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Heavy Rain Friday-Saturday 03/04 & Risk of Snow Saturday 04

Gaoth Laidir · 2017-03-02 20:05:38

That low moving up the Irish Sea Friday early Saturday could be an interesting one. Looking at 850 hPa temperatures would misleadingly not signal much chance of snow, but the deep saturated sub-zero vertical profiles in the Arpege and WRF models hint at snow down to low levels away from the eastern coastal counties. The…

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#102 04-03-2017 9:00pm

redsteveireland

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cml387 wrote: »

How did that heavy snow forecast work out?

"hint of snow" were the words I read in the Op, but maybe I'm wrong.

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#103 04-03-2017 10:02pm

Gaoth Laidir

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Just to compare how much further west today's low tracked compared to how it was looking when this thread was started, below is the actual position at 8 am this morning and the same chart posted in the op. This 200-km westward shift brought with it the warmer airmass from the east.

Actual

Thursday's forecast

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