Are there too many weather warnings?

Dickerty wrote: »

You better be prepared for a storm of angry comments, Max!

He's a prophet..fully expects it!

Max Prophet wrote: »

I'm not sure how many days we have had weather warnings from Met Eireann this winter but it seems excessive - this could create a loss of impact for the general public in case of a v dangerous event. I'd note how many ignore he warnings in Galway to have their cars submerged.

Now Met Eireann seem to be embarrassing themselves on the international stage with the obsessive naming of storms.


https://m.independent.ie/entertainment/banter/trending/what-next-naming-raindrops-its-ridiculous-channel-4-weather-presenter-criticises-met-eireann-for-naming-storm-fionn-36499250.html

Can a stop be put to this attention seeking ??

They have criteria to follow, that criteria was met yesterday with Gusts over 110kmh so they were correct, they need to be consistent or there is no point having criteria.

As I said to Liam on Twitter, the system could and should be reviewed but based on the system in place Met Eireann were 100% correct

The criteria was met for a storm to be named, however a specific low pressure system wasn't named, simply a period of wind. It was very Gusty here in West Clare for a time, more so than many named storms. However it begs the question of should it we only name a low pressure system, or any period of wind exceeding criteria.

irishgeo wrote: »

It's getting out of hand. The 3 yesterday were a joke it going to snow and then brought be cold and icy. If it's cold enough for snow. It's pretty obvious it's going to be icy. The wind wasn't anything spectacular either. A yellow is just normal winter weather. I honestly think we should get rid of yellow and just have orange and red.

Perhaps we could introduce a green colour to say everything is OK.

They already have green actually http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/warnings-explained.asp but I would agree that Yellow could go.

nagdefy wrote: »

I presume the current weather warning system was a Euro initiative? Villain, Sryan, JCX or some posters msy know.

If you look at all of Europe most of the continent is under warnings so i'd imagine most countries are feeling the system needs adjustment. The European map being full of colour warnings is the norm this time of year since the system was first introduced.

At present Met Eireann are simply playing by the European rules.

Prior to the MeteoAlarm colour coded, 4 colours, being introduced, all countries had their own warning systems.

With beyond borders travel becoming more and more common it was felt that a system was needed that most if not all people could understand.

This was the origin of the MeteoAlarm system.

The biggest challenge facing Met Eireann is to change from a numerical threshold system to an impact based system

Gerry Murphy gave a talk on this subject at the Met Éireann symposium on "Future Weather, Future Challenges" on December 12th 2017


see;

http://www.met.ie/news/display.asp?ID=490, item 12.

This is a major undertaking for a small organisation but they are going ahead with it.

We had a stimulating and thought-provoking line-up of speakers for our "Future Weather, Future Challenges" symposium. They represented a diverse range of viewpoints as they explored the varying ways that the weather and climate can impact on individuals and organisations across Ireland. The conference brochure and a complete selection of slides from the day are available below:



Conference Brochure

1. Opening Welcome

2. Session 1: Climate Change. Convener: Laura Burke

3. Mary Robinson - Seeing future weather through the lens of climate justice

4. Séamus Walsh - Ireland's Changing Climate in a Warming World

5. Prof. John Fitzgerald - Tackling Climate Change and its Consequences

6. Session 2: The Future of Forecasting the Weather. Convener: Evelyn Cusack

7. Prof. Peter Lynch - The Emergence of Computer Weather Forecasting: an Irish Perspective

8. Prof. Dame Julia Slingo - Forewarned is Forearmed: Prediction across scales - from the global to the local, from tomorrow’s weather to long-term climate change

9. Dr. Sarah O'Reilly - Predicting Ireland’s Weather: Meeting the future weather challenge

10. Eoin Moran - Making Ireland Weather and Climate Prepared

11. Session 3: Response to Weather Emergencies. Convener: Seán Hogan

12. Gerry Murphy - Impact based forecasting – A partnership between science and society

13. Derek Hynes - Managing Electricity Networks During Extreme Weather Events

14. Gerald Fleming - Weather and Emergency Management – an evolving challenge

15. Closing

Casualsingby wrote: »

Red warning warranted for areas yes but Blanket warnings for today wrong, Dublin city centre just slush most melted temple bar hardly a red. Should introduce the Met office style over warnings with bubbles instead of blanket warnings. It's just a bit slush.

Warnings are based on guidance, you are in the warm core of a large city. Dublin is bigger than the area between the canals.

In North county there are 15cm in places, in Baldonnel there were 16cm by 9am and presumably significantly more now.

Red warning absolutely warranted based on the numbers. Long term, switching to impact based criteria would give a different outcome but in this case it's totally justified and sensible.

Casualsingby wrote: »

Red warning warranted for areas yes but Blanket warnings for today wrong, Dublin city centre just slush most melted temple bar hardly a red. Should introduce the Met office style over warnings with bubbles instead of blanket warnings. It's just a bit slush.

And I presume everyone that works there lives there too?
May be fine there but the staff will have to get through dangerous conditions to get there and home.

jasper100 wrote: »

Red warning was completely OTT. A bit of snowy and a bit cold but nothing exceptional, extreme or severe.

Totally overhyped event. There is another event tomorrow which probably does warrant a red warning, but if the boy keeps crying wolf people won’t pay heed of them anymore.

all the roads around here in North County Dublin were near unpassable without all wheel drive..

Casualsingby wrote: »

Red warning warranted for areas yes but Blanket warnings for today wrong, Dublin city centre just slush most melted temple bar hardly a red. Should introduce the Met office style over warnings with bubbles instead of blanket warnings. It's just a bit slush.

As I understand it the red warning is for what is coming and not what has occurred so far.

jasper100 wrote: »

Red warning was completely OTT. A bit of snowy and a bit cold but nothing exceptional, extreme or severe.

Totally overhyped event. There is another event tomorrow which probably does warrant a red warning, but if the boy keeps crying wolf people won’t pay heed of them anymore.

Agree re. the crying wolf and long term the criteria do need to be adjusted. I do worry that if we had a significantly more dangerous event (a 1947 or a Debbie) maybe notice might not be taken.

But at the same time by anymeasure, Thursday night's event looks like a red warning. UKMO's prediction of yellow for Devon and Cornwall is way too low and will probably be upgraded.

But based on the current requirments MÉ were absolutely correct in their judgement, just like during Ophelia. Three lives lost and a million people without power then, even with the country shut down. We'd do well not to lose sight of that and what may have happened if the red warning had not issued. People NEED to look further than their back yard.