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2020 officially saw a record number of $1 billion weather and climate disasters.
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Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »This last month. Have you watch the weather or gone outside.
I've done more than that and have measured weather data for many a years now and have recorded days that went from say -2c at night up to around 20c during the afternoon, so I'm not sure where you're going with the "it's not normal" line.0 -
Banana Republic 1 wrote: »Frankly this guy Goath comes on calling me disruptive, he/she/it spelled my thread name wrong, I assume deliberately. I’ve been following this forum for some time now and there are three types of poster.
1 The anti AGW climate change cohort who try two mask there spoofer by using long meandering sentences, jargon, and graphs. I would put contributors MT Cranium and Gaoth laoider into this bracket, the may truly believe what their shovelling or are genuine disruptors, trying to show up the “establishment”,
2 They other basket contains people like Danno, the “moderator” who got the last tread closed down following his racist comments, and the other red letter Fleet Street eaters.
Group three, the peddlers of genuine science who try to use facts to catch out the other two cohorts. I have tried that several times and will continue to do so why because I like researching things, just like MTs Bering Straits spoof, but the anti lot don’t read counter articles or watch clips which may discredit them so why waste energy on them.
When MT is rumbled he’s doesn’t respond. When Gaoth is rumbled he gets flustered and reverts to personal attacks often and I’m merely responding to that with a made up graph drawn from the internet, which he may or use in the future to support one of his mini ice age claims.
As you say yourself, can you not take a joke? Yes, it was a deliberate change to your username (not your real name). And if we're on the subject of spelling I would look at your post above first. It's actually hard to read what you're saying at some points. Plus you spelt my name incorrectly too.
Your posts were disruptive in that they were mere cheap shots of no scientific value, so it's a bit rich to be accusing me of personal attacks. If you don't understand the "jargon" or graphs then maybe this forum is not for you. It is a science forum, not After Hours, though you treat it like the latter. Your last comment on your childish graph is case in point.0 -
Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »This last month. Have you watch the weather or gone outside.
There is absolutely nothing strange about such a temperature change. Even Akrasia will attest to that, I'm sure. Completely normal when you get a change of airmass like we have.0 -
A few tenths of a degree over 5 years is a huge difference that completely invalidated the point you were making while also demonstrating the need up use peer reviewed sources instead of home made graphs from some guy who seems to think he knows what he’s going
OK, you're still missing my point about the running mean so I'll leave it there.
There's nothing wrong with plotting data on that AR5 graph, as long as it's done correctly, of course. Unless you have a source of an official updated version of it?0 -
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I've done more than that and have measured weather data for many a years now and have recorded days that went from say -2c at night up to around 20c during the afternoon, so I'm not sure where you're going with the "it's not normal" line.
So from past deductions. I mean the last 20 to 30 years. Is that normal ? Doesn't matter a fook if its manmade or natural climate change. It is definitely massive change. That's the problem. Either way.0 -
I've done more than that and have measured weather data for many a years now and have recorded days that went from say -2c at night up to around 20c during the afternoon, so I'm not sure where you're going with the "it's not normal" line.
Just to put some fact to my post, I've went through my AWS data which is available here publicly: http://www.laoisweather.com/wxnoaaclimatereports.php
(Please note that my AWS data is usually out by a sensitivity of ~0.2c - so daytime maxes on the AWS are under recorded and night time lows are over-recorded) but here goes:
January 7th 2009: Min -7c; January 12th 2009: Max +12.0c (19c swing)
March 5th 2009: Min -0.2c; March 7th 2009: Max 14.2c (14.4c swing)
April 5th 2013: Min -6.1c; April 6th 2013: Max 10.5c (16.6c swing)
These are just examples from a quick glance at some of my earlier data in my series, but if you really want, I can pick out lots more examples of large temperature swings over just a few days or hours.0 -
Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »So from past deductions. I mean the last 20 to 30 years. Is that normal ? Doesn't matter a fook if its manmade or natural climate change. It is definitely massive change. That's the problem. Either way.
See my previous post.
FWIW, I've been collecting climate data here for over a decade using the exact same equipment the Met Office uses. I also use a highly regarded Davis monitoring station along side the Met Office equipment.0 -
Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »So from past deductions. I mean the last 20 to 30 years. Is that normal ? Doesn't matter a fook if its manmade or natural climate change. It is definitely massive change. That's the problem. Either way.
Past, present, future...whatever way you look at it it's nothing extraordinary. It has always happened and always will.0 -
Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »So from past deductions. I mean the last 20 to 30 years. Is that normal ? Doesn't matter a fook if its manmade or natural climate change. It is definitely massive change. That's the problem. Either way.
Are you talking about Ireland specifically?
If so it's been common for as long as records exist. It's also weather and not climate, not sure you will find much if any data to support your concerns.
You like many others are probably recalling from memory, which often happens in weather forums, memory is a fickle thing, it's why most folks will us data and not experiences to make a point. Notably though human recollection is given a platform were it supports extreme change. Saying "it's the same as it was 80years ago" will have you cancelled and put in with big oil :pac::pac:
If swinging is your gig... Have a look at these!During the day, desert temperatures rise to an average of 38°C (a little over 100°F).
At night, desert temperatures fall to an average of -3.9°C (about 25°F).0 -
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Is there actually something wrong with you? I don’t take kindly to being gaslighted
Now let me see, I politely asked you to link a specific dataset, which is not unheard in a 'scientific' thread, and in response you 1. posted a broken link then 2. posted an irrelevant set of data that I didn't even ask for. So is there something wrong with me? quite possibly, but is there also something wrong with you? Well, that is a more definite positive.New Moon
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I said the world rightly sacrificed economic activity to try to limit the spread of the virus. Not every country acted quick enough, many delayed action or took half measures
There is more than enough evidence now that countries that took this seriously and acted early with decisive actions to limit the spread of the virus have done the best both economically and in terms of having the lowest economic and social costs
Countries that didn’t act early are getting the worst of all worlds, worst economic impacts, and worst death rates, and longer more drawn out lockdowns when they eventually realize that it’s not actually a choice between protecting the economy and saving lives
Yeah, you should stick to reading scientific papers and all that stuff because quite obviously, your understanding of how the world works outside of that tiny little bubble you live in is more than a little wanting.New Moon
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Mr. teddywinkles wrote: »So swings from - 7 to 12 degrees in our climate is normal occurrence in a 2 day period throughout history. Sry but in my lifetime it is not normal lads.
This is normal weather0 -
Gaoth Laidir wrote: »OK, you're still missing my point about the running mean so I'll leave it there.
There's nothing wrong with plotting data on that AR5 graph, as long as it's done correctly, of course. Unless you have a source of an official updated version of it?
You posted your home made graph to counter a graph I posted from NASA and you believed your own incorrect graph over the NASA one
What’s wrong with that? Well, it took me hours to go off and find the actual numbers and prove you wrong. Most people won’t do that and just take you at face value. This is why sources matter. Your home made graph, MTs ‘research’ most of the rubbish posted by bloggers like Tony Heller etc are not worth the paper they’re not printed on because nobody has checked them to make sure the data supports their claims
This is why peer reviewed papers published in reputable journals are the gold standard, followed by reports published by reputable professional bodies like NASA or the MET Office, or NSIDC etc
These bodies have procedures to catch errors before publication, and if errors are found, they quickly correct them
Back of the envelope rebuttals by amateur know it all’s can be fun conversation but you have no right for anyone to believe you, especially when you’re going against the established scientific consensus0 -
Now let me see, I politely asked you to link a specific dataset, which is not unheard in a 'scientific' thread, and in response you 1. posted a broken link then 2. posted an irrelevant set of data that I didn't even ask for. So is there something wrong with me? quite possibly, but is there also something wrong with you? Well, that is a more definite positive.0
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Lol. The funny thing is you asked for a link to a dataset and then literally didn’t even know a dataset when it was staring you in the face
You linked wrong data. A dataset I didn't ask for. Just own it.
And I got my sleep last night, thanks. Had a lovely dream too. Standing in a vast desert of white sand looking up and 3 moons in the twilight sky which were all, curiously, in different phases to one another.New Moon
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The tech just isn't there yet to transition to a zero-carbon near zero-carbon scenario.
Private transport is a must for the vast majority of people around the world, even in places served quite well with public transport, the need for private transport still exists and always will.
Until the tech is able to realistically compete with petrol/diesel then it won't be widely adopted. This is where the wise ones missed a trick. I should be able to pull in at my local "petrol station" in my EV and an attendant grabs a battery off a rack, pops it into my car and takes my battery back to the rack to charge up for the next driver in a few hours time.
Failing that, a 5-minute charge for 500 miles needs to be achieved.
The regulations I would be looking for from governments and blocs like the EU are things like commitments to increase carbon taxes over time, requirements for higher energy efficiency standards in any goods manufactured or imported into the customs Union, requirements for CO2 emitting power plants to either scrub 100% of GHGs at the point of generation, or be decommissioned by a date in. The not too distant future
And there is scope for radical economic ideas. Create a global scheme that pays people for sequestering carbon. Like a more accessible carbon credit scheme. Allow people to gain a steady income as micro sequesters, or bigger operations to become successful operating as commercial businesses in a carbon capture and storage industry0 -
Venus average surface temps are about 480c
We don’t need to worry about getting anywhere near Venus, we’ll be cooked way before then
Runaway climate change of only 5c to 10c would be enough to melt every glacier and ice cap and raise sea levels by hundreds of feet within a few centuries. You might not like the language but apocalyptic would not be unreasonable Ireland would change from an island to an archipelagoIs this supposed to be a rebuttal? If you’re driving on an icy road and your grip levels are ‘uncertain’ does this mean you should be extra careful, or less careful? If you read my post, I said the tipping points are uncertain but the risks only increase the higher temperatures rise, so to reduce the risk, we need to keep temperature increases as low as we can
I look forward to Richard Betts’ peer reviewed paper where he demonstrates that the PNAS paper is ‘a dramatic narrative’ cause until he does the scientific analysis his opinion is not scientific data If you have a link to such a paper, please post it here. I’m sure he’s written something given that it’s more than 2 years since the hothouse earth paper was published
The use of apocalyptic language is most certainly 'unreasonable' when used to deliberately sensationalise scientific research or its interpretation. Your comment was notable for its bingo of such terms.
But as for your analogy. If someone is driving on an icy road - it is certainly not useful to tell them that no matter what they do - they are all going to die or wtte unless they stop driving immediately.
Btw I'm truely delighted that you think that your personal interpretation of Richard Betts outweighs his professional expertise as a respected climate scientist. Well done.0 -
That tech already exists, not the battery swapping stuff, cause that’s more of a question of economics than technology, but you can fast charge batteries now that can take you hundreds of Kms in a few minutes
Have you an example of such?The regulations I would be looking for from governments and blocs like the EU are things like commitments to increase carbon taxes over time, requirements for higher energy efficiency standards in any goods manufactured or imported into the customs Union, requirements for CO2 emitting power plants to either scrub 100% of GHGs at the point of generation, or be decommissioned by a date in. The not too distant future
Why burden people with more carbon taxes? Surely the most sensible thing to do would be to use the current fleet of vehicles to the end of their life. Scrapping vehicles now would result in a huge consumption of energy to a) manufacture their replacement; b) huge consumption of energy to recycle the materials of scrappage. I thought the whole purpose of this experiment was to decrease energy consumption, but your first go to solution is to increase energy consumption and burden people with taxes. I doubt you'll get a good reception from the public with these policies. Perhaps set a date banning new sales of petrol and diesel vehicles once EVs can be charged in five minutes and give the range of a tank of petrol or diesel.And there is scope for radical economic ideas. Create a global scheme that pays people for sequestering carbon. Like a more accessible carbon credit scheme. Allow people to gain a steady income as micro sequesters, or bigger operations to become successful operating as commercial businesses in a carbon capture and storage industry0 -
Mod Note: Deleted some responses not related to this topic, there is a Covid-19 forum for discussing that.
Also, can responders refrain from personal snides - it is totally unhelpful for the discussion.0 -
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The use of apocalyptic language is most certainly 'unreasonable' when used to deliberately sensationalise scientific research or its interpretation. Your comment was notable for its bingo of such terms.
But as for your analogy. If someone is driving on an icy road - it is certainly not useful to tell them that no matter what they do - they are all going to die or wtte unless they stop driving immediately.
Btw I'm truely delighted that you think that your personal interpretation of Richard Betts outweighs his professional expertise as a respected climate scientist. Well done.
Not a single word in this post relates in any meaningful way to anything I have previously said
Well done on that.0 -
Have you an example of such?Why burden people with more carbon taxes? Surely the most sensible thing to do would be to use the current fleet of vehicles to the end of their life. Scrapping vehicles now would result in a huge consumption of energy to a) manufacture their replacement; b) huge consumption of energy to recycle the materials of scrappage. I thought the whole purpose of this experiment was to decrease energy consumption, but your first go to solution is to increase energy consumption and burden people with taxes. I doubt you'll get a good reception from the public with these policies. Perhaps set a date banning new sales of petrol and diesel vehicles once EVs can be charged in five minutes and give the range of a tank of petrol or diesel.
You can either Ban ICE or tax them out of the market
Either way works
Creating a carbon tax allows governments to create a fund that can be used to subsidise lower income people to transition away from ICE
But transport is only one segment, the carbon tax would also apply to things like Cement production. We can make sustainable concrete but it is not competitive with legacy products. Carbon taxes include the costs that are currently avoided as ‘externalities’There could be scope to pay farmers to give up unproductive lands and return them to wilderness, however I'd rather this be done voluntary.
Anything can be voluntary when the right incentives are in place0 -
Batteries are dirty by their nature, majority of batteries currently store energy from carbon sources which is grossly inefficient transfer of energy, batteries are poor form on energy store in comparison to fossil fuels. They reduce carbon out put from the end user but are not at the moment good replacements for combustion engines.
I’m a big battery fan, but as energy stores we are still some ways off having clean ones. They are the future but certainly not the green ambassadors some would have you believe.
The issue with EVs is that they set a false sense of comfort. The removal of a vehicles should be the override for AGW proponents. Some people think driving an EV means they are having a net benefit.
Climate change and the solutions are a muddled mess, it’s a political and social engineered disaster (even if we are doomed) how it’s been cultivated is an unmitigated abomination.
Science plays second fiddle to sensationalist spin doctors. It’s a shame.
The planet isn’t getting better. Twitter activists make it worse.
USA as an example, Trump pulls out, Biden employs John Kerry to bring the USA back in on his private jet.
If AGW is the existential threat for the past 30years, why is science wasting its time updating us on how fooked we are?
To me the science reports makes it feel like we have fallen out of a plane with no parachute, but we get an update on our, speed, altitude, direction and how much we slow down by flapping our arms, if we can fly back up 1000ft we’ll be back on the plane. Useless waste of reporting.
It’s like misdirection half the time.
Science release a wiggle ridden announcement:
It’s warmer and here are some vague statistics that allude to higher temps perhaps being somewhat likely to have maybe made it potentially possible to have caused this natural disaster
MSM: worst disaster since 1970, caused by global warming. Science says you are dead in 8years.
All the while the bank are handing out 35year mortgages like the future has never been brighter. Somethings just don’t line up.
Maybe we are doomed?
Maybe climate change is a fantastic cash cow?
Maybe both?0 -
Lucidair can charge 100 km in 5 minutes, that’s 200km in 10 mins. Not much longer than it takes to go into a shop, get a coffee, pay and leave
Good, its getting better. Shame they don't sell in Ireland though. At a direct XE conversion the cheapest model is almost €60k. Well out of reach for the vast majority of families. They need to be half that price.The point is to ‘encourage’ anyone in the market for a new vehicle to buy an EV instead of an ICE
You can either Ban ICE or tax them out of the market
Either way works
It won't encourage many - the vast majority of families are price sensitive. Many families will keep their ICE vehicle until it fails a NCT and it's not worth investing in repairs, even at that alot of folk turn to the second-hand market.
Ramming up fuel prices will mean they can never save for something new.Creating a carbon tax allows governments to create a fund that can be used to subsidise lower income people to transition away from ICE
The carbon tax scam is already here. Those that can afford EVs are already wealthy and have just received an unnecessary tax break on their purchase. The carbon tax scam is punishing the poor and rewarding the rich.But transport is only one segment, the carbon tax would also apply to things like Cement production. We can make sustainable concrete but it is not competitive with legacy products. Carbon taxes include the costs that are currently avoided as ‘externalities’
Have you seen house prices lately? You want to drive the cost up further? :eek:Anything can be voluntary when the right incentives are in place0 -
Good, its getting better. Shame they don't sell in Ireland though. At a direct XE conversion the cheapest model is almost €60k. Well out of reach for the vast majority of families. They need to be half that price.
Then costs will come down and people will naturally choose EV over ICE and affordablility will follow. This happens with depreciation or finance instruments such as leasing or pcp
The car I drive now cost over 60k when it was new, I paid 2k for it. The only chance the average family will get to own an EV is if the ‘national fleet’ transfers from ICE to EV
Maybe the ownership model will change with shared ownership becoming more mainstream via car sharing platforms like GoCarIt won't encourage many - the vast majority of families are price sensitive. Many families will keep their ICE vehicle until it fails a NCT and it's not worth investing in repairs, even at that alot of folk turn to the second-hand market.
Ramming up fuel prices will mean they can never save for something new.
Their choices today will affect the market 10 to 15 years laterThe carbon tax scam is already here. Those that can afford EVs are already wealthy and have just received an unnecessary tax break on their purchase. The carbon tax scam is punishing the poor and rewarding the rich.
Maybe finance companies stop financing ICE cars on lease or PCP or charge higher interest, if they think they will lose money on the resale at the end of the finance term...Have you seen house prices lately? You want to drive the cost up further? :eek:
Why else would an identical house cost 200k in a regional town, and 350k in Dublin0 -
I wanted to deal with this little nugget separatelyQuote:
Originally Posted by Akrasia View Post
Anything can be voluntary when the right incentives are in place
Except carbon taxes.
The entire point of Carbon taxes is that they are supposed to be avoided. They are supposed to incentivise people to choose cleaner alternatives whenever they are making purchasing or investment/infrastructure decisions
Its like an excise duty on tobacco, the tax is high on purpose to 1. cover the cost of healthcare for smokers, 2, discourage people from smoking
If there is a carbon tax on Coal, then the point is to use less coal, If there is a carbon tax on Gas, the point is to get people up use less gas, the next time they need to replace their boiler, either consider something like a BioLPG compatible boiler or at minimum, spend a little bit more on an A rated condensing boiler.
Ultimately, if you're spending a lot of money on carbon taxes, then you're doing something wrong. (Given the current low rate of tax)
Carbon taxes are too low because they do not make it financially worthwhile to invest in carbon neutral technology. People aren't going to spend a thousand euros to avoid 30 euros a year in tax, Manufacturers know this so they're not worried about improving their efficiency at the lower end of the market
If the carbon tax was a 200 euros a year with a 50% efficient heating system, or 20 euros a year with a 95% efficient boiler, then it becomes a 5 - 10 year payback time to dump the coal fireplace (including fuel savings fuel savings) and end up with a much cheaper more efficient heating system0 -
I wanted to deal with this little nugget separately
The entire point of Carbon taxes is that they are supposed to be avoided. They are supposed to incentivise people to choose cleaner alternatives whenever they are making purchasing or investment/infrastructure decisions
I think you are missing an important point: Carbon taxes cannot be avoided. A family with say a 151 people carrier that they probably bought second hand for €10k a year or two ago probably spent a chunk of their savings and part-borrowed to finance such an option. There are loads of people in this bracket. If you went to them and said, hey you should have spent €60k on an EV, they'd shrug their shoulders and say how can I afford that. You are now going to roast these families with higher fuel bills for nearly the next decade until an EV is affordable to them.
Ditto with house heating systems, they defiantly won't be replacing these until the burner had failed and needs replacement.
For the vast majority of people, investing in a car is a once-a-decade purchase, and for home heating, once every twenty years event.Its like an excise duty on tobacco, the tax is high on purpose to 1. cover the cost of healthcare for smokers, 2, discourage people from smoking
People have a choice to smoke/drink/ingest unnecessary sugars or whatever. Most people in a job have no choice but to drive to work, drive to the nearest shopping centre, etc...If there is a carbon tax on Coal, then the point is to use less coal, If there is a carbon tax on Gas, the point is to get people up use less gas, the next time they need to replace their boiler, either consider something like a BioLPG compatible boiler or at minimum, spend a little bit more on an A rated condensing boiler.
Again see my point about heating systems above. Hardly anybody has the funds just sitting there in their accounts to go out in the morning and upgrade their heating systems. The vast majority are living paycheck-to-paycheck.Ultimately, if you're spending a lot of money on carbon taxes, then you're doing something wrong. (Given the current low rate of tax)
Carbon taxes are too low because they do not make it financially worthwhile to invest in carbon neutral technology. People aren't going to spend a thousand euros to avoid 30 euros a year in tax, Manufacturers know this so they're not worried about improving their efficiency at the lower end of the marketIf the carbon tax was a 200 euros a year with a 50% efficient heating system, or 20 euros a year with a 95% efficient boiler, then it becomes a 5 - 10 year payback time to dump the coal fireplace (including fuel savings fuel savings) and end up with a much cheaper more efficient heating system
Or, if there was no carbon tax, people could afford to heat their homes and save some money until their burner died and needed replacement anyway.0 -
I think you are missing an important point: Carbon taxes cannot be avoided. A family with say a 151 people carrier that they probably bought second hand for €10k a year or two ago probably spent a chunk of their savings and part-borrowed to finance such an option. There are loads of people in this bracket. If you went to them and said, hey you should have spent €60k on an EV, they'd shrug their shoulders and say how can I afford that. You are now going to roast these families with higher fuel bills for nearly the next decade until an EV is affordable to them.
Ditto with house heating systems, they defiantly won't be replacing these until the burner had failed and needs replacement.
For the vast majority of people, investing in a car is a once-a-decade purchase, and for home heating, once every twenty years event.
People have a choice to smoke/drink/ingest unnecessary sugars or whatever. Most people in a job have no choice but to drive to work, drive to the nearest shopping centre, etc...
Again see my point about heating systems above. Hardly anybody has the funds just sitting there in their accounts to go out in the morning and upgrade their heating systems. The vast majority are living paycheck-to-paycheck.
If you're paying too much carbon tax it is because governments have raised the taxes. If you want to tackle the manufacturers, then ban them selling ICE and FF heating systems from a set date.
Or, if there was no carbon tax, people could afford to heat their homes and save some money until their burner died and needed replacement anyway.
Now, if you said ‘Carbon taxes cannot be completely avoided’
You would be correct, but then your point would be severely diluted
Carbon taxes are designed to be avoided. If you walk to the shop instead of driving, you’ve avoided carbon tax. If you rent a Higher BER rated house, you avoid carbon tax....
Also. Where did you get this 60k cost for an EV from?
I can go on donedeal today and buy a perfectly serviceable family sized EV for about 5k
I can go into a showroom and buy a brand new family sized EV for less than 35k0 -
Or, if there was no carbon tax, people could afford to heat their homes and save some money until their burner died and needed replacement anyway.
And just buy the same cheap inefficient boiler they had before committing themselves to 15 more years of higher fuel costs and higher pollution
The carbon tax is designed to change the behavior of both producers and consumers
High carbon taxes reduces demand for inefficient boilers, so producers of boilers stop making them and the pricing structure realigns so that the cheap boilers are all more efficient and they ‘price distinguish’ on something else, like ‘form factor’0 -
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High carbon taxes reduces demand for inefficient boilers, so producers of boilers stop making them and the pricing structure realigns so that the cheap boilers are all more efficient and they ‘price distinguish’ on something else, like ‘form factor’
The Irish government pulls in ~€5.2 billion per annum in environmental taxes and pays out ~€5 billion in interest payments on the national debt. The debt is increasing and environmental taxes are going to increase in lockstep for the time being.
The choice of fuel to provide the energy for home heating is dictated by the nature of the dwelling, location, availability of supply, price of fuel and trade-offs in the costs of substitutes.
People who can afford it upgrade their systems to substitute the next cheapest fuel source for heating subject to availability in the area they live. Those who can't afford to upgrade maintain existing heating systems until parts are no longer available.
As conditions get colder, those on fixed or limited incomes ration their fuel consumption to stay within their budget, living and sleeping in the kitchen during the winter months is not uncommon, nor moving out to stay with a relative (if any are alive and living in this country). There are other costs due to increased hospitalisation (Flu, pneumonia) and excess winter deaths.
Our entire distribution system for essential goods such as food and clothing is dependent on hydrocarbon fuels. By taxing fuel, the added cost works its way into the cost of living. (food, transport, clothing). Most people who need to be physically present in the workplace who are not specialists are lower income earners (retail assistants, porters, waiters, cooks etc), lower income means trade-offs in where you can live and commute times, all energy taxes do is lower purchasing power of the population as a whole while subsidising government debt expansion.Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.
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You are wrong
Now, if you said ‘Carbon taxes cannot be completely avoided’
You would be correct, but then your point would be severely diluted
I guess I'm wrong, Carbon taxes can be avoided. Sell the car, quit the job and join the dole where my money won't be going into fuel taxes because there is no real alternative or no public transport. This is the reality for around 3 million Irish people outside of cities and large urban areas.Carbon taxes are designed to be avoided. If you walk to the shop instead of driving, you’ve avoided carbon tax. If you rent a Higher BER rated house, you avoid carbon tax....Also. Where did you get this 60k cost for an EV from?
From the car brand you recommended earlier - the one that goes 100km in a 5min charge.I can go on donedeal today and buy a perfectly serviceable family sized EV for about 5k
Have you a link?I can go into a showroom and buy a brand new family sized EV for less than 35k
Have you a link?
*****
You really need to take a broad look at the different conditions the other three million Irish people live in. No fancy Darts or Luas, the few busses that run would have you fired for being late. It's a non-runner.
When the second hand market is *flooded* with affordable EVs that do *exactly* what my current vehicle does will I consider changing. Until then I will vote against every carbon tax hike as it's detrimental to the families of Ireland.
Over the past 20 years or so a huge amount of carbon tax has been raised. Where has this been spent, how much C02 did it reduce in the atmosphere, how much colder is the earth today because of all this carbon tax? Did we reduce temperatures by even 0.01c?0 -
You really need to take a broad look at the different conditions the other three million Irish people live in. No fancy Darts or Luas, the few busses that run would have you fired for being late. It's a non-runner.
Down to poor planning really and designing the country around the motorcar. This has us in a precarious situation where lots of people are reliant on cars. But hopefully in future we'll live in more sustainable ways where people don't necessarily need cars.0 -
Thelonious Monk wrote: »Down to poor planning really and designing the country around the motorcar. This has us in a precarious situation where lots of people are reliant on cars. But hopefully in future we'll live in more sustainable ways where people don't necessarily need cars.
Planning, there was no planning let alone call it poor.
I don't see people giving up cars either. Yes they'll eventually changeover to EV, and with that there will be an exodus into the countryside with remote working becoming more common and parked out front the nip-around EV to do the weekly shop and drop kids to games and live the peaceful life.
You could already say it has begun.1 -
Suppose it will be pretty much the same way as we are reliant on flying. But hopefully in the future well live in more sustainable ways where people won't necessarily need to use airplanes. They can walk or cycle instead. That said by the time your average punter has cycled to Costa del Tobacco - it should leave just enough time to start on the journey home again.
In other news today this:
https://twitter.com/mr__daly/status/1356702605007851524?s=200 -
I guess I'm wrong, Carbon taxes can be avoided. Sell the car, quit the job and join the dole where my money won't be going into fuel taxes because there is no real alternative or no public transport. This is the reality for around 3 million Irish people outside of cities and large urban areas.
Oh sh!t I forgot to get a few items shopping, oh well - what's another 30 mile round trip of a walk?
From the car brand you recommended earlier - the one that goes 100km in a 5min charge.
Have you a link?
Have you a link?
*****
You really need to take a broad look at the different conditions the other three million Irish people live in. No fancy Darts or Luas, the few busses that run would have you fired for being late. It's a non-runner.
When the second hand market is *flooded* with affordable EVs that do *exactly* what my current vehicle does will I consider changing. Until then I will vote against every carbon tax hike as it's detrimental to the families of Ireland.
Over the past 20 years or so a huge amount of carbon tax has been raised. Where has this been spent, how much C02 did it reduce in the atmosphere, how much colder is the earth today because of all this carbon tax? Did we reduce temperatures by even 0.01c?
You can buy a Hyundai Ioniq EV for under 35k new, for example, this same car will cost the same as the ICE car after 6 years of depreciation.
You said you cannot buy an EV for under 60k using an example of a family currently driving a 10k used car
And your discussion of the ways to avoid carbon tax are all totally exaggerated. You’re talking about people who live in houses that are basically uninhabitable. In the 21st century no house should be so cold that they have to move out in the winter because they can’t afford to heat it.
The government provide grants for fuel and heating to low income families and elderly people, as well as grants to improve insulation and replace heating systems, and will even do much of this for free for the worst performing houses
If the country is full of people who are so desperate that they’re made homeless by a 200 euros a year carbon tax then we’re doing an awful lot of things wrong, luckily you’re talking nonsense and the vast majority of people are able to handle the cost and we have things like community welfare officers to help those who can’t
If you are genuinely concerned about these people, I’m sure you would support higher income supports targeted at them. Th income from a higher carbon tax could even help to pay for it0 -
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I told you the name of the website, I’m not going to give you individual links to specific cars so you can nitpick count them having a dent in the rear bumper or other flaw that makes them impossible to live with
You can buy a Hyundai Ioniq EV for under 35k new, for example, this same car will cost the same as the ICE car after 6 years of depreciation.You said you cannot buy an EV for under 60k using an example of a family currently driving a 10k used car
And your discussion of the ways to avoid carbon tax are all totally exaggerated. You’re talking about people who live in houses that are basically uninhabitable. In the 21st century no house should be so cold that they have to move out in the winter because they can’t afford to heat it.
The government provide grants for fuel and heating to low income families and elderly people, as well as grants to improve insulation and replace heating systems, and will even do much of this for free for the worst performing houses
If the country is full of people who are so desperate that they’re made homeless by a 200 euros a year carbon tax then we’re doing an awful lot of things wrong, luckily you’re talking nonsense and the vast majority of people are able to handle the cost and we have things like community welfare officers to help those who can’t
If you are genuinely concerned about these people, I’m sure you would support higher income supports targeted at them. Th income from a higher carbon tax could even help to pay for it
The nonsense of that statement is truely gobsmacking tbf. I take it either you don't live in this country or realise that a substantial proportion of housing stock in this country predates the 1960s. Insulation and other improvements can often only achieve limited increases in energy efficiency in these dwellings. And yes without heating many would be unliveable. If you doubt take a look at the BER map of Ireland. Id suggest you also look at the considerable difficulties involved in accessing the grants for improvements & etc which you refer to.
https://renewables.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=360f7b3f6f484d7d89b967b41231daef
And the joke about a '200 euros a year carbon tax' is evidently that's just for starters. It's little more than another vehicle to squeeze an already overtaxed population for money just like many other taxes here which were supposedly introduced to cover specific areas of revenue and which fail spectacularly to do so. The tax allows some 'greens' to feel righteous and bugger all else.
Good article on why Carbon taxes raise money from the wrong people, and are vulnerable to politics and why such carbon taxes have proven not particularly effective at cutting emissions.0 -
I told you the name of the website, I’m not going to give you individual links to specific cars so you can nitpick count them having a dent in the rear bumper or other flaw that makes them impossible to live with
You can buy a Hyundai Ioniq EV for under 35k new, for example, this same car will cost the same as the ICE car after 6 years of depreciation. You said you cannot buy an EV for under 60k using an example of a family currently driving a 10k used car
312km range! Get up the yard. Takes 1hr to charge to 80% if you're lucky enough to find a 100kW charger. Your own home can't charge faster than 7kW, so that puts "fast charging" in the ha'penny place.
Also, we've to wait six years for this car to come on the second hand market, but in the mean time you want us roasted with carbon taxes... thats nice.And your discussion of the ways to avoid carbon tax are all totally exaggerated. You’re talking about people who live in houses that are basically uninhabitable. In the 21st century no house should be so cold that they have to move out in the winter because they can’t afford to heat it.
Not true.The government provide grants for fuel and heating to low income families and elderly people, as well as grants to improve insulation and replace heating systems, and will even do much of this for free for the worst performing houses
Over two years plus on the waiting list and works are not guaranteed for working families on low wages. :mad:If the country is full of people who are so desperate that they’re made homeless by a 200 euros a year carbon tax then we’re doing an awful lot of things wrong, luckily you’re talking nonsense and the vast majority of people are able to handle the cost and we have things like community welfare officers to help those who can’t
Thats a nasty thing to say that people are doing an awful lot wrong. You really don't understand the paycheck-to-paycheck life of a huge swathe of this country and countless other "developed" countries also.If you are genuinely concerned about these people, I’m sure you would support higher income supports targeted at them. Th income from a higher carbon tax could even help to pay for it
Give it in one hand to take off in another hand? The hoops families are put through just to get any level of support is met with scrutiny and suspicion. Again, you really don't understand the paycheck-to-paycheck life of a huge swathe of this country.
I'm rather shocked by your stance.1 -
Whether you agree with AGW, have doubts about level of human influence or downright just don’t accept any of it... There is one thing that we can all agree on.
Carbon taxes disproportionately impacts the poor and working class. For good or bad, the squeeze is on the lower classes.
Carbon taxes have done very little to discourage the use of cars. Our tax system rewards high end cars and punishes affordable cars.
planes are allowed to fly inefficient first class seats. Why not target the excessive waste first.
delusional to think tax is used as dissuasion. When governments dissuade they do so with laws and prohibition. Working class taxes hurt, they don’t build any mental considerations to avoid high tax. Crazy to think otherwise.
Incentivise through innovation.0 -
A new study shows...
COVID-19 Lockdowns Caused Cleaner Air – And Warmed the Planet
https://scitechdaily.com/covid-19-lockdowns-caused-cleaner-air-and-warmed-the-planet/
The 'cleaner' the planet becomes, the warmer it gets. Something I have alluded too more than once for a number of years now.New Moon
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312km range! Get up the yard. Takes 1hr to charge to 80% if you're lucky enough to find a 100kW charger. Your own home can't charge faster than 7kW, so that puts "fast charging" in the ha'penny place.
Also, we've to wait six years for this car to come on the second hand market, but in the mean time you want us roasted with carbon taxes... thats nice.
Not true.
Over two years plus on the waiting list and works are not guaranteed for working families on low wages. :mad:
Thats a nasty thing to say that people are doing an awful lot wrong. You really don't understand the paycheck-to-paycheck life of a huge swathe of this country and countless other "developed" countries also.
Give it in one hand to take off in another hand? The hoops families are put through just to get any level of support is met with scrutiny and suspicion. Again, you really don't understand the paycheck-to-paycheck life of a huge swathe of this country.
I'm rather shocked by your stance.
You don’t know anything about my life and don’t pretend that you do. You’re the one turning up your nose at a car just because the range is ‘only’ 312 Kms, that’s 10 of your mythical man from Loop head’s round trips to the corner shop
You’re feigning concern for impoverished people and sneering at the idea that they can get assistance from our welfare system
If the government can cover the cost of carbon taxes for low income people then your only remaining argument against carbon taxes are that you personally do not want to pay them
There are many different forms of carbon tax proposals. I would favor the Nordhause tax and rebate system because it is works to both push people away from Carbon emissions, and pull them towards lifestyle changes that could speed up the transition by fueling demand for low carbon technology and crushing demand for polluting industry0 -
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There are many different forms of carbon tax proposals. I would favor the Nordhause tax and rebate system because it is works to both push people away from Carbon emissions, and pull them towards lifestyle changes that could speed up the transition by fueling demand for low carbon technology and crushing demand for polluting industry
Not sure I agree with Nordhaus, he just bring disparity taxes to the international scale, recommending a cabron tax per of ~$50, penalties to countries that go above and additional levies on countries who fail to sign up.
It sounds good on paper, but much like what Danno has said, going green costs more money, often not affordable, the tech is new and expensive. Applying that at an international scale will starve poorer countries the ability to grow.
From my own experience, I applied for a grant to bring up my BER rating of the house. As I could only use approved vendors they ate up the cost of the grant I was getting, where vendors/contractors who were not part of the scheme were cheaper. When all costs were worked out the price was relative (too expensive either way)
Tax rebates and grants on something you fundamentally can't afford is not the solution. There is also zero ingenuity in using tax systems.0 -
Not sure I agree with Nordhaus, he just bring disparity taxes to the international scale, recommending a cabron tax per of ~$50, penalties to countries that go above and additional levies on countries who fail to sign up.
It sounds good on paper, but much like what Danno has said, going green costs more money, often not affordable, the tech is new and expensive. Applying that at an international scale will starve poorer countries the ability to grow.
From my own experience, I applied for a grant to bring up my BER rating of the house. As I could only use approved vendors they ate up the cost of the grant I was getting, where vendors/contractors who were not part of the scheme were cheaper. When all costs were worked out the price was relative (too expensive either way)
Tax rebates and grants on something you fundamentally can't afford is not the solution. There is also zero ingenuity in using tax systems.
The reason for limiting suppliers is to avoid the inevitable exploitation where people pocket the cash by getting some guy to sign off that the work is done
It’s also important that any international relief to developing countries is tied to targets
Any financial interventions in response to climate change needs to be very well regulated because the scale of the problem means there are enormous amounts of money to be made through corruption and cronyism
I’m not saying it’s easy, I’m not saying it would be implemented perfectly with no instances of profiteering or corruption, but the mechanisms do exist to use financial, fiscal, monetary, legal and regulatory instruments to make a transition to a low-zero carbon economy
What balance of these is optimal is open for debate. The need to act is very much a fringe discussion0 -
The reason for limiting suppliers is to avoid the inevitable exploitation where people pocket the cash by getting some guy to sign off that the work is done
Typically vendors petition for access to government contracts, it's not a control mechanism. It's who has paid for access. This is evident in the BER testing does not have a prerequisite that any upgrades be carries out by council/government approved vendors.
It's mirrored by tax relief on homes, which is just absorbed by developers and sellers.It’s also important that any international relief to developing countries is tied to targets
Any financial interventions in response to climate change needs to be very well regulated because the scale of the problem means there are enormous amounts of money to be made through corruption and cronyism
Unfortunate that such a thing is a problem, green taxes are as susceptible to abuse as any other tax/relief. I don't know that there is a good example to show government(s) implement any system well and honest. Not to say we shouldn't try, just sad that we accept corruption as an inevitable.I’m not saying it’s easy, I’m not saying it would be implemented perfectly with no instances of profiteering or corruption, but the mechanisms do exist to use financial, fiscal, monetary, legal and regulatory instruments to make a transition to a low-zero carbon economy
What balance of these is optimal is open for debate. The need to act is very much a fringe discussion
Taxation doesn't work as a deterrent. To enforce any scheme at a global level requires the power that be to enforce it.
In my opinion green policies are typically just a populist move. I'm not convinced that any world leading country is truly invested in green at the cost of economy.
Green policies at a global level are similar to deforestation, fishing, coal burning et al. They disproportionately impact the poorer countries.
I'm not trying to champion poorer countries, but it's easy for us to sit in comfort and say what we think others should do. Carbon energy has removed more from poverty than any other resource.
I truly believe resources are better spent in education, bring up global brain power and working on solutions that can fix the problem. By it's own prognosis AGW can't be solved alone now by CO2 reductions.0 -
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Clown world:
That picture was taken in Sweden a few years ago. In Texas, currently many wind turbines are frozen and this has contributed to a power outages as far away as Mexico. Even worse the cold weather has led to natural gas shortages so the backup fuel is not available.
In Germany, despite massive capital investment in solar and wind, the random generation from these sources got exposed this winter and they were left depending on coal to keep their grid going. They don't get much out of solar in Winter for obvious reasons , this month the panels were covered in snow and ice.
There is a lesson for us here, we currently depend on gas to keep our electricity system stable, if we get a winter 1947 scenario again, we may not have enough fuel supply to keep homes heated and people will die. More people die in cold weather every year in Ireland (Excess Winter deaths) and if Professor Valentina Zharkova, of Northumbria University predictions from a few years ago come to pass, another 1947 in the British Isles is not an unreasonable expectation.Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.
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Pa ElGrande wrote: »That picture was taken in Sweden a few years ago. In Texas, currently many wind turbines are frozen and this has contributed to a power outages as far away as Mexico. Even worse the cold weather has led to natural gas shortages so the backup fuel is not available.
In Germany, despite massive capital investment in solar and wind, the random generation from these sources got exposed this winter and they were left depending on coal to keep their grid going. They don't get much out of solar in Winter for obvious reasons , this month the panels were covered in snow and ice.
There is a lesson for us here, we currently depend on gas to keep our electricity system stable, if we get a winter 1947 scenario again, we may not have enough fuel supply to keep homes heated and people will die. More people die in cold weather every year in Ireland (Excess Winter deaths) and if Professor Valentina Zharkova, of Northumbria University predictions from a few years ago come to pass, another 1947 in the British Isles is not an unreasonable expectation.
At least 6 dead now from the cold in Texas:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/winter-storm-frigid-temperatures-deaths-power-outages/
with millions without power. I wonder why?
Tucker Carlson (oh my God, the horror!) here gives as good an explanation as anyone:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lA46v_aMidQ
And there seems to be a new narrative being woven now, as shown in the video above, in that anyone who might dare to question 'the science' is now fair game to be labelled a 'Nazi'. :rolleyes:
It has been obvious for a while now that 'The Science' is really nothing more than a front for class oppression. The perfect excuse for the haves to stomp their boot down hard on the have nots, all the while as they have the gall to sell themselves to be the most truly virtuous ones and the owners of all that is moral and good.New Moon
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Pa ElGrande wrote: »That picture was taken in Sweden a few years ago. In Texas, currently many wind turbines are frozen and this has contributed to a power outages as far away as Mexico. Even worse the cold weather has led to natural gas shortages so the backup fuel is not available.
In Germany, despite massive capital investment in solar and wind, the random generation from these sources got exposed this winter and they were left depending on coal to keep their grid going. They don't get much out of solar in Winter for obvious reasons , this month the panels were covered in snow and ice.
There is a lesson for us here, we currently depend on gas to keep our electricity system stable, if we get a winter 1947 scenario again, we may not have enough fuel supply to keep homes heated and people will die. More people die in cold weather every year in Ireland (Excess Winter deaths) and if Professor Valentina Zharkova, of Northumbria University predictions from a few years ago come to pass, another 1947 in the British Isles is not an unreasonable expectation.At least 6 dead now from the cold in Texas:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/winter-storm-frigid-temperatures-deaths-power-outages/
with millions without power. I wonder why?
Tucker Carlson (oh my God, the horror!) here gives as good an explanation as anyone:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lA46v_aMidQ
And there seems to be a new narrative being woven now, as shown in the video above, in that anyone who might dare to question 'the science' is now fair game to be labelled a 'Nazi'. :rolleyes:
It has been obvious for a while now that 'The Science' is really nothing more than a front for class oppression. The perfect excuse for the haves to stomp their boot down hard on the have nots, all the while as they have the gall to sell themselves to be the most truly virtuous ones and the owners of all that is moral and good.
https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/02/texas-power-grid-crumples-under-the-cold/
Texas refusal to integrate with neighbouring states and refusal to spend money on Winter proofing their infrastructure means power from gas/coal and nuclear all failing to reach customers.
Strange that you would choose to focus on the 20% minority of power produced by wind and ignore the rest, wonder why that would be?
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Texas refusal to integrate with neighbouring states and refusal to spend money on Winter proofing their infrastructure means power from gas/coal and nuclear all failing to reach customers.
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But isn't this a good thing though, given that fossil fuel = bad? except, of course, when you blood thirsty, racist liberal types need to use it?New Moon
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