December 2011 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

Last chance for glory, and the questions are the usual with a bonus:

1. Predict the IMT (deg C) for the five stations used. The most recent (1981-2010) 30-year average is 5.4 C ... before that (1971-2000), 5.7 and before that (1961-90), 5.3 ... figures courtesy of Deep Easterly.

2. Predict the maximum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

3. Predict the minimum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

4. Predict the precip (rainfall plus liquid equivalent of snow etc) as a percentage of normal values, for eleven stations around Ireland as per the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

5. Predict the sunshine hours as percentage of normal for the six stations used in the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

6. Bonus, as usual for December, predict the min and max temperature during the 24-hour calendar day for 25 December at Dublin Airport. As we've already got a snow date bonus underway (not yet decided) we won't score a white Christmas forecast but make one if you want.

Please use this template (especially if you go first, a lot of people will copy your template)

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MIN,MAX

Deadline for entries without penalty will be 0300h 2nd, or basically before you go to bed on Wednesday night 1st of December ... entries in the next 24hours after that will be docked 10% if 60+ (not to fall below 60) and the second day late is same deal, 50%, then locked and loaded.

Note: the October contest is still subject to revised final scores as no official snow observation has been verified. Current provisional scores were based on Monday 28 Nov so if you have a bonus score marked + you will probably increase. Current indications show some potential for later in this coming week so changes may only be one point in that case.

thetonynator

5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.8 ..... 100 ..... 100 ..... -0.5,5.0

No White Christmas

200motels

IMT 5.9 MAX 15.3 MIN -2.9 PRC 169 SUN 76 MIN 2.7 ,MAX 13.5

NIALL D

4.8 ... 13.9 ... -8.7 ... 112 ... 97 ... -2.2 , 4.5

pauldry

6.7 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.1 ..... 104 ..... 105 ..... 4,11.0

No White Christmas

delw

5.5......12....-5......95......90......3.0.....10

H2UMrsRobinson

4.2°...13.7°...-6.1°...95%....97%...-2.6°/6.2°

;-)

fizzycyst

5.1 ..... 9.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 110 ..... 85 ..... -2.5,9.0

Harps

5.0 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5,7.8

Going for my 4th white Christmas in a row so of course I have to say yes

WolfeIRE

5.1c........13.5c.........-5.5c........115.......85.........+3.5c/+9.5c

No White xmas

5.6 ..... 15 ..... -7 ..... 98 ..... 90 ..... -2.2,7.1

No White Christmas

talkabout

5.9 ..... 12.7 ..... -6.2 ..... 110 ..... 90 ..... 3.2,9.1

No White Christmas

dacogawa

5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.2 ..... 120 ..... 84 ..... -2.1,4.0

White Christmas!!! (you have to believe )

Rikand

5.0 ..... 14.5 ..... -5.0 ..... 100 ..... 107 ..... 0.0 , 8.0

No white christmas

Strasser

6.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.3 ..... 115 ..... 88 ..... 5.4,9.7

okla

5.8....13....-5.6....110....92....-4.1, +3.8

mickger844posts

5.2 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.1..... 89 ..... 109 ..... -1.2,9.2

No White Christmas

homolumo

5.8....13.0 ....-3.1....111 ....101....-1.0,9.5

White Christmas!!

Joe Public

4.9 ..... 12.9 ..... -6.9 ..... 119 ..... 89 ..... -2.9,5.9

M.T. Cranium

5.4 ..... 12.2 ..... -6.7 ..... 112 ..... 115 ..... 3.5,10.3

no falling snow

TheMilkyPirate

5.4......13.9......-3.2.....105.....97....-1,+9

MiNdGaM3

5.6 ..... 15.4 ..... -6.1 ..... 88 ..... 112 ..... 2.0, 9.0

dasa29

5.3 ..... 12.5 ..... -10 ..... 115 ..... 115 ..... -8.0, 3.0

thetonynator

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

no falling snow

On christmas day I hope you mean? And not the month as a whole?!

nilhg

5.9 ..... 13.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 90 ..... 101 ..... 3.9,9.5

No White Christmas

traecy1

5.0....13.4....-5.3....135....90....-1.2,7.7

snowstreams

5.3 ..... 13.7 ..... -7.8 ..... 97 ..... 103 ..... -1.2, 6.5

John mac

5.5 ..... 14.8 ..... -4.2 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... -1.5,6.2

No white christmas (in dublin)

SeaFields

6.0..... 11.9 ..... -3.5 ..... 110 ..... 100 ..... 0.2, 7.0

A wet and windy Christmas day!

Su Campu

5.3 ..... 12.1 ..... -6.5 ..... 95 ..... 100 ..... 3.0, 8.9

Speak Now

5.4 ..... 13.5 ..... -3.9 ..... 120 ..... 95 ..... 2.0,9.5

BLIZZARD7

IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... MIN,MAX

4.9C..... 14.5C..... -9.7C.....111%.....97%.....-3.4C,9.3C


White christmas for Donegal.





Dan :cool:

nacho libre

5.2 ..... 12.9 ..... -4.3..... 110 ..... 95 ..... 0.2, 8.5

White Christmas on top of Croagh Patrick

Danno

4.8c ... 14.7c ... -4.9c ... 125% ... 110% ... -3.9c,+4.7c

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

...before you go to bed on Wednesday night 1st of December...

M.T. Cranium

Whoops, I guess my brain was fixed on the end of November when various other contests close. Anyway, looks like many of the regulars have entered but we're still open without penalty until 0300h tonight, then the penalties kick in. Scoring November now over in the annual scoring thread.

kindredspirit

5.4 ..... 14.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 75 ..... 115 ..... 2.0/8.5

Deep Easterly

5.6 ..... 13.2 ..... -5.9 ..... 120 ..... 120 ..... -1.1,6.3

jambofc

6.3..... 14.7 ..... -5.5 ..... 125 ..... 11 ..... 2.4/6.5

DOCARCH

5.7c ..... 13.4c ..... -4.7c ..... 108% ..... 96% ..... -1.6c,6.4c

jd

5.3 ..... 13.6 .....-8.1 ..... 93 ..... 104 ..... -3,2.4

Snow

waterways

6.3 ..... 17.0 ..... -5.3 ..... 168 ..... 83 ..... 5.7,10.9
NO white Christmas in Donegal

Tae laidir

6.1 ..... 13.7 ..... -4.8 ..... 111 ..... 121 ..... 0.5,7.9

Snow No Show

Iancar29

5.0c........13.2c.........-6.5c........110%.......80%.........-1.5c/+6.5c

Some Lying snow

Tut tut TO ALL people that have no units in their posts! ... 0 marks to everyone! :P

cherryghost

5.3........12.8.........-10.2........95%.......115%.........-3.4/+3.9

thetonynator

Iancar29 wrote: »

5.0c........13.2c.........-6.5c........110%.......80%.........-1.5c/+6.5c

Some Lying snow

Tut tut TO ALL people that have no units in their posts! ... 0 marks to everyone! :P

MT has to take the units out when he makes the table, so that will be 0 marks to you.

M.T. Cranium

Table of entries to December forecast contest

Forecaster ............IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... 25th Dub

pauldry .............. 6.7 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.1 ..... 104 ..... 105 ..... 4.0,11.0
jambofc ............. 6.3 ..... 14.7 ..... -5.5 ..... 125 ..... 011 ...... 2.4, 6.5
waterways ......... 6.3 ..... 17.0 ..... -5.3 ..... 168 ..... 083 ...... 5.7,10.9
Strasser ............. 6.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.3 ..... 115 ..... 088 ...... 5.4, 9.7
Sponge Bob* ....... 6.2 ..... 14.4 ..... -4.6 ..... 092 ..... 089 ...... 1.1, 5.9
Tae laidir ............ 6.1 ..... 13.7 ..... -4.8 ..... 111 ..... 121 ...... 0.5, 7.9
SeaFields ............ 6.0 ..... 11.9 ..... -3.5 ..... 110 ..... 100 ...... 0.2, 7.0
200motels ........... 5.9 ..... 15.3 ..... -2.9 ..... 169 ..... 076 ...... 2.7,13.5
talkabout ............ 5.9 ..... 12.7 ..... -6.2 ..... 110 ..... 090 ...... 3.2, 9.1
nilhg .................. 5.9 ..... 13.9 ..... -4.4 ..... 090 ..... 101 ...... 3.9, 9.5
okla ................... 5.8 ..... 13.0 ..... -5.6 ..... 110 ..... 092 ..... -4.1, 3.8
homolumo ........... 5.8 ..... 13.0 ..... -3.1 ..... 111 ..... 101 ..... -1.0, 9.5
DOCARCH ............ 5.7 ..... 13.4 ..... -4.7 ..... 108 ..... 096 ..... -1.6, 6.4
thetonynator ....... 5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.8 ..... 100 ..... 100 ..... -0.5, 5.0
dacogawa ........... 5.7 ..... 15.2 ..... -4.2 ..... 120 ..... 084 ..... -2.1, 4.0
hellboy99 ............ 5.6 ..... 15.0 ..... -7.0 ..... 098 ..... 090 ..... -2.2, 7.1
MiNdGaM3 ........... 5.6 ..... 15.4 ..... -6.1 ..... 088 ..... 112 ...... 2.0, 9.0
Deep Easterly ...... 5.6 ..... 13.2 ..... -5.9 ..... 120 ..... 120 ..... -1.1, 6.3
delw .................. 5.5 ..... 12.0 ..... -5.0 ..... 095 ..... 090 ...... 3.0,10.0
lumi ................... 5.5 ..... 13.5 ..... -4.9 ..... 115 ..... 110 ..... -1.0, 7.0
John mac ............ 5.5 ..... 14.8 ..... -4.2 ..... 105 ..... 095 ..... -1.5, 6.2
M.T. Cranium ....... 5.4 ..... 12.2 ..... -6.7 ..... 112 ..... 115 ...... 3.5,10.3

Con Sensus ......... 5.4 ..... 13.7 ..... -5.0 ..... 105 ..... 097 ..... -1.2, 7.7

baraca ................ 5.4 ..... 13.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 105 ..... 097 ..... -1.0, 9.0
Jerry Seinfeld ....... 5.4 ..... 13.5 ..... -3.9 ..... 120 ..... 095 ...... 2.0, 9.5
kindredspirit ......... 5.4 ..... 14.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 075 ..... 115 ...... 2.0, 8.5
jd ...................... 5.3 ..... 13.6 ..... -8.1 ..... 093 ..... 104 ..... -3.0, 2.4
dasa29 ............... 5.3 ..... 12.5 .... -10.0 ..... 115 ..... 115 ..... -8.0, 3.0
snowstreams ........ 5.3 ..... 13.7 ..... -7.8 ..... 097 ..... 103 ..... -1.2, 6.5
Su Campu ............ 5.3 ..... 12.1 ..... -6.5 ..... 095 ..... 100 ...... 3.0, 8.9
Enderman* .......... 5.3 ..... 12.8 .... -10.2 ..... 095 ..... 115 ..... -3.4, 3.9
mickger844posts ... 5.2 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.1 ..... 089 ..... 109 ..... -1.2, 9.2
nacho libre ........... 5.2 ..... 12.9 ..... -4.3..... 110 ..... 095 ...... 0.2, 8.5
fizzycyst ............. 5.1 ...... 9.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 110 ..... 085 ..... -2.5, 9.0
WolfeIRE ............. 5.1 ..... 13.5 ..... -5.5 ..... 115 ..... 085 ...... 3.5, 9.5
Harps ................. 5.0 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5, 7.8
traecy1 .............. 5.0 ..... 13.4 ..... -5.3 ..... 135 ..... 090 ..... -1.2, 7.7
Rickylovesuall ...... 5.0 ..... 14.5 ..... -5.0 ..... 100 ..... 107 ...... 0.0, 8.0
Iancar29* ........... 5.0 ..... 13.2 ..... -6.5 ..... 110 ..... 080 ..... -1.5, 6.5
Joe Public ........... 4.9 ..... 12.9 ..... -6.9 ..... 119 ..... 089 ..... -2.9, 5.9
BLIZZARD7 .......... 4.9 ..... 14.5 ..... -9.7 ..... 111 ..... 097 ..... -3.4, 9.3
Danno ................ 4.8 ..... 14.7 ..... -4.9 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... -3.9, 4.7
NIALL D .............. 4.8 ..... 13.9 ..... -8.7 ..... 112 ..... 097 ..... -2.2, 4.5
H2UMrsRobinson ... 4.2 ..... 13.7 ..... -6.1 ..... 095 ..... 097 ..... -2.6, 6.2

Will edit in last minute entries later.

Sponge Bob

6.2 ..... 14.4 ..... -4.6 ..... 92 ..... 89 ..... 1.1,5.9

rameire

once again I am late.

5.5 ..... 13.6 ..... -5.0 ..... 114 ..... 95 ..... -1/4.2

Rebelbrowser

rameire wrote: »

once again I am late.

5.5 ..... 13.6 ..... -5.0 ..... 114 ..... 95 ..... -1/4.2[/Quote..

Likewise

4.9 ... 12.8 ... 116 ... 87 ... -3.8 / 6.2

4Sheets

5.8 ... 12.1 ... -8.0 ... 120 ... 92 ... 1.2 , 6.5
Hope not too late:)

M.T. Cranium

No, not too late then, too late now though. I sent Rebelbrowser a request for a monthly minimum so I can update the table. Will do that later, good luck to everyone in this final contest of 2011.

Any suggestions as we think about 2012? I would be inclined to keep going on the same general plan.