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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Spring 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • #202
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,072 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 12Z holding the improved charts from around Fri , warmth slow to build but better outlook from this run showing temperatures going from the mid to high teens around Fri and getting up to the low to mid 20's by the following Weds. More settled and drier if it verifies.


    CVcfQL0.gif

    5WIGLgj.gif

    RN0rewU.gif


  • #203
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,959 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    I hope the ECM is on to something. I really need a few days dry weather to get the meadow cut.


  • #204
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    nacho libre wrote: »
    I hope the ECM is on to something. I really need a few days dry weather to get the meadow cut.

    Still wouldn't place hedge bets on this verifying yet. It all seems a few days at best to me with how everything lines up including this Arctic high that continues to accelerate sea ice melt. The temperature contrast coming out of Newfoundland playing a role too although with a strong Azores ridge, this shouldn't matter and would actually amplify a settled pattern provided the jet plays along.

    In terms of temperatures, may look cool due to the airmass contained but in the high summer sunshine if we do get any (yes we are in high summer even though recent inclement weather would make you think otherwise!), they should respond nicely to pleasant levels of low 20s provided a lack of onshore sea breezes. If we held off the Atlantic trough long enough which ECM does, I'd say mid-20s would be likely as the wind tilts more to a southeasterly direction by mid-week but I'd say this is an unlikely option for now.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #205
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 12z followed ECM 0z in flattening the high pressure as soon as Monday next. ECM 12z follows on from this with a showery upper trough reintroducing a northwesterly for a time on Tuesday but then high pressure takes over again immediately with this trough being weak. Looks like this high is inflated from an upper trough descending towards Iberia and Arctic ridging looks to weaken. In fact, ECM to me looks like a pattern that would be more conducive to prolonged dry conditions although still think this is an unlikely option.

    GEM is similar in the high weakening fairly quickly next week but manages to keep a ridge that looks like reinvigorating at the end to something similar to the ECM if we could go on a day or two forward. Also looks quite warm.

    Trend still going for a more settled period but day to day keeps changing on the details and I feel it's important to keep this all in mind.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #206
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,072 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Outlook looking a lot better than of late I would think. No scorcher but coming in about average or a bit above for the time of year. Not all dry but better , less windy and more settled conditions. Looks like high teens for a few days touching 20 in places, close to mid 20's at the end of the run still showing up.


    ET043Sw.gif

    CRMkZko.gif

    v57WS8w.gif

    anim_amx4.gif


  • #207
    new2tri19
    Registered Users Posts: 530 ✭✭✭new2tri19


    if you change thread title to Summer instead of Spring things might start to change .


  • #208
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,963 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    new2tri19 wrote: »
    if you change thread title to Summer instead of Spring things might start to change .

    I'll be closing this thread instead, we have a Summer 2020 thread which hasn't been posted on much: https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2058082854


This discussion has been closed.
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