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Snow/Ice warning: 26 / 27 / 28 Jan 2020

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    #92
    typhoony
    Registered Users Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭typhoony


    A couple of stations showing temp of only 3c this morning, that's promising for later when you consider the colder air hasn't yet arrived, I think this event could be a bit better than predicted. On the satellite there's a rash of showers out to the west in mid Atlantic, they have our name on it later this afternoon/evening, they could pack a punch also with thunder and lightning


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    #93
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,072 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Knock just 2 degrees at 1000. Certainly be some snow there overnight.


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    #94
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Bitter intense cold out here. Almost hurts to breathe


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    #95
    Goldfinch8
    Registered Users Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Goldfinch8


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    Knock just 2 degrees at 1000. Certainly be some snow there overnight.

    I also see Jou's station on the Roscommon/Mayo border that regularly updates in the current reports thread showed a drop from 4.2c to 2.9c in the two hours up to 9.26am this morning. Might indeed be a little more promising for those looking for some snow later. As ever it will probably be a borderline affair but a few tentative steps in the right direction this morning if you want to see a few flakes.


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    #96
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Status Yellow - Snow/Ice warning for Connacht, Cavan and Donegal

    Tonight and on Monday morning, wintry showers will bring some accumulations of snow, especially on high ground.

    Valid: 18:00 Sunday 26/01/2020 to 11:00 Monday 27/01/2020

    Issued: 10:00 Sunday 26/01/2020

    9-B7-E03-B6-12-F5-49-DC-997-F-4-D71561-B6-FCF.jpg


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    #97
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,072 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Knock,showers of sleet moving in early tonight followed by light showers of Snow

    EIKN 261100Z 2612/2712 22012KT 9999 FEW012 BKN020
    TEMPO 2612/2616 4900 SHRA BKN012 SCT018CB PROB30
    TEMPO 2612/2613 3000 -SHRASN BKN006 BECMG 2613/2615 18010KT
    BECMG 2616/2618 16016G26KT
    TEMPO 2620/2712 3000 SHRASN BKN004 SCT017CB
    BECMG 2621/2623 20013KT TEMPO 2621/2712 20015G25KT 1000 -SHSN BKN002 FEW018


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    #98
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    met ie advisory is now a Yellow Warning.. Connacht, Cavan and Donegal.. Under starters orders!


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    #99
    Jin luk
    Registered Users Posts: 388 ✭✭Jin luk


    Kermit.de.frog wrote: »
    How many times have I started a thread that has turned out to be a damp squib?

    Stick with me, you'll be grand :cool: :p

    OP stands as my forecast. Nothing has changed.

    At least 3 for the past 2 or 3 winters lol checked the weather again this morning the only chance we have of a shower up this end is from 7 to 11 tonight otherwise dry and frosty for 3 days


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    #100
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    High cloud thinning out here near Tralee, 6.1C Plenty of showers out there to make its way inland later. Wind SW

    Sl5NfYz.jpg

    temp_uk_rnc6.png

    qB4nQHn.png

    dUYxmxJ.png


    7GA1X4Y.png

    MbUYekb.png

    pw8y9oT.png


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    #101
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Decent fall of hail in Kildare now. Roofs turning a little white with it. The excitement is surreal....


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    #102
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    One thing out of this is that the EURO$ is going to have a spectacular success and catch us all out or is going to show itself up as being way over the top, it really is out on its own with snowfall predictions, looks like it is on steroids.


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    #103
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Looking at the radar loop there is definitely a well organized cluster of showers to start feeding in later they look fairly hefty in nature.
    Timing is everything but I would not be surprised if the Midlands and parts of inland East were to get a sprinkling by the morning.
    Plenty of lamp post watching in the offering.


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    #104
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some of the models showing wintry precipitation including snow making its way further inland tomorrow. I think how they handle tonight will give better confidence for tomorrow .


    anim_egl2.gif

    anim_dkg3.gif

    anim_shr7.gif


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    #105
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,133 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Meteorite58 wrote: »
    One thing out of this is that the EURO$ is going to have a spectacular success and catch us all out or is going to show itself up as being way over the top, it really is out on its own with snowfall predictions, looks like it is on steroids.

    Its a decent short term model I have always liked. Just for rhe record, I was using it to track possible snow in the NW Alps before a ski trip last week and its bullish forecast for snow one night was much more accurate than the Arome and Hirlam equivalents (but it wasnt on its own and had support from Aperge, Icon and the GFS).


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    #106
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Decent convective showers all ready to roll into the west. Higher ground is going to get pasted. Plenty of sparks along the west coast I’d imagine.

    2-E1-FBB80-72-C1-41-CD-B31-B-1-D2677-E46686.jpg


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    #107
    6541
    Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭6541


    YR Has rain for Mayo


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    #108
    fred funk }{
    Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭fred funk }{


    Anybody know where I can view current temps across the country in real time?


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    #109
    downwiththatsor
    Registered Users Posts: 910 ✭✭✭downwiththatsor


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
    fred funk }{ wrote: »
    Anybody know where I can view current temps across the country in real time?
    https://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/temperatures.php?region=uk

    And "Point de rosée" on left margin is dew point.


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    #110
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Also wow.met.ie.

    (I have no idea why the URL doesn't work)


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    #111
    fred funk }{
    Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭fred funk }{


    downwiththatsor wrote: »
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=

    https://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/temperatures.php?region=uk

    And "Point de ros on left margin is dew point.


    Thank you, Sir.


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    #112
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,500 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Decent convective showers all ready to roll into the west. Higher ground is going to get pasted. Plenty of sparks along the west coast I’d imagine.

    2-E1-FBB80-72-C1-41-CD-B31-B-1-D2677-E46686.jpg

    Latest model guidance suggests snow with that trough focused on the northwest and north midlands early tonight. Touch and go for other areas. It may just be rain elsewhere but snow can't be ruled out either particularly in heavier pulses.

    Ditto on the thunderstorm risk, some heavy hail showers in coastal areas as well.


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    #113
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Rebelbrowser wrote: »
    Its a decent short term model I have always liked. Just for rhe record, I was using it to track possible snow in the NW Alps before a ski trip last week and its bullish forecast for snow one night was much more accurate than the Arome and Hirlam equivalents (but it wasnt on its own and had support from Aperge, Icon and the GFS).

    Interesting. Good test for it tonight /tomorrow, it's a model I would love if it could prove to be a bit more accurate, have noticed it can over do the rainfall predictions and wind speeds.Timing is good. For the record below is what it is predicting.

    Showing colder 850 hPa temperatures than the French models and bringing the freezing level much lower.

    anim_ymn8.gif

    anim_ojw7.gif

    anim_omk9.gif

    anim_koi7.gif


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    #114
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,426 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Going to be an interesting night,
    Working the death shift tonight something to keep me occupied.


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    #115
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,894 ✭✭✭pauldry


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Also wow.met.ie.

    (I have no idea why the URL doesn't work)

    This link is hopeless on my phone

    Stick to meteociel if on mobile


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    #116
    Oneiric 3
    Registered Users Posts: 6,235 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    Forecast for midnight from the UK Met Office. Minor troughs closing in on NW coasts, so a pep up in shower activity up there with maybe the odd spark or two:

    url]

    New Moon



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    #117
    YanSno
    Registered Users Posts: 358 ✭✭YanSno


    Snowfall confined on high grounds only. Areas most at risk North half of the country, It's quite a long fetch i don't see much penetrating past the Midlands only organised bands might make it to the East Coast which is more likely to be sleet, snow on heavier bursts. I wouldn't keep my hopes up if i was in the East coast.


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    #118
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,734 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    YanSno wrote: »
    Snowfall confined on high grounds only. Areas most at risk North half of the country, It's quite a long fetch i don't see much penetrating past the Midlands only organised bands might make it to the East Coast which is more likely to be sleet, snow on heavier bursts. I wouldn't keep my hopes up if i was in the East coast.

    that's how it usually is with these 'cold' westerlies and I don't expect this one to be any different, far too long of an ocean track to have any real wintry impact away from high ground or brief dustings in lucky places. Having said that anyone who does see flakes, they could be the only flakes of the winter.


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    #119
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,500 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Trough coming on shore over the next couple of hours in western counties.

    lastsnowradar_uk.gif

    The northwest likely to be the focus for snowfall with this (and down in to the north midlands) this evening/early tonight which may leave some accumulations. Wintry elsewhere, more of a mixed bag with rain/sleet/snow.

    Hail/sleet/snow showers then continuing overnight in the northwest, much more scattered elsewhere.


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    #120
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    No more sunshine.

    The sun has been defeated by dark heavy clouds being driven dramatically across the sky at great speed, but still fighting to break through.. Wind has risen to the occasion and is starting to howl in great gusts

    Clouds scudding in and as if being driven on to the land in great swathes.

    Bitter cold flays the skin.... Soon be falling something icy.


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    #121
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,889 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Confidence growing now in a spell of sleet and snow crossing the country tomorrow evening. The gfs is very bullish about it and could well leave a few cms in its wake on a Nationwide scale!
    As for tonight it's looking more rain than snow


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