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2021 Irish Property Market chat - *mod warnings post 1*

18586889091211

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,028 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    REITs paying no tax is the equivalent of them beating us with our own stick!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    REITs paying no tax is the equivalent of them beating us with our own stick!

    If you look at this post: https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=116350334&postcount=3988

    You will see that numerous people here seem to think that is ok. Personally I find the justification expreseed there specious and illogical.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭Villa05


    JimmyVik wrote:
    Next you'll be looking for a tax on the old dears spare bedroom.


    That been outsourced as well. I see equity release mortgages are back after being banned in the crash.

    If we built a few custom 1 and 2 bed units close to where they live, it would free up family houses that may have only 1 person living in them

    Better for the person living alone in a large house
    Less bills, maintenance, instalation and refitting of mobility aids etc
    Plus a cash boost from the difference in price

    Better than an equity release product


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,506 ✭✭✭fliball123


    How would vacant property taxes (like the United States) cost the state anything?

    If anything they would generate revenue. The side benefit is that it would encourage vacant property owners to look again at their property and see if they should finally make use of it.

    For example, Sligo has a 20% commercial property vacancy rate. I’m sure there are many self-employed people who would take up that space if the rent was right.

    More businesses in Sligo town, more busy, brings more people into the town so existing businesses benefit too, less dereliction, nicer atmosphere, young people see existing self employed people and think they can do it too. Sligo town booms and keeps booming due to an increase in local entrepreneurship.


    We were talking about compulsory orders to buy houses to give to those who cant afford to buy not a vacant property tax. Next it will be anyone can have a go on your wife if your not banging her ..for the greater good and all or just take your car if your not using it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Villa05 wrote: »
    That been outsourced as well. I see equity release mortgages are back after being banned in the crash.

    If we built a few custom 1 and 2 bed units close to where they live, it would free up family houses that may have only 1 person living in them

    Better for the person living alone in a large house
    Less bills, maintenance, instalation and refitting of mobility aids etc
    Plus a cash boost from the difference in price

    Better than an equity release product

    Wouldn't that little move cost someone about €10k down the drain for a trade down?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    Villa05 wrote: »
    Agreed, but allowing reits in with access to free money and practically tax exempt allows for distortion in the market.

    Imagine what would happen if the general public was told you no longer need to pay tax and your mortgage interest rates are 0 for the foreseeable future

    It's never going to happen, but it has happened for reits/investment funds. This gives them huge competitive advantage and they become the price setters for new homes.

    This together with money printing imo has been the replacement for 110,% mortgages in the noughties in driving the bubble forward. As they drive prices higher more and more are priced out of the market and these people become economically neutralised due to the sky high rents increasingly going to entities that pay no tax
    As the rents soar the taxpayer comes under pressure and we are now in a position that greater than 50% of rents are subsidised by the state incl local authority. This is completely unsustainable

    How much revenue /profits do REITs keep vs what is distributed to shareholders?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,367 ✭✭✭JimmyVik


    Villa05 wrote: »
    That been outsourced as well. I see equity release mortgages are back after being banned in the crash.

    If we built a few custom 1 and 2 bed units close to where they live, it would free up family houses that may have only 1 person living in them

    Better for the person living alone in a large house
    Less bills, maintenance, instalation and refitting of mobility aids etc
    Plus a cash boost from the difference in price

    Better than an equity release product


    And if they ever want their kids or grandchildren to stay over. There is always the shed, or a tent, until people scream for them to be taxed.,


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 144 ✭✭decreds


    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    Could I just keep it instead?


  • Registered Users Posts: 861 ✭✭✭Zenify


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    Zero

    Does anyone know if large investors are still buying property in Ireland? New deals! Not just following through on old deals.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    Being a landlord has no appeal for me so 0. However if I could sell my own house and put the million with it I would .


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,162 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Cyrus wrote: »
    Being a landlord has no appeal for me so 0. However if I could sell my own house and put the million with it I would .

    Why would being a landlord have zero appeal?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    schmittel wrote: »
    Why would being a landlord have zero appeal?

    It’s a pain in the ass that I don’t have time for basically.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    Not a cent. I'd send it Oz or NZ and invest it there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,506 ✭✭✭fliball123


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    all of it I would buy 4 livable gaffs in area like clondalkin. blanchardstown basically on the lower price range and give them to the government for 20 years at 85% of the current market value, no upkeep needed as they look after it and have to give it back to you the way you gave it. after tax if you were not working you would easily make 3.5k a month (if not more). Its not to do with the market by the way just the current system the government have locks in rents and figures for up to 25 years. I am not sure there is any where else you would get this return guaranteed by the state


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    If I have 1 million, I would not invest in property (except to upgrade to better house). As I'm not a business person, I would SLOWLY be moving cash to Stock Market.
    But if I have 5 million, I would maybe invest in Irish Residential Property (10-20 properties).
    Reason behind it is, that policies/tax are very anti small landlords. But it's fairly good for bigger landlord, if you can open Limited company, and employ the person todo all the hassle, with all the tax/expense work.


  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭thefridge2006


    EU to force multinationals to reveal tax filings as Ireland loses debate

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/eu-to-force-multinationals-to-reveal-tax-filings-as-ireland-loses-debate-1.4495172

    I'm pretty sure this is another one of Props suggestions that was shot down and laughed at.....

    Fair play Props


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,224 ✭✭✭Gradius


    decreds wrote: »
    Hypothetical question to assess people's confidence in the Irish property market.

    If you were given 1 million quid to invest, how much (if any) would you put into Irish property? If you would invest in it, would you invest now or wait? Your current house is already paid off so this is strictly investment.

    At this rate you'd be as well off sticking it under a mattress.

    The credible threat of negative interest rates, illogically priced property, illogically priced stock markets, middle of a pandemic with serious geopolitical implications...

    Timing is everything, and now ain't it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    EU to force multinationals to reveal tax filings as Ireland loses debate

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/eu-to-force-multinationals-to-reveal-tax-filings-as-ireland-loses-debate-1.4495172

    I'm pretty sure this is another one of Props suggestions that was shot down and laughed at.....

    Fair play Props

    point out where this specific issue related to CBCR was shot down and laughed at, you arent going well, one of your last posts was responding to someone talking about tech stocks being down 30% :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Well, the state can compulsory purchase my property for a cycle path in the middle of nowhere i.e. greenways.
    Aahh the green wave, what a disappointment they are

    cnocbui wrote:
    Wouldn't that little move cost someone about €10k down the drain for a trade down?

    I assume your referring to buying/selling costs. Many of those costs are state imposed. If the state was serious about efficient use of property, many of these fees could be removed, but that wouldn't put money in private business pockets.

    I don't know how many times I've seen a family buy a home and strip it of the mobility aides and dumped them in a skip. All of them are installed grant aided by the state. How apt

    Would it not make more sense to have a portion of housing stock set aside for the frail immobile.
    We can't do that I suppose bcos reits won't buy them
    JimmyVik wrote:
    And if they ever want their kids or grandchildren to stay over. There is always the shed, or a tent, until people scream for them to be taxed.,

    Nobody is forcing, if that's important to you, fine,


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,028 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    HSBC to slash post-Covid office space by 40% as profits drop by a third
    HSBC is to reduce its office space around the world by nearly 40% as part of sweeping cost cutting designed to capitalise on new part-office-part-homeworking arrangements after the pandemic.

    Lloyds embraces hybrid working with 20% cut in office space
    The decision was taken after 77% of Lloyds’ 68,000 employees said they wanted to work from home for three or more days a week in the future. The bank’s chief financial officer, William Chalmers, said it would make sure offices offered more space for teamwork rather than areas where staff sit at their desks alone.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/24/lloyds-profits-plunge-covid-defaults-dividend-payments
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/23/hsbc-looks-to-asia-after-profits-plunge-34


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,162 ✭✭✭hometruths


    EU to force multinationals to reveal tax filings as Ireland loses debate

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/eu-to-force-multinationals-to-reveal-tax-filings-as-ireland-loses-debate-1.4495172

    I'm pretty sure this is another one of Props suggestions that was shot down and laughed at.....

    Fair play Props

    Props being bang on the money is becoming quite the trend.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 144 ✭✭decreds


    Props is our very own Notradamus.

    I fully expect most of his predictions to be realized within the next 5 years.


  • Administrators Posts: 54,091 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    schmittel wrote: »
    Props being bang on the money is becoming quite the trend.

    Can you link me the post where PropQueries discussed this specific issue of tax reporting (which is completely different to any discussion of tax rate harmonisation) in the past?

    I'm looking but can't find it. I've seen PropQueries post numerous times about tax harmonisation and how it's going to cause Ireland to collapse cause all the MNC workers are going to move to Poland or something, but I cannot personally recall what he said on this subject.

    Interested to read his viewpoint on it.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,162 ✭✭✭hometruths


    HSBC to slash post-Covid office space by 40% as profits drop by a third



    Lloyds embraces hybrid working with 20% cut in office space



    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/24/lloyds-profits-plunge-covid-defaults-dividend-payments
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/23/hsbc-looks-to-asia-after-profits-plunge-34

    Presumably 68,000 is a decent sample size. If 77% was representative of workers desire to WFH majority of time in jobs that can WFH, it is pretty significant.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,028 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    schmittel wrote: »
    Presumably 68,000 is a decent sample size. If 77% was representative of workers desire to WFH majority of time in jobs that can WFH, it is pretty significant.

    Exactly my thoughts the shift does seem to be happening and hybrid with <=2 days in the office is the preferred model.

    In saying that there is others who are vehemently opposed to it -


    Goldman Sachs' boss wants bankers back to their desks ASAP
    The corporate world is becoming split over home working, with David Solomon branding it ‘an aberration’

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/25/goldman-sachs-boss-wants-bankers-back-to-their-desks-asap


  • Administrators Posts: 54,091 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Exactly my thoughts the shift does seem to be happening and hybrid with >=2 days in the office is the preferred model.

    In saying that there is others who are vehemently opposed to it -


    Goldman Sachs' boss wants bankers back to their desks ASAP



    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/feb/25/goldman-sachs-boss-wants-bankers-back-to-their-desks-asap

    The cynic in me wonders how much money Goldman Sachs have tied up in commercial property. :)

    They won't be alone though. I would bet that once this is all over the overwhelming majority will still be commuting to an office every working day.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,162 ✭✭✭hometruths


    awec wrote: »
    Can you link me the post where PropQueries discussed this specific issue of tax reporting (which is completely different to any discussion of tax rate harmonisation) in the past?

    I'm looking but can't find it. I've seen PropQueries post numerous times about tax harmonisation and how it's going to cause Ireland to collapse cause all the MNC workers are going to move to Poland or something, but I cannot personally recall what he said on this subject.

    Interested to read his viewpoint on it.

    If you are genuinely interested in his viewpoint on this specific issue, I've no doubt he'll be happy to share it with you if you ask him. He's certainly not shy about sharing his opinions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    decreds wrote: »
    Props is our very own Notradamus.

    I fully expect most of his predictions to be realized within the next 5 years.

    I would have said comrade Chicken Little or comrade Casandra.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    decreds wrote: »
    Props is our very own Notradamus.

    I fully expect most of his predictions to be realized within the next 5 years.

    His main one is a 75 percent decrease in property prices in the next 12-24 months .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    schmittel wrote: »
    Props being bang on the money is becoming quite the trend.

    Is it?

    He wasn’t about that because he never mentioned it yet we now have two posters claiming he was.

    His legend grows .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭Mervyn Skidmore


    I'm sure this has been posted here but is there any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of property prices?

    I have been keeping an eye on prices in Galway for the last couple of years and they have went from eye watering to just outright insane. A new 3 bed semi-d starts at around 375k. Existing stock is low and some of the prices for the dumps available are unbelievable. Finding it incredibly stressful that I supposedly have a good job but home ownership seems very unlikely.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,271 ✭✭✭combat14


    I'm sure this has been posted here but is there any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of property prices?

    I have been keeping an eye on prices in Galway for the last couple of years and they have went from eye watering to just outright insane. A new 3 bed semi-d starts at around 375k. Existing stock is low and some of the prices for the dumps available are unbelievable. Finding it incredibly stressful that I supposedly have a good job but home ownership seems very unlikely.

    rents are eye watering too.. alot of young people will be forced to leave here once pandemic is over


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    I'm sure this has been posted here but is there any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of property prices?

    I have been keeping an eye on prices in Galway for the last couple of years and they have went from eye watering to just outright insane. A new 3 bed semi-d starts at around 375k. Existing stock is low and some of the prices for the dumps available are unbelievable. Finding it incredibly stressful that I supposedly have a good job but home ownership seems very unlikely.

    The guy who everyone is queuing up to praise for being right about everything reckons a 75 percent decrease in the near future .

    So you are golden.


  • Registered Users Posts: 681 ✭✭✭Pelezico


    Thank goodness props is back. The nonsense if the last thread is far behind us.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    Pelezico wrote: »
    Thank goodness props is back. The nonsense if the last thread is far behind us.

    What nonsense ?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I'm sure this has been posted here but is there any light at the end of the tunnel in terms of property prices?

    I have been keeping an eye on prices in Galway for the last couple of years and they have went from eye watering to just outright insane. A new 3 bed semi-d starts at around 375k. Existing stock is low and some of the prices for the dumps available are unbelievable. Finding it incredibly stressful that I supposedly have a good job but home ownership seems very unlikely.

    Houses are not expensive in Ireland.

    Housing-affordability-3.jpg

    Believe it or not, but stock is limited because prices were so low for a decade post 2008, that very few were being built because when finished, they were worth less than they cost to build. So the low stock is to some extent because prices haven't been high enough.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,506 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Pelezico wrote: »
    Thank goodness props is back. The nonsense if the last thread is far behind us.

    what where he was predicting a huge crash in 2020 ..Did it happen??? hmmm hindsight is a wonderful thing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Houses are not expensive in Ireland.

    Believe it or not, but stock is limited because prices were so low for a decade post 2008, that very few were being built because when finished, they were worth less than they cost to build. So the low stock is to some extent because prices haven't been high enough.


    That's a hoot. Prices aren't high enough, so affordability will be achieved through higher house prices, but they are affordable, so there's no problem.


    Your graph does not equate to an affordability index fyi.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,028 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Houses are not expensive in Ireland.

    Housing-affordability-3.jpg

    Believe it or not, but stock is limited because prices were so low for a decade post 2008, that very few were being built because when finished, they were worth less than they cost to build. So the low stock is to some extent because prices haven't been high enough.

    Could you post the link to that graph?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 681 ✭✭✭Pelezico


    Cyrus wrote: »
    What nonsense ?

    I dont wish to comment further but glad prop is with us again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,506 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Yurt! wrote: »
    That's a hoot. Prices aren't high enough, so affordability will be achieved through higher house prices, but they are affordable, so there's no problem.


    Your graph does not equate to an affordability index fyi.

    If you read what he wrote, he wrote that the supply problem was a symptom of prices being too low during the last number of years after the crash, meaning that if a house was built it was worth less than what it cost to build. He never said anything about affordability.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,110 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Yurt! wrote: »
    That's a hoot. Prices aren't high enough, so affordability will be achieved through higher house prices, but they are affordable, so there's no problem.

    Your graph does not equate to an affordability index fyi.

    Of 192 cities in Europe, Dublin ranks 118th in affordability, so 61% of those cities have less affordable housing. https://www.numbeo.com/property-investment/region_rankings.jsp?title=2021&region=150

    Ireland has the 6th most affordable housing in terms of price to income ratio out of 33 countries: https://www.statista.com/statistics/237529/price-to-income-ratio-of-housing-worldwide/

    Why don't you provide some links disagreeing with these ones?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭Mervyn Skidmore


    Surely affordability is the only thing that matters for first time buyers?


  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭thefridge2006


    Cyrus wrote: »
    point out where this specific issue related to CBCR was shot down and laughed at, you arent going well, one of your last posts was responding to someone talking about tech stocks being down 30% :D

    Maybe if you take your head out of the sand and stop trying to be some argumentative keyboard hard man and listen to Props once in a while you might learn something.

    Props isn't afraid to speak his mind and take big punts on his predictions. Remarkably he's been on the money a lot more than you and deserves some respect in here.

    I really hope you're not like this in person and its just a weird internet fantasy

    PS. please don't report like you have all the other times


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,209 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    Pelezico wrote: »
    I dont wish to comment further but glad prop is with us again.

    He has been for quite some time .


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Pelezico wrote: »
    I dont wish to comment further

    Mod

    wise


  • Registered Users Posts: 641 ✭✭✭Summer2020


    Maybe if you take your head out of the sand and stop trying to be some argumentative keyboard hard man and listen to Props once in a while you might learn something.

    Props isn't afraid to speak his mind and take big punts on his predictions. Remarkably he's been on the money a lot more than you and deserves some respect in here.

    I really hope you're not like this in person and its just a weird internet fantasy

    PS. please don't report like you have all the other times

    Laughable. Hard to know if you’re trolling or not.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    fliball123 wrote: »
    If you read what he wrote, he wrote that the supply problem was a symptom of prices being too low during the last number of years after the crash, meaning that if a house was built it was worth less than what it cost to build. He never said anything about affordability.


    He said houses are not expensive in Ireland. That's a nonsense.


    UN housing rapporteur reports Ireland as an unaffordable housing market. CSO name-checks an international piece of research for middle income earners that shows all our major housing markets bar Waterford and Limerick as "seriously unaffordable" (and I can assure you, there is only a certain strata of people in those two who are middle income and much more below).


    http://www.housingagency.ie/data-hub/house-price-income-ratio


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Mod Note

    ok folks, posts have been getting a little too personal over the last day or two. Attack the post, not the poster.

    Do not reply to this post.


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