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05-01-2021, 23:32   #46
AuntySnow
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Originally Posted by Gaoth Laidir View Post
Yeah, but...

Hey ,there's no need to add complications
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05-01-2021, 23:39   #47
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I was looking at photos earlier sent in old emails and see this one of a similar event to tomorrow nights.
A band or rain that fell as snow that weakened as it crossed the country on 5th Jan 2008.
It only gave a dusting and it thawed that day when the sun came out.
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06-01-2021, 00:06   #48
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I was looking at photos earlier sent in old emails and see this one of a similar event to tomorrow nights.
A band or rain that fell as snow that weakened as it crossed the country on 5th Jan 2008.
It only gave a dusting and it thawed that day when the sun came out.
In the snow starved years after 2001 until 2009 that was considered epic!
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06-01-2021, 03:36   #49
Kermit.de.frog
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Might be missing a trick for Thursday night

Snow showers getting ever closer to the east coast







Could be more snow in Dublin/Wicklow tomorrow night than tonight

AuntySnow Anti-Snow will be devastated

Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 06-01-2021 at 04:08.
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06-01-2021, 06:05   #50
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06-01-2021, 07:53   #51
Nqp15hhu
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What about the event though?
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06-01-2021, 08:06   #52
AuntySnow
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What about the event though?
Met Eireann's 755am forecast on Radio one just now,said rain and sleet spreading down from the northwest turning to snow for a time in the Midlands and East

Usually weakening bands from that direction are dry by the time they get here
Up your area,you're battling similar marginal conditions as down here,so the question is are you far enough inland and near enough to high ground to be on the right side of marginal to defeat the marine layer
I wouldn't bet the house on it
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06-01-2021, 08:22   #53
Gaoth Laidir
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The TAFs (valid to 6 am tomorrow morning) are pretty set on snow tomorrow morning. The only slight doubt is Shannon, which has only a slight chance (PROB30) of precip turning to snow.

Quote:
(DUBLIN )TAF EIDW 060500Z 0606/0706 34008KT 9999 SCT020 BKN045
PROB40 TEMPO 0606/0614 7000 -SHRAGS FEW018CB
PROB30 TEMPO 0606/0610 4000 -SHRASN BKN014
TEMPO 0612/0617 32007KT
PROB30 TEMPO 0614/0618 -SHRAGS FEW018CB
BECMG 0617/0619 27007KT
PROB30 TEMPO 0618/0703 0300 FZFG BKN001
BECMG 0704/0706 24010KT 4000 -RASN BKN010
TEMPO 0704/0706 1200 -SN BKN003=

(SHANNON) TAF COR EINN 060512Z 0606/0706 33005KT 9999 FEW030
PROB30 TEMPO 0607/0613 0300 FZFG BKN001
BECMG 0609/0611 VRB03KT
PROB40 TEMPO 0618/0624 0300 FZFG BKN001
BECMG 0622/0624 14005KT
BECMG 0701/0703 -RA BKN014
TEMPO 0701/0706 2000 -RASN BKN005
PROB40 TEMPO 0701/0704 4000 -FZRA
PROB30 TEMPO 0701/0705 1400 -SN BKN003=

(CORK) TAF EICK 060500Z 0606/0706 35010KT 9999 FEW012
PROB40 TEMPO 0622/0704 2000 BR BKN004
PROB30 TEMPO 0622/0703 0300 FZFG BKN001
BECMG 0700/0702 32005KT
BECMG 0705/0706 2000 -SN BKN004=

(CONNAUGHT) TAF EIKN 060500Z 0606/0706 VRB03KT 9999 FEW020 BECMG 0620/0622 20007KT 2000 -RASN BKN005
TEMPO 0621/0703 0200 SN FG BKN001
BECMG 0703/0705 30006KT 9999 NSW BKN015
PROB30 TEMPO 0703/0706 4000 BR BKN005=

(BELFAST/ ALDERGROVE) TAF EGAA 060500Z 0606/0706 34003KT 9999 SCT045
BECMG 0700/0703 SCT002 BKN008
TEMPO 0701/0706 0400 SN BKN001
PROB30 TEMPO 0701/0706 FZRA=
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06-01-2021, 08:25   #54
Gaoth Laidir
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kermit.de.frog View Post
Might be missing a trick for Thursday night

Snow showers getting ever closer to the east coast

Could be more snow in Dublin/Wicklow tomorrow night than tonight

AuntySnow Anti-Snow will be devastated
Soundings are showing that more of a high ground affair.
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06-01-2021, 08:52   #55
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Looks as though the heavens are about to open here in D17,same when i left D15 sky is very grey
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06-01-2021, 08:53   #56
Nqp15hhu
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaoth Laidir View Post
The TAFs (valid to 6 am tomorrow morning) are pretty set on snow tomorrow morning. The only slight doubt is Shannon, which has only a slight chance (PROB30) of precip turning to snow.
Looking good!
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06-01-2021, 09:02   #57
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Looking at GF’s run, this run appears to be an upgrade. Temperatures here rise to 0c and are back below 0c by 6am after the event has passed.

850hPa’s only briefly rise to -4c and are back down to -6c after the front.

Precipitation type appears to be all snow also, so this is actually looking good so far.














Last edited by Nqp15hhu; 06-01-2021 at 09:07.
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06-01-2021, 09:07   #58
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https://twitter.com/meteireann/statu...031208449?s=21
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06-01-2021, 09:11   #59
Nqp15hhu
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AuntySnow View Post
Met Eireann's 755am forecast on Radio one just now,said rain and sleet spreading down from the northwest turning to snow for a time in the Midlands and East

Usually weakening bands from that direction are dry by the time they get here
Up your area,you're battling similar marginal conditions as down here,so the question is are you far enough inland and near enough to high ground to be on the right side of marginal to defeat the marine layer
I wouldn't bet the house on it
The models disagree with you. I did say we had a similar event that fell as snow here a year or two ago. It did not amount to much as the Donegal hills ate up all the precipitation.

The main thing is to get the temps below 0c as soon as the sun sets and keep them there.
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06-01-2021, 09:20   #60
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Winds are from the SW which is off land for me.
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