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Nqp15hhu · 05-01-2021, 19:23

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kermit.de.frog

This is pretty much nailed in terms of snow but I think will be quite light beyond the midlands.

It will be falling on very cold or frozen surfaces so no flake will go to waste.

Let’s hope so. We had a similar event a year or two ago that stayed as snow... produced 5cm in some areas of Donegal but did not stick here as not much snow fell.

When the precipitation arrived, it fell as virga. The Temps rose to 2c... and it turned to rain about an hour later.. east of us in Belfast, Antrim etc nothing fell at all.

So that is a potential - virga. Not being negative but these kind of events have the potential to evaporate away on the leeward side of mountains.

I will be watching the Inishowen mountains to see what happens.

Thelonious Monk · 05-01-2021, 19:24

is this similar to what we got on NYE? very light dusting in Dublin but it was nice

Donegal Ken · 05-01-2021, 19:25

The northwest looks the best place to be on Wednesday night and Thursday morning for Snow and the best rates. Parts of Donegal, Derry, Tyrone and Fermanagh seen up to 5cm elsewhere between 1cm to 3cm. Met Eireann may go with a nationwide warning tomorrow.

daniel_t1409 · 05-01-2021, 19:40

Is there a chance wexford could get some snow from this?

Donegal Ken · 05-01-2021, 19:42

Quote:

Originally Posted by daniel_t1409

Is there a chance wexford could get some snow from this?

Mostly likely not a whole lot could die out before it gets that far. Possibly a few flurries.

Gaoth Laidir · 05-01-2021, 19:51

I need to post this. Don't be expecting to be snowed in.

Kermit.de.frog · 05-01-2021, 19:55

The ECM has upped the amount of precip expected in the midlands a tad. Snow more prolonged but lighter further east. So that's a minor upgrade I guess.

**Loughc** · 05-01-2021, 20:06

Quote:

Originally Posted by murfo

Let me guess, that swathe of blue turns green as soon as it hits north county Dublin

Correct. It’s more like a sNOw event.

Meteorite58 · 05-01-2021, 20:23

Yes the NW and parts of the N should get a good coating of snow from this, light down along the country but a lot of areas could have a white dusting first light on Thurs, N midlands could get a decent coating of a couple of cm's. Getting very cold quickly on Weds evening ahead of the front, any snow that falls will be slow to clear especially the further N which looks to hold into Fri and could stay largely intact on the ground in the NW /N until Saturday with the temperatures staying so cold.

Nqp15hhu · 05-01-2021, 20:40

Looks middling for me. It depends on the wind direction and the temps before it arrives.

Snowbiee21 · 05-01-2021, 20:42

ME UPDATE: Wednesday night: Outbreaks of rain in the west and northwest will edge southeastwards over the country on Wednesday night, turning to sleet and snow in places, particularly across parts of midlands and north leading to poor travelling conditions. Lowest temperatures of -3 to +2 degrees, with frost and icy patches. Freezing fog patches may also occur overnight in the light variable breezes, which will become light westerly by morning

**Gonzo** · 05-01-2021, 21:15

Hirlam has the band of precipitation heaviest across the west and north. it dissolves fairly rapidly once it moves south of Northern Ireland and into the republic. By the time it is moving south over Meath and Dublin, there is not much precipitation left in it and some places could even stay dry.

Icon is roughly similar, the band dissolves as it moves south-eastwards and breaks up over Kildare, Wicklow, Dublin failing to reach Wexford, Waterford.

Arpege is more or less the same but the band of patchy precipitation just about makes it to the south-east.

GFS shows heavier precipitation than the others and it makes it's way through the country intact, however it turns to rain as it pushes southwards.

Nqp15hhu · 05-01-2021, 21:16

What do we need for this to stay as snow throughout? 850’s warm to -4c but I imagine it’s more than that?

AuntySnow · 05-01-2021, 21:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nqp15hhu

What do we need for this to stay as snow throughout? 850’s warm to -4c but I imagine it’s more than that?

Thickness

JanuarySnowstor · 05-01-2021, 21:53

The situation on Friday also needs watching.
This low to our East is nudging further West with every run.
A further continued shift could give significant snow to the East on Friday daytime!!

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05-01-2021, 19:24	#17
Thelonious Monk Registered User Join Date: May 2019 Posts: 6,634 Adverts \| Friends	is this similar to what we got on NYE? very light dusting in Dublin but it was nice

05-01-2021, 19:25	#18
Donegal Ken Registered User Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 129 Adverts \| Friends	The northwest looks the best place to be on Wednesday night and Thursday morning for Snow and the best rates. Parts of Donegal, Derry, Tyrone and Fermanagh seen up to 5cm elsewhere between 1cm to 3cm. Met Eireann may go with a nationwide warning tomorrow.

05-01-2021, 19:40	#19
daniel_t1409 Join Date: Aug 2020 Posts: 352	Is there a chance wexford could get some snow from this?

05-01-2021, 19:55	#22
Kermit.de.frog Registered User Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 17,385 Adverts \| Friends	The ECM has upped the amount of precip expected in the midlands a tad. Snow more prolonged but lighter further east. So that's a minor upgrade I guess.

05-01-2021, 20:23	#24
Meteorite58 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 9,021 Adverts \| Friends	Yes the NW and parts of the N should get a good coating of snow from this, light down along the country but a lot of areas could have a white dusting first light on Thurs, N midlands could get a decent coating of a couple of cm's. Getting very cold quickly on Weds evening ahead of the front, any snow that falls will be slow to clear especially the further N which looks to hold into Fri and could stay largely intact on the ground in the NW /N until Saturday with the temperatures staying so cold.

05-01-2021, 20:40	#25
Nqp15hhu Registered User Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 873 Adverts \| Friends	Looks middling for me. It depends on the wind direction and the temps before it arrives.

05-01-2021, 20:42	#26
Snowbiee21 Registered User Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 726 Adverts \| Friends	ME UPDATE: Wednesday night: Outbreaks of rain in the west and northwest will edge southeastwards over the country on Wednesday night, turning to sleet and snow in places, particularly across parts of midlands and north leading to poor travelling conditions. Lowest temperatures of -3 to +2 degrees, with frost and icy patches. Freezing fog patches may also occur overnight in the light variable breezes, which will become light westerly by morning

05-01-2021, 21:15	#27
Gonzo Moderator Join Date: Aug 1999 Posts: 12,922 Adverts \| Friends Mod: Weather, ZTest	Hirlam has the band of precipitation heaviest across the west and north. it dissolves fairly rapidly once it moves south of Northern Ireland and into the republic. By the time it is moving south over Meath and Dublin, there is not much precipitation left in it and some places could even stay dry. Icon is roughly similar, the band dissolves as it moves south-eastwards and breaks up over Kildare, Wicklow, Dublin failing to reach Wexford, Waterford. Arpege is more or less the same but the band of patchy precipitation just about makes it to the south-east. GFS shows heavier precipitation than the others and it makes it's way through the country intact, however it turns to rain as it pushes southwards.

05-01-2021, 21:16	#28
Nqp15hhu Registered User Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 873 Adverts \| Friends	What do we need for this to stay as snow throughout? 850’s warm to -4c but I imagine it’s more than that?

05-01-2021, 21:53	#30
JanuarySnowstor Registered User Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 2,136 Adverts \| Friends	The situation on Friday also needs watching. This low to our East is nudging further West with every run. A further continued shift could give significant snow to the East on Friday daytime!!