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General British politics discussion thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    There we have it. Labour's electrol woes are down to Tory lies and the easily fooled poor. Your'e right about the Union Jack waving, I think the brand is too far damaged with the poor for that to work now.

    Each to their own, but i prefer it personally to it's basically all Ash Sarkar's fault anyway. But like i said, i'm a bit behind when it comes to social media, so i may well be underestimating the seemingly vast sway Ms Sarkar holds over the uk electorate.


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    But it's not single handed, i just threw out a few names by way of example.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,838 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    This sentiment via https://sluggerotoole.com/2021/05/14/and-it-turns-out-its-ed-poots-job-to-see-the-dup-into-an-uncertain-unionist-future/#more-136180 rings true.

    The FT are quoting a DUP insider on Poots' victory: "This is the DUP's Jeremy Corbyn moment and we all know how that ends..."

    Says a lot about NI geographic voting that both Nationalism and Unionism can have separate parties unlike the UK where FPTP keeps the large parties together as strange bedfellows with the middle squeezed out.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    In a poll of over 1700 respondents, the main reason given for not voting for labour in the recent elections was Keir Starmer's leadership. A mere 2% of respondents said it was because the party was "too woke." As i said earlier, Starmer getting sucked in to these ill conceived culture wars very likely cost them Bristol council and could potentially put dozens of seats at risk if he continues that path in the lead up to a GE.

    https://www.jlpartners.co.uk/local-elections


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,802 ✭✭✭✭suicide_circus


    11% didnt vote Lab because "don't agree with policies" - i'd imagine there's an element of woke avoidance in that. But yes certainly JC and KS seem not to be a big hit, when will Angela Rayner get her turn?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    Of course, I don't dispute that this isan issue, maybe even one of certain significance. But the thing is, we're dealing with a media landscape where the wealthiest and most powerful prefer to set their own agenda rather than reflect the actual real concerns of the population so I can well understand people harbouring the assumption that's it's all about "the woke." And that's undoubtedly tough for Starmer and labour to get around, but i just personally struggle to see much value in them trying to tackle it head on. It's like Hull having to find a way to beat Man Utd and deciding the best way to do it is to offer to take them on at Old Trafford.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,301 ✭✭✭Snickers Man


    So have i got this right, the middle classes, whoever they are, should abandon the labour party and its working class roots (interesting twist on the usual purge stuff, i have to admit, a kind of reverse purge almost) because some right wing reactionary commentators of varying relevance have appointed themselves as the spokespeople for the working classes?

    Not BECAUSE "some right-wing reactionary commentators have appointed themselves as the spokespeople for the working classes" but because the natural bond between the lowest paid sections of society and those whose world view encompasses both the desire for a compassionate civilised and socialised society and a wish to advance up their chosen career path via education has been severed.

    The rantings of Burchill, O'Neill, Northcott et al just make the break easier. :)

    What is very clear to me (having lived in England for years before returning home during the Celtic Tiger) is that the seepage in support from Labour to Conservative has not in the main come from where it might have been expected, ie from the newly or recently empowered educated working classes in white collar middle class jobs. Many of them are resolutely statist and believe in such things as the Welfare state, racial harmony, inclusiveness, sex and gender equality, and (often) animal rights, concern for the planet, and "plant-based diets". They have stuck with Labour.

    Instead the drop in support comes from the poorer end of the Labour party constituency. People pissed off with the failure of the welfare state to improve their lot, resentment at the disappearance of their traditional livelihoods thanks to technology and automation and (to a VERY limited degree) cheap immigrant labour.

    These people are often inherently nationalist, self reliant and see the Conservative mindset of getting up and doing it for yourself as a more reliable route to riches (comparatively speaking) than the "Wait for the management committee to decide when it's your turn for progress" that is typically associated with the public sector, currently the real bedrock of Labour support.

    These two traditional wings of the Labour Party are now so at odds with each other that it is clear they should admit they are not meant to belong together and should just split. It would be better all round.

    It's been done before anyway. Isn't that why we have the lib dems and, for a wet weekend, change uk?

    Whether it is the Lib Dems in their current configuration that assumes the mantle of "natural party of opposition" to the Conservatives or whether it is a party slightly modified to accommodate a newly branded section of the electorate doesn't really matter. What matters is there is a huge latent body of support for a party that is not the Conservatives but which is not the "Labour family" either.

    I am sure there is a large section of the electorate that is unvalued by the Conservatives, unwanted by Labour and under represented by the lib Dems that could potentially coalesce and challenge the Tories with a slightly different message than that of Labour.

    These realignments in British politics typically take place once in 100 years. We're overdue one at this stage.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,838 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    These realignments in British politics typically take place once in 100 years. We're overdue one at this stage.
    It used to be Tories vs the Whigs who transitioned to Liberals but then Labour overtook them when ordinary people got the vote.

    What similar change is there now to shake up the system ?


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,419 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    It used to be Tories vs the Whigs who transitioned to Liberals but then Labour overtook them when ordinary people got the vote.

    What similar change is there now to shake up the system ?

    Well, if the LibDem and Labour agree a pact such that they do not compete in constituencies where one is stronger, they will be able to unseat Tories in enough constituencies to form a coalition. Now that is unlikely but a PR/STV voting system is a likely outcome if they do get into power.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 90,838 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Well, if the LibDem and Labour agree a pact such that they do not compete
    But they didn't.

    In an election that really mattered.


    And previous Tory party leader Iain Duncan Smith got re-elected.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,419 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    But they didn't.

    In an election that really mattered.


    And previous Tory party leader Iain Duncan Smith got re-elected.

    No hope for the UK then.

    IDS or Ian Duncan Who? (as he is known by either tag) is a very good example of an MP that is beyond any use.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,301 ✭✭✭Snickers Man


    It used to be Tories vs the Whigs who transitioned to Liberals but then Labour overtook them when ordinary people got the vote.

    What similar change is there now to shake up the system ?

    To answer your question: an inability of the current default choice of candidates (Labour or Conservative) accurately to reflect the concerns and emotions of many people in Britain.

    The poorest sections of society - traditionally Labour's core support - feel abandoned and taken for granted. They are not natural Tories but feel estranged from today's Labour party.

    A huge section of the middle class is trapped in a Labour/Conservative dichotomy which produces nothing but frustration. Many middle class Labourites were opposed to Corbyn but not prepared to vote Tory; many middle class Tories were supportive of remaining in the EU but wouldn't vote against their "own" party. There is a huge commonality of opinion between the adjacent wings of either party's support that is crying out to be given a voice.

    Britain is in a period of political autism: people feel strongly about various matters but can't articulate them in a satisfactory manner. This is exacerbated by the FPTP system which restricts choice, produces a reluctance to experiment and traps many voters in a straitjacket of voting for parties that no longer articulate their favoured position.

    Proportional systems, such as ours, see parties rise and fall in prominence and then go out of business altogether (remember the PDs, Clann na Poblachta, Democratic Left--all partners in government coalitions but who no longer exist). True, you might say, the big guys always win. It will either be Fainna Fail or Fine Gael, or as is the case now, both. But their ability to govern has usually been tempered by the demands of whatever smaller party they must go into coalition with. That has a big influence on keeping Irish politics centred.

    Paradigm shifts in British politics are much less frequent but they do occur. Typically once in a hundred years. The first Labour government was in 1924, nearly 100 years ago. Just saying.


  • Registered Users Posts: 24,635 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    To answer your question: an inability of the current default choice of candidates (Labour or Conservative) accurately to reflect the concerns and emotions of many people in Britain.

    The poorest sections of society - traditionally Labour's core support - feel abandoned and taken for granted. They are not natural Tories but feel estranged from today's Labour party.

    A huge section of the middle class is trapped in a Labour/Conservative dichotomy which produces nothing but frustration. Many middle class Labourites were opposed to Corbyn but not prepared to vote Tory; many middle class Tories were supportive of remaining in the EU but wouldn't vote against their "own" party. There is a huge commonality of opinion between the adjacent wings of either party's support that is crying out to be given a voice.

    Britain is in a period of political autism: people feel strongly about various matters but can't articulate them in a satisfactory manner. This is exacerbated by the FPTP system which restricts choice, produces a reluctance to experiment and traps many voters in a straitjacket of voting for parties that no longer articulate their favoured position.

    Proportional systems, such as ours, see parties rise and fall in prominence and then go out of business altogether (remember the PDs, Clann na Poblachta, Democratic Left--all partners in government coalitions but who no longer exist). True, you might say, the big guys always win. It will either be Fainna Fail or Fine Gael, or as is the case now, both. But their ability to govern has usually been tempered by the demands of whatever smaller party they must go into coalition with. That has a big influence on keeping Irish politics centred.

    Paradigm shifts in British politics are much less frequent but they do occur. Typically once in a hundred years. The first Labour government was in 1924, nearly 100 years ago. Just saying.

    The poorest of today's society in parts of the UK you mean. Some of the poorest and most likely the poorest areas in England are in London and after that the other cities in the UK who still vote Labour en masse. The places hemorrhaging labour votes are the towns and minor cities. In an Irish context they would be the likes of Birr, Kilmallock or Roscrea.

    It once again the "poor" and "working class" are snobbishly considered a hive mind


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    Not BECAUSE "some right-wing reactionary commentators have appointed themselves as the spokespeople for the working classes" but because the natural bond between the lowest paid sections of society and those whose world view encompasses both the desire for a compassionate civilised and socialised society and a wish to advance up their chosen career path via education has been severed.

    The rantings of Burchill, O'Neill, Northcott et al just make the break easier. :)

    What is very clear to me (having lived in England for years before returning home during the Celtic Tiger) is that the seepage in support from Labour to Conservative has not in the main come from where it might have been expected, ie from the newly or recently empowered educated working classes in white collar middle class jobs. Many of them are resolutely statist and believe in such things as the Welfare state, racial harmony, inclusiveness, sex and gender equality, and (often) animal rights, concern for the planet, and "plant-based diets". They have stuck with Labour.

    Instead the drop in support comes from the poorer end of the Labour party constituency. People pissed off with the failure of the welfare state to improve their lot, resentment at the disappearance of their traditional livelihoods thanks to technology and automation and (to a VERY limited degree) cheap immigrant labour.

    These people are often inherently nationalist, self reliant and see the Conservative mindset of getting up and doing it for yourself as a more reliable route to riches (comparatively speaking) than the "Wait for the management committee to decide when it's your turn for progress" that is typically associated with the public sector, currently the real bedrock of Labour support.

    These two traditional wings of the Labour Party are now so at odds with each other that it is clear they should admit they are not meant to belong together and should just split. It would be better all round.




    Whether it is the Lib Dems in their current configuration that assumes the mantle of "natural party of opposition" to the Conservatives or whether it is a party slightly modified to accommodate a newly branded section of the electorate doesn't really matter. What matters is there is a huge latent body of support for a party that is not the Conservatives but which is not the "Labour family" either.

    I am sure there is a large section of the electorate that is unvalued by the Conservatives, unwanted by Labour and under represented by the lib Dems that could potentially coalesce and challenge the Tories with a slightly different message than that of Labour.

    These realignments in British politics typically take place once in 100 years. We're overdue one at this stage.

    I'm not entirely dismissive of your conclusions, but i see some very obvious flaws in the rationale. The poor abandoning labour in droves to prop up the tories in labours old redoubts is a popular refrain, but it's too simplistic and not borne out by the data. We know the tories 2019 majority was built on older, often retired voters who own their own homes and live comfortable, well off lives. They are by no stretch of the imagination poor. In fact, the only income group in which labour finished ahead was among the poorest section of the electorate. The median age of voters is rising by the year, people who are relatively well off and attracted by the tories low tax creed - blissfully unconcerned that this only increases the bill for the generations coming after them - is the bedrock of the tories maintaining its grip on power.

    The poorest, if they bother at all, are still more likely to vote labour, many of them living in cities in some of the uks most deprived areas. And now it is these people who labour, in its rush to embrace this whole poor/working class/anti woke agenda thing, risks taking for granted. In the recent elections labour lost as many votes to the greens as it lost to the tories and there is an important lesson in that if they are willing to heed it.

    As for political paradigm shake ups or whatever, i dont know, doesn't seem likely without a new voting system and that seems a bit chicken and egg the way things stand at the minute. But i'm fairly certain what labour needs is a unifier not a split which imo would absolutely ensure no chance of power as long as there is fptp and the tories have pretty much no opposition on the right.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,872 ✭✭✭View


    But they didn't.

    In an election that really mattered.


    And previous Tory party leader Iain Duncan Smith got re-elected.

    Labour will not agree a pact with any other party in a GE (apart from the Cooperative Party which they control completely).

    Their goal is to fight off any other minor party so they remain as the number 2 party, and hence can claim to be the only realistic alternative to the Conservatives when the electorate tire of the Conservatives.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,118 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Looks like Cummings is going to make some crazy Covid allegations against Johnson tomorrow :

    https://twitter.com/BBCHelena/status/1397297561258635267


  • Registered Users Posts: 53,916 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    Is that hearing live on tv tomorrow? It’s going to be must watch tv. I ****ing cannot stand Cummings but I hate BJ more so hopefully Cummings destroys him


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 38,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Headshot wrote: »
    Is that hearing live on tv tomorrow? It’s going to be must watch tv. I ****ing cannot stand Cummings but I hate BJ more so hopefully Cummings destroys him
    The mud thrown last week by Cummings didn't stick so I'd say tomorrow's announcements won't have the desired effect either.

    Still, Boris taking it live would have made interesting tv!


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,118 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Headshot wrote: »
    Is that hearing live on tv tomorrow? It’s going to be must watch tv. I ****ing cannot stand Cummings but I hate BJ more so hopefully Cummings destroys him

    It is indeed. Sky News have said they intend showing it live for a start.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,118 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The mud thrown last week by Cummings didn't stick so I'd say tomorrow's announcements won't have the desired effect either.

    Still, Boris taking it live would have made interesting tv!

    He's the master of deflection, but the Johnson groupies / disciples will certainly have a lot defending to do tomorrow. They will have little choice but to call Cummings a liar or a nutter - the claim that Johnson wanted to be injected with Covid-19 live on TV is would be a bombshell revelation in any normal circumstance.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 24,635 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Strazdas wrote: »
    He's the master of deflection, but the Johnson groupies / disciples will certainly have a lot defending to do tomorrow. They will have little choice but to call Cummings a liar or a nutter - the claim that Johnson wanted to be injected with Covid-19 live on TV is would be a bombshell revelation in any normal circumstance.


    Where do these two stand now with brexiters ?


    There was a time when Cummings would have had the much bigger cult following amongst that group so is there divided loyalties or has history been rewritten to make him a loon and Johnson has always been Mr. Brexit


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,118 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    breezy1985 wrote: »
    Where do these two stand now with brexiters ?


    There was a time when Cummings would have had the much bigger cult following amongst that group so is there divided loyalties or has history been rewritten to make him a loon and Johnson has always been Mr. Brexit

    Opinion polls suggest that the Brexiteers have switched allegiance to Johnson. A bit awkward for them though as they were the ones slavishly defending Cummings at the time of Barnard Castle. As you say, they may have to throw their Brexit hero overboard and depict him as a nutter.


  • Registered Users Posts: 24,635 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Opinion polls suggest that the Brexiteers have switched allegiance to Johnson. A bit awkward for them though as they were the ones slavishly defending Cummings at the time of Barnard Castle. As you say, they may have to throw their Brexit hero overboard and depict him as a nutter.


    He was the hero all the way back to the early days when Johnson was too busy writing alternative pro and anti brexit articles to get involved. Britains very own wannabe anarchist swamp drainer loses out to an Eton Bullingdon boy in the end


  • Registered Users Posts: 26,152 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Opinion polls suggest that the Brexiteers have switched allegiance to Johnson. A bit awkward for them though as they were the ones slavishly defending Cummings at the time of Barnard Castle. As you say, they may have to throw their Brexit hero overboard and depict him as a nutter.
    The revolution devours its children.


  • Registered Users Posts: 39,625 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Just scanning tweets about Dominic Cummins hearing this morning and it seems he’s gone in there with the strategy of “**** it” and isn’t going to protect boris Johnson. He’s said that Laura K of the bbc was the journalist he spoke most in 2020 and given that she was quoting sources about his trip last year, it seems it was him she was quoting and isn’t the BBC meant to impartial ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 303 ✭✭cantwbr1


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Just scanning tweets about Dominic Cummins hearing this morning and it seems he’s gone in there with the strategy of “**** it” and isn’t going to protect boris Johnson. He’s said that Laura K of the bbc was the journalist he spoke most in 2020 and given that she was quoting sources about his trip last year, it seems it was him she was quoting and isn’t the BBC meant to impartial ?

    Heard some of his answers on the radio. While I don’t doubt the general truth of what he was saying (lack of interest by Johnson etc) they were incredibly self serving painting him as the only one who understood the severity of the pandemic and the unpreparedness of the UK.

    Couldn’t stomach listening to more than a minute or two of him


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,499 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Just scanning tweets about Dominic Cummins hearing this morning and it seems he’s gone in there with the strategy of “**** it” and isn’t going to protect boris Johnson. He’s said that Laura K of the bbc was the journalist he spoke most in 2020 and given that she was quoting sources about his trip last year, it seems it was him she was quoting and isn’t the BBC meant to impartial ?

    Yeah, serious questions for LauraK to answer. At the time of the Barnard Castle issue, LauraK stated that a
    source says his trip was within guidelines ....they insist no breach of lockdown.

    It is more than a possibility that the 'source' was Cummins himself and so effectively LauraK was acting as his PR agent.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    Interesting he has it a lot more in for hancock than for johnson. Lost count of how many times he's referred to hancock as a liar, some very obvious score settling there.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    "We sent people with covid back to care homes."

    That's an explosive line. Not news in any way, but coming from such a central figure in the drama, it really sticks out for its bluntness. Recall hancock around the time being touted as an obvious fall guy, that may well still come to pass.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,420 ✭✭✭weemcd


    I'd love to see Johnson hung for this but at the same time it's unlikely. The Brexit sycophants don't do facts or logic and will perform whatever mental gymnastics they need to overcome these hurdles.

    I've zero faith anything will be done on the back of his evidence or any further enquiries, but I'd love to be wrong about this.


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