The Golf Tips Thread

Mantis Toboggan · 06-08-2020 1:06pm

Few bets this week.

Ryan Palmer top 20 finish 9/2

Ancer to win his 3 ball today 11/10

Hatton e/w 50/1

Woodland e/w 50/1

Matt Fitz e/w 45/1

Rory McIlroy e/w 22/1 first round leader

Best of luck

Johnny_Fontane · 06-08-2020 1:07pm

Bryson is my big bet.
Adam Scott at 60/1 is bananas (even though he hasnt played since restart)
Couple of small bets on the Butterman (Im), Webb, Berger, Cantlay.

blindside88 · 06-08-2020 1:11pm

Went with Xander ew and also did him for R1 leader. Might back someone else on Saturday morning if he doesn’t perform

4068ac1elhodqr · 06-08-2020 1:21pm

Very small glitch in the matrix, but can avail of 1stRL (early) which is a smaller field than the (late 9:12+) field.

Both parts have 5pl each, but (early) contains only 4 of the top 10WRs, including the projected #1, Rory is in there too, but runs either very hot or very cold recently.
This may(might) somewhat imply 10/11pl for 1RL overall.

Johnny_Fontane · 06-08-2020 1:25pm

Alot of love for Xander. I'd have serious question marks about his mettle. Had chances before in Majors but ultimately never there at the shakeup. 4 wins in 5 years on tour.

He's the post rickie rickie

iluvfatfrogs · 06-08-2020 2:51pm

Xander 5pts ew
Berger 3pts ew
Matsuyama 3pts ew
Lowry 1pt ew
Fitzpatrick 1pt ew

munster87 · 07-08-2020 10:35am

Disappointing near hit in the 3balls yesterday. ðŸ˜”

Loafing Oaf · 07-08-2020 1:17pm

Small outright bets on Rahm, Lowry and Morikawa

but1er · 07-08-2020 2:09pm

Justin Rose leading after the end of r2 16/1 PP small bet

munster87 · 07-08-2020 2:43pm

Small e/w bet on Jamie Donaldson in the English championship, 3 off the lead. Showed some form last week as well. 45/1 Betfair 5 places

The Tetrarch · 08-08-2020 11:44am

Two small bets at the 36 hole stage of the USPGA
Louis Oosthuizen at 1,000
Cameron Smith at 1,000

4068ac1elhodqr · 08-08-2020 12:03pm

The Tetrarch wrote: »

Two small bets at the 36 hole stage of the USPGA
Louis Oosthuizen at 1,000
Cameron Smith at 1,000

Like this style of 'big numbers' approach, in a similar vain, couple of lads (both 5pl).:

Palmer (-4 yesterday) @400
Redman, both @500

The only bonus from R1 was Xander@31 placed (1stRL), which was double the outright odds. Also have (as mentioned other day) featured using 'w/o big6': Xander Schauffele@13 (jt/koepka/rahm/rory/bryson/dj) 5pl, which is about the same price for him on today's standard outright market on 4/5pl.

3rdRL for Haotong Li 2-shot lead, looks a reasonable price even @6.5/7 4pl.
But caution for the 5 big names breathing down his neck.

The real mccoy 91 · 08-08-2020 5:12pm

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Shortlist is a little longer than usual for the week that is in it but with the place terms on offer i don't mind as much all ew punts 1/5 odds

Schaufelle 20/1 8 places (betway)

Dj 22/1 8 places (365)

Morikawa 30/1 10 places (boyles)

Matsuyama 40/1 8 places (365)

Oosthuizen 75/1 8 places (365)

Scheffler 90/1 10 places (pp)

Bubba 100/1 8 places (365)

Champ 150/1 8 places (365)

Van rooyen 150/1 10 places (pp)

6 of the 9 in the top 25 happy enough adding just the one in going with Matthew Wolff 100/1 5 places

zimmermania · 08-08-2020 7:14pm

With nothing to hope for in the golf i got involved again by having a tenner ew 5 places on Li at 16/1 pp.

cknfriedrice1 · 08-08-2020 7:41pm

zimmermania wrote: »

With nothing to hope for in the golf i got involved again by having a tenner ew 5 places on Lee at 16/1 pp.

If he starts solid or even with a couple of birdies after 4 or 5 the 16’s won’t last too long. I still think Brooks wins but I have Fleetwood at 55’s for a few pound.

Loafing Oaf · 09-08-2020 11:29am

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Small outright bets on Rahm, Lowry and Morikawa

Still holding out for this guy
Also on Sky Request-a-bet of Finau/Rose/Fleetwood/Souffle all top 10 for added interest (hopefully)

okidoki987 · 09-08-2020 11:58am

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Still holding out for this guy
Also on Sky Request-a-bet of Finau/Rose/Fleetwood/Souffle all top 10 for added interest (hopefully)

Does the Top 10 include ties?

Loafing Oaf · 09-08-2020 12:03pm

okidoki987 wrote: »

Does the Top 10 include ties?

Think so, not sure. For regular top 5/10 bets it says "dead heat rules may apply"

Was gonna put small outrights on Souffle and Matsuyama but I'm nearly sure either Brooks or DJ will be top dog and it's not worthwhile putting my kind of money on either of them

okidoki987 · 09-08-2020 2:56pm

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

For regular top 5/10 bets it says "dead heat rules may apply"

Yep but the "specials" should be different, big difference if it isn't.

Finau/Rose/Fleetwood/Souffle all top 10

Unless the enhance is big, you will never get the benefit of the "correct odds" on these.
The correct odds for the 4fold isn't just the top 10 odds for each as if you pick one player then that's one place gone so if Finau is player 1, then you are picking 3 to be in the top 9 as Finau takes 1 of the 10 places.
So by the time you get to 4th player, there are 3 of 10 places gone for the bet to win and the odds on the last player should be higher as place numbers are reduced as 3 are already in the 4fold.

unplayable · 09-08-2020 7:10pm

Going in on brooks now. 6/1 will back him each way. 1/5 odds for top 4. I can see a few fading away but not him. Should be a great evenings golf.

munster87 · 09-08-2020 8:20pm

unplayable wrote: »

Going in on brooks now. 6/1 will back him each way. 1/5 odds for top 4. I can see a few fading away but not him. Should be a great evenings golf.

Where did you get the 6/1?

Plasandrunt · 09-08-2020 9:09pm

Have Morikawa backed antipost but i can't see past Koepka or DJ so took some of that 5/1 with PP for Brooks e/w

Loafing Oaf · 09-08-2020 10:02pm

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

I'm nearly sure either Brooks or DJ will be top dog and it's not worthwhile putting my kind of money on either of them

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Small outright bets on Rahm, Lowry and Morikawa

Plasandrunt wrote: »

Have Morikawa backed antipost but i can't see past Koepka or DJ so took some of that 5/1 with PP for Brooks e/w

Hey we're betting buddies:D

iluvfatfrogs · 09-08-2020 11:35pm

Hard to believe that brooks is actually the one man going backwards.
Great final day... no idea who gonna get the W

Plasandrunt · 10-08-2020 2:37am

Plasandrunt wrote: »

Have Morikawa backed antipost but i can't see past Koepka or DJ so took some of that 5/1 with PP for Brooks e/w

Got 25/1 for Morikawa cos i used Skybet playing 11 places, seen bigger with other firms. Awful bet on Koepka, could have saved myself €50

LuckyGent88 · 10-08-2020 8:20am

LuckyGent88 wrote: »

I’d be looking towards the big hitters here anyway. Seems to be just a driving golf course. 7200 yards isn’t that long but as a par 70 and in San Fran weather you will need to be a long hitter.

Hard not to see one of the top 20 in world and the betting not winning this.

I’d be looking at;
Xander (good form, gets going in majors and is from torrey pines which people are comparing Harding Park to)

Brooks (it’s a major!!!))

Bryson (very obvious pick though with the course set up) hope he ain’t the winner anyway.

MoriKawa ( great ball striker, great form and local game for him)

Rahm ( Great driver of the Ball, won on torrey pines like example above and is obviously on form)

Rory just isn’t playing good enough for me to have confidence in him to do well. Obviously good course history so maybe that brings his form back.

FRL — Tony Finau and of course to then fall away

Corey connors and Jason day e/w

Now if only paddy power would let me into my account from abroad so I can make these picks and earn some money.

I’ll try to do some tips every week based on some stats and form. Thought this past week was quite obvious where the selections would be given the course and form of guys.

The real mccoy 91 · 10-08-2020 11:04am

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Shortlist is a little longer than usual for the week that is in it but with the place terms on offer i don't mind as much all ew punts 1/5 odds

Schaufelle 20/1 8 places (betway)

Dj 22/1 8 places (365)

Morikawa 30/1 10 places (boyles)

Matsuyama 40/1 8 places (365)

Oosthuizen 75/1 8 places (365)

Scheffler 90/1 10 places (pp)

Bubba 100/1 8 places (365)

Champ 150/1 8 places (365)

Van rooyen 150/1 10 places (pp)

Winner 3 places with dj and scheff and wolff that I added in champ and xander just short of the places. More than happy with that

okidoki987 · 11-08-2020 12:10pm

Whyndham Golf B&M offers:
PP E/W 8 Places, Money Back if you finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th (including ties) as a Free Bet Max €20.
Boyles E/W 8 Places, Money Back if 2nd, 3rd or 4th, only for Boyle Extra card holders though Max €20.
Ladbrokes E/W 7 places, Money Back if player misses the cut Max €20.

Loafing Oaf · 11-08-2020 12:19pm

Plasandrunt wrote: »

Got 25/1 for Morikawa cos i used Skybet playing 11 places

*does virtual elbow bump*

I got had him @ 40/1 after the first round, no idea if that was value or not...

Three of my top 10 acca came through too but sadly Fleetwood would not would not Fleetwood

okidoki987 · 11-08-2020 3:16pm

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

*does virtual elbow bump*

I got had him @ 40/1 after the first round, no idea if that was value or not...

Three of my top 10 acca came through too but sadly Fleetwood would not would not Fleetwood

As he won it, I'd say it was value all right

.

LuckyGent88 · 12-08-2020 5:07pm

Actually quite hard to look past Webb Simpson this week.
Form player, top ranked player in field and has an absolute love affair with this course. So much so he named a child after the tournament!!!!

Others I like are;
Justin Rose (feel he is really getting his game back in shape after the equipment change)

Brendan Todd. ( May be running out of gas but best driver on tour for accuracy and that is a requirement on this course)

Some outsiders would be Chez e/w and Jason Kokrak e/w

The real mccoy 91 · 12-08-2020 8:30pm

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

The real mccoy 91 · 12-08-2020 8:31pm

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

DJIMI TRARORE · 12-08-2020 10:42pm

EW LUCKY 15

Rose
Ames
Bjerregard
Hall

Mysterypunter · 13-08-2020 1:00am

Kisner has been tipped up by a couple of people here, interesting price differences on him in the top 10, 20 40 markets. Top 10 finish is 23/10 in boyles, 4/1 Ladbrokes are 2nd best price. 9/2in powers, cut from 6-1. Top 20 9-4 powers and top 40 11/10. These prices are 21-20 & 2-5 in boyles. Big difference of opinion. The 6-1 went about 20 mins ago. He is still 33-1 outright in Ladbrokes ew quarter 5 places, or on the boyles machines, which sometimes have different prices. Think powers cut him outright, but didn't cut him in the other markets. The other player I was considering for this is Billy Horschel, but I binned him this week. Might back him on Saturday if he is in the frame, but he has started slowly in recent events, and can't play more than 3 or 4 holes without a mistake.

Mysterypunter · 13-08-2020 1:12am

Forgot to say this as well, but boyles in running betting is sometimes slow to update, and if you listen to PGA tour radio, it is sometimes well ahead of it. Bet 365 updates in a flash at the weekend but is sometimes behind on Thursday and Friday, but boyles have often been slow on the Sunday, so that could be an angle, as it is perfectly within the rules to punt away at a better price.

Mantis Toboggan · 13-08-2020 1:42pm

Small each way on Brendan Todd at 35/1

okidoki987 · 13-08-2020 2:16pm

Mysterypunter wrote: »

Forgot to say this as well, but boyles in running betting is sometimes slow to update, and if you listen to PGA tour radio, it is sometimes well ahead of it. Bet 365 updates in a flash at the weekend but is sometimes behind on Thursday and Friday, but boyles have often been slow on the Sunday, so that could be an angle, as it is perfectly within the rules to punt away at a better price.

Also happens on the SSBT machines when the machine prices don't update as quick as the exchanges.

Mysterypunter · 16-08-2020 5:34am

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

Good call on Varner

The real mccoy 91 · 17-08-2020 9:09am

The real mccoy 91 wrote: »

Small stakes this week as itll be a birdie fest and it could throw up a winner from nowhere 5 picks for me

English 25/1 5 places
Kisner 28/1 8 places
Henley 45/1 8 places
Stanley 100/1 5 places
Ventura 150/1 8 places

Couple of cross doubles Henley and english into larrazabal 55s and arnaus 50s

And 2 frl pokes in america 5 places
Niemann 60/1
Varner III 66/1

Full place for kisner and varner III tied for the first round lead so turns a profit for the week nonetheless. Henley a shot short of a place would have made it a very nice weekend

Mantis Toboggan · 19-08-2020 7:57pm

Small e/w On DJ at 20/1

and small e/w On Louis oosthezen...at 90/1

The real mccoy 91 · 19-08-2020 9:05pm

3 from each for the small ew doubles this week

wales open 7 places
Pieters 10/1
Fox 33/1
Croker 40/1

Northern trust 8 places
DJ 18/1
Cantlay 25/1
Wolff 40/1

Main picks for the northern trust

Wolff 50s (5 places)
Woodland 55s (8 places)
Champ 80s (5)
Kuchar 100/1(8)

First round leader pokes
Finau 40/1 (6)
Moore 90/1(6)
Grillo 100/1(6)
Wolff 60/1(6)

LuckyGent88 · 19-08-2020 9:32pm

Looking at Jason Day this week.

Seems to be much healthier now and back in form. Has a good record on the course too.

HV3 as an outside bet looks good value along with Kokrak and Abe Ancer.

Likelihood though is that it will be a big time player that wins.
Rory has a super record on this course so look for him to bounce back in form.
Also hard to look away from the Huld Bryson too anymore

DJIMI TRARORE · 19-08-2020 10:41pm

Small ew patent

Ancer US
Green Wales
Maguire Womens

charlesanto · 19-08-2020 11:31pm

E/W Trixie;
Womens British Open; Stacy Lewis 35/1, 7plcs
Wales Open; Andrew Johnston 22/1, 7plcs
The Northern Trust; Sung-Jae Im 45/1, 8plcs

Wales Open; 7plcs E/W
Andrew Johnston 22/1
Thomas Pieters 10/1
Sami Valimaki 60/1

The Northern Trust; 8plcs E/W
Webb Simpson 25/1
Sung-Jae Im 45/1
Kevin Kisner 60/1

zimmermania · 20-08-2020 9:52am

It's a while since I had a golf winner and if I stuck to golf betting I could put PP down as ok ne of my dependants on my tax return,the only consolation is that golf betting is a long term investment compared to horse racing and it takes me longer to lose my money.

However undaunted I backed Patrick Reed ew to win on track that has good memories for him and he is playing well at the moment,a tenner ew as usual.

tinpib · 20-08-2020 10:25am

Have also done Patrick Reed at 30 as he has a good recent record, likewise Matsuyama 42, and Woodland 80. Emiliano Grilo has a decent record and was priced at 410 so why not?

All done on BFX and have done a cautious top 20 finish on each at not great odds.

Mysterypunter · 24-08-2020 1:25am

Has to be Phil Mickelson. Boyles went 11-4 and cut it without laying it as usual. Powers are the same price as them now at 5-2. Powers have pushed him out from 2-1. The tournament starts at 3:45, he is teeing off at 8:20, and its his senior tour debut, a 54 hole event. In the world rankings, Mickelson is at 52, the next man in the rankings is KJ Choi 467, followed by Els 481, Striker 521, Jerry Kelly 900 and Langer 1217. He looks a certainty against this mob, and should win.

24-08-2020 1:33am

If it is a wide open course then maybe, given he still drives on average longer on tour.

its just kinda short given phils disinterest at time if things go wrong earlier

Not to say he plays badly if he plays a lot he will dominate that tour but if these are short tighter courses im not sure id have much interest.

Mantis Toboggan · 24-08-2020 8:24am

Mantis Toboggan wrote: »

Small e/w On DJ at 20/1

and small e/w On Louis oosthezen...at 90/1

Pity Louis never got going on Sunday it would have been a nice bonus.

Anyway should be enough to bankroll my golf betting for the rest of the year.

The Golf Tips Thread

Comments