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Fierce Cold Spell from Sunday (February 1st)

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13567…110

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    #62
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    darkman2 wrote: »
    Im gonna take a more cautious approach I think(since no one else will!). Don't be going OTT with it. Nothing is nailed yet.


    The charts look good, a couple of nagging issues from Monday night for the East coast. Things look like getting a bit marginal. Still good charts and hopefully something actually materialises this time.

    yeah the uk met office only show for monday/tuesday any weather warning for the east of the uk and not further west. not great at the reading charts but why are people so confident we will be effected?


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    #63
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,326 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    yeah the uk met office only show for monday/tuesday any weather warning for the east of the uk and not further west. not great at the reading charts but why are people so confident we will be effected?

    I'd guess because most of southern England looks to be in the warmish sector of the low tracking over them on Monday, thus likely to be mostly rain/sleet there. The same cannot be said for Ireland though. That said the exact track of these things is very hard to forecast accurately. Also the main precip from the low may only be in the SE of the country but its likely to be snow on the northern edges and on high ground.. Literally anything can happen, its all very exciting :D
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #64
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    yeah the uk met office only show for monday/tuesday any weather warning for the east of the uk and not further west. not great at the reading charts but why are people so confident we will be effected?


    Well, it is not the UKMO's business to be giving warnings for here but we have a similar effect off the Irish sea.


    The GFS shows lying snow actually from Monday to Wednesday

    132_35.gif


    Alot of snow in parts of the UK.


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    #65
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    ^^^ hmmm not much snow for ireland on there, more green than white.


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    #66
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Good ECM to 120 hrs


    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif


    After that im not sure. Don't think it will be as good as this morning.


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    #67
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Most exceptional ECM i have ever seen.

    Just wow, wow.

    And at the earliest stage of the output.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm721.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm961.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif

    My god


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    #68
    Cornilius
    Registered Users Posts: 89 ✭✭Cornilius


    Oh this looks too good to be true!Its been so long, is this time different to the so many close calls in the past? Will the snow that hopefully falls will it lie and freeze or will it thaw away quickly? It will be interesting to see how met eireann deal with it although there are still 3full days before the first flakes fall on sunday evening!


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    #69
    deromalley
    Closed Accounts Posts: 19 ✭deromalley


    Im sorry but I gotta ask the question - why do all you people post the weather in your area?


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    #70
    Shulgin
    Registered Users Posts: 688 ✭✭✭Shulgin


    deromalley wrote: »
    Im sorry but I gotta ask the question - why do all you people post the weather in your area?

    Why not?

    I find this stuff v interesting even if I don`t post here a lot.


    Can`t wait for this cold/snowy spell :D


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    #71
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Most exceptional ECM i have ever seen.

    Just wow, wow.

    And at the earliest stage of the output.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm721.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm961.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif

    My god
    Have you any suggestions as to why Eveyln Cusack said cold dry and sunny first few days of february on RTE just now ?


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    #72
    deromalley
    Closed Accounts Posts: 19 ✭deromalley


    Fair enough. Everyone to their own...


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    #73
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Èvelyn is still not my friend.she just says no precip at all for the first few days of feb.she wants a good slap:mad::mad:


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    #74
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    redsunset wrote: »
    Èvelyn is still not my friend.she just says no precip at all for the first few days of feb.she wants a good slap:mad::mad:

    Did she :D Wrong she will be .Might be try in the west mind for Monday and some of Tuesday mind.

    Lads no worries the charts this evening have never looked better :D:D


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    #75
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,326 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    deromalley wrote: »
    Im sorry but I gotta ask the question - why do all you people post the weather in your area?

    Its the weather forum, whats the weather like in your area :D ?
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #76
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,326 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Why do I have the feeling this forum is going into utter meltdown next week when snow starved Dubliners go wild!! :D:pac::p
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #77
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    hey sc is there something we're missing.cause evelyn is not seein any precip.or are they being just plain silly


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    #78
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Better inject a dose of realism


    http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/ecmwf/run/ECM0-120.GIF?29-0 Tuesday


    :/


    GFS is much better but very marginal on that evidence above for the East.


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    #79
    patneve
    Closed Accounts Posts: 260 ✭✭patneve


    darkman2 wrote: »
    Better inject a dose of realism


    http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/ecmwf/run/ECM0-120.GIF?29-0 Tuesday


    :/


    GFS is much better but very marginal on that evidence above for the East.

    I trust GFS more than ECMWF fortunately;)


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    #80
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,289 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Have you any suggestions as to why Eveyln Cusack said cold dry and sunny first few days of february on RTE just now ?

    I think she's just erring on the side of caution. And to be honest, most of the country will probably be dry and sunny. (Except the east coast!)


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    #81
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,289 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Supercell wrote: »
    Lol, sure!, these charts are looking rather special. I'm frankly starting to worry that I wont be able to make it to the airport on February 9th!!

    TBH, if these charts come true then next week we will have a full week of ice and snow days. Temps around 2c will be sub zero here for you and me. Could be very treacherous conditions coming up. I am keep a close eye on it as my wife is due mid February. We may have to move out for a few weeks if the forecast gets really bad!

    A


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    #82
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,326 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    arctictree wrote: »
    TBH, if these charts come true then next week we will have a full week of ice and snow days. Temps around 2c will be sub zero here for you and me. Could be very treacherous conditions coming up. I am keep a close eye on it as my wife is due mid February. We may have to move out for a few weeks if the forecast gets really bad!

    A

    Congrats mate, delighted to hear it :)
    Hopefully by mid February we will all be looking back at that incredible winter weather that was....
    I think after the initial stuff that the roads here should be treated hopefully. though the back roads may be a bit dodgy, do you still have that 4x4?
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #83
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,733 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    that rte forecast was very dissapointing especially after the fact they were starting to come around to our way of thinking this morning, also just saw the sky news forecast and they have snow plastered over most of the uk for next week with dazzling sunshine in western areas, wales and all of Ireland. Neither channels are taking into account that the Irish Sea can produce showers over eastern Ireland, but what are the chances of this happening? could we see excellent lake snow conditions or will it just end up with nothing materialisng over the Irish sea? Its sure gonna be cold but im just a bit worried that there may not be a whole lot of precipitation around?


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    #84
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    wow just realised it was only thursday ,monday is a long way away when we are talking about models.


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    #85
    spideog7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,230 ✭✭✭spideog7


    I think most of these lads are getting excited becasue they are predominantly all in the east. I've been sitting in the west watching all these cold spells and everyone seems to think we've been getting hammered all winter, I've seen 1 shower of snow. The North got the best of it last time and the East looks like it'll get it this time. This country's location seems to always put us on marginal snow events... stupid Atlantic, so any sign of anything and ye're all gone mad.

    But continue I'm enjoying it :D


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    #86
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    This is the ECM precip forcast for Monday which Met Eireann use


    090129_1200_102.png





    ;)


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    #87
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,143 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Gonzo wrote: »
    that rte forecast was very dissapointing especially after the fact they were starting to come around to our way of thinking this morning, also just saw the sky news forecast and they have snow plastered over most of the uk for next week with dazzling sunshine in western areas, wales and all of Ireland. Neither channels are taking into account that the Irish Sea can produce showers over eastern Ireland, but what are the chances of this happening? could we see excellent lake snow conditions or will it just end up with nothing materialisng over the Irish sea? Its sure gonna be cold but im just a bit worried that there may not be a whole lot of precipitation around?

    yeah there seemed to a lot more optimism earlier today re snow amounts..i'm nearly glad meteireann are not predicting a lot of snow at this stage..usually they have warnings out for significant falls 2 or 3 days id advance and they never materialise. so heres hoping they underestimate things this time around.


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    #88
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Hopefully we will get some Icycles like this ;)
    28 Dec 2000
    2dkiy50.jpg


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    #89
    200motels
    Registered Users Posts: 2,602 ✭✭✭200motels


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Have you any suggestions as to why Eveyln Cusack said cold dry and sunny first few days of february on RTE just now ?
    Yeah I found that strange and Sky's long range also the same.


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    #90
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,741 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    @ Pangea - nicicles! :)

    I am concerned about the potential lack of precip! Although the chart D'man2 just posted is good as the northeast wind for Dublin has the longest fetch over the Irish Sea but you tend to get snow streamers (hit & miss).

    This is actaully mad - it's 5 days away! I'll wait until Sunday to go negative. :p


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    #91
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    @ Pangea - nicicles! :)

    I am concerned about the potential lack of precip! Although the chart D'man2 just posted is good as the northeast wind for Dublin has the longest fetch over the Irish Sea but you tend to get snow streamers (hit & miss).

    This is actaully mad - it's 5 days away! I'll wait until Sunday to go negative. :p

    Well really just 3 days away, this time 3 days we will be seeing the cold push in the 850hpa temps dip to -10c and dewpoints drop like stones, then snow showers should begin to be created in the Irish sea. All going well.....


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