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12-12-2019, 08:38   #16
Larbre34
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Yes I looked at GFS earlier and there were PURPLES north of us....not blues. What the hell does purple mean?
Prince beats BB King.
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12-12-2019, 12:18   #17
Cork Boy 53
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Prince beats BB King.
I doubt we will get any purple rain though.
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15-12-2019, 11:01   #18
Meteorite58
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Windy wet weather on Weds. After a cold start getting a bit milder from a Southerly direction.













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15-12-2019, 17:50   #19
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ICON has intensified the winds for Weds with what looks like a wave whose pressure is falling on approach and during transit up along the W coast.

ECM 06Z stronger in the SW and onto S coasts but nothing extreme on this run, showing the same area of LP or wave much further out to the W and falling pressure also.

ARPEGE windy in the S

GFS weakest of the lot.








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15-12-2019, 23:03   #20
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ICON 18Z rowed back on the very strong winds, more like the ARPEGE 12Z now.

ECM 12Z eased back on the strong winds also. Looking like gusting 80 to 90 km/h on coasts and 60 to 80 km/h overland

Showing a lot of rain in the S and SE inot Thurs morning

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15-12-2019, 23:21   #21
Gaoth Laidir
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ICON has intensified the winds for Weds with what looks like a wave whose pressure is falling on approach and during transit up along the W coast..







That setup would not be good for Dublin Bay at high tide Wednesday night.
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15-12-2019, 23:25   #22
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Deep are of LP close to Ireland around next Fri , deepening on approach. ECM not showing a huge wind field and the winds not affecting Ireland on this run but one to keep an eye on.







https://twitter.com/Petagna/status/1...984116736?s=20
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16-12-2019, 14:52   #23
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ECM has picked up the wind strength again for Weds on the 06Z showing the deepening area of LP move up along the W coast . Showing strong winds overland atm , gusting in general up around 100km/h in Munster . This is the kind of system that can sneak up and catch people out and produce unusually strong winds overland as the system deepens close to land aided by the Jet.

ARPEGE and ICON have also moved up the wind speeds as have the American models.

Is this going to get stronger ?

My own guess ....... possible.
















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16-12-2019, 19:47   #24
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ECM 12Z eased off on wind speeds again. More like gusting up around 80 to 90 km/h winds overland, bit higher on some coasts gusting up around 100 km/h perhaps. Bit to go yet on this one.








EURO 4 coming into view,






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16-12-2019, 20:00   #25
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Plenty of rain predicted by the models for Weds. along the S and SE counties.







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17-12-2019, 15:47   #26
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GFS going possibly Orange Level alert for this.

Charts look severe on West side but preliminary yet
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17-12-2019, 17:50   #27
typhoony
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GFS going possibly Orange Level alert for this.

Charts look severe on West side but preliminary yet
Not far off Red level for Cork and Kerry based on the 12z GFS, I always get worried when 24hrs before an event the models start upgrading the wind speeds
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17-12-2019, 18:58   #28
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The worst storms always come as a surprise
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17-12-2019, 19:08   #29
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Not far off Red level for Cork and Kerry based on the 12z GFS, I always get worried when 24hrs before an event the models start upgrading the wind speeds
Wow... This is due to hit tomorrow afternoon?
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20-12-2019, 22:36   #30
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gfs 18z would make for a cold christmas week,is this the a start of a change
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