Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

Snowbiee21 · 03-12-2018 11:40pm

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

The pub run doing pub run type things

NMB · 03-12-2018 11:41pm

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

The pub run doing pub run type things

Yep but all the models seem to be agreeing

Snowbiee21 · 03-12-2018 11:42pm

NMB wrote: »

Yep but all the models seem to be agreeing

Another day or two of solid agreement and we go from there

NMB · 03-12-2018 11:44pm

I’m waiting for nachos snow dance

nacho libre · 04-12-2018 12:05am

NMB wrote: »

I’m waiting for nachos snow dance

here you go:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoPi1z7D_Xs

now we just have to wait for the snow...:D

SleetAndSnow · 04-12-2018 12:12am

Frost on the cars here now in cork city. Getting cold! Saw some gritters driving past my house earlier.

Meteorite58 · 04-12-2018 12:16am

1.5C here near Tralee calm and clear sky. Ice forming on the cars.

leahyl · 04-12-2018 12:22am

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

If something like that were to come off would it mean widespread snow or just an east coast event? Always fairly biased towards the east on this forum lol - Cork will probably end up basking in 15 degrees

Meteorite58 · 04-12-2018 12:26am

NATIONAL WARNINGS

Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Wexford, Cork and Waterford
Up to 30mm in places, with locally higher accumulations in upland and coastal areas, will lead to spot flooding.

Issued: Monday 03 December 2018 12:00

Updated: Monday 03 December 2018 12:00

Valid from Tuesday 04 December 2018 15:00 to Wednesday 05 December 2018 12:00

Artane2002 · 04-12-2018 8:42am

Clear and frosty in Dublin 5.

DOCARCH · 04-12-2018 8:46am

Today/tonight's weather is associated with Storm Etienne.

Named by the Portuguese met service. More a rain rather than wind 'event' for us. Rain arriving on the south coast now.

Edward M · 04-12-2018 8:52am

Lovely white frosty morning here in South Cavan, festive looking with a bright tail of the moon and bright stars showing.

SleetAndSnow · 04-12-2018 9:25am

White frosty day in Cork City. Really feels like winter suddenly, can see all the steam from buildings etc. lovely

Loughc · 04-12-2018 10:20am

Such a lovely frosty Winter morning this morning.

Could have gotten used to it, I check the weather app to check on local temps and even at 8.30am some places were showing -1.

And then the weather app spoils it all by showing rain until Sunday and temps rising to 13 degrees.

Kutebride · 04-12-2018 12:25pm

Still white outside. Lovely n fresh with the cooler temps......very overcast. No blue skies. Boo.

BLIZZARD7 · 04-12-2018 12:35pm

These are just my thoughts on how the winter will pan out - I will probably be very much off the mark if the Stratosphere doesn't play ball.

Atlantic driven weather until mid December before high pressure takes control, gradually cooling off and dry settled weather setting in- then our First notable cold blast to hit in the last week to 10 days of December as wave activity in the strat really starts throwing punches- a displaced vortex present.
A slight relaxing of the cold into early Jauary before a Stratospheric warming led and more intense cold spell grips the country from Mid-ish January. Gradually phasing out from mid february as spring starts to emerge.

As a precursor to the cold spell in Jan I'm expecting a very deep cold pool to move into the near continent around new year and for it to eventually spill our direction by mid Jan.

The combination of very low solar activity , the current enso state as well as the already and soon to be more distressed vortex also almost all the long range models indicating cold leads me to this conclusion. December and Feb to be months of two contrasting halfs. January to be the coldest month.

I will revise this in a few weeks if the Strat events don't appear to be unfolding as currently indicated.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1069573352841465856?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1069573352841465856&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.netweather.tv%2Fforum%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcore%26module%3Dsystem%26controller%3Dembed%26url%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fjhomenuk%2Fstatus%2F1069573352841465856

derekon · 04-12-2018 1:10pm

BLIZZARD7 wrote: »

These are just my thoughts on how the winter will pan out - I will probably be very much off the mark if the Stratosphere doesn't play ball.

Atlantic driven weather until mid December before high pressure takes control, gradually cooling off and dry settled weather setting in- then our First notable cold blast to hit in the last week to 10 days of December as wave activity in the strat really starts throwing punches- a displaced vortex present.
A slight relaxing of the cold into early Jauary before a Stratospheric warming led and more intense cold spell grips the country from Mid-ish January. Gradually phasing out from mid february as spring starts to emerge.

As a precursor to the cold spell in Jan I'm expecting a very deep cold pool to move into the near continent around new year and for it to eventually spill our direction by mid Jan.

The combination of very low solar activity , the current enso state as well as the already and soon to be more distressed vortex also almost all the long range models indicating cold leads me to this conclusion. December and Feb to be months of two contrasting halfs. January to be the coldest month.

I will revise this in a few weeks if the Strat events don't appear to be unfolding as currently indicated.

https://mobile.twitter.com/jhomenuk/status/1069573352841465856?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1069573352841465856&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.netweather.tv%2Fforum%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcore%26module%3Dsystem%26controller%3Dembed%26url%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fjhomenuk%2Fstatus%2F1069573352841465856

As a confirmed coldie, I like that forecast!! Thanks for your thoughts Blizzard7

D

SleetAndSnow · 04-12-2018 1:59pm

White frost remained in the roofs until 12 here in cork city but it’s not raining and also bitterly cold st the same tome. Eugh

Snowbiee21 · 04-12-2018 5:47pm

Really entriging charts over on net weather , im sure the experienced guys here can back this

Clonmel1000 · 04-12-2018 6:51pm

Horrible evening. Wet cold dark terrible commute home.

RobertKK · 04-12-2018 7:13pm

If it was 2C colder here the rain would be snow.
Currently 3.1C.

Snowbiee21 · 04-12-2018 7:39pm

Another solid run from ECM

Reckless Abandonment · 04-12-2018 7:54pm

Dad has opened the cookie jar..

Snowbiee21 · 04-12-2018 7:58pm

A Kermit de frog post incoming

Mount Vesuvius · 04-12-2018 8:15pm

Still mediocre upper air making our way in these latest model run. So treat the current evolution as building blocks to the main event further down the road.

Reckless Abandonment · 04-12-2018 8:23pm

Mount Vesuvius wrote: »

Still mediocre upper air making our way in these latest model run. So treat the current evolution as building blocks to the main event further down the road.

-6/7 uppers could produce the goods sst are still high enough to make it happen ...but but but its all fi at the moment so not point in getting to hung up on the details just yet.

MidMan25 · 04-12-2018 8:35pm

I'll just be glad for a bit of settled weather, cold without snow is also really welcome, as long as it's dry

Mount Vesuvius · 04-12-2018 8:36pm

Reckless Abandonment wrote: »

-6/7 uppers could produce the goods sst are still high enough to make it happen ...but but but its all fi at the moment so not point in getting to hung up on the details just yet.

Don't want people getting too excited that's all.
As uppers would need to be minus 8 otherwise a wintry mess would be the result below 100 metres especially as you point out sea temperatures relatively high but also the continent is still warm. Anyway it's ages away and I just wanted to say yes the charts look great but nothing too exciting yet as no deep cold .

nacho libre · 04-12-2018 9:55pm

Mount Vesuvius wrote: »

Don't want people getting too excited that's all.
As uppers would need to be minus 8 otherwise a wintry mess would be the result below 100 metres especially as you point out sea temperatures relatively high but also the continent is still warm. .

It doesn't take long for the continent to cool down at this time of year, but i think this will a brief affair of colder and drier weather, with the Atlantic taking over again for a short period before something more notable at the end of month, and then the main event, hopefully, sometime in January, if the SSW predicted by the uk met model comes off.

Artane2002 · 04-12-2018 10:09pm

I know this is Ireland but rain every single day in Dublin for God knows how long is borderline ridiculous, even by our standards. It was fine up to now in fairness though.

Loughc · 04-12-2018 10:11pm

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

A Kermit de frog post incoming

I love his posts.

Bring on the frog!!

Loughc · 04-12-2018 10:12pm

Artane2002 wrote: »

I know this is Ireland but rain every single day in Dublin for God knows how long is borderline ridiculous, even by our standards. It was fine up to now in fairness though.

It’s unreal isn’t it. I hate hate hate the rain.

SleetAndSnow · 04-12-2018 10:25pm

Heavy rain in cork city since about 2pm. Ugh

Rock Lesnar · 04-12-2018 10:31pm

Dark, grey, cold but at least it was dry, in meath today.

kerrycork13 · 04-12-2018 10:40pm

Can’t understand why Kerry didn’t receive a rainfall warning today?? We’ve had more rain here today than some of the orange rainfall warnings we got in the last month or so?? Cork Kerry border east kerry

jirafa · 04-12-2018 11:01pm

Jack Frost was out and about last night in Cobh[, and was still hanging around at 11 am this morning,,,well gone now of course, as the rain sent him packing for a while again.

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Danno · 04-12-2018 11:34pm

Drove up from Cork this evening, rain turned to sleet around Urlingford. I'd say there was snow above 350m-400m for a time before temps rose from around 3c to 4c.

igCorcaigh · 04-12-2018 11:43pm

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Heavy rain in cork city since about 2pm. Ugh

And still raining. Fair few big puddles in town, but the river is low.

SleetAndSnow · 04-12-2018 11:48pm

igCorcaigh wrote: »

And still raining. Fair few big puddles in town, but the river is low.

Bottom of sarsfields road is flooded, after all the money they put into the roundabout. They never clear the drains and now this is what happens. Wont be good in the morning.

Snowbiee21 · 04-12-2018 11:50pm

Gfs 18z back at it , game on

Harry Palmr · 05-12-2018 12:06am

Absolutely tipping down in "waves", maybe on the wind. Bleugh

James Bond Junior · 05-12-2018 12:07am

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

Gfs 18z back at it , game on

I've been following the FI thread. Is there an easterly loading up/attempting to load up?

Harry Palmr · 05-12-2018 12:09am

Yes but it'll last about 4 days at most as of now.

Snowbiee21 · 05-12-2018 12:11am

Harry Palmr wrote: »

Yes but it'll last about 4 days at most as of now.

We will take what we get , especially for the start of winter , start of something to come ?

Snowbiee21 · 05-12-2018 12:11am

James Bond Junior wrote: »

I've been following the FI thread. Is there an easterly loading up/attempting to load up?

Yep

Artane2002 · 05-12-2018 8:22am

James Bond Junior wrote: »

I've been following the FI thread. Is there an easterly loading up/attempting to load up?

Yes but not a particularly exciting one.

DOCARCH · 05-12-2018 8:48am

20c temp gradient across the UK this morning.

At the moment, -7c in Aviemore and +13c in Bournemouth.

Clonmel1000 · 05-12-2018 2:14pm

Not a bad day here in fairness not to cold and dry with some brightness kind of as good as it gets.

Rock Lesnar · 05-12-2018 2:44pm

Cloudy, misty and chilly here, horrible

Winter 2018/2019 - General Discussion

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