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Irish Weather Statistics

1235723

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,577 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Never thought about it actually, January 2013 and 2015 are the closest I can think of but they were more damp squibs than anything.

    Perhaps another thing to for you to check out? Second halves of Jan do seem to be devoid of much in the way of proper cold for many a yr now. Remarkable really.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    Januarys in general have underdelivered considering it's supposedly our coldest month. The only real notable cold spell I can recall in my lifetime was in 2009


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,577 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    Januarys in general have underdelivered considering it's supposedly our coldest month. The only real notable cold spell I can recall in my lifetime was in 2009

    Think you mean Jan 2010. First half of that month was great but yet again 2 Nd half pretty unmemorable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Billcarson wrote: »
    Think you mean Jan 2010. First half of that month was great but yet again 2 Nd half pretty unmemorable.

    Early January 2009 was also very cold, but dry and not a lot of snow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Billcarson wrote: »
    Perhaps another thing to for you to check out? Second halves of Jan do seem to be devoid of much in the way of proper cold for many a yr now. Remarkable really.

    I'll look at it anyway and compare the lowest minimum temperatures of historical second halves of January, if I can.

    Will post it here as always when finished.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,577 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Early January 2009 was also very cold, but dry and not a lot of snow.

    Oh yes ,think the first few days were very cold. Especially so in England if i recall,think water fountains in London froze up or something,that sticks in my mind on the news at the time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Januarys in general have underdelivered considering it's supposedly our coldest month. The only real notable cold spell I can recall in my lifetime was in 2009

    February is the coldest month, on average.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Yep, February is the coldest month on average in regards to the IMT:

    1981-2010 Winter IMT averages

    December: 5.6
    January: 5.5
    February: 5.3
    Winter: 5.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    Looking at the 81-10 averages the coastal stations are generally colder in Feb but anything even slightly inland is colder in January. And anyway I'd say February has underperformed just as much as January (2010 again the exception), especially in the past decade it's felt more like a Spring month most years.

    December and March have produced almost all the notable snowfalls I can remember


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Minimum temperatures for the period January 16th-31st

    2017: N/A
    2016: -4.5c at Durrow, Co. Laois on the 16th
    2015: -6.2c at Dunsany, Co. Meath on the 19th
    2014: -2.5c at Dungarvan, Co. Waterford on the 19th
    2013: -6.4c at Gurteen, Co. Tipperary on the 23rd
    2012: -4.0c at Castleconnell, Co. Limerick on the 28th

    **Monthly minimums here are not exact degrees as in the old Met Éireann bulletins, they rounded temperatures to the closest/highest full figure - they changed this in 2012. They also do not give location names. Exceptions to this are Januaries where minimums for the month are recorded in the period 16th-31st, then they give the figure and location in the temperature section of their bulletin. So I apologise for those years with rounded up temperatures and no location**

    2011: -8.6c at Waterford on the 31st
    2010: -5c on the 25th
    2009: -2c on the 21st/28th
    2008: -1c on the 30th
    2007: -4c on the 23rd/25th
    2006: -6.7c at Birr, Co. Offaly on the 30th
    2005: -4.6c at Glenties, Co. Donegal on the 23rd
    2004: -7.7c at Kilkenny on the 29th
    2003: -3c on the 23rd/30th/31st
    2002: -1c on the 18th/24th
    2001: -7.0c at Derrygreenagh, Co. Offaly on the 16th
    2000: -5.0c at Ardfert, Co. Kerry on the 15th
    1999: -3c on the 21st/22nd
    1998: -5.2c at Phoenix Park, Co. Dublin on the 20th
    1997: -6c on the 21st
    1996: -7.7c at Kilkenny on the 28th

    Information is originally sourced from Met Éireann's monthly weather bulletins.

    I'll update on more soon, so far 2011 is the coldest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Here's more of the 16th-31st January minimums

    1995: -3.6c at Ardee, Co. Louth on the 30th
    1994: -5c on the 29th
    1993: -2.8c at Markree, Co. Sligo on the 31st
    1992: -6c on the 27th/28th
    1991: -8.0c at Markree, Co. Sligo on the 31st


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Unlike Summers ending in "8", there's far less of a coincidence for Summers ending in "9" with quite a mix of them in there.

    SUdq0UV.jpg

    Data is sourced from the Hadley Centre.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Some people had the theory that Winters following Summers ending in "8" were very cold and wintry. However, this table I made of said Winters using the CET and 1981-2010 averages, proves that theory is wrong and there's quite a mix in there, especially Decembers.

    71SBzuq.png

    Data sourced from the Hadley Centre & NOAA


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    All this bashing at Met Éireann this Winter and these storms has got me wondering when they've actually made bad mistakes. I looked back on the previous two windstorm seasons - 2015/16 & 2016/17, I found one "storm" that was named by Met Éireann but was an absolute fail and literally nobody remembers.

    This "storm" being Ewan of February 2017.

    CFSR_1_2017022606_1.png

    This is the description of it on Wikipedia:
    Storm Ewan was named by Met Éireann four days after Doris on 25 February and impacted Ireland on 26 February 2017. Ewan failed to form a low pressure system and damage was limited in Ireland to strong winds on the south coast.

    Maximum wind gust was 70mph.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,684 ✭✭✭Darwin


    I have data on this one :) So the original met warning was as follows:

    Orange wind warning from met.ie for Wexford, Cork, Kerry and Waterford. Southwesterly winds gusting 110 to 120Kmh.
    Yellow wind Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, Clare,
    Limerick and Tipperary. Mean speeds of 50 to 65Kmh, gusting 90 to 110Kmh.

    The automated forecasts for places near my location were:
    - Windfinder superforecast: 23 gust 43knots @ midday
    - yr.no (showing peak of 8ms @midday, again Laois area)
    - xcweather forecast for Gurteen 44mph (@ 11.20ish)
    - Windiest spell forecast from Shannon airport TAF: 25 gust 38 knots.

    Some screengrabs from the met.ie short range wind forecast (note they show different charts for the same forecast time as the models updated nearer the event)

    nHTjOPFm.jpg

    gFoHTqYm.jpg

    Finally, my own brief observations after the event:

    Storm only designated night before (very late).
    Small low of 986Hpa developing over Clare moving quickly North Eastwards and deepening.
    Dublin airport max gust of 46mph.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    January 1982 is a month that a lot of people whom were school kids at the time, have a lot of nostalgia for because of the weather that took place. Well what was special about January 1982? After all, it had an IMT of 5.2c, which comes to -0.3c below the 1981-2010 average and this is a very unremarkable mean temperature but the devil really is in the detail for what happened during this month. It was certainly THE month to be a school kid. We'll get into the excitement of this January in a short bit here.

    After a very cold December which was the coldest of the 20th century, the first few days of January were mild and unsettled. It was cloudy with southwesterlies dominating the pattern over the Emerald Isle. This brought widespread rain to places, most notably on the 2nd and 3rd.

    However, this mild and unsettled interlude did not last long and things were set to get absolutely bitter! Greenland and Scandinavian blocks did not disappear at all during the short mild spell. They returned to effect Ireland with an absolute vengeance of cold and snowy conditions. Cold started getting going on the 6th and widespread heavy snowfalls occurred, beginning in southern regions on the 7th and extending to most regions on the 8th. Gale force easterly winds caused severe blizzards across much of the east and midlands. Snow drifts were between 2-5 metres in parts giving off to one of the most severe blizzards to ever affect Ireland. Some of the west and northwest escaped the snow entirely because they were close to the block of high pressure. The severe cold did not really set in 'til the 9th and 10th when temperatures started to take a deep plunge. The UK had dropped down to -27.2c on January 10th, the equal lowest UK minimum temperature ever recorded - with February 1895 and December 1995. The severe cold allowed the lying snow to continue to lay on the ground for multiple days up to the 14th. A slow thaw then set in from the southwest and the rest of January became changeable but mild and unsettled making the extreme cold spell and the blizzards seem like a distant memory.

    The lowest temperature seen during this spell in Ireland was -14.6c at Birr on January 12th, not as low as Lullymore's -18.8c on January 2nd 1979, just 3 years before hand.

    However, people certainly did make the most of the snow! Here's a video from RTÉ archives showing everybody taking advantage of the snow by tobogganing in Phoenix Park:

    http://www.rte.ie/archives/2016/0115/760459-the-big-snow/

    http://www.rte.ie/archives/2017/0109/843625-freezing-weather-continues/

    These were the greatest snow depths across the Met Éireann stations in Ireland showing how significant the snow was:

    5zjaFCD.png

    NOAA_1_1982010812_1.png

    NOAA_1_1982011212_1.png

    NOAA_1_1982011018_2.png

    http://www.dailyedge.ie/ireland-big-snow-1982-1238041-Dec2013/

    https://www.independent.ie/entertainment/flashback-1982-ireland-comes-to-a-standstill-during-the-big-snow-34341111.html

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2054920482

    http://www.turtlebunbury.com/history/history_irish/history_irish_big_snow.htm

    Information is originally from Met Éireann.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    Interesting info, at first glance the charts look fairly innocuous but as you say the devil is in the detail, looks like it was one of those knife edge situations where, for once, we were on the right side of marginal. Looks like it would have been a complete non event for Donegal and most of the west and south but from the accounts on here it was definitely one to remember in the east.

    Interesting as well that Dec 1995 was so cold, the snowfall that Christmas is alongside Dec 2000 the most memorable snow event I experienced after 2010 growing up in Donegal though I've never actually looked up any charts or records


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The IMT for January 2018 was 5.2c, -0.3c below the 1981-2010 average. Northern Ireland had a large impact in the negative anomaly 'cause much of the Republic of Ireland was warmer than average.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The IMTs for 1967 here have been calculated now.

    8kNgRA1g.png

    All IMTs are originally calculated from Met Éireann and UKMO's historical data.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    I posted part 1 of the Winter 1946-47 article in October on this thread and I think it's a good time to post part 2 of it here.

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=104851918&postcount=142

    In part 1, I discussed December 1946 and the teasers that the Winter was foreshadowing in that month for what was going to come in February 1947. This time, we'll be going into the actual cold and snowy spell that everybody remembers this Winter for. It's going to be a very long post so please sit tight, get some popcorn and enjoy it! :D

    Since the first part, I have calculated the IMTs for each of the Winter months in 1946-47. December 1946 had an IMT of 3.9c which is -1.7c below the 1981-2010 average. However, the 1981-2010 average is quite a warm dataset and December had quite some swings in temperature so this mean temperature isn't all that impressive as it seems at first sight - like compare it to December 2010's IMT of -0.7c.

    The strong Polar Vortex at the end of December continued into January 1947 with Atlantic depressions trying to push in against the intense Scandinavian block that is really trying hard to turn the winds into the east. This is evident on the 4th January where the winds briefly go into the east - the UK gets some of the continental cold air but Ireland never really taps into it.

    NOAA_1_1947010112_1.png

    NOAA_1_1947010418_1.png

    NOAA_1_1947010418_2.png

    The Scandinavian block pushes over to Russia by the 9th January and we become stuck in an Atlantic regime with some very mild temperatures at times. The winds are mainly southerly - hard to believe what was going to happen around the latter half of the month.

    On the 17th January, low pressure starts clearing away and high pressure tries to ascend from the south ending the very mild and unsettled conditions.

    NOAA_1_1947011712_1.png

    The high went up to Scandinavia on the 21st and then successfully brought the winds into the east whilst low pressure strikes Iberia. In these easterly winds, it became severely cold very fast with daytime temperatures barely getting above freezing by the 24th.

    NOAA_1_1947012112_1.png

    NOAA_1_1947012412_1.png

    NOAA_1_1947012418_2.png

    The easterly winds continued for the rest of January bringing in a lot of severe frost and ice along with snow showers. January's IMT ended at 2.8c in spite of all the very mild and unsettled weather it brought at the start. By the 31st January and 1st February, the Atlantic started battling against these easterly winds by a low pressure pushing into the south of Ireland. This laid for around 2-3 days straight before moving towards the English Channel by the 4th. During this time, it brought some heavy snowfall to parts, particularly the midland regions.

    NOAA_1_1947020118_1.png

    Easterly winds persisted again and again through February 1947 with more and more snow showers. Another low pressure system tried to push into the south of Ireland on the 8th. This low had gone to the English Channel by the 10th.

    NOAA_1_1947020818_1.png

    For around 12-14 days, it was just easterly winds bringing bitterly cold air to all and snow showers, especially in the eastern half of the country - as expected with easterlies.

    A little low pushed up from the southwest on the 24th into the 25th and brought the greatest blizzard to ever hit Ireland - even better than the January 1982 blizzard. Let me read you a few paragraphs from Ireland's Arctic Siege of 1947: The Big Freeze of 1947 (which is a book that a Boards.ie user recommended to me and I love it!) on this blizzard.
    About midday on 24 February, a cable from Russia had Dublin's "weather experts" buzzing over news that Moscow's temperature had reached 33 degrees fahrenheit (1c) by 8 a.m, with scattered rain. This created a "meteorological hubbub", which prompted some prognosticators to conclude that the warmer weather in Russia "may at least indicate that Europe's icy spell is ending." The Irish Independent blared the good news: "Hopes for a break in cold spell."

    That afternoon, the Evening Herald predicted that Tuesday the 25th would be a dandy day with "fine weather... moderate winds... good bright periods." Around the country, spirits rose.

    In the middle of the night of 24/25 February, the storm slammed into Ireland with meteoric impact. Under the cover of darkness, it churned across the landscape like some giant locomotive. By 3 a.m. the snow was so dense that "visibility was reduced almost to nil" accumulating inches per hour. A replica of the other blizzards - only far mightier.

    Early on Tuesday morning, an ESB spokesman revealed that damage to the major trunk lines was so "very much worse" than with the previous blizzards that "conditions beggar description". In like manner, Post Office officials stated that their "entire telephone trunk line" was so badly torn asunder that "communications are in chaos". People around the country were cut off from communicating with one another and with the outside world. In the capital, emergency services - hospitals, doctors, fire brigade, ambulances, Garda stations - were unreachable. City life was brought to a halt. Legislators living in the suburbs and outside counties were stranded, with 131 of the combined Dáil and Seanad membership of 198 absent that day.

    The countryside was smothered. Three to six feet of new snow atop that already embedded. In parts of the midlands, Connacht and Co. Wicklow drifts of twenty feet were common. When Christy Wynne awoke in Boyle, Co. Roscommon, everything had "disappeared under a huge blanket of snow.... There were drifts fifteen feet high. The town looked like a lost village in Siberia". The reliable Irish Times would verify at least one "50-foot drift near Glencree" and that the "hamlet of Moneystown at Roundwood has been lost in the snow".

    Landscapes were wildly and weirdly transformed by the heavy snow and drifting caused by gale-force winds. A "white desert" one person called it; to another it was a "white wilderness". Unknown. Forbidding. Entire animal herds had simply vanished. Some farmers barely recognised their own strangely distorted land. In Co. Sligo, Thomas Crosby found that the freezing temperatures had "solidified the surface, and it was possible to walk over submerged trees". Scenes out of a fantasy world, or science fiction. Amidst the tortured terrain, an unknown number of people were missing and dead.

    People were calling this monstrous blizzard the "Big Snow". The Dublin Evening Mail identified it as the "white enemy". In after years old-timers would remember it as the "daddy of them all".

    What a blizzard that was on top of already snowed covered ground pretty much across the board. There was certainly no shortage of snow during February 1947. It was the most easterly month on record and I think it's also Ireland's snowiest month on record to this day.

    NOAA_1_1947022512_1.png


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The easterlies had continued into early March 1947 too with Ireland recording its lowest March minimum temperature on record. Markree, Co. Sligo recorded -17.2c on March 3rd.

    NOAA_1_1947030318_2.png

    Milder weather tried to push up from the south at the same time of the record low March temperatures. There was quite a temperature gradient or contrast between the two air masses and it produced another big blizzard to many, especially in Britain. Mild air did not take over 'til the 11th of March though and the big freeze of 1947 finally had ended after more than a month long duration.

    February 1947 had an IMT of -1.1c, making it the second coldest month in the IMT records from what I've calculated. Only January 1963 was colder.

    Sources

    https://books.google.ie/books?id=St_4AwAAQBAJ&pg=PT5&source=gbs_toc_r&cad=3#v=onepage&q&f=false
    https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-memories-of-the-great-irish-blizzard-of-february-1947-34485054.html
    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056107894
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/irelands-arctic-siege-the-big-freeze-of-1947-0lhlfczw9vx
    https://www.independent.ie/life/remembering-the-great-irish-blizzard-of-february-1947-34482677.html
    https://www.irelandsown.ie/the-big-snow-of-1947/

    eIbXdSa.jpg
    gVF5bSf.jpg
    yGIBTmK.jpg
    nWEWb91.jpg
    UELaoxk.jpg
    23xaqEo.jpg
    ERuHhJy.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The lowest Ireland temperature in February 1947 I know of is -12.2c at Mullingar, Co. Westmeath on the 23rd.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Due to the similarities being made courtesy of the SSW to 1985, I think my next "article" or big post here will be on January 1985.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,958 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    That was a good read Sryan'. You truly are the Jimmy Magee of weather facts and stats.
    Thanks for all the effort you put into doing this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,958 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    sryanbruen wrote: »

    Was there an SSW event that year? It's just incredible to think about how long the cold lasted. Although if Netweather had been around back then some posters would be looking to day 67 for the breakdown.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Was there an SSW event that year? It's just incredible to think about how long the cold lasted. Although if Netweather had been around back then some posters would be looking to day 67 for the breakdown.

    The stratosphere chart archive only goes back to 1979 so I can't show these but a big Canadian Warming took place in November 1962 followed by a SSW in February 1963.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Longing wrote: »
    Heavy snow showers first week of May 1997.

    May 1997 was a very interesting month.

    It started off with a ridge of high pressure over the country from the last few days of April bringing some very pleasant warm sunshine. Temperatures reached 23 and 24c on the 1st and 2nd May 1997.

    NOAA_1_1997050118_2.png

    This was quickly changed to a northerly outbreak that you've shown around the 5th onwards as a low pressure pushes in from the west and then stalls to the east of Britain forcing the winds to become northerlies.

    The -5c isotherm hit the northwest of Ireland on May 5th.

    NOAA_1_1997050518_2.png

    Met Éireann description for May 6th:
    Cold day with sunny spells and wintry showers, some of hail or snow and with isolated thunderstorms. Moderate north to northwesterly winds, but fresh to strong near coasts in Ulster and north Connaught, were blustery in showers. Frosty early and some ground frost late in the day.

    Rainfall: trace to 6mm
    Temperature: max. 7c to 11c, min. -1c to 3c; ground temperatures down to -3c in the midlands
    Sunshine: 7 to 11 hours

    NOAA_1_1997050618_2.png

    Hard to believe that was a day in May. It was the only day to have snow according to Met Éireann in May 1997. Fethard, Co. Tipperary got down to -1.6c on the 7th.

    NOAA_1_1997050812_1.png

    This cool showery weather ended on the 13th and conditions had began to improve with 22c being recorded on the 16th in an easterly flow.

    NOAA_1_1997051612_2.png

    It was unsettled again for a while from the 18th to the 23rd with some heavy rain on the 18th including a daily rainfall of 29mm at Mullingar.

    NOAA_1_1997051812_1.png

    After a fairly showery month mostly, the last week was very dry, sunny and warm. It was our Summer literally for 1997, as Summer 1997 was extremely wet for some. Ardfert, Co. Kerry recorded a maximum of 28.4c on May 31st, the highest May temperature ever recorded in Ireland - the previous highest being 27.8c in Dublin in May 1922. 25 May 2012 nearly bet this record with a maximum of 28.3c at the same station, just 0.1c short of the 1997 record. There was a lot of sunshine to be enjoyed in the warmth with widespread country amounts of 12 to 15 hours for several days.

    May 1997 ended with an IMT of 11.8c which is +0.5c above the 1981-2010 average. If it were not for the cold, showery weather, it would have been a very warm May in terms of the mean.

    NOAA_1_1997052612_1.png

    NOAA_1_1997053112_1.png

    NOAA_1_1997053118_2.png

    http://www.met.ie/climate/MonthlyWeather/clim-1997-may.pdf





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    I never recall snow lying for 2 or 3 days in Dublin in March. December, January and February ok.

    Even Monday 11th of March 2013, with uppers of -16, brought snow showers which melted when the sun came out.

    Early March 2001.

    After around 10-20cm - even more in some places (see my Winter 2000-01 post here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=105146697&postcount=160) - on February 27th, snow laid for a couple of days in those parts courtesy of some more snow showers during early March and severe cold taking place. Kilbrace in Scotland had recorded a low of -21.7c on March 3rd. This was the lowest temperature of the entire 2000-01 season. Maximum temperatures for many were just around the low single figures (1-4c) for the first few days of March. Casement Aerodrome got down to -9.0c on the 1st. The IMT for March 2001 was 5.8c which is -1.3c below the 1981-2010 average.

    CFSR_1_2001030112_2.png

    Met Éireann even say it themselves that the cold weather allowed snow to lie in Dublin on the front of their monthly weather bulletin for March 2001:

    JjEfyCH.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Early March 2001.

    After around 10-20cm - even more in some places (see my Winter 2000-01 post here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=105146697&postcount=160) - on February 27th, snow laid for a couple of days in those parts courtesy of some more snow showers during early March and severe cold taking place. Kilbrace in Scotland had recorded a low of -21.7c on March 3rd. This was the lowest temperature of the entire 2000-01 season. Maximum temperatures for many were just around the low single figures (1-4c) for the first few days of March. Casement Aerodrome got down to -9.0c on the 1st. The IMT for March 2001 was 5.8c which is -1.3c below the 1981-2010 average.



    Met Éireann even say it themselves that the cold weather allowed snow to lie in Dublin on the front of their monthly weather bulletin for March 2001:


    -15 out beyond the west coast during January 1987 cold spell. Apologies for difficulty in seeing small font on isotherm! New poster seem unable to post images yet.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/reanalysis.php?jaar=1987&maand=1&dag=12&uur=1200&var=2&map=1&model=noaa


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    Remember May 1997 well. That May Bank Hol sryanbruen refers to (wintry) was the day Ken Doherty won the World Snooker Championship!

    1997 may have been a wet summer, the August Bank Hol was infamous for rainfall totals, but it was very warm and between the thunder was a lot of very warm sunny weather in July and August. IIRC 1997 and 1995 were the warmest years on global record pre 2000.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Whilst January 1987 was the coldest of the 80s in Britain, January 1985 was the coldest January of that decade in Ireland. The month had an IMT of 2.3c which is -3.2c below the 1981-2010 average, in comparison to 4.7c in January 1987 which is -0.8c below the 1981-2010 average and was moderated by the milder spells despite the big freeze during mid-month. I will talk about January 1987 in another post as it was such an incredible period of weather and this post is going to be focusing on January 1985 along with the PV split of early 1985.

    The year started off with a significant split of the Polar Vortex within the stratosphere. This was highly unusual and there is still no comparison to it this day in terms of its extreme and occurrence - except perhaps 'til the middle of February 2018 :).

    This PV split is said to have had an effect on the US. This is because a record breaking freeze occurred in the eastern US following it during January 1985 after quite a warm December 1984 in the eastern US. Polar air from Canada pushed into much of the eastern US in January and shattered record low temperatures.

    Due to how different this cold snap was to the warmth that had taken place in December 1984, it is suggested that there was a build up of cold air in the Arctic which was then suddenly released via a quick tropospheric response from the PV split in the stratosphere. For Europe, there doesn't seem to be any mention of this PV split having an effect on the continent but the similarities between both continents were very similar. For instance, December 1984 had an IMT of 6.1c which is +0.5c above the 1981-2010 average so was a rather mild month, compared to January 1985 at only 2.3c.

    84uLTda.png

    January 1985 didn't start on a particular mild note during the PV split either as it was quite cold with a block setting up over us and to the north of Europe. However, any severe cold or snow didn't really reach us 'til mid-month which would be about the minimum time you'd expect to see a tropospheric response from the PV split.

    NOAA_1_1985010112_1.png

    As you can see from charts like this on the 7th January 1985, Ireland is just abouts on the knife edge of quite a cold pool. Nevertheless, there was still a lot of frost and sunshine under the high pressure.

    NOAA_1_1985010718_2.png

    The first week or two was just generally high pressure dominated with severe frosts. By the 11th, high pressure had pushed back down to us before it starts to push over to Scandinavia and turn the winds into the east.

    NOAA_1_1985011118_1.png

    Firmly in a bitter easterly by the 13th/14th January with significant cold air plunging into the eastern half of Ireland in particular which would bring snow showers.

    NOAA_1_1985011318_1.png

    NOAA_1_1985011418_2.png

    By the 16th, snow showers had spread to many parts. They caused quite some chaos in said places, especially in the east. The winter conditions caused havoc for drivers but fun times in the snow for many children whose schools had closed. Chaotic driving conditions affected bus services, and flights in and out of Dublin airport were cancelled or delayed. Snow depths varied between 5 to 22cm.

    NOAA_1_1985011612_1.png

    By the 20th, high pressure had retrogressed to Greenland forming a monster block up there and the Atlantic tries to invade from the south giving away to some heavy snowfalls.

    NOAA_1_1985012018_1.png

    NOAA_1_1985012018_2.png

    The rest of January 1985 was hit and miss with some cold and wintry episodes but in a northwesterly airstream and mild episodes at other times - so quite like Winter 2017-18 here. It stayed mostly cold though.

    NOAA_1_1985012312_1.png

    NOAA_1_1985012712_1.png

    Unfortunately, Met Éireann have no mention of January 1985 in their Snowfall in Ireland document which is quite surprising honestly.

    Some notable temperatures from January 1985:

    - maximum of -1.6c at Mullingar on the 17th
    - maximum of 0.2c at Shannon Airport on the 18th
    - air minimum of -9.5c at Ballinrobe on the 18th
    - grass minimum of -17.8c at Glenties on the 6th

    It was a very dry and sunny January too so it was a beautiful month! Galway had 198% of its sunshine for January and Birr had only 31% of its January rainfall.

    Here's what Trevor Harley says for the UK during January 1985:
    January. Very cold (0.8C CET) with frequent snow in the first three weeks. There was heavy snowfall in Kent on the 5th (25 cm of snow around Ramsgate and Margate), with maxima of -4C. The 7th was a cold day, with temperatures beneath freezing over much of the country; -16 at Jubilee Corner (Kent) on the morning of the 8th. As the cold air retreated temporarily to the continent, temperatures rose for a while, but the cold soon returned with a vengeance around the 13th. Some very low maxima on the 16th, which was one of the coldest days of the century in parts of southern Britain: -6C at Brighton and in Kent on the 16th and Shrewsbury and Wittering on the 17th. 20cms of snow over much of the south. Thaw from the 19th, preceded by a blizzard over the Highlands. There was a minimum of -19C on the 25th, rising to only -9, and a minimum of -22.4 at Aviemore on the 27th, and -23C at Braemar.

    https://www.met.ie/climate-ireland/SnowfallAnal.pdf

    http://www.rte.ie/archives/2015/0115/672875-snow-and-hazardous-conditions-1985/

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_1985_cold_wave

    ux8yOs9.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    These are Ireland's lowest air minimum temperatures for every year since 1988

    2017: -6.6c at Casement Aerodrome on December 11th
    2016: -7.3c at Markree on November 25th
    2015: -7.9c at Dublin Airport on February 3rd
    2014: -7.5c at Thomastown on December 29th
    2013: -7.6c at Markree on March 12th
    2012: -6.7c at Thomastown on February 2nd & Carrickmacross on February 3rd
    2011: -8.3c at Thomastown on January 29th
    2010: -17.5c at Straide on December 25th (-18.7c at Castlederg on December 23rd)
    2009: -10.0c at Mullingar on December 25th
    2008: -7.8c at Derrygreenagh on January 4th
    2007: -8.0c at Cavan on February 7th
    2006: -8.6c at Straide on March 3rd
    2005: -5.6c at Casement Aerodrome on March 3rd
    2004: -7.7c at Kilkenny on January 29th
    2003: -6.3c at Ardee on January 11th
    2002: -9.4c at Ballinamore on January 1st
    2001: -9.0c at Casement Aerodrome on March 1st
    2000: -14.0c at Straide on December 29th
    1999: -6.7c at Clones on January 11th
    1998: -5.5c at Casement Aerodrome on April 10th
    1997: -6.8c at Valentia Observatory on January 3rd
    1996: -5.9c at Casement Aerodrome on December 6th
    1995: -11.0c at Clones on December 27th
    1994: -6.4c at Birr on February 16th
    1993: -7.4c at Ardee on December 26th
    1992: -8.3c at Casement Aerodrome on December 20th
    1991: -13.0c at Gowran Grange on February 10th
    1990: -5.4c at Birr on November 28th & Clones on November 29th
    1989: -7.0c at Kilkenny on November 27th & Birr on December 1st
    1988: -6.9c at Birr on November 21st & Mullingar on November 24th
    1987: -9.2c at Mooncoin on January 13th
    1986: -6.9c at Casement Aerodrome on February 21st
    1985: -9.5c at Ballinrobe on January 18th
    1984: -10.0c at Clones on January 19th/20th
    1983: -6.0c at Glencolmkille on December 10th
    1982: -14.6c at Birr on January 12th
    1981: -12.4c at Mullingar on December 12th
    1980: -8.0c at Ardee on January 2nd
    1979: -16.8c at Ballinrobe on January 1st
    1978: -10.0c at Glenties on February 13th
    1977: -9.0c at Dunsany on January 13th
    1976: -7.6c at Cahirciveen on December 28th

    Information from Met Éireann's weather summaries and bulletins.

    Updated to include 2017 and 1976 to 1978 now, looks like I've found another weird record, -7.6c at Cahirciveen, Co. Kerry on December 28th 1976.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Mad_Lad wrote: »
    Coldest since the 80's ? but I remember much finer spells in the 80's with a lot more days of warm to very warm weather.

    Springs have certainly gotten warmer since the 80s, they were very cool and wintry in the 80s with a large lack of Spring warmth back then. Summers is quite a mixed story. Here's a comparison of Summer IMTs and their anomalies from the 1981-2010 average for you.

    1980-1989

    1980: 14.3 (-0.5)
    1981: 14.1 (-0.7)
    1982: 15.1 (+0.3)
    1983: 16.0 (+1.2)
    1984: 15.7 (+0.9)
    1985: 13.9 (-0.9)
    1986: 14.0 (-0.8)
    1987: 14.5 (-0.3)
    1988: 14.3 (-0.5)
    1989: 15.9 (+1.1)

    2007-2017

    2007: 14.5 (-0.3)
    2008: 14.9 (+0.1)
    2009: 15.4 (+0.6)
    2010: 15.0 (+0.2)
    2011: 13.3 (-1.5)
    2012: 14.2 (-0.6)
    2013: 15.7 (+0.9)
    2014: 15.1 (+0.3)
    2015: 13.5 (-1.3)
    2016: 15.5 (+0.7)
    2017: 14.6 (-0.2)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    IMTs for 1965 & 1966 calculated now.

    Year|Jan|Feb|Mar|Apr|May|Jun|Jul|Aug|Sep|Oct|Nov|Dec|Ann
    1966|4.7|6.6|7.3|7.5|10.5|13.8|14.2|14.0|13.7|9.0|5.6|6.4|9.4
    1965|3.7|3.8|6.1|8.2|10.8|13.1|13.3|13.9|11.3|11.1|5.2|5.3|8.8
    Mean|5.5|5.3|7.1|8.5|11.3|13.7|15.4|15.4|13.0|10.1|7.2|5.6|9.8


    Calculated using Met Éireann's historical data and UKMO's Northern Ireland data.

    EDIT: I finally learned how to do tables on Boards.ie! :p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    IMTs for 1963 and 1964 calculated now.

    Year|Jan|Feb|Mar|Apr|May|Jun|Jul|Aug|Sep|Oct|Nov|Dec|Ann
    1964|5.9|5.5|6.0|8.3|11.8|12.7|14.6|14.2|13.4|9.5|8.0|4.9|9.5
    1963|-1.6|-0.6|6.7|8.0|9.7|13.5|13.8|13.6|12.0|11.1|7.5|4.5|8.1
    Mean|5.5|5.3|7.1|8.5|11.3|13.7|15.4|15.4|13.0|10.1|7.2|5.6|9.8


    Calculated using Met Éireann's historical data and UKMO's Northern Ireland data.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    30/31 March 2010 blizzard charts and videos following February 2010 SSW.

    NOAA_1_2010033012_1.png

    NOAA_1_2010033012_2.png





  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    Just a question some posters may be able to answer. Have we had many recorded ice days in March? And if so any consecutive days?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Just a question some posters may be able to answer. Have we had many recorded ice days in March? And if so any consecutive days?

    I don't remember any ice days in March in my life so far for Ireland (since 2000) but I do know that parts of the UK had some ice days in March 2013, including England. Examples were 11/24/25 March 2013.

    Going by synoptics though I can't say for definite, I think there were ice days in March 1947, March 1962 and March 1965.

    Here's very cold upper air temperature synoptics to show you what I mean in these months.

    NOAA_1_1947030118_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947030218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947030318_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947030518_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947030618_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947030818_2.png

    NOAA_1_1947031418_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962030118_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962030218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962030318_2.png


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Continued from the other post before this.

    NOAA_1_1962030418_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962030518_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962030618_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962031218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962031318_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962032318_2.png

    NOAA_1_1962032418_2.png

    NOAA_1_1965030118_2.png

    NOAA_1_1965030218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1965030418_2.png

    NOAA_1_1965030518_2.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    Thanks for your work sryanb.

    Yes 1947 and early March 1963 had lying snow which would have helped with ice days.

    11th March 2013, especially, were ice days at local stations in Ireland, higher ground etc i'd imagine. Hopefully early March 2018!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Some more very cold upper air charts for Marches historically. I am choosing to look at these Marches in particular for you Large Funeral because they are the coldest Marches for the IMTs I have calculated thus far.

    March 1969

    NOAA_1_1969030118_2.png

    NOAA_1_1969030218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1969032618_2.png

    NOAA_1_1969032718_2.png

    March 1979

    NOAA_1_1979031518_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979031618_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979031718_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979031818_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979031918_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979032118_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979032218_2.png

    NOAA_1_1979032318_2.png


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    In my memory St. Patrick's Day 2006 was a very cold day with grey skies and an easterly with temps hovering around freezing..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    NOAA_1_2006031712_1.png

    NOAA_1_2006031718_2.png

    17 March 2006


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    In my memory St. Patrick's Day 2006 was a very cold day with grey skies and an easterly with temps hovering around freezing..

    Yes, very raw day in maximums of 3-8c. Quite awful conditions!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    March 2013

    NOAA_1_2013031118_2.png

    NOAA_1_2013032518_2.png

    NOAA_1_2013032718_2.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Elmer Blooker had brought up that January 1987's cold snap was very overrated and previously, I said I'd do a post on it. Well, I'm going to do a few here. To start it off:

    Firstly, let's compare the mean temperatures for January 1987 which I find incredibly intriguing.

    The UK mean temperature was 0.7c.
    The Central England mean temperature was 0.8c.
    The Irish mean temperature was 4.7c.

    Look at that huge contrast with such a short distance between both countries! January 1985 was far colder for the IMT with a mean of 2.3c. So the month's mean temperature for Ireland doesn't look all that amazingly cold, does that mean it's overrated? Well for a start, saying something is overrated is very subjective. There's a lot of things I think that are overrated for example, pop music. I hate it, never will understand people's love for it. It is autotuned crap and horrible singers. Does it mean that everybody will agree with me? No it doesn't, people may like it. It is the such here with weather months, periods, events etc. A lot of us enthusiasts love the cold, snowy Winters and hot, sunny Summers but there maybe people who hate such seasons. Overrated is a very subjective term.

    Personally - for Ireland going by statistics I have here (I was not alive then so my opinion is biased to statistics which maybe controversial) - I have to agree with Elmer for saying it's an overrated period of weather that happened here in January 1987. For the UK, it's a whole completely different story, one of the most amazing periods of all-time for cold and snow there. Why do I think this? Well see the minimum temperatures for Ireland for the month for one. Here's some examples:

    Ardee; -8.9c on the 31st
    Ardfert; -8.3c on the 14th
    Ballinamore; -8.4c on the 13th
    Ballinrobe; -8.1c on the 31st
    Belmullet; -5.7c on the 13th
    Birr; -8.9c on the 14th
    Carlow; -7.7c on the 14th
    Cahirciveen; -5.9c on the 13th
    Casement Aerodrome; -7.6c on the 31st
    Claremorris; -7.8c on the 13th
    Clones; -8.0c on the 13th
    Clonroche; -6.7c on the 13th
    Cork Airport; -8.0c on the 13th
    Dublin Airport; -5.2c on the 13th
    Dungarvan; -6.2c on the 13th
    Dunsany; -8.5c on the 31st
    Coolnakilla; -8.3c on 13th
    Galway; -7.7c on the 13th
    Glenamoy; -6.8c on the 13th
    Glencolumbkille; -7.0c on the 14th
    Glenties; -8.2c on the 14th
    John F. Kennedy Park; -6.9c on the 13th
    Johnstown Castle; -6.1c on the 13th
    Kilkenny; -7.0c on the 14th
    Killarney; -7.8c on the 13th
    Kinsealy; -6.6c on the 31st
    Knockavilla; -6.8c on the 13th
    Lullymore; -7.5c on the 31st (the same place that had seen the impressive minimum of -18.8c on January 2nd 1979! Like compare this minimum to the January 1987 minimum)
    Malin Head; -3.9c on the 12th
    Mooncoin; -9.2c on the 13th
    Moore Park; -6.9c on the 13th
    Mullingar; -7.4c on the 13th
    Roche's Point; -7.2c on the 13th
    Rosslare; -4.4c on the 12th/13th
    Shannon Airport; -7.2c on the 13th

    Seeing all these minimums, it doesn't sound impressive to me.

    The impressive nature of the month lies in the upper air temperatures and the maximum temperatures though during the cold snap.

    Data from Met Éireann and UKMO.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Elmer Blooker had brought up that January 1987's cold snap was very overrated and previously, I said I'd do a post on it. Well, I'm going to do a few here. To start it off:

    Firstly, let's compare the mean temperatures for January 1987 which I find incredibly intriguing.

    The UK mean temperature was 0.7c.
    The Central England mean temperature was 0.8c.
    The Irish mean temperature was 4.7c.

    Look at that huge contrast with such a short distance between both countries! January 1985 was far colder for the IMT with a mean of 2.3c. So the month's mean temperature for Ireland doesn't look all that amazingly cold, does that mean it's overrated? Well for a start, saying something is overrated is very subjective. There's a lot of things I think that are overrated for example, pop music. I hate it, never will understand people's love for it. It is autotuned crap and horrible singers. Does it mean that everybody will agree with me? No it doesn't, people may like it. It is the such here with weather months, periods, events etc. A lot of us enthusiasts love the cold, snowy Winters and hot, sunny Summers but there maybe people who hate such seasons. Overrated is a very subjective term.

    Personally - for Ireland going by statistics I have here (I was not alive then so my opinion is biased to statistics which maybe controversial) - I have to agree with Elmer for saying it's an overrated period of weather that happened here in January 1987. For the UK, it's a whole completely different story, one of the most amazing periods of all-time for cold and snow there. Why do I think this? Well see the minimum temperatures for Ireland for the month for one. Here's some examples:

    Ardee; -8.9c on the 31st
    Ardfert; -8.3c on the 14th
    Ballinamore; -8.4c on the 13th
    Ballinrobe; -8.1c on the 31st
    Belmullet; -5.7c on the 13th
    Birr; -8.9c on the 14th
    Carlow; -7.7c on the 14th
    Cahirciveen; -5.9c on the 13th
    Casement Aerodrome; -7.6c on the 31st
    Claremorris; -7.8c on the 13th
    Clones; -8.0c on the 13th
    Clonroche; -6.7c on the 13th
    Cork Airport; -8.0c on the 13th
    Dublin Airport; -5.2c on the 13th
    Dungarvan; -6.2c on the 13th
    Dunsany; -8.5c on the 31st
    Coolnakilla; -8.3c on 13th
    Galway; -7.7c on the 13th
    Glenamoy; -6.8c on the 13th
    Glencolumbkille; -7.0c on the 14th
    Glenties; -8.2c on the 14th
    John F. Kennedy Park; -6.9c on the 13th
    Johnstown Castle; -6.1c on the 13th
    Kilkenny; -7.0c on the 14th
    Killarney; -7.8c on the 13th
    Kinsealy; -6.6c on the 31st
    Knockavilla; -6.8c on the 13th
    Lullymore; -7.5c on the 31st (the same place that had seen the impressive minimum of -18.8c on January 2nd 1979! Like compare this minimum to the January 1987 minimum)
    Malin Head; -3.9c on the 12th
    Mooncoin; -9.2c on the 13th
    Moore Park; -6.9c on the 13th
    Mullingar; -7.4c on the 13th
    Roche's Point; -7.2c on the 13th
    Rosslare; -4.4c on the 12th/13th
    Shannon Airport; -7.2c on the 13th

    Seeing all these minimums, it doesn't sound impressive to me.

    The impressive nature of the month lies in the upper air temperatures and the maximum temperatures though during the cold snap.

    Data from Met Éireann and UKMO.

    I think it was the low daytime maxima 11th to 13th. And there was beautiful heavy easterly snow and the sky was just so laden with an unusual heavy snow filled cloud. It felt and looked spectacular to be out in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Elmer Blooker had brought up that January 1987's cold snap was very overrated and previously, I said I'd do a post on it.

    Seeing all these minimums, it doesn't sound impressive to me.

    The impressive nature of the month lies in the upper air temperatures and the maximum temperatures though during the cold snap.
    It was too windy for temperatures to get extremely low as they do in calm conditions with snow cover. But despite the short duration of this easterly blast it really was a dramatic pipe burster that sadly just fizzled out. A three day wonder.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 755 ✭✭✭NAGDEFI


    As our cold spell approaches i'd like to share this account of British weather in March by the late Phillip Eden. As a lot of our severe weather looks like taking place in the early days of March it's fun to look at extremes over the years and throughout history.


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