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Property Market 2020

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    ....resulting in 27 foreigners being instantly made homeless, they know the story, they won't be allowing any journalist in the door
    They'd probably get emergency accomodation in a hotel.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,901 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    BluePlanet wrote:
    They'd probably get emergency accomodation in a hotel.


    Maybe, maybe not, tis all a bit risky, maybe some of them are here illegally, maybe some of them work illegally, who knows


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    Maybe, maybe not, tis all a bit risky, maybe some of them are here illegally, maybe some of them work illegally, who knows

    So it's better to protect the abuse of our letting laws?
    This is wrong, turning a blind eye won't fix it.

    The CAB should be involved and recoup the illegal rent that LL has been getting.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭The Student


    BluePlanet wrote: »
    They'd probably get emergency accomodation in a hotel.

    Thereby taking hotel accommodation from tourists and the money they would spend in Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,901 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    BluePlanet wrote:
    So it's better to protect the abuse of our letting laws? This is wrong, turning a blind eye won't fix it.


    Of course not, but I can somewhat understand why those foreigners end up in those type of situations, it's a bloody mess


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭The Student


    BluePlanet wrote: »
    So it's better to protect the abuse of our letting laws?
    This is wrong, turning a blind eye won't fix it.

    The CAB should be involved and recoup the illegal rent that LL has been getting.

    Exactly where has anybody suggested abusing letting laws. Tenants can contact the RTB whenever they want, Threshold are all over facebook advising of tenant rights.

    CAB is used for criminal activity this is a civil matter.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Thereby taking hotel accommodation from tourists and the money they would spend in Ireland.
    Theres no shortage of AirBnb here.
    Have to say i have not read reports of tourists not able to find a hotel, BnB or AirBnb before.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Interesting segment in The Last Word yesterday, business segment just after 6pm news, it is available on podcast. It was about apartment developments in Dublin City. The business editor said almost all big developments currently under construction are for rental only, none are going to be available for sale. Most have forward funding instead of forward purchase finance from lenders/investors, so when developers finish building, they go to rental market based on financial funding plan for set rental levels. In other words, the finance is based on a minimum rental yield being achieved. He said there is currently a new development beside the IFSC which has only 50% occupation, but the Institutional investor will not drop rent because they know with new IT companies opening near there, they will get what they want.

    This is the professional landlordism that many on here have been calling for over the past few years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,609 ✭✭✭dubrov


    BluePlanet wrote:
    Gotta wonder why doesn't an aspiring journalist create an investigating report on this sort of thing. It would probably be easy to gain access to these houses, camera in tow, when there are so many ppl coming and going.

    Prime Time did a major story on overcrowding about a year ago


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,141 ✭✭✭DellyBelly


    BluePlanet wrote: »

    Met a girl from Brazil that was sharing a house with 26 others somewhere off Cabra Rd.
    There were 6 girls in her room, she was paying 350 pm.

    So that is 27 people in the house at 350 a month. Nearly 10k a month for the owner of the house...Nice little earner there


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    So that is 27 people in the house at 350 a month. Nearly 10k a month for the owner of the house...Nice little earner there

    Cash in hand too.
    That's why we need CAB involved, even if it requires primary legislation to make this a criminal offense.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭The Student


    BluePlanet wrote: »
    Theres no shortage of AirBnb here.
    Have to say i have not read reports of tourists not able to find a hotel, BnB or AirBnb before.

    There was details on the media where people were being housed in hotels where saying they being told they would have to leave because the rooms were booked by tourists.

    With St Patricks day coming and Easter, the summer demand for hotels etc increases significantly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭The Student


    Dav010 wrote: »
    Interesting segment in The Last Word yesterday, business segment just after 6pm news, it is available on podcast. It was about apartment developments in Dublin City. The business editor said almost all big developments currently under construction are for rental only, none are going to be available for sale. Most have forward funding instead of forward purchase finance from lenders/investors, so when developers finish building, they go to rental market based on financial funding plan for set rental levels. In other words, the finance is based on a minimum rental yield being achieved. He said there is currently a new development beside the IFSC which has only 50% occupation, but the Institutional investor will not drop rent because they know with new IT companies opening near there, they will get what they want.

    This is the professional landlordism that many on here have been calling for over the past few years.

    This is exactly what a lot of posters boards have highlighted on numerous occasions and the implications of same.

    Perhaps the small landlord is not the bad afterall!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 803 ✭✭✭woohoo!!!


    I live in a large town, 20k population. The only estates being built or just started are housing bodies or county council's. Very slow on the private front.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    woohoo!!! wrote: »
    I live in a large town, 20k population. The only estates being built or just started are housing bodies or county council's. Very slow on the private front.

    Council houses increasing
    Private houses for sale falling
    Apartments build to let increasing
    Hotels decreasing?

    They should be breaking out the numbers. It looks very grim out there. I do wonder if we're heading into a slow down. I share with a chef who works across 3 restaurants owned by the same owner. They had a meeting Monday where the owner said a new recession had started he just wasnt sure if it was going to be a big or a small one. We need a recession watch thread!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,901 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    Council houses increasing
    Private houses for sale falling
    Apartments build to let increasing
    Hotels decreasing?

    They should be breaking out the numbers. It looks very grim out there. I do wonder if we're heading into a slow down. I share with a chef who works across 3 restaurants owned by the same owner. They had a meeting Monday where the owner said a new recession had started he just wasnt sure if it was going to be a big or a small one. We need a recession watch thread!

    and with corona virus slowly shutting down china, this could all get very interesting, very soon


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    Council houses increasing
    Private houses for sale falling
    Apartments build to let increasing
    Hotels decreasing?

    They should be breaking out the numbers. It looks very grim out there. I do wonder if we're heading into a slow down. I share with a chef who works across 3 restaurants owned by the same owner. They had a meeting Monday where the owner said a new recession had started he just wasnt sure if it was going to be a big or a small one. We need a recession watch thread!

    There is literally always someone saying we're about to be in recession.

    A stopped clock is right twice a day and all that.

    *I was trying to book a table for two this Saturday night about 2 weeks in advance. First 4 places I tried had no availability. Good restaurants are going like the clappers.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Professional LL's are fine, but it's possible we just need some more regulation and enforcement to mold it the way we want.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭J_1980


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    Council houses increasing
    Private houses for sale falling
    Apartments build to let increasing
    Hotels decreasing?

    They should be breaking out the numbers. It looks very grim out there. I do wonder if we're heading into a slow down. I share with a chef who works across 3 restaurants owned by the same owner. They had a meeting Monday where the owner said a new recession had started he just wasnt sure if it was going to be a big or a small one. We need a recession watch thread!

    Nearly all western stock markets are currently sitting at multi-year or all time highs. I rather trust that, than some anecdotal evidence.
    There will be a recession in late 21/early 22 I think though. Average boom lasts 10y max and despite the stock market bottom in 2009, I think the recession was only truly over in 2012 (Irish, US housing markets both bottomed there): 2012+10=2022

    Next recession will be vastly different though. No banking and housing crash (too little loose lending/easy money and therefore lack of mal-investment, except for China and some pockets of US corporate debt).
    It’ll be an earnings recession, drawn out multiple years where the government has to cut back due to falling tax receipts. Most western government will struggle though due to the ridiculously narrow tax base. Expect eur/usd well below parity....


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    SozBbz wrote: »
    There is literally always someone saying we're about to be in recession.

    A stopped clock is right twice a day and all that.

    *I was trying to book a table for two this Saturday night about 2 weeks in advance. First 4 places I tried had no availability. Good restaurants are going like the clappers.

    SozBbz...

    I did specifically state we needed a thread for recession watch observations. Also, your four restaurants's sampled aren't enough to model any population so your observations are mealiness. Not sure if you've been following economic trends we've been in a "slowdown" since 3rd quarter 2019. We've not broken out of that trend as far as I've seen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,034 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    SozBbz...

    I did specifically state we needed a thread for recession watch observations. Also, your four restaurants's sampled aren't enough to model any population so your observations are mealiness. Not sure if you've been following economic trends we've been in a "slowdown" since 3rd quarter 2019. We've not broken out of that trend as far as I've seen.

    And your "friend of a friend" sample is meaningful?

    What do you have to back up the "slowdown". Any officially published figures show the economy is still growing. Maybe not at as fast a rate as the peak of the recent recovery, but still growing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    Stark wrote: »
    And your "friend of a friend" sample is meaningful?

    What do you have to back up the "slowdown". Any officially published figures show the economy is still growing. Maybe not at as fast a rate as the peak of the recent recovery, but still growing.


    that's what he means tho, economy is in a slowdown trend. Still growing but at a slower pace, which means that it may get to halt, as it's happening at the moment in Germany


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    SozBbz...

    I did specifically state we needed a thread for recession watch observations. Also, your four restaurants's sampled aren't enough to model any population so your observations are mealiness. Not sure if you've been following economic trends we've been in a "slowdown" since 3rd quarter 2019. We've not broken out of that trend as far as I've seen.

    OwlZat....

    So my personal observation about the restaurant scene booming is anecdotal but your story about what your mate heard from someone you've never met is relevant?

    I you want a doomsday thread recession watch thread, then feel free to start one, there is nothing stopping you, but just mentioning it in another thread is pretty pointless.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    SozBbz wrote: »
    OwlZat....

    So my personal observation about the restaurant scene booming is anecdotal but your story about what your mate heard from someone you've never met is relevant?

    I you want a doomsday thread recession watch thread, then feel free to start one, there is nothing stopping you, but just mentioning it in another thread is pretty pointless.

    You rang four supposedly good restaurants for a table at their busiest time of the week. I'm not shocked and as an anecdote it explains close to zero. The girl I live with told me her boss informed them business is down 10% across his three resteraunts and he's thinks the next recession has started. Maybe you should tell him of your anecdote see if you can change HIS mind.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    You rang four supposedly good restaurants for a table at their busiest time of the week. I'm not shocked and as an anecdote it explains close to zero. The girl I live with told me her boss informed them business is down 10% across his three resteraunts and he's thinks the next recession has started. Maybe you should tell him of your anecdote see if you can change HIS mind.

    To be clear, I don't know this person and neither do you - so explain to me why I would care to change his mind? Maybe his restaurant is 10% less good than it used to be or maybe your housemate is gassing you. Who knows, and more importantly, who cares. For you to be banging around some 3rd hand information here like its gospel is just ridiculous.

    As least I was relaying my own personal experience. And its not the first time, I've noticed it since Christmas, places have been going gangbusters, and you need to book anywhere half decent 3-4 weeks in advance. If places are doing that well, then the sky is hardly falling. You brought up the restaurant industry as an economic indicator by the way.

    This is a discussion forum and I am perfectly entitled to relay my own real life experience of how buoyant the real economy is at the moment. Good restaurants are doing extremely well.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭pearcider


    SozBbz wrote: »
    There is literally always someone saying we're about to be in recession.

    A stopped clock is right twice a day and all that.

    *I was trying to book a table for two this Saturday night about 2 weeks in advance. First 4 places I tried had no availability. Good restaurants are going like the clappers.

    Biggest bank in Europe just cut 35,000 jobs but sure you can’t get a restaurant booking on a Saturday...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    pearcider wrote: »
    Biggest bank in Europe just cut 35,000 jobs but sure you can’t get a restaurant booking on a Saturday...

    Right, because I was the one who claimed that the restaurant business is down 10% thus signalling a recession..... oh no wait.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    SozBbz wrote: »
    Maybe his restaurant is 10% less good than it used to be or maybe your housemate is gassing you.
    His three resteraunts. Maybe, listen more and spam less.
    SozBbz wrote: »
    Who knows, and more importantly, who cares. For you to be banging around some 3rd hand information here like its gospel is just ridiculous.
    Are you suggesting my flatmate has an alternative motive for a mundane conversation about her meeting at work? Why don't you amuse us by listing out the different potential scenarios you see?
    SozBbz wrote: »
    This is a discussion forum and I am perfectly entitled to relay my own real-life experience of how buoyant the real economy is at the moment. Good restaurants are doing extremely well.
    In the event of an economic slowdown do you think you'd see it first at the good resteraunts or more likely the one's struggling.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    SozBbz wrote: »


    Right, because I was the one who claimed that the restaurant business is down 10% thus signalling a recession..... oh no wait.

    Nobody said that, do you understand what the term slowdown means? Perhaps, you should slowdown bashing the keyboard and go off an learn a few terms.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    His three resteraunts. Maybe, listen more and spam less.


    Are you suggesting my flatmate has an alternative motive for a mundane conversation about her meeting at work? Why don't you amuse us by listing out the different potential scenarios you see?


    In the event of an economic slowdown do you think you'd see it first at the good resteraunts or more likely the one's struggling.

    Firstly, let me reiterate for emphasis because you're clearly not getting it, how little I care about you (some internet stranger) or your housemate or your housemates boss.

    The point which you don't care to listen to, is that you posting 3rd hand information on a forum like this is beyond tedious and pointless. Maybe you should listen more?

    Finally, restaurants struggle all the time for a variety of reasons, and not just to do with the economic climate. Over expansion, bad stock management, poor staff, high costs, new competition near by, changing consumer trends, rising commercial rents and rates, cost of insurance...the list is endless. The restaurant business in notoriously difficult and many fail through good times and bad.

    And yes, while we're at it, when I see good places failing, then I might start to think theres something going on in the wider economy, but for now based on my own experience (and not my uncles sisters babysitters niece who heard down the pub....) I think you're catasthrophising based on very little.

    This is your third of fourth post trying to maintain that something you heard 3rd hand from one person is relevant.

    Anyway, this thread is supposed to be about the property market. As you mentioned, creating a separate thread for doom and gloom forecasting might be ideal and I can happily not participate in it.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,036 ✭✭✭pearcider


    SozBbz wrote: »
    Firstly, let me reiterate for emphasis because you're clearly not getting it, how little I care about you (some internet stranger) or your housemate or your housemates boss.

    The point which you don't care to listen to, is that you posting 3rd hand information on a forum like this is beyond tedious and pointless. Maybe you should listen more?

    Finally, restaurants struggle all the time for a variety of reasons, and not just to do with the economic climate. Over expansion, bad stock management, poor staff, high costs, new competition near by, changing consumer trends, rising commercial rents and rates, cost of insurance...the list is endless. The restaurant business in notoriously difficult and many fail through good times and bad.

    And yes, while we're at it, when I see good places failing, then I might start to think theres something going on in the wider economy, but for now based on my own experience (and not my uncles sisters babysitters niece who heard down the pub....) I think you're catasthrophising based on very little.

    This is your third of fourth post trying to maintain that something you heard 3rd hand from one person is relevant.

    Anyway, this thread is supposed to be about the property market. As you mentioned, creating a separate thread for doom and gloom forecasting might be ideal and I can happily not participate in it.

    You can’t separate the property market from the general economy. What’s the point in having the thread full of property bulls with no views from the bears who are trying to say that now is not the time to buy?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,000 ✭✭✭Theboinkmaster


    SozBbz wrote: »
    Firstly, let me reiterate for emphasis because you're clearly not getting it, how little I care about you (some internet stranger) or your housemate or your housemates boss.

    The point which you don't care to listen to, is that you posting 3rd hand information on a forum like this is beyond tedious and pointless. Maybe you should listen more?

    Finally, restaurants struggle all the time for a variety of reasons, and not just to do with the economic climate. Over expansion, bad stock management, poor staff, high costs, new competition near by, changing consumer trends, rising commercial rents and rates, cost of insurance...the list is endless. The restaurant business in notoriously difficult and many fail through good times and bad.

    And yes, while we're at it, when I see good places failing, then I might start to think theres something going on in the wider economy, but for now based on my own experience (and not my uncles sisters babysitters niece who heard down the pub....) I think you're catasthrophising based on very little.

    This is your third of fourth post trying to maintain that something you heard 3rd hand from one person is relevant.

    Anyway, this thread is supposed to be about the property market. As you mentioned, creating a separate thread for doom and gloom forecasting might be ideal and I can happily not participate in it.

    I would actually agree with OwlsZat on this one - everything I hear anecdotally in Ireland suggests the restaurant business is in trouble as a market this year.

    Michelin star restaurant closed in Cork at start of year, L'Ecrivain discounting midweek, Press Up Entertainment group (own loads of restaurants) letting staff go before Xmas....

    As regards global economy who knows but we are due a recession soon, due to cyclical nature of boom/bust - we are at nearly 10 years of goot times so really it's about the when not if.

    House prices in Dublin definitely falling somewhat, especially at the higher end.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    pearcider wrote: »
    You can’t separate the property market from the general economy. What’s the point in having the thread full of property bulls with no views from the bears who are trying to say that now is not the time to buy?

    At a very high level - sure - but one (or even 3) restaurant(s) is not the whole economy.

    Also, I'm not saying this should be all one way. I'm saying someones mothers brothers best friends anicdotal evidence doesnt stand for much in my book.

    Anyway, I think the real economy would have to take a big nose dive for property to be significantly impacted.

    Property has in fact slowed down ahead of the real economy slowing. This is the affordability ceiling though, rather than a lack of demand. People still want to buy, and why wouldnt they when renting is both insecure and expensive. Factors like demographics, net migration and supply levels will be more important to anticipating how the property market will go, than general economic indicators.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,997 ✭✭✭✭Cuddlesworth


    pearcider wrote: »
    You can’t separate the property market from the general economy. What’s the point in having the thread full of property bulls with no views from the bears who are trying to say that now is not the time to buy?

    It does seem likely the chinese lockdown is going to cause the next big recession. And the last big recession took out the market here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,889 ✭✭✭SozBbz


    I would actually agree with OwlsZat on this one - everything I hear anecdotally in Ireland suggests the restaurant business is in trouble as a market this year.

    Michelin star restaurant closed in Cork at start of year, L'Ecrivain discounting midweek, Press Up Entertainment group (own loads of restaurants) letting staff go before Xmas....

    As regards global economy who knows but we are due a recession soon, due to cyclical nature of boom/bust - we are at nearly 10 years of goot times so really it's about the when not if.

    House prices in Dublin definitely falling somewhat, especially at the higher end.

    Its always about the when, not if.

    And restaurants always close - there are still new places opening left and right though. I don't know the Cork scene but L'ecrivain... I can see why they might be finding it tough, the place is almost of another time.
    As for the Press Up Group - I wouldnt shed a tear for them. They're property developers really, not in it for the love of good food anyway. The food in their establishments is overpriced and underwhelming. Style over substance. I personally avoid all of their restaurants and perhaps others have wised up and are doing the same. If anything, I think one business operating over 50 establishments in Dublin is probably a bigger threat to the ordinary restaurants anyway.

    Anyway, off out for a meal now :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    The Irish GDP is definitely slowing down

    https://tradingeconomics.com/ireland/gdp-growth-annual


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,997 ✭✭✭✭Cuddlesworth


    Does it seem a little odd to anybody that the tenancy Registration statistics of the RTB, published quarterly, are two quarters behind. Coming up fast on three.

    Seems like a very easy report to generate. A lot easier than the rent Index's they have continued to publish.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,948 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    Had an EA tell me today about a property that was on the market since last August, that the true value of it is only been seen in the bidding the last few week as Brexit has passed. She said it basically has now come to market in the past few weeks, when I viewed it last August. The seller wants 30k over asking.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 19 frustrated_


    SozBbz wrote: »
    Its alwaysbut L'ecrivain... I can see why they might be finding it tough, the place is almost of another time.

    Going way off topic but bizarrely as this conversation has been going on L'ecrivain has just announced (45 mins ago) that they are closing down for good after 31 years.

    The owner Derry is partner in setting up another place in Temple bar, so not getting out of the game completely and sees a future in the restaurant business.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,000 ✭✭✭Theboinkmaster


    Going way off topic but bizarrely as this conversation has been going on L'ecrivain has just announced (45 mins ago) that they are closing down for good after 31 years.

    The owner Derry is partner in setting up another place in Temple bar, so not getting out of the game completely and sees a future in the restaurant business.

    Not surprised - I had a voucher from xmas and thought they'd close so went 2 weeks ago. Was overpriced and all a bit meh.

    To be fair though 2 Michelin star restaurants in Ireland closing in first 2 months isn't a good sign for the industry. People are re-considering dropping €350 on a dinner for two and there's a lot of competition (healthy though - Dublin is great for restaurants)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 782 ✭✭✭Dolbhad


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    Had an EA tell me today about a property that was on the market since last August, that the true value of it is only been seen in the bidding the last few week as Brexit has passed. She said it basically has now come to market in the past few weeks, when I viewed it last August. The seller wants 30k over asking.

    I’m not surprised. Last 6 months of 2019 was a bit of stand still. Seems to be more Movement in January and February which tended to be quieter months as always thought. We know now Brexit will happen so it’s either sink or swim so I think people are going for it. After all the other options are renting or living with parents.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,948 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    Dolbhad wrote: »
    I’m not surprised. Last 6 months of 2019 was a bit of stand still. Seems to be more Movement in January and February which tended to be quieter months as always thought. We know now Brexit will happen so it’s either sink or swim so I think people are going for it. After all the other options are renting or living with parents.

    I think Jan and Feb are meant to be the most popular months with exemptions.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,948 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    Had an EA tell me today about a property that was on the market since last August, that the true value of it is only been seen in the bidding the last few week as Brexit has passed. She said it basically has now come to market in the past few weeks, when I viewed it last August. The seller wants 30k over asking.

    Caveat is I think this is bollax and laughed at it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    Lots of changes are expected this year with the global economy, Definitely not a good time to invest in property unless you need a house to live in


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,948 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Lots of changes are expected this year with the global economy, Definitely not a good time to invest in property unless you need a house to live in

    People have been saying this for the last 3/4 years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    People have been saying this for the last 3/4 years.


    I agree it's been said before, not always with good reasons, but a few things are happening right now that weren't there last year
    • Rents going down first time in ages, there are plenty on Daft with the red arrow
    • Economy slowing down, which usually indicates the peak is near
    • Unexpected events like the virus will have an impact too, we are going to pay for it
    • Brexit, we still dont know what the outcome will be
    If i was an investor i wouldn't take my chances now, as a seller however i'd take a good offer before it's too late


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 782 ✭✭✭Dolbhad


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    I think Jan and Feb are meant to be the most popular months with exemptions.

    I renewed my exemptions with two banks in November 2019 after first getting an exemption in November 3028. I think the first year of exemptions it was all very badly organised and exemptions ran out. But I think banks have got more organised and spread them out over the year so there isn’t the need to wait until new year anymore.

    A lot of new builds next phases have come out in last few and KBC have reduced their fixed rate which may add to the market looking busier.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,969 ✭✭✭enricoh


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    So that is 27 people in the house at 350 a month. Nearly 10k a month for the owner of the house...Nice little earner there

    Most of the time the landlord is oblivious, he has rented it out and it's being sublet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 283 ✭✭TSQ


    enricoh wrote: »
    Most of the time the landlord is oblivious, he has rented it out and it's being sublet.

    Yep, have direct knowledge of this in my neighbourhood, small house let to a Brazilian couple sublet with up to 15 people in bunk beds at any one time. Landlord only found out a year later when a neighbour told him. The couple didnt even live there themselves, could afford something real fancy off the income they were pulling in. Heard the same couple also did the same with another house nearby, god knows how many houses they were subletting.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 120 ✭✭19233974


    Ive been holding off waiting to see how the housing market would pan out, but think im going to go full steam ahead to buy a place. The housing market is a basket case and the government wont fix it, that ive become certain of.

    Maybe there will be a recession in the next 5 years, maybe there wont....but the overwhelming shortage of accommodation means property prices are unlikely to tank, together with the vested interests of all the institutional landlords and investors.

    I can see dublin ending up like san francisco at this rate and it will not be a nice place to live if you cant afford your own place


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