The Golf Tips Thread

zimmermania · 11-06-2019 5:10pm

Dustin is 8/1 10 places 1/5th odds PP but they go 18/1 1/5th 8 places for Dustin to be first round leader.

4068ac1elhodqr · 11-06-2019 9:22pm

zimmermania wrote: »

Dustin is 8/1 10 places 1/5th odds PP but they go 18/1 1/5th 8 places for Dustin to be first round leader.

DJ is enhanced {daily price boost} today @10 with the skypeople,
yesterday it was Rory@10 (enhanced) both 10pl.

1stRL (via PP) for Rory is 21(20/1) a smidgen better than the other (J)F. Might add Bryson@50 and Ancer/Straka for this market.

Other than that will wait for inplay, and any price/timing edges over traders.

abarkie · 12-06-2019 8:49pm

zimmermania wrote: »

Dustin is 8/1 10 places 1/5th odds PP but they go 18/1 1/5th 8 places for Dustin to be first round leader.

Gone for Johnson 1st round leader @ 18/1 1/5 8 places as above

Thanks Zimmer

abarkie · 12-06-2019 8:55pm

abarkie wrote: »

Going to give the Canadian Open a miss, but if i was backing, i would be looking at Matt Kuchar and Scott Piercy

This week, going for Ladies Shoprite Classic and Champions Tour Mastercard Japan in Japan :

Anna Nordqvist 40/1 & Jenny Shin 40/1 - Ladies Shoprite Classic

Scott Parel 9/1 (hoping he can bounce back after last week) & Corey Pavin 66/1 - Mastercard Japan Championship

Good luck all

Kuchar was placed

Also placed was Anna Nordqvist and Scott Parel

I actually went into a shop for this - what a mistake that was - cashier wouldn't simply check the prices on my slip and was insistent I use a betting station - ended up I was given 4 each way singled and I had to go back to get it changed afterwards when i realised what had happened

To cap it off, he wrote out the betting slip by hand (just as i had given him in the first place) - can see a potential struggle to collect when I go in later

Anyway onto this week

Meijer Classic

Lexi Thopson 9/1 & Lydia Ko 28/1

US Open

Jordan Spieth 22/1 & Jason Day 33/1

Each Way doubles as ever

Also small interest in Dustin Johnson in FRL thanks to Zimmer spotting extra places

DJIMI TRARORE · 12-06-2019 9:34pm

C T Pan 200-1 ew
J Thomas 22-1 ew
Frankie 30-1 ew

Rose hole in 1 100-1

sydthebeat · 13-06-2019 12:13am

Thomas @22 win
Lowry @45 ew
Pieters @225 ew

Hovland top amateur @11/4

Glenbhoy · 13-06-2019 1:25am

Main bet DJ 9/1

I like a load of others at fancy prices on Betfair, but less fanciful might be Snedeker and Na. I've also backed a few links specialists like Grace, Hatton etc, but really, I think DJ might be very hard to stop here!!

iluvfatfrogs · 13-06-2019 8:08am

Glenbhoy wrote: »

Main bet DJ 9/1

I like a load of others at fancy prices on Betfair, but less fanciful might be Snedeker and Na. I've also backed a few links specialists like Grace, Hatton etc, but really, I think DJ might be very hard to stop here!!

Same here... just the one bet, straight up win on DJ.
First time I’ve only backed one golfer in a major I’d say.

PhuckHugh22 · 13-06-2019 9:32am

3 bets on the machine.

Cantlay @20.0
Thomas @34.0
Kuchar @55.0

Seems to me that the front 3 are a bit short and it should be more of a 12/1 the field type week.

montyrebel · 13-06-2019 5:47pm

Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau e/w for me and also Viktor Hovland for top amateur

mailburner · 13-06-2019 11:09pm

fowler was 4/7 for first round leader a couple of hours ago...koepka was 25/1 at that stage for same (4s now 2 behind)
koepka getting some break there chipping in on the 5th

sydthebeat · 13-06-2019 11:20pm

Jesus, Hovland is having some start

iluvfatfrogs · 13-06-2019 11:47pm

montyrebel wrote: »

Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau e/w for me and also Viktor Hovland for top amateur

What price was Hovland?

sydthebeat · 14-06-2019 12:10am

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

What price was Hovland?

5/2 or 11/4 in some places

montyrebel · 14-06-2019 9:29am

yeah i got 5/2

callaway92 · 14-06-2019 9:53am

callaway92 wrote: »

Viktor Hovland best amateur.

Won US Amateur Open at Pebble Beach in 2018 and was best amateur at the Masters this year.

Snedeker FRL
Mickelson, Justin Thomas, Oosthuizen, Rose outright.

Nice one after Day 1 to have some interest

Will see how things go, but in hindsight, Hovland was 11/4 for Top 40 and 10/1 for Top 20

4068ac1elhodqr · 14-06-2019 1:20pm

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

DJ is enhanced {daily price boost} today @10 with the skypeople, yesterday it was Rory@10 (enhanced) both 10pl.

Rory the better of the two JFs so far, still very early days.

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

1stRL (via PP) for Rory is 21(20/1) a smidgen better than the other (J)F. Might add Bryson@50 and Ancer/Straka for this market.

Rory 1RL Placed (T8), same for 200/1 Straka. Bryson just outside the 8pl

Optimum price/place might include Rose @7.5, Hadley @201 both 6pl via BS. or Fitz @91 6pl PP, Outrights.

mailburner · 14-06-2019 8:06pm

a few quid ew on garcia 90/1 grillo 100/1 piercy 50/1 5 places first two showing up as 80s+90s on oddchecker but when it brought me into
the site those two were 10 pts bigger (betfred)

think there could be a shock or some big priced players in the frame this weekend

was on koepka frl yesterday at 20s, how good it looked at one stage :pac:

how many majors have rory and dj been favourite for recently? yet again dj was joint fav or second fav and it ain't looking like
he'll be winning on his so called favourite course
rory currently second fav...when did he last win a major, such bad value.

Mr Reactionary · 14-06-2019 8:24pm

mailburner wrote: »

a few quid ew on garcia 90/1 grillo 100/1 piercy 50/1 5 places first two showing up as 80s+90s on oddchecker but when it brought me into
the site those two were 10 pts bigger (betfred)

think there could be a shock or some big priced players in the frame this weekend

was on koepka frl yesterday at 20s, how good it looked at one stage :pac:

how many majors have rory and dj been favourite for recently? yet again dj was joint fav or second fav and it ain't looking like
he'll be winning on his so called favourite course
rory currently second fav...when did he last win a major, such bad value.

DJ 2nd in the last 2 majors. Not to shabby

mailburner · 14-06-2019 8:32pm

Mr Reactionary wrote: »

DJ 2nd in the last 2 majors. Not to shabby

It's still only one major in his lifetime though yet been favourite for so many

iluvfatfrogs · 15-06-2019 2:18pm

Backed Kuchar this morning @25’;s 5 places..
And a small bet on casey @250/1 5 places

Pogue eile · 24-06-2019 9:53am

mailburner wrote: »

how many majors have rory and dj been favourite for recently? yet again dj was joint fav or second fav and it ain't looking like
he'll be winning on his so called favourite course
rory currently second fav...when did he last win a major, such bad value.

With bookies now paying 10 places in majors regularly, they cant go any bigger on these two - in the last 18 majors that both have played DJ has 9 top 10 finishes and Rory has 10 - the e/w thieves would clean the bookies!

zimmermania · 26-06-2019 4:17pm

Have not had a payday for a while but we live in hope.

Backed Oliver Wilson without Garcia,Rahm,Fitzpatrick and Luiten at 45/1 PP a tenner ew 5 places.Wilson is only 60/1 to win outright so i decide to go for the smaller price and hoping he will perform on a track he has form on.

mistermiyagi · 27-06-2019 3:59am

Pogue eile wrote: »

With bookies now paying 10 places in majors regularly, they cant go any bigger on these two - in the last 18 majors that both have played DJ has 9 top 10 finishes and Rory has 10 - the e/w thieves would clean the bookies!

At an average price of 10-1, placing in half the majors, at 1-5th the odds a place, results in a break even scenario for a punter.
I'd hardly say they are cleaning the poor oul bookies!

Pogue eile · 27-06-2019 10:01am

mistermiyagi wrote: »

At an average price of 10-1, placing in half the majors, at 1-5th the odds a place, results in a break even scenario for a punter.
I'd hardly say they are cleaning the poor oul bookies!

Ahh you are getting a free investment until they win and then you hit the jackpot, do the math again and you would be up money in what has been a realtive barren period for at least one of the two, its a no brainer for me.

IAMAMORON · 02-07-2019 5:34pm

Tee times and Tide times for Lahinch.

https://magicseaweed.com/Lahinch-Beach-Surf-Report/52/Tide/

http://www.europeantour.com/europeantour/season=2019/tournamentid=2019058/leaderboard/index.html#/leaderboard

bobwilliams · 03-07-2019 1:56pm

Big each way bet this week for me on Jordon Smith.
Anyone think Séamus power is overpriced at 100/1?

IAMAMORON · 03-07-2019 2:06pm

bobwilliams wrote: »

Big each way bet this week for me on Jordon Smith.
Anyone think Séamus power is overpriced at 100/1?

He probably is. However if I was earning over a million a year in the states I would tend to be on the piss with old mates, brothers, cousins , pals etc. Especially if I am only home once a year.

I am not accusing him of being a pisshead or anything. But he could easily be having a busmans holiday.

Can he still qualify for Portrush ?

iluvfatfrogs · 03-07-2019 2:07pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

He probably is. However if I was earning over a million a year in the states I would tend to be on the piss with old mates, brothers, cousins , pals etc. Especially if I am only home once a year.

I am not accusing him of being a pisshead or anything. But he could easily be having a busmans holiday.

Can he still qualify for Portrush ?

Agree to an extent with this

I'd had a good e/w go at Pepperell and a free win bet on Fleetwood

sydthebeat · 03-07-2019 2:16pm

I'm on Lowry @16s
Bjerregaard @ 55s
Horsey @225s

IAMAMORON · 03-07-2019 9:23pm

Given the wind forecast to pick up towards lunchtime tomorrow I have gone for a few speculative 1st round leader punts ew. Literally throwing about 6 darts at the board at high odds. All these are in the first few groups in the morning.

Michael Lorenzo-Vera 55/1
Haotong Li 45/1
Victor Dubuisson 80/1
Liam Johnston 300/1
Hyowon Park 300/1
Robert Rock 90/1

Literally a few euro each way, I won't miss the sheckles tomorrow night, hopefully one of them gives me something to roar at tomorrow.

I will have a bet on the outright on Sunday morning.

I did have a sneaky few ew on Oliver Wilson at 100/ 1. I actually don't know why...

4068ac1elhodqr · 03-07-2019 9:45pm

bobwilliams wrote: »

Anyone think Séamus power is overpriced at 100/1?

150/1 is also currently available 8pl (1/5), reasonable value.
Got MacIntyre @81 last week now BP is around 70/1 for 8placers

Noticed BSp is doing 10pl, the only cross-check price advantage here is Jamieson@175. They're also getting their balls out with 8pl in the 3M also. Poor prices, but maybe Hovland@29 will suffice for e/w.

Main focus on Top10s (Clarke etc), as building acca arrays to include SW&AM in the Tennis ball (mixed doubles), Young Coco might surprise a few folks in the Ladies (Q4). +In WCC Cricket: India.

iluvfatfrogs · 04-07-2019 10:22am

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Given the wind forecast to pick up towards lunchtime tomorrow I have gone for a few speculative 1st round leader punts ew. Literally throwing about 6 darts at the board at high odds. All these are in the first few groups in the morning.

Michael Lorenzo-Vera 55/1
Haotong Li 45/1
Victor Dubuisson 80/1
Liam Johnston 300/1
Hyowon Park 300/1
Robert Rock 90/1

Literally a few euro each way, I won't miss the sheckles tomorrow night, hopefully one of them gives me something to roar at tomorrow.

I will have a bet on the outright on Sunday morning.

I did have a sneaky few ew on Oliver Wilson at 100/ 1. I actually don't know why...

If he could pick up 2 more birdies, maybe 3 on the last 5/6 holes, he'll def give you something to shout for the rest of the day

IAMAMORON · 04-07-2019 1:45pm

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

If he could pick up 2 more birdies, maybe 3 on the last 5/6 holes, he'll def give you something to shout for the rest of the day

He got there , but it looks like he won't be leading. They are queing up now and the forecast higher winds don't look to have arrived. Hopefully he sneaks a place along with Lorenzo Vera.

iluvfatfrogs · 04-07-2019 2:17pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

He got there , but it looks like he won't be leading. They are queing up now and the forecast higher winds don't look to have arrived. Hopefully he sneaks a place along with Lorenzo Vera.

I actually think you could hold on..

The odds could be seriously diluted but a winner is a winner and you might have two of them

IAMAMORON · 04-07-2019 2:50pm

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

I actually think you could hold on..

The odds could be seriously diluted but a winner is a winner and you might have two of them

They are paying 6 on leader after r 1. Hopefully they hold on for joint lead and then I will get the place also. The wind is starting to slowly pick up.

I would be afraid of the likes of John Rahm, if he is in the humour.

iluvfatfrogs · 04-07-2019 10:07pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

They are paying 6 on leader after r 1. Hopefully they hold on for joint lead and then I will get the place also. The wind is starting to slowly pick up.

I would be afraid of the likes of John Rahm, if he is in the humour.

What kinda return did ya get on the two lads? Stake and odds well diluted but you’d imagine the 300/1 still returned a decent profit

IAMAMORON · 06-07-2019 5:03pm

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

What kinda return did ya get on the two lads? Stake and odds well diluted but you’d imagine the 300/1 still returned a decent profit

It worked out at about 4/7 of the placed odds. I made a few bob, happy enough.

I am getting a run for my money with Oliver Wilson also. Looking forward to the final day.

robbiezero · 07-07-2019 5:07pm

What would my payout be on Kaymer?
25 e/w at 28/1 - bookie paying 10 places?

Thanks.

iluvfatfrogs · 07-07-2019 6:13pm

robbiezero wrote: »

What would my payout be on Kaymer?
25 e/w at 28/1 - bookie paying 10 places?

Thanks.

I'm presuming 1/5 odds so

€25 * (28 * 1/5 * 10/13) + €25 = €133

robbiezero · 07-07-2019 6:15pm

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

I'm presuming 1/5 odds so

€25 * (28 * 1/5 * 10/13) + €25 = €133

1/5th odds ya. But 5 players tied on 9th so think there will be dead heat rules.

iluvfatfrogs · 07-07-2019 6:15pm

iluvfatfrogs wrote: »

Agree to an extent with this

I'd had a good e/w go at Pepperell and a free win bet on Fleetwood

Got a decent return on Pepperell @ 40's but dissappointed he never contested today at all

iluvfatfrogs · 07-07-2019 6:17pm

robbiezero wrote: »

1/5th odds ya. But 5 players tied on 9th so think there will be dead heat rules.

The 10/13 above represents the dilution
There were 13 players tied for the place, hence the bookmakers will apply 10/13 ( i think)

IAMAMORON · 07-07-2019 6:17pm

robbiezero wrote: »

What would my payout be on Kaymer?
25 e/w at 28/1 - bookie paying 10 places?

Thanks.

Who was paying 10 places ?

I am presuming 1/5 odds for the place here.

5 player's on a share for 9th place. The dilution is 2/5.

So 28/5/5*2= 2.24 x €25 +€ 25 = € 81.

Your basically getting your money back. I prefer backing with providers that are doing less places. You get better odds and sometimes 1/4 odds for a place.

If your finishing around tenth place there are always a load of other golfers diluting your price.

07-07-2019 6:18pm

is it not 2/5, I could also be wrong on that but thought it just applied to the individual place

Boyles went 10

PhuckHugh22 · 08-07-2019 9:29am

The correct answer is 2/5 of your stake. So you will have a €10 on the place rather than €25. Which means you only get €10 back from your bet also. So as below.

(10x(28/5))+10
(10x5.6)+10
56+10
€66

4068ac1elhodqr · 08-07-2019 2:48pm

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

Noticed BSp is doing 10pl, the only cross-check price advantage here is Jamieson@175. They're also getting their balls out with 8pl in the 3M also. Poor prices, but maybe Hovland@29 will suffice for e/w.
Main focus on Top10s (Clarke* etc), as building acca arrays to include SW&AM in the Tennis ball (mixed doubles), Young Coco might surprise a few folks in the Ladies (Q4). +In WCC Cricket: India.

*Right Clark, and wrong Clarke:

On the plus side, India & SW&AM (potential value bet of the week), are headed short, in the two other small-ball ball hitting sports.

abarkie · 10-07-2019 11:09pm

Going for the usual each way doubles:

Scottish open

Zander Lombard 200/1
Eduardo molinari 125/1

John Deere classic

Zach Johnson 28/1
Johnson Wagner 100/1

4 * £1.25 e/w doubles

Used smatbets for info

Good luck all

iluvfatfrogs · 10-07-2019 11:49pm

Andy Sullivan @45’;s for me
Thought he had a chance sat morn last week and finished well
Out first thing tomorrow to hopefully set the pace

11-07-2019 12:39am

PGA is a pitch and putt contest this week, once you dont drive a ball like me

Beau hossler is the best putter on tour (probably or close to) and has finally shown some life in his irons last week. His driver has behaved the last 5 tournaments.

I never usually back just good putters, but hossler has shown himself to be a decent player before, he has had an abysmal season with his irons, so the gamble is that hey will improve this week, His short irons have been the best of his worst all season also.

On a normal week 90(80)/1 is short but given the players leading the market I think its a great price

If you want to buy into narratives I think the younger tour guys who have competed with the ones leading the betting odds in college, will have added motivation and belief this week.

He was a Poulter putting clinic away from winning on the pga tour last year

The Golf Tips Thread

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