August 2015 Boards forecast contest

Joe Public · 01-09-2015 9:58pm

Relief that Dacogawa was a late runner

Schadenfreudia · 01-09-2015 10:11pm

I'm suffering from altitude sickness...not used to such dizzy heights...

dacogawa · 02-09-2015 1:58pm

Knew you'd need someone to look down on Joe!

Joe Public wrote: »

Relief that Dacogawa was a late runner

M.T. Cranium · 02-09-2015 7:21pm

After checking the Monthly Summary, the provisional scoring has been upgraded to confirmed with no changes required. I found some sunshine data to compare and in fact the average was bang on 100% for the six stations used. All other values were also confirmed as stated in the post preceding the table. Congrats to Rameire, Lumi and MrSkinner for leading the August scoring.

So now it's on to the annual update which you can see below:

Updated annual 2015 scoring January to August

FORECASTER _________ Jan _Feb_ Mar _Apr_ May _Jun _ Jul _ Aug __ 2015 Total (rank) __ best 7/8 (rank)

Jpmarn ________________64 _ 57 _ 71 _ 78 _ 82 _ 67 _ 44 _ 48 ____ 511 (2) ______ 467 (1)
M.T. Cranium ___________ 68 _ 17 _ 71 _ 86 _ 62 _ 70 _ 46 _ 61 ____ 481 (6t) _____ 464 (2)
Lumi __________________68 _ 72 _ 59 _ 66 _ 58 _ 61 _ 53 _ 78 ____ 515 (1) ______ 462 (3)

Con Sensus ____________ 70 _ 71 _ 63 _ 65 _ 58 _ 62 _ 55 _ 69 ____ 513 (2) ______ 458 (4)

MrSkinner ______________--- _ 71 _ 85 _ 54 _ 47 _ 59 _ 61 _ 78 ____ 455 (12t) ____ 455 (4)
Rikand ________________ 84 _ 59 _ 48 _ 73 _ 54 _ 66 _ 51 _ 57 ____ 492 (3) ______ 444 (5)
dasa29 ________________ 47 _ 69 _ 67 _ 45 _ 57 _ 57 _ 70 _ 76 ____ 488 (4) _____ 443 (6)
sunflower3 _____________ 69 _ 61 _ 59 _ 44 _ 66 _ 57 _ 54 _ 72 ____ 482 (5) _____ 438 (7)
Bsal __________________ 77 _ 55 _ 68 _ 50 _ 57 _ 71 _ 48 _ 55 ____ 481 (6t) _____ 433 (8)
Tae laidir ______________ 33 _ 60 _ 46 _ 68 _ 68 _ 56 _ 74 _ 60 ____ 465 (10) _____ 432 (9)
jd ____________________ 72 _ 61 _ 68 _ 62 _ 31 _ 50 _ 53 _ 59 ____ 456 (11) _____ 425 (10)
mickger844posts ________ 50 _ 90 _ 53 _ 61 _ 45 _ 57 _ 28 _ 67 ____ 451 (16t) ____ 423 (11)
John mac ______________ 73 _ 55 _ 58 _ 60 _ 50 _ 50 _ 69 _ 55 ____ 470 (8) ______ 420 (12)
Pauldry ________________51 _ 48 _ 70 _ 51 _ 67 _ 61 _ 58 _ 60 ____ 466 (9) ______ 418 (13)
DOCARCH ______________75 _ 79 _ 40 _ 64 _ 36 _ 65 _ 42 _ 52 ____ 453 (14t) ____ 417 (14t)
Harps _________________ 69 _ 57 _ 34 _ 70 _ 45 _ 70 _ 45 _ 61 ____ 451 (16t) ____ 417 (14t)
lostinashford ___________ 56 _ --- _ 53 _ 64 _ 74 _ 62 _ 55 _ 52 ____ 416 (20) _____ 416 (16)
Joe Public ______________ 69 _ 42 _ 64 _ 72 _ 39 _ 54 _ 69 _ 44 ____ 453 (14t) ____ 414 (17)
dacogawa ______________ 48 _ 62 _ 63 _ 77 _ 58 _ --- _ 62 _ 43 ____ 413 (21) ____ 413 (18)
Schadenfreudia __________61 _ 67 _ 53 _ 60 _ 58 _ 36 _ 38 _ 75 ____ 448 (18t) ____ 412 (19)
kindredspirit ____________ 63 _ 57 _ 52 _ 59 _ 47 _ 60 _ 61 _ 56 ____ 455 (12t) ____ 408 (20t)
rameire ________________ 55 _ 40 _ 46 _ 58 _ 61 _ 53 _ 56 _ 79____ 448 (18t) ____ 408 (20t)
waterways ______________--- _ 70 _ 58 _ 58 _ 40 _ 53 _ 32 _ 63 ____ 374 (23) ____ 374 (22)
omicron ________________41 _ 77 _ 40 _ 67 _ 49 _ 36 _ 42 _ 55 ____ 407 (22) ____ 371 (23)
200motels ______________30 _ --- _ 59 _ 65 _ 58 _ 40 _ 35 _ 49 ____ 336 (24) ____ 336 (24)
delw __________________ 48 _ --- _ 61 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- ____ 109 (25)
blue5000 _______________45 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _____ 45
BLIZZARD7 _____________--- _ 31 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _____ 31
__________________________________________________________

The table is ordered so that the best 6 out of 7 determine the order rather than total score. You can see your ranking in total score as well. A new feature this month is a colour code (red) marking monthly high scores.

The ranks of Con Sensus do not alter your rank which explains why there are ties with Con Sensus that are not actually ties. But there are some ties in ranking between contestants shown with the letter t after the number.

In general, the race has tightened up with one more entrant (Lumi) passing Con Sensus ... next month, I will start to drop two low scores instead of one as we close in on the final countdown to December.

Next order of business is to update the Four Seasons points which I will do in a separate post.

M.T. Cranium · 02-09-2015 8:06pm

Four Seasons Award -- combined scores winter, spring and summer

Checked back to May for the previous edition of this contest update. Just a reminder, Con Sensus scores as if "he" (or she) was a contestant but that score does not drop anyone who falls below that mark.

These are the ten highest scores for June-July-August combined which qualify for points in the table. Top score gets 10, then it's 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 points for second to seventh place and 1 point for the three in 8th, 9th and 10th positions. Any ties get the same points and can extend the number who qualify past ten.

SUMMER HIGH SCORES _ if you're not in the list, you finished lower than 10th

203 _ dasa29 ______ 10
198 _ MrSkinner _____ 7
190 _ Tae laidir ______ 6
188 _ rameire _______ 5

186 _ Con Sensus ____ 4

183 _ sunflower3 _____ 4
182 _ Lumi __________ 3
179 _ Pauldry ________ 2
177 _ M.T. Cranium ____1
177 _ kindredspirit ____ 1
176 _ Harps _________ 1

missed the cut

174 _ Rikand, Bsal, Johnmac
(and all lower scores)

So those scores now go into the annual contest table below:

FORECASTER __________ winter __ spring __ summer ___ TOTAL to date

Con Sensus ______________ 6 ____ 3 _____ 4 __________ 13

Rikand _________________ 10 ____ 1 _____ 0 __________ 11
Jpmarn _________________ 0 ____10 _____ 0 __________ 10
MrSkinner _______________ 0 ____ 3 _____ 7 __________ 10
dasa29 _________________ 0 _____0 _____10 __________10
M.T. Cranium _____________0 ____ 7 _____ 1 ___________ 8
dacogawa _______________ 1 ____ 6 _____ 0 ___________ 7
DOCARCH _______________ 7 ____ 0 _____ 0 ___________ 7
Tae laidir ________________0 ____ 1 ______6 ___________ 7
jd ______________________6 ____ 0 _____ 0 ___________ 6
Harps ___________________5 ____ 0 _____ 1 ___________ 6
Pauldry _________________ 0 ____ 4 ______2 ___________ 6
Rameire _________________0 ____ 0 _____ 5 ___________ 5
Lostinashford ____________ 0 ____ 5 ______0 ___________ 5
kindredspirit _____________ 4 ____ 0 ______1 ___________ 5
Lumi ___________________ 0 ____ 2 ______3 ___________ 5
sunflower3 ______________ 1 ____ 0 ______4 ___________ 5
mickger844posts__________ 4 ____ 0 ______0 ___________ 4
Bsal ____________________2 ____ 1 ______0 ___________ 3
omicron _________________1 ____ 0 ______0 ___________ 1
Joe Public _______________ 0 ____ 1 ______0 ___________ 1
200motels _______________0 ____ 1 ______0 ___________ 1
__________________________________________________

Anyone listed in the table can still theoretically win this contest although those with one point can do no better than a tie for first. But I suspect the top four will manage at least one fairly decent score in autumn, so realistically the contest is now among those with 5 or more points currently. Will be interesting to see if anyone can overtake Con Sensus in this contest.

Congrats to dasa29, MrSkinner, Tae laidir and rameire for their summer forecasting outpacing Con Sensus this season anyway.

August 2015 Boards forecast contest

Comments