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16-11-2020, 18:03   #16
murpho999
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No chance of a White Christmas according to this well researched an scientific article in the Indo today.

Terrible journalism that so many people take as gospel.
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16-11-2020, 18:25   #17
daniel_t1409
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No chance of a White Christmas according to this well researched an scientific article in the Indo today.

Terrible journalism that so many people take as gospel.
How can they be that certain about the weather this far out? I wouldn't rule out a WC just yet, even though it's highly and increasingly unlikely.
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18-11-2020, 16:43   #18
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A fairly cool Xmas day on the CFs today with -4/-5 uppers. Not far off snow weather with some flakes even likely on mountains and higher ground in Ireland and the UK...



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19-11-2020, 09:55   #19
pauldry
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So Devon and Cornwall see snow but Newcastle doesnt.

Must go to bookies quick!
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28-11-2020, 17:33   #20
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Any more updates about this?
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03-12-2020, 23:55   #21
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Sorry, keep meaning to update this but this whole working from home thing involves far more actual work than I had planned!

CFS today shows mild temps on the big day. Will post tomorrow's CFS hopefully.

From next week the far reaches of some of the more main stream models will go out as far as Christmas day so we will have a lot more to post then.....
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04-12-2020, 01:16   #22
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Odds for snow at Dublin in from 10/1 to Sixes. Worth a flutter to make it interesting I would say.
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04-12-2020, 16:40   #23
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Good and bad news here.

On the bad news front, whilst the mainstream models such as the GFS only still go out 18 or 19 December, they show at that stage mild weather with no chance of cold, let alone snow.

On the plus side, the CFS, which does go out until 25 December (and then some) shows an easterly regime kicking in from the 19th with a cold run up to the big day and, as per the below charts, a decidedly snowy Christmas eve / day (with basically a rerun of March 2018 between the big day and New Year's)! You'd never know...

https://expert-images.weatheronline....22500_0400.gif







Just the -14 uppers here in Cork a few days later!

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04-12-2020, 21:04   #24
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current CFS is very wintry and snowy indeed from about the 23rd of December to New Year's Eve, winds screeching in from a long fetch Siberian easterly and -10 to -15 uppers, of course next run will probably be +10C blowtorch south-westerlies.
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04-12-2020, 21:20   #25
Danno
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Originally Posted by Gonzo View Post
current CFS is very wintry and snowy indeed from about the 23rd of December to New Year's Eve, winds screeching in from a long fetch Siberian easterly and -10 to -15 uppers, of course next run will probably be +10C blowtorch south-westerlies.
Another borderline event















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11-12-2020, 21:16   #26
Rebelbrowser
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Just to keep this updated. With the big day less than two weeks away we can now stop looking at the cfs and look instead at some of the more main stream models. At this stage the gfs goes out to 27 December and it shows a cool, but certainly not snowy, Xmas day at present. But plenty time yet for that to change and there are still background signals around that suggest a significantly colder Xmas period could yet happen.

Will update with some charts tomorrow...
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13-12-2020, 05:45   #27
Rebelbrowser
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Can't post charts but a decidedly cold Xmas day forecast on this mornings GFS with -7 and -8 upper temps covering the country. Indeed a notably cold week afterwards also. No snow forecast but with these upper temperatures you could not rule it out.... fingers crossed we are going to avoid a mild Xmas day as a minimum.

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13-12-2020, 08:13   #28
JanuarySnowstor
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Yes things do look cold around Christmas.
Still too far out and we are certain now that the week leading up won't be cold just wet.
We should get a better picture around mid week just too early
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13-12-2020, 10:52   #29
Rebelbrowser
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6z gfs just out repeats the cold Xmas day forecast with snow in the North and northwest...
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13-12-2020, 11:03   #30
Meteorite58
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6z gfs just out repeats the cold Xmas day forecast with snow in the North and northwest...
Of course there is a lot of different charts being shown every run but the cold charts are certainly featuring, the 06Z the coldest so far.

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