The Football Tips Thread IV

Big bet going on Benfica corners in the next match

Fener will have 11 men behind the ball and hope they can get somthing on the counter

Headshot wrote: »

Big bet going on Benfica corners in the next match

Fener will have 11 men behind the ball and hope they can get somthing on the counter

Agree 100%, also worth looking at the cards bet, Ferna games are card magnets

Just a little bet really but all of the Prem games on saturday look like having goals in them, over 1.5 in all of them bar Stoke/Norwich pays @ 2.67

Dutch Eredivisie - Vitesse v Willem - Vitesse To Win & Over 2.5 Goals - 1.55 (William Hill)
German Bundesliga - Bayer Leverkusen v Werder Bremen - Over 2.5 Goals - 1.47 (BetVictor)

Leicster win
Lille win
Double 2/1 £50

Wigan v Tottenham
Saturday, 27th April, 15:00

I have researched this match for a BETTING LOG I am running on FACEBOOK so will share my take on this match.

This is without a doubt the most important fixture in the Premier League this weekend with relegation and champions league places in the mix. Wigan won the last meeting in November thanks to a single goal from Ben Watson, who misses out on this match with a broken leg, however the scoreline did not reflect that match as Tottenham had 10 shots on target to Wigans 4. Another factor was that it was Tottenhams 4th away match in a row including a trip to Slovenia so fatigue/jet lag would play a part.

Wigan are going in to this match with a healthy squad bar Alcaraz, and Tottenham have their strongest squad available in the previous few months with only Gallas, Kaboul, Sandro on the treatment table.

Andre Villas-Boas confirmed that Aaron Lennon is in contention to play, but may have to make do with a place on the substitutes' bench, with Clint Dempsey continuing on the right.

Wigan will be looking to take advantage of playing at home after playing 3 consecutive away matches and will have to go for the win in this match to avoid relegation while Tottenham are perfectly suited to play counter attacking football and will have to gain maximum points before the crucial trip to Chelsea on the 8th May.

Gareth Bale is 6 goals behind Van Persie and will want to push on for the golden boot in his final five matches of the season.

Some match stats:

-Wigan have won three and lost seven of their past 15 meetings with Tottenham.
-Tottenham have only lost one of their previous seven trips to Wigan (W3, D3, L1).
-Roberto Martinez's side have the division's worst record against top-half opposition this season, with 13 defeats and just two wins in 16 matches.
-Tottenham have led in 13 away games this season, the second best in the league.
-Tottenham have conceded in their last eight league matches - their longest run without a clean sheet since a 17-match streak in 2010.
-Wigan have the highest percentage of second-half goals (68%) in the division.
-Wigan have exactly the same number of points as they did after 33 games last season – they won four of their final five matches in 2011-12.
-Jermain Defoe has scored 10 goals in 12 Premier League appearances against Wigan.
-Tottenham have averaged 3 match goals in the league this season (66% over 2.5 goals).
-Wigan have averaged 2.94 match goals in the league this season (66% over 2.5 goals).

Wigan Squad: Robles, Al Habsi, Boyce, Stam, Scharner, Golobart, Caldwell, Figeuroa, Beausejour, Gomez, McCarthy, Espinoza, McArthur, Maloney, McManaman, Kone, Di Santo, Henriquez.

Tottenham Squad: Lloris, Friedel, Archer, Walker, Naughton, Dawson, Caulker, Vertonghen, Assou-Ekotto, Holtby, Livermore, Dembele, Carroll, Parker, Ceballos, Huddlestone, Sigurdsson, Lennon, Dempsey, Bale, Adebayor, Defoe, Coulthirst.

Out of 64 matches analysed this weekend this match has the 3rd highest probability of Both Teams To Score however due to Tottenhams form if you are going to have a bet on this match OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.8 (BetVictor) offers the best value.

Radonman wrote: »

Austria Football - Kapfenburg, KSV1919 V Polten : these teams are a bit goal crazy Both are 4/5 over 3.5 goals and 1919 are 4/5 over 2.5 @ home and Polten are 4/5 over 2.5 away, odds are poor @ 4/7 but may be good for a stocking filler also 6/4 for over 3.5 - My main bet is 1919 to win @ 10/11, there in great form winning last 4/5 drawing the other whereas Polten have been very poor in the second half of their league

Feck that 1-1 after 36 mins and no more - that hurt

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Rabat Ajax (vs Melita)@ 1.28 looks a cert...

the odds on Rabat have dropped from 2.50 to 1.28! Here's a preview of this game if anyone's interested : http://www.timesofmalta.com/articles/view/20130426/football/Rabat-look-to-edge-closer-to-safety.467130

Rabat won 4-1

looking forward to betting on the Maltese league again tomorrow

There's a HUGE game tomorrow in Malta, will do a short write up tomorrow when the odds are published, it should be the bet of the week imo, really can't see that game being fixed given that it's almost a title decider

Spurs seem a huge price tomorrow.

So gone for over 11 corners in the spurs game. I feel its a must win for both teams which should result in a open game I hope @ 1/1

Paully D wrote: »

I've been reeled in by the prices on Spurs and Stoke.

Stoke very risky I know but at 13/10 at home to a Norwich team who haven't won away in the league since the beginning of December and Stoke needing a win to seal survival I've gone in on them.

Pains me to say it but i'm gonna back Stoke too....swore about 2 months ago on here never to back them again, but confidence is high after last weeks win and Norwich are fairly pathetic away from home....13/10 just too good to turn down.

Gone with Spurs and Everton double.

Spurs form should see them through and Everton have a good record against Fulham.