NFL Betting Thread 2018

adrian522 wrote: »

Been burned by the Jags 2 weeks in a row now. I'm done with them. They've joined the Browns in my "don't bet" list.

Yesterday I had...

Chargers/Jags to win straight up
Pats -1.0 (Once I heard Mack was carrying an injury I went in on that.
Eagles/Vikings/Redskins to cover - Eagles blowing a 17 point lead meant that never really got going.

I did an in play late on on Saints +3.5/Washington straight up. Saints were 3 points down at that point, and I didn't see how they would lose by 4 or more.
Won that courtesy of 2 missed kicks

So about a break even day yesterday.

I finished ahead too due to
Over in Miami
Over in the jets
Under in the Colts (due to 2 missed extra points by mr automatic) phew

Also like the 9ers going to Arizona. Wary of betting on games with 2 bad teams but Arizona are definitely worse and don't deserve to be favs against anyone but maybe buffalo. They had the look of a team that's written off their season on Thursday night

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

First early lean of the week is the Colts @ 20/21 straight up. I'm happy to take on the raiders for the rest of the year will be monitoring the trades

Fack didn't expect cooper to go today Colts gone to -3 already

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

First early lean of the week is the Colts @ 20/21 straight up. I'm happy to take on the raiders for the rest of the year will be monitoring the trades

Had a busy weekend so the Colts was the only bet I done. Happy enough though looking back it has the look of a weekend that there was money to be made

eagle eye wrote: »

Certainly was and even better in running. I got the Panthers -9.5 early enough when they were 14 points up and clearly well on top. Got the Seahawks -6.5 early too when it was clear they were dominating.

An early look this week draws me to the chargers going to Seattle. Seattle have appeared to have turned a corner but it's all based on running the ball well against poor run defences I feel like the chargers corners can get on top allowing them to stack the box and stop the run and Seattle won't be able to score enough to stay with them. I've always been wary of backing the chargers as their game management has been notoriously bad but I feel they are being a bit underestimated this year with their only losses coming against kc and the rams. Coming off a bye week can only help too suprised to see them as big as 21/20 straight up so I'll be taking a piece of that

The real mccoy 91 wrote:

An early look this week draws me to the chargers going to Seattle. Seattle have appeared to have turned a corner but it's all based on running the ball well against poor run defences I feel like the chargers corners can get on top allowing them to stack the box and stop the run and Seattle won't be able to score enough to stay with them. I've always been wary of backing the chargers as their game management has been notoriously bad but I feel they are being a bit underestimated this year with their only losses coming against kc and the rams. Coming off a bye week can only help too suprised to see them as big as 21/20 straight up so I'll be taking a piece of that

I don't like that. I know they haven't beaten much but after a very poor first two games they have looked good, even in the close loss at the Rams, and I'd never take a team against them at home.

Bateman wrote: »

All in on the Raiders

Christ how could you trust a team like them

I like the Browns and the under 52 today - weather never great this time of year and Hill is inactive

Keep an eye on the in-running betting, I made a killing on it last week.

Bateman wrote: »

I like the Browns and the under 52 today - weather never great this time of year and Hill is inactive

I am sad

Last week was good.

Going with
bears ht/ft
Bucs-3
Atlanta -5
Treble 5/1

To score 2+ tds Trixie
Hunt
Gordon
Kamara

markc91 wrote: »

Done a bit of stat reading for touchdown scorers tonight seeing which teams had good pass/rush offenses and bad pass/rush defenses so have went with these 3 Td scorers all medium

Alex Collins Baltimore Ravens 9/5
Kenny Golladay Detroit Lions 7/5
Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles 13/8

Good luck if following

2/3 Collins and Golladay oblige

gerryfed wrote: »

Are these anytime TD prices? Would love to know what site you're using...

Bet365 had Collins at less then evens and Golladay and Ertz as shorter than these prices too...

Yeah anytime prices taken from oddschecker. For tonight on quite an obvious double if you can get evens+ Gurley and Hill both anytime or chance Gurley 2+ and Hill anytime

Thursday looks an ideal opportunity for a teaser treble on the favs think it should work out about 9/4

Bears -4 @ Lions looks decent but I'm a bit concerned about the short rest going on the road.

thomond2006 wrote: »

Bears -4 @ Lions looks decent but I'm a bit concerned about the short rest going on the road.

Trubisky may not be great but he's a few levels up from chase Daniel. Detroit with a chance to spoil Chicagos big chance it's a tricky one for me can see both defences dominating and it being a field goal game

With tre Smith looking doubtful marshall could see some snaps for the saints and he's quite big at 7s

With the lions missing both Johnson and Jones on offense and slay and ansah both doubtful on the defence I'm not sure I can draw up a scenario where they can score enough points to beat Chicago. Add golden tate to the list and they are missing 3 of their main 4 playmakers and the Chicago D is no joke. Gonna sleep on it but expect to be taking Detroit under 20.5 @8/11 for starters

gerryfed wrote: »

Bears still 100/1 on Bet365 to win the SuperBowl...

Bleacher Report saying they're in to 40/1 in places!

Definitely getting my value out of this one. 5e e/w at 100/1... in to 14s now. Unlikely with the offensives around but good for the interest!

Deco99 wrote: »

What are the thoughts on Giants @ 90/1 for division?

For me dallas have a soft enough schedule that they won't be caught certainly won't lose enough to give the giants a shot

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

For me dallas have a soft enough schedule that they won't be caught certainly won't lose enough to give the giants a shot

5 games left, away to Saints, Colts, And Giants. home to Eagles and Buccs. Could see them lose all 5. But realistically... Saints, Colts games they won't be favourites and last games is away to giants. For me, hardest bit is the giants winning enough games. Currently 3 games back. Beat eagles, 2. Beat cowboys at home 1. So for 90/1?

Ive been watching and the cowboys are capable of losing all of those games. They probably won't. But I do appreciate that even @90s giants are not capable.

Anytime Touchdown scorers for today following on from last weekends 2/3
Mike Evans (Tampa Bay) 6/5 vs. 49ers (24th passing defence)
James White (New England) 5/4 vs. Jets (20th rushing defence)
Tyler Lockett (Seattle) 11/5 vs. Panthers (30th passing defence)
Gus Edwards (Baltimore) 11/8 vs. Raiders (22nd rushing defence)