.75 (v Bolovia)
Scotland v Wales - Both Teams To Score - 2.0
Spain to score over 2.5 goals @ 1.57 (v Finland)

Pretty sure its 'North Face' they are playing?

AFC Asian Cup Qualifying double of UAE 6/4(explained above) and Iraq double chance 4/5, Iraq are unbeaten in 4 competetive games against China winning twice in China in recent years too.

Superfint · 22-03-2013 11:03am

Paddy Powers , under specials - have live trebles, Sweden,Wales & Russia all to win 10/1 - seems fairly too good to be true!
Took that anyhow, and the Enhanced Acca - Sweden, Belgium, Portugal & Germany all to win @4/1

Think both have a decent chance of coming in, not sure on Wales but hopefully Bale does the biz!

EDIT- Nice one Portugal, the acca i was more confident in out the window!

Drogmal · 22-03-2013 11:53am

Ibra to score 1.91 for obvious reasons mainly John O Shea.

Dio On The Doubles · 22-03-2013 11:55am

Northern Ireland v Russia game in doubt

http://www1.skysports.com/football/news/11095/8582913/

PurpleSt4in · 22-03-2013 11:58am

Anyone thinking of backing Belgium, I'd wait 'til I see Kompany's name in starting line-up tbh!

Dio On The Doubles · 22-03-2013 12:34pm

After reading the stats in your post a page ago I'm very tempted in Belgium but wait to see if Kompany starts as you say. Need Japan to win ht/ft in the 4pm game today to put money back in my account first having put down all bets already.Have it double with Brazil v Italy BTTS from last night .. Here's hoping!. Very interested in the cards market in Croatia v Serbia today too.

Just noticed Powers are doing a money back on the usual first and last goal scorer as well as scorecast and wincast if Ibrahimovic scores the last goal.

Lord TSC · 22-03-2013 12:51pm

Drogmal wrote: »

Ibra to score 1.91 for obvious reasons mainly John O Shea.

Tempted to do this as my one big bet of the day...

inforfun · 22-03-2013 1:20pm

PurpleSt4in wrote: »

Anyone thinking of backing Belgium, I'd wait 'til I see Kompany's name in starting line-up tbh!

Wouldnt be overly concerned about Kompany starting or not.
Main concern is who they play on left and right back.
They have no players good enough on those positions so often you ll see central defenders there.

So you might see Vermaelen on left back, Alderweireld on right back. That is not great even if that means Vertonghen/Kompany central.

Edit:

Just read some news about the Belgians:
Their manager: Well be happy with 4 points from these 2 matches (they play Mac 2x in the coming days. They are hard to beat etc etc.

Also Mac received 17 yellow cards in 4 matches so far in these qualifiers.

I remember Holland playing Macedonia in the past a few times. never was easy, especially away from home.(2-2, 1-2)
Belgium @1,7 is not good enough value imo.

Dave147 · 22-03-2013 2:11pm

Looking at Czech Denmark btts, Hungary Romania btts, Sweden and Belgium, not happy about Belgium's price though so thinking of looking for better value.

Czech Denmark game could go either way too, think Hungary Romania btts and over's is a banker though.

Any thoughts on a better pick to Belgium?

Dave147 · 22-03-2013 2:13pm

Under 5.5 in England game? 4/6, can't see England scoring 6..

Backstreet Moyes · 22-03-2013 2:14pm

13/2

Sweeden
Russia
Czech Republic
Belgium

PurpleSt4in · 22-03-2013 2:16pm

inforfun wrote: »

Wouldnt be overly concerned about Kompany starting or not.

I remember Holland playing Macedonia in the past a few times. never was easy, especially away from home.(2-2, 1-2)
Belgium @1,7 is not good enough value imo.

Kompany is their captain and a huge influence on the pitch. It seems like they may risk him!

We beat Macedonia 2-0 in Macedonia.... I rest my case!

PurpleSt4in · 22-03-2013 2:18pm

Saying that, I doubt I'll be going big on Belgium anyway.. medium stake

ben.schlomo · 22-03-2013 2:20pm

Dave147 wrote: »

Looking at Czech Denmark btts, Hungary Romania btts, Sweden and Belgium, not happy about Belgium's price though so thinking of looking for better value.

Czech Denmark game could go either way too, think Hungary Romania btts and over's is a banker though.

Any thoughts on a better pick to Belgium?

Croatia are a good bet tonight for me, they have been in good form since the Euros and are against a struggling and young Serbian side.

ben.schlomo · 22-03-2013 2:37pm

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Pretty sure its 'North Face' they are playing?

AFC Asian Cup Qualifying double of UAE 6/4(explained above) and Iraq double chance 4/5, Iraq are unbeaten in 4 competetive games against China winning twice in China in recent years too.

90th friggin minute winner for China after Iraq played with ten men form half time, sickening.

inforfun · 22-03-2013 2:42pm

PurpleSt4in wrote: »

We beat Macedonia 2-0 in Macedonia.... I rest my case!

I knew someone would come up with that one.
Just look at their results at home during qualifiers. You just dont brush that side away.
Belgium of course can win there but it will not be easy and i am not risking my money on them for @1,66

Dave147 · 22-03-2013 2:51pm

Look at Macedonia's goalscoring record, they almost always score at home, bar a friendly where they had no Pandev among others. 11/10 btts is my bet of the night.

Hungary/Romania BTTS 10/11
Macedonia/Belgium BTTS 11/10
Sweden 8/15

€50 returns €307.

PurpleSt4in · 22-03-2013 3:00pm

inforfun wrote: »

I knew someone would come up with that one.
Just look at their results at home during qualifiers. You just dont brush that side away.
Belgium of course can win there but it will not be easy and i am not risking my money on them for @1,66

Ye I get ya.. Macedonia never get comprehensively beaten at home for sure and Belgium are not worth a big stake, but I still think I'll back them

Headshot · 22-03-2013 3:02pm

Russia match is a major doubt to play

P.Walnuts · 22-03-2013 3:18pm

Anyone think most goals second half in the English game @ 1.83 is decent?

From a purely memory based perspective I seem to remember england finding it hard to score early against lesser teams especially away from home, added to that is the obvious part timers tiring in second half....

1.83 is a bit small though, 2.00 and I would be hopping off it.

P.Walnuts · 22-03-2013 3:24pm

Why no card markets on B365....anyone?

Edit : Apparently they won't be releasing card markets on Coratia or Belgium games, when I asked why..

"I believe it is to do with the sources we have available on certain games"

Hoboo · 22-03-2013 3:39pm

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Anyone think most goals second half in the English game @ 1.83 is decent?

From a purely memory based perspective I seem to remember england finding it hard to score early against lesser teams especially away from home, added to that is the obvious part timers tiring in second half....

1.83 is a bit small though, 2.00 and I would be hopping off it.

Yeah its decent. San Marino’s last 17 home matches at half time have been 0-1 seven times, 0-0 five times, 0-2 four times.

Was 2-0 in their last meeting.

In the past 10 years most of Englands results against smaller teams away have been under 1 goal.

I prefer San Marino + 5 , evens with PP, tops up my acca nicely. Cant see England score more that 4 away.

Headshot · 22-03-2013 3:51pm

hmmm I had AH -1 Sweden in the betting slip and it started drifting

strange that, wonder what do they see in the ireland team

P.Walnuts · 22-03-2013 3:52pm

Headshot wrote: »

hmmm I had AH -1 Sweden in the betting slip and it started drifting

strange that, wonder what do they see in the ireland team

Probably 10 men behind the ball

Headshot · 22-03-2013 3:53pm

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Probably 10 men behind the ball

With Whelan out and Mccarthy in, I dont think you can play that way

P.Walnuts · 22-03-2013 3:57pm

Headshot wrote: »

With Whelan out and Mccarthy in, I dont think you can play that way

I completely missed that

I think we will probably still play that way, just much less effectively

The Football Tips Thread IV

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