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Colder weather 16th Nov ----->
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06-11-2011 6:54am#1After a brief flirt with much milder weather increasingly the signs are that not only will it not last but that a shock is on the way immediately following. If we can lose the Euro high fairly swiftly and gain from a pressure rise to the North then very cold air from Scandinavia (much like last year) is likely. We need low pressure to have easy passage to the South. And we need the Jet Stream to aid a pressure rise to the North which in turn will lower heights and pressure to the South. Latest model runs suggest a real possibility of that happening. Watch this space (and date);)
Exciting times ahead - warm then freezing potentially.32
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Unusual to see such a big difference before 192h, still very bland and boring charts even into deep FI though. Looks like the high is sticking around for another week and there's no strong signs of a big pattern change once it does go. GEM and to an extent UKMO are the only models going for anything remotely interesting
Still, cant say I'm complaining after the disastrous October we had around here, mild, sunny and dry will do nicely for another week. My prediction of a very dry November is looking good so far
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My prediction of a very dry November is looking good so far
Yes, 100% right. Nice prediction. Also good you brought that up because this is not the average November setup. Normal conditions this time of year are the raging westerly winds and rain.
Latest UK Met Office charts show again it's going to be very mild for a time but it's events both up and downstream that are most interesting for us. Notably the signs of pressure rising to the North. This chart has change written all over it. Just the high pressure over Europe we need out of the way.
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thetonynator wrote: »The warm weather thread gets 1 thank. The cold (and less likely!) weather thread gets 21 . . . we all know where this forums loyalties lie!
Although I prefer cold, I tend to thank people for putting the effort in to any forecast, be it positive or negative 0 -
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This is more like it....
Basically if it evolves like that increasingly harsh frosts would occur and becoming colder overall with a good chance of much colder weather from Scandinavia coming in too. Would like to see more undercutting by atlantic systems but that's a good setup if you want ice and snow at some point. 0 -
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thetonynator wrote: »The warm weather thread gets 1 thank. The cold (and less likely!) weather thread gets 21 . . . we all know where this forums loyalties lie!
21 lads looking to lock the lawnmower away
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Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »21 lads looking to lock the lawnmower away
Cut the grass there bout 12 days ago and was thinking that will be it for the winter now ,
Looking at it tonight on the way in I was thinking it could do with a little trim , and with a few midlish days on the horizon its going to have to get done !0 -
pistolpetes11 wrote: »Cut the grass there bout 12 days ago and was thinking that will be it for the winter now ,
Looking at it tonight on the way in I was thinking it could do with a little trim , and with a few midlish days on the horizon its going to have to get done !
Gave it trim yesterday, amazing frost on it this morning
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Excellent UKMO for cold.
What comes shortly after that is just as ravaging in terms of cold and potential snow and ice as last year - if it occurs. That is more like the undercutting we want to see;)
Was it this way last year darkman2 before the snow came? Was it the same sort of setup?0 -
Every year about this time, I get on boards to see whats coming for the winter. Living in Cork as everyone knows we get relatively little snow. Anyway I happy to report that this year I will be seeing plenty of snow, as myself and the family are moving to Utah. 0
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Every year about this time, I get on boards to see whats coming for the winter. Living in Cork as everyone knows we get relatively little snow. Anyway I happy to report that this year I will be seeing plenty of snow, as myself and the family are moving to Utah.
Oh my god best of luck! And be sure to post loads of pics of the snow!!:D0 -
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Every year about this time, I get on boards to see whats coming for the winter. Living in Cork as everyone knows we get relatively little snow. Anyway I happy to report that this year I will be seeing plenty of snow, as myself and the family are moving to Utah.
GavinH, you may not know the more traditional customs of the boardsies living abroad yet, but I feel obliged to tell you about them.
You see, folks in Ireland would wait in eager anticipation on the postman who would be delivering a box from far flung places..... gifts of all sorts of wonderful things would come out of these boxes.... things we couldn't get here...... Ahem... so..... I was thinking... that since you are going to be out where there is lots of snow.... that you could... out of the sheer kindness of your heart... arrange to send SNOW parcels here to a few snow starved boardsies in the Weather Forum! These poor creatures are in serious withdrawal and their supply of snow in their natural habit is not guaranteed. Please please please do all you can to support this worthy tradition.
Psst..Boardies.... this is where you sign up for the snow supply.... P & P extra :P
P.S best of luck to you and your family on your move..0 -
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Snowsnowsnow wrote: »Did anyone else just see the feature one daily show on RTE1?? It said very heavy snow and sub zero temperatures are forecast for 2 weeks time? I'm in Co. Derry, i'm quite high up and we've had a few hours of snow already! Yay
WHAAAT??!!!
Ah now I get it - first time poster....interesting!0 -
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Snowsnowsnow wrote: »Did anyone else just see the feature one daily show on RTE1?? It said very heavy snow and sub zero temperatures are forecast for 2 weeks time? I'm in Co. Derry, i'm quite high up and we've had a few hours of snow already! Yay
No, didn't see that. I wonder where they were basing their information on! Hopefully, there's something in that and that they weren't just reiterating (sometimes rather unreliable) secondary sources such as Daily Express weather articles!0 -
Snowsnowsnow wrote: »Did anyone else just see the feature one daily show on RTE1?? It said very heavy snow and sub zero temperatures are forecast for 2 weeks time? I'm in Co. Derry, i'm quite high up and we've had a few hours of snow already! Yay
How close are you to Coleraine?0 -
Snowsnowsnow wrote: »Gees can I not post for the first time without getting attacked
No i've just been looking at this forum for a while now hoping for snow lol Yeah It just said that on the Daily show and I thought it might interest some of you. I don't know if its true though so don't shoot the messenger. I'd be so happy if it was though.
Im not sure where they are getting that info from, BUT according to this mornings ECMWF run there is signs of cold in fi, and looking at the latest UKMO run that Azores high is sitting in a nice position, the only model not playing ball is the GSF model for cold, Hopefully the ECMWF wont agree with the GSF on this evenings 12z run0 -
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