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The Golf Tips Thread
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42/1 now - someone who laid the original bet having a cold sweat!
Was going to say he has a chance at R1L but bogey a minute or two ago. Still nice early O/R cash-out, for above poster.
Think have Kodaira as line selection in R1L 8pl 200/1 but will likely get watered down in heat, if anything it all. Singh and Fred too triple digits also, but Fred much to do.0 -
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That's R1 over, not sure how 8pl is going to work out.
Speith is down to round about evens to win @2.5 or so.
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It is a huge advantage having 8pl, if it was only 5pl you would only be getting 2/7ths as opposed to 5/7ths
More places is always an advantage unless it falls on exactly the lower line with a greater number tied on the higher line.
Spieth is freely available at far greater than 2.38, he is 2/1 in most books and a shade above 11/5 on Betfair
Perhaps, the lower place books were all 1/4 not 1/5.
Will always opt for the extra places option myself, just incase there is a rare case of a sequential descending final leaderboard.
@3/3.2 current best price, but was around 2.5 last night. Have the opening price @10/10pl on about 20% of the arrays, couldn't imagine backing now or anytime going forward at less than 5.0 with reduced places.
Sky still not offering a cash-out on 6650/1 (less with Rule4's), not to worry have various lines of place wildcards also, Kodaira was one of the biggest numerals, early days but still in with a hope of place.
Have also switched tack to the GNational away from x2 favs. After consulting the two Oracles, one forecasts Speith, but and the other (as you horse folks mentioned in another thread) is for an 'older horse' (well 11yr) to win the GN. So Buywise/Milansbar and a few others may go on the next set of accas.0 -
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How much is the R4 on the last selection?
With the non-runner and forgetting about the R4 its settled as a 4 fold @ 950/1 hope you have a nice chunk on - I wouldnt be cashing out to be honest, Mcilroy looks the only realistic danger to Spieth in that kind of form, and that's with Mcilroy finding form with the putter.
And of course it would take an absolute miracle for the e/w part not to come in.
Just 10%/10c/10p Rule 4 on both, cash-outs non forthcoming from Sky, but always open to them if reasonable, as nothing is a certainty. Garcia went pond drinking/splashdown on the 15th and thus did an slightly unexpected '13 shots' on it which likely ruined his day.
Always only do modest stakes on high-yield, that way never get stung.
Only had a quick scan of the GN card, but perhaps less than x4 11yr's with a hope of contention (none fav so far). Always worth taking these predictions with a dose of salt of course.
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No real big surprises from those at -2 or better, expect those strings to tighten further (pending weather chaos):
Just two slightly possible value wildcards (5pl or W/O markets) to add to the May's medium-term acca.
The trickier question is which outsider will land 4th and place in Eurovision.0 -
Today's chart at end of R3, into final round, shows similar correlation to the bet trend stack from back in mid-march.
Several slightly over performing and others under, but all in all, a fairly tight match-up.
For anyone who didn't get the 10pl, the only attraction now is W/O markets.
And the consistent positive trajectory of i) Rahm ii) Watson.
Both within possible place territory (W/O top trio) cut-off at -6.
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Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »Outsider Kodaira seems to be fairing well these days, backed in the masters (400/1), but don't think backed much in this Heritage, has a chance in R4.
Winner Kodaira is probably as surprised as everyone else.
Can usually be found hovering around 3 or 400/1 down at the bottom of the odd charts pre-tournament. Probably will start around 126 from now on.
Only got around 20/30s along with Bryson (mentioned previously), and only the place parts on a couple of L31/accas, still can't complain.
Big names DJ & Kuchar, Snedeker all faded badly, List just about hung on.
Never mind the stupid golf, Not long now till Eurovision!0 -
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Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »Final round live events can be interesting, if Mullinax @7.5 can continue the round on round improvement of -6, could be unstoppable. [74/68/62/_].
You mean if he shoots 56? Might have a squeak then OK
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