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02-09-2019, 19:38   #1
Meteorite58
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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Autumn 2019 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

Quite windy and blustery on Weds from a NW direction and feeling cool , more so in Northern counties. Gradient has been tightening over the last few runs, marine warnings and could see wind warnings in Northern counties.

Will definitely feel more Autumnal.













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Charts ( Up to T120 ) Autumn 2019 ** READ MOD NOTE IN FIRDT POST**

Mod Note


This thread is for posting / discussing /analyzing charts up to T120 ( in the more reliable time frame).

If your post does not specifically relate to the charts then it doesn't belong here off topic posts will be moved- please use the Seasonal Discussion thread for general chat.

Thanks.

Last edited by Meteorite58; 04-09-2019 at 20:46.
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07-09-2019, 17:59   #2
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All the models atm show Gabrielle dissipating before it reaches our shores just bringing some breezy wet weather moving through fairly quickly probably in the early hours of Thurs.





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07-09-2019, 18:14   #3
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Remnants of Dorian look to bring a spell of windy wet weather Tues in to Weds. Currently going by the present charts just looks like marine wind warnings. Not showing very strong winds or much precipitation. This week coming heaviest rain in Western and Northwestern coastal areas.

Note: Met Eireann saying very wet and windy Tues night into Weds, don't see it on the current charts. Will see what the ECM comes out with later.






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07-09-2019, 22:15   #4
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Currently no big deal at all for us but worthwhile keeping an eye on developments in the next couple of days for TS Gabrielle as there could be sting here at relatively short notice for Wednesday/Thursday.





Last edited by Kermit.de.frog; 07-09-2019 at 22:42.
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08-09-2019, 03:43   #5
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Can someone fix the spelling of thread title please?
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08-09-2019, 16:23   #6
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Some heavy rain in the W and NW overnight Tues into Weds .



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08-09-2019, 16:39   #7
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Temps up and down over the coming days. Cooler air mass after the cold front goes through overnight leading to a cold night Monday into Tues am and then a warm humid blast associated with the remnants of Dorian bringing temps up to 16 - 17C in the early hours of Weds morning.















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18-09-2019, 23:11   #8
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Windy at times but nothing severe showing over the weekend into Monday at this stage. Looking like wet at times and possible heavy rain in places . Mild up until Saturday with temps falling back on Sunday. Some guidance of possible Thunderstorms Sat .



[IMG]httep://imags.meteociel.fr/im/8487/anim_dit3.gif[/IMG]









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20-09-2019, 19:39   #9
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ECM has a fair bit of rain showing up for the S and SE tomorrow into Sunday. Heavy rain there late Sat into early Sun morning.

Must be noted that there is a huge variance between the models in what they are predicting for precipitation totals over the coming days.















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21-09-2019, 09:48   #10
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Going to be hard to pinpoint rainfall accumulations over the coming days , models differ greatly .















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21-09-2019, 10:05   #11
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The charts are no way certain next week as LP becomes stalled off the W /NW coast for a number of days, windy at times but does not seem to be any severe winds. Predictions seem to be up for more rain over the coming days especially along Atlantic coastal counties.







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21-09-2019, 20:55   #12
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ECM 12Z bringing the LP Tues a bit further N and has a bit stronger winds now for the SW / S and heavier rain in the SW on this run. Still evolving so more changes possible.












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21-09-2019, 21:11   #13
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Wet and Windy day on Monday, must keep an eye on that area of LP close to the W /NW coast, seems to be wave spawned from the main Low. It is forecast to be deepening slowly a it passes up the coast so might yet get a bit windier.

ECM has it closer than the other models , UKMO has it the deepest getting down to 981 hPa from 988 hPa in 12 hrs but keeping well off the coast, ECM has it dropping from 990 hPa to 984 hpa in 12 hrs.





[img]https://i.imgur.com/C8XqHGi.png[/img






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21-09-2019, 21:21   #14
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I think up to 50 -100mm of rain is possible this week in many areas, the remaining 9 days of September will all be wet, with rain somewhere, if not most places every day. September rainfall totals could easily exceed 100mm in many of our stations by the close of this month, possibly 200mm in some western stations.
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21-09-2019, 21:37   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gonzo View Post
I think up to 50 -100mm of rain is possible this week in many areas, the remaining 9 days of September will all be wet, with rain somewhere, if not most places every day. September rainfall totals could easily exceed 100mm in many of our stations by the close of this month, possibly 200mm in some western stations.

Yea, looking very wet for the week especially along Atlantic Counties with big run off from the mountains. LP set to pirouette in on top of us towards the weekend but might not contain too much precipitation by then. Coming into Spring tides next weekend too with one of the biggest tides of the year next Sun so could put pressure on rivers.







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