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December 2011 Boards forecast contest

  • 27-11-2011 9:47pm
    #1
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,592 ✭✭✭✭


    Last chance for glory, and the questions are the usual with a bonus:

    1. Predict the IMT (deg C) for the five stations used. The most recent (1981-2010) 30-year average is 5.4 C ... before that (1971-2000), 5.7 and before that (1961-90), 5.3 ... figures courtesy of Deep Easterly.

    2. Predict the maximum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

    3. Predict the minimum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

    4. Predict the precip (rainfall plus liquid equivalent of snow etc) as a percentage of normal values, for eleven stations around Ireland as per the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

    5. Predict the sunshine hours as percentage of normal for the six stations used in the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

    6. Bonus, as usual for December, predict the min and max temperature during the 24-hour calendar day for 25 December at Dublin Airport. As we've already got a snow date bonus underway (not yet decided) we won't score a white Christmas forecast but make one if you want.

    Please use this template (especially if you go first, a lot of people will copy your template)

    IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MIN,MAX

    Deadline for entries without penalty will be 0300h 2nd, or basically before you go to bed on Wednesday night 1st of December ... entries in the next 24hours after that will be docked 10% if 60+ (not to fall below 60) and the second day late is same deal, 50%, then locked and loaded.

    Note: the October contest is still subject to revised final scores as no official snow observation has been verified. Current provisional scores were based on Monday 28 Nov so if you have a bonus score marked + you will probably increase. Current indications show some potential for later in this coming week so changes may only be one point in that case.


«1

Comments

  • #2
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.8 ..... 100 ..... 100 ..... -0.5,5.0

    No White Christmas


  • #3
    200motels
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭200motels


    IMT 5.9 MAX 15.3 MIN -2.9 PRC 169 SUN 76 MIN 2.7 ,MAX 13.5


  • #4
    NIALL D
    Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭NIALL D


    4.8 ... 13.9 ... -8.7 ... 112 ... 97 ... -2.2 , 4.5


  • #5
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,182 ✭✭✭pauldry


    6.7 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.1 ..... 104 ..... 105 ..... 4,11.0

    No White Christmas :(


  • #6
    delw
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    5.5......12....-5......95......90......3.0.....10


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  • #7
    H2UMrsRobinson
    Registered Users Posts: 777 ✭✭✭H2UMrsRobinson


    4.2°...13.7°...-6.1°...95%....97%...-2.6°/6.2°

    ;-)


  • #8
    fizzycyst
    Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    5.1 ..... 9.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 110 ..... 85 ..... -2.5,9.0


  • #9
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    5.0 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5,7.8

    Going for my 4th white Christmas in a row so of course I have to say yes :)


  • #10
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    5.1c........13.5c.........-5.5c........115.......85.........+3.5c/+9.5c

    No White xmas


  • #11
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    5.6 ..... 15 ..... -7 ..... 98 ..... 90 ..... -2.2,7.1

    No White Christmas


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  • #12
    talkabout
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 695 ✭✭✭talkabout


    5.9 ..... 12.7 ..... -6.2 ..... 110 ..... 90 ..... 3.2,9.1

    No White Christmas


  • #13
    dacogawa
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.2 ..... 120 ..... 84 ..... -2.1,4.0

    White Christmas!!! (you have to believe :) )


  • #14
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,424 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    5.0 ..... 14.5 ..... -5.0 ..... 100 ..... 107 ..... 0.0 , 8.0

    No white christmas


  • #15
    Strasser
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 240 ✭✭Strasser


    6.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.3 ..... 115 ..... 88 ..... 5.4,9.7


  • #16
    okla
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 207 ✭✭okla


    5.8....13....-5.6....110....92....-4.1, +3.8


  • #17
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    5.2 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.1..... 89 ..... 109 ..... -1.2,9.2

    No White Christmas


  • #18
    homolumo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    5.8....13.0 ....-3.1....111 ....101....-1.0,9.5

    White Christmas!!


  • #19
    Joe Public
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    4.9 ..... 12.9 ..... -6.9 ..... 119 ..... 89 ..... -2.9,5.9


  • #20
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,592 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    5.4 ..... 12.2 ..... -6.7 ..... 112 ..... 115 ..... 3.5,10.3

    no falling snow


  • #21
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,017 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    5.4......13.9......-3.2.....105.....97....-1,+9


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  • #22
    MiNdGaM3
    Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    5.6 ..... 15.4 ..... -6.1 ..... 88 ..... 112 ..... 2.0, 9.0


  • #23
    dasa29
    Registered Users Posts: 572 ✭✭✭dasa29


    5.3 ..... 12.5 ..... -10 ..... 115 ..... 115 ..... -8.0, 3.0


  • #24
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    no falling snow

    On christmas day I hope you mean? And not the month as a whole?!


  • #25
    nilhg
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,160 ✭✭✭nilhg


    5.9 ..... 13.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 90 ..... 101 ..... 3.9,9.5

    No White Christmas


  • #26
    traecy1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 99 ✭✭traecy1


    5.0....13.4....-5.3....135....90....-1.2,7.7


  • #27
    snowstreams
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,320 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    5.3 ..... 13.7 ..... -7.8 ..... 97 ..... 103 ..... -1.2, 6.5


  • #28
    John mac
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,131 ✭✭✭John mac


    5.5 ..... 14.8 ..... -4.2 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... -1.5,6.2

    No white christmas (in dublin) :D;)


  • #29
    SeaFields
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    6.0..... 11.9 ..... -3.5 ..... 110 ..... 100 ..... 0.2, 7.0

    A wet and windy Christmas day!


  • #30
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    5.3 ..... 12.1 ..... -6.5 ..... 95 ..... 100 ..... 3.0, 8.9


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  • #31
    Speak Now
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    5.4 ..... 13.5 ..... -3.9 ..... 120 ..... 95 ..... 2.0,9.5


  • #32
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MIN,MAX

    4.9C..... 14.5C..... -9.7C.....111%.....97%.....-3.4C,9.3C


    White christmas for Donegal.





    Dan :cool:


  • #33
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,984 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    5.2 ..... 12.9 ..... -4.3..... 110 ..... 95 ..... 0.2, 8.5

    White Christmas on top of Croagh Patrick


  • #34
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    4.8c ... 14.7c ... -4.9c ... 125% ... 110% ... -3.9c,+4.7c
    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    ...before you go to bed on Wednesday night 1st of December...
    :confused:


  • #35
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,592 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Whoops, I guess my brain was fixed on the end of November when various other contests close. Anyway, looks like many of the regulars have entered but we're still open without penalty until 0300h tonight, then the penalties kick in. Scoring November now over in the annual scoring thread.


  • #36
    kindredspirit
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 345 ✭✭kindredspirit


    5.4 ..... 14.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 75 ..... 115 ..... 2.0/8.5

    https://coolwatergarden.com/



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  • #37
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    5.6 ..... 13.2 ..... -5.9 ..... 120 ..... 120 ..... -1.1,6.3


  • #38
    jambofc
    Registered Users Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭jambofc


    6.3..... 14.7 ..... -5.5 ..... 125 ..... 11 ..... 2.4/6.5


  • #39
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,161 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    5.7c ..... 13.4c ..... -4.7c ..... 108% ..... 96% ..... -1.6c,6.4c


  • #40
    jd
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,709 ✭✭✭jd


    5.3 ..... 13.6 .....-8.1 ..... 93 ..... 104 ..... -3,2.4

    Snow


  • #41
    waterways
    Registered Users Posts: 377 ✭✭waterways


    6.3 ..... 17.0 ..... -5.3 ..... 168 ..... 83 ..... 5.7,10.9
    NO white Christmas in Donegal


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  • #42
    Tae laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 731 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    6.1 ..... 13.7 ..... -4.8 ..... 111 ..... 121 ..... 0.5,7.9

    Snow No Show


  • #43
    Iancar29
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    5.0c........13.2c.........-6.5c........110%.......80%.........-1.5c/+6.5c

    Some Lying snow :)

    Tut tut TO ALL people that have no units in their posts! ... 0 marks to everyone! :P


  • #44
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    5.3........12.8.........-10.2........95%.......115%.........-3.4/+3.9


  • #45
    thetonynator
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,234 ✭✭✭thetonynator


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    5.0c........13.2c.........-6.5c........110%.......80%.........-1.5c/+6.5c

    Some Lying snow :)

    Tut tut TO ALL people that have no units in their posts! ... 0 marks to everyone! :P

    MT has to take the units out when he makes the table, so that will be 0 marks to you. ;)


  • #46
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,592 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of entries to December forecast contest

    Forecaster ............IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... 25th Dub

    pauldry .............. 6.7 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.1 ..... 104 ..... 105 ..... 4.0,11.0
    jambofc ............. 6.3 ..... 14.7 ..... -5.5 ..... 125 ..... 011 ...... 2.4, 6.5
    waterways ......... 6.3 ..... 17.0 ..... -5.3 ..... 168 ..... 083 ...... 5.7,10.9
    Strasser ............. 6.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.3 ..... 115 ..... 088 ...... 5.4, 9.7
    Sponge Bob* ....... 6.2 ..... 14.4 ..... -4.6 ..... 092 ..... 089 ...... 1.1, 5.9
    Tae laidir ............ 6.1 ..... 13.7 ..... -4.8 ..... 111 ..... 121 ...... 0.5, 7.9
    SeaFields ............ 6.0 ..... 11.9 ..... -3.5 ..... 110 ..... 100 ...... 0.2, 7.0
    200motels ........... 5.9 ..... 15.3 ..... -2.9 ..... 169 ..... 076 ...... 2.7,13.5
    talkabout ............ 5.9 ..... 12.7 ..... -6.2 ..... 110 ..... 090 ...... 3.2, 9.1
    nilhg .................. 5.9 ..... 13.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 090 ..... 101 ...... 3.9, 9.5
    okla ................... 5.8 ..... 13.0 ..... -5.6 ..... 110 ..... 092 ..... -4.1, 3.8
    homolumo ........... 5.8 ..... 13.0 ..... -3.1 ..... 111 ..... 101 ..... -1.0, 9.5
    DOCARCH ............ 5.7 ..... 13.4 ..... -4.7 ..... 108 ..... 096 ..... -1.6, 6.4
    thetonynator ....... 5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.8 ..... 100 ..... 100 ..... -0.5, 5.0
    dacogawa ........... 5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.2 ..... 120 ..... 084 ..... -2.1, 4.0
    hellboy99 ............ 5.6 ..... 15.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 098 ..... 090 ..... -2.2, 7.1
    MiNdGaM3 ........... 5.6 ..... 15.4 ..... -6.1 ..... 088 ..... 112 ...... 2.0, 9.0
    Deep Easterly ...... 5.6 ..... 13.2 ..... -5.9 ..... 120 ..... 120 ..... -1.1, 6.3
    delw .................. 5.5 ..... 12.0 ..... -5.0 ..... 095 ..... 090 ...... 3.0,10.0
    lumi ................... 5.5 ..... 13.5 ..... -4.9 ..... 115 ..... 110 ..... -1.0, 7.0
    John mac ............ 5.5 ..... 14.8 ..... -4.2 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... -1.5, 6.2
    M.T. Cranium ....... 5.4 ..... 12.2 ..... -6.7 ..... 112 ..... 115 ...... 3.5,10.3

    Con Sensus ......... 5.4 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.0 ..... 105 ..... 097 ..... -1.2, 7.7

    baraca ................ 5.4 ..... 13.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 105 ..... 097 ..... -1.0, 9.0
    Jerry Seinfeld ....... 5.4 ..... 13.5 ..... -3.9 ..... 120 ..... 095 ...... 2.0, 9.5
    kindredspirit ......... 5.4 ..... 14.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 075 ..... 115 ...... 2.0, 8.5
    jd ...................... 5.3 ..... 13.6 ..... -8.1 ..... 093 ..... 104 ..... -3.0, 2.4
    dasa29 ............... 5.3 ..... 12.5 .... -10.0 ..... 115 ..... 115 ..... -8.0, 3.0
    snowstreams ........ 5.3 ..... 13.7 ..... -7.8 ..... 097 ..... 103 ..... -1.2, 6.5
    Su Campu ............ 5.3 ..... 12.1 ..... -6.5 ..... 095 ..... 100 ...... 3.0, 8.9
    Enderman* .......... 5.3 ..... 12.8 .... -10.2 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... -3.4, 3.9
    mickger844posts ... 5.2 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.1 ..... 089 ..... 109 ..... -1.2, 9.2
    nacho libre ........... 5.2 ..... 12.9 ..... -4.3..... 110 ..... 095 ...... 0.2, 8.5
    fizzycyst ............. 5.1 ...... 9.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 110 ..... 085 ..... -2.5, 9.0
    WolfeIRE ............. 5.1 ..... 13.5 ..... -5.5 ..... 115 ..... 085 ...... 3.5, 9.5
    Harps ................. 5.0 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5, 7.8
    traecy1 .............. 5.0 ..... 13.4 ..... -5.3 ..... 135 ..... 090 ..... -1.2, 7.7
    Rickylovesuall ...... 5.0 ..... 14.5 ..... -5.0 ..... 100 ..... 107 ...... 0.0, 8.0
    Iancar29* ........... 5.0 ..... 13.2 ..... -6.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5, 6.5
    Joe Public ........... 4.9 ..... 12.9 ..... -6.9 ..... 119 ..... 089 ..... -2.9, 5.9
    BLIZZARD7 .......... 4.9 ..... 14.5 ..... -9.7 ..... 111 ..... 097 ..... -3.4, 9.3
    Danno ................ 4.8 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.9 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... -3.9, 4.7
    NIALL D .............. 4.8 ..... 13.9 ..... -8.7 ..... 112 ..... 097 ..... -2.2, 4.5
    H2UMrsRobinson ... 4.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -6.1 ..... 095 ..... 097 ..... -2.6, 6.2

    Will edit in last minute entries later.


  • #47
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    6.2 ..... 14.4 ..... -4.6 ..... 92 ..... 89 ..... 1.1,5.9


  • #48
    rameire
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,184 ✭✭✭rameire


    once again I am late.

    5.5 ..... 13.6 ..... -5.0 ..... 114 ..... 95 ..... -1/4.2

    🌞 3.8kwp, 🌞 Split 2.28S, 1.52E. 🌞 Clonee, Dub.🌞



  • #49
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,169 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    rameire wrote: »
    once again I am late.

    5.5 ..... 13.6 ..... -5.0 ..... 114 ..... 95 ..... -1/4.2[/Quote..

    Likewise

    4.9 ... 12.8 ... 116 ... 87 ... -3.8 / 6.2


  • #50
    4Sheets
    Closed Accounts Posts: 613 ✭✭✭4Sheets


    5.8 ... 12.1 ... -8.0 ... 120 ... 92 ... 1.2 , 6.5
    Hope not too late:)


  • #51
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,592 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    No, not too late then, too late now though. I sent Rebelbrowser a request for a monthly minimum so I can update the table. Will do that later, good luck to everyone in this final contest of 2011.

    Any suggestions as we think about 2012? I would be inclined to keep going on the same general plan.


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