Dublin Bay North General Election 2019

antimatterx wrote: »

I see one of David Healy posters has replaced one of Catherine Noone at Clongriffin Dart station. Disgusting thing to do.

And did they dispose of the other poster in an environmentally friendly manner!
*double fault for the GP there*

Dietmar Hamann wrote: »

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/catherine-noone-apologises-for-calling-leo-varadkar-autistic-1.4153845

Not the brightest comment to come out with.....

Wont be voting for her. Watched her a couple of weeks ago at HYC's AGM. Arrived late, walked up the front to sit down, spent meeting on her phone, then in AOB made a speech as to how she was available for he constituents - as a Senator she should know that she doesn't have them....

Ironically, having failed to get elected in Leo's own constituency, he moved her to ours...

expectationlost wrote: »

whichcandidate.ie is up, voter politician/party matching survey

I got Bruton for candidate and Renua for party.

Catherine Noone now gone from about evens on Paddy Power out to 12/1, shes toast

Dunno but Aodhan is now odds on for a seat at 1/6 whereas he was 6/5 just a few weeks ago.

Going by the bookies odds the five seats will be Richard Bruton (1/25), Sean Haughey (1/33), Denise Mitchell (1/10), David Healy (1/8) and Aodhan o Riordain (1/6)

How many attempts has healy made to try get into the dail.

Muahahaha wrote: »

Dunno but Aodhan is now odds on for a seat at 1/6 whereas he was 6/5 just a few weeks ago.

Going by the bookies odds the five seats will be Richard Bruton (1/25), Sean Haughey (1/33), Denise Mitchell (1/10), David Healy (1/8) and Aodhan o Riordain (1/6)

expectationlost wrote: »

Did Healy's odds not change recently?

Im not sure, all I know is he is now 1/8. Id presume he was available at longer odds when they first opened the book a few weeks ago but I dont know what they were.

Paddy Power seem sure with their odds for the DBN constituency compared to other constituencies, the 5 they think are going to get elected are all unbackable at such short odds. They are giving such short prices to prevent more people backing them to thus limit their exposure.

Muahahaha wrote: »

Dunno but Aodhan is now odds on for a seat at 1/6 whereas he was 6/5 just a few weeks ago.

Going by the bookies odds the five seats will be Richard Bruton (1/25), Sean Haughey (1/33), Denise Mitchell (1/10), David Healy (1/8) and Aodhan o Riordain (1/6)

I didn't know them odds. I am surprised Mitchell is that short. But since Broughan and McGrath are gone it leaves less competition.


I looked up Brian Garrigan's website - Independent born in London but with proud Irish parents. Who gave a sob story about his life - Dyslexic, ADHD, Coeliac disease, being called a British b@stard while at school in Dublin etc on his website.


http://www.briangarrigan.ie/my_issues.php


It all seemed OK nothing different to what you would hear from those looking to court the disenfranchised.




Then there was this bit -

"On Immigration we should have a point’s based system like Australia. We have People coming from over Albania, Georgia, Africa and Asia and landing in Ireland and claiming Political Refugee Status, they have to pass 20 – 30 safe countries Ireland is surrounded by sea, by 2040 the Irish could be an Ethnic Minority in their own Country, Look at London."

--

This to me showed no hint of irony that he was so anti-immigrant despite being born in London and complaining that Irish people were racist towards him at school!


"I suffered Racism in school and was often called a British B…..d “ not in front of the Teachers” and to this day I thought Racism is the worst from of bulling especially to any child."


---


Then another choice is Ben Gilroy the 'anti eviction candidate' who has in the past ran for MEP. Bookies have him ahead of the PBP candidates at 33/1 not sure what that says about them?






--

I would hazard a guess that these two lads Gilroy and Garrigan are not going to be the new Tommy Broughan or Finian McGrath. :eek:

I am surprised FF and FG do not get half decent running mates for Haughey and Bruton. You would think that they should be able to carry a second seat?
What hope has Noone?
Heaney has been hanging around for years.

Collie D wrote: »

The Garrigan lad is also claiming to be an Independent TD on his posters. Google him and you’ll find some very interesting articles from 2006 about someone with the same name and living in the area aged 26 at the time. Would he be 40? Looks a little older so may not be him but very coincidental.

Jayus... :eek:

He looks about 40ish that age would align with the fact he was taught by Roddy Doyle in Greendale (said that on Garrigan's website). Doyle became a full time writer in 1993.

Inquitus wrote: »

He can't spell or punctuate for shít, surely that's a minimum bar for a potential TD.

In fairness he did say he was dyslexic.

Leaflet drop in D3 from Richard Bruton urging a vote #1 Noone & vote #2 Bruton for all 'government party' supporters... can't see that working.

I like that Independent Linda McEvoy makes some very specific policy suggestions re: Dublin Docklands development plan instead of a more jobs more everything for everyone. But very long shot to get in, worth a preference I think.

expectationlost wrote: »

did you read further down the leaflet?

Hmmm... do you mean the 5G stuff which she wants Dublin to follow Brussels and Geneva bans?
http://buncranatogether.com/home/2019/5/9/both-brussels-and-geneva-ban-rollout-of-5g-for-health-reasons-and-call-for-investigation

Phoebas wrote: »

I'm very tempted to vote for Ben Gilroy :pac:
https://www.facebook.com/120612321335447/posts/2909341732462478/?vh=e

Hmm, he seems skilled in using a hurl but not in conjunction with a sliothar

gormdubhgorm wrote: »

In fairness he did say he was dyslexic.

So he knows he is dyslexic but goes ahead and publishes that head melting diatribe anyway. Surely it wouldn't have beyond the bounds of possibility to have someone look over it and correct the horrendous amount of grammar errors.

Stewball wrote: »

Eamon Ryan speaking about David Healy's anti choice stance.
https://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/greens-repeat-unity-message-despite-differences-on-abortion-and-courts-980171.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter


If you voted for Repeal and are now voting for this guy in DBN - you need your head examined.
He'll be another anti-choicer alongside the majority of Fianna Fail TDs.

But there was over 30% that voted against the abortion referendum remember.
It is ironic that you use the term 'anti-choicer' when it is David Healy's choice to be pro-life. If anything it might attract some older voters or pro-life voters to vote for Healy - that would otherwise not vote Green normally.

jos28 wrote: »

Glad I read this thread before the big day. I had planned to give our only Green candidate a 2 or 3 - not after reading this. I respect his choice to be pro life but his views don't align with mine.

He has gone up a notch for me because of it. I believe he is a solicitor by training as well. Has interest in the Irish language as well. At least there is an honest about him. To be honest I was struggling which three to pick since Broughan and McGrath retired.

Early tallies pointing towards seats for Mitchell, Bruton, Haughey, O'Riordan and a battle for the last seat between Healy and O'Callaghan - I'd guess Healy would be favourite on transfers/surpluses?

bren2001 wrote: »

Current tally is: Mitchell 29%, Bruton 15.3, O'Riordan 13.2, Haughey 11.1, Cian 7.2, Healy 6.7, Heeney 5.7, and Lyons 3.2.

Still early and Howth boxes to be opened which will benefit Cian and Healy. Very interesting to see where Mitchells transfers go. It's hard to know if the Greens will be transfer friendly just yet. I wouldn't rule out John Lyons just yet, he may be transfer friendly.

I'd expect any SF surplus to go towards the SDs rather than the greens.