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Windy (Gusts to 60MPH) + Heavy Rain & Flooding Thursday/Friday (June 7/8th)

24567

Comments

  • #52
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    NAE 18z really ramping up 48 hr totals up through the spine of the country with 100mm or more in some spots (more spots than on the 12z that is) 207923.gif

    seems just a little bit too extreme though to be taken seriously but at the same time, the NAE model can sometimes be pretty good at calling these events. Will be interesting to see the HIRLAM 18z when they roll out to compare.


  • #53
    snaps
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,138 ✭✭✭snaps


    Just wondering if this storm (If you can call it that) is actually heading a bit more eastwards instead of north? Just been looking at the UKMO radar, an awfull heavy band of rain into Cornwall and Devon now?

    No warnings out for N Ireland either, but all along the South coast and into East Anglia?

    Have to admit, I like their new website (UKMO)


  • #54
    km79
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,254 ✭✭✭✭km79


    snaps wrote: »
    Just wondering if this storm (If you can call it that) is actually heading a bit more eastwards instead of north? Just been looking at the UKMO radar, an awfull heavy band of rain into Cornwall and Devon now?
    Crosses fingers ...


  • #55
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,178 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Think sligo will see 40mm of rain in total

    Midland areas possibly 60mm

    South 50mm


    East - Dublin 15 or 20mm

    North - Belfast 10mm


  • #56
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    I get a feeling disruption will be kept to a minimum if we avoid thunderstorms

    As I said last night disruption is unlikely if we avoid thunderstorms forming. These deep lows all react the same driving rain quickly up across the country.

    There's plenty time for it to up a gear yet, but for now it's nothing special


  • #57
    Green Diesel
    Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Green Diesel


    Yeah, still a fair while for the heavy stuff to arrive....

    (dynamically updating pic)
    3hr-rain.gif


  • #58
    whataboutnow
    Registered Users Posts: 107 ✭✭whataboutnow


    I seen the bbc weather@6.27 and it showed the heaviest pulse of rain over the southern half of Ireland then coming to stand still over the north west of the country for the night while remaining in intensity. However the met office do not have a warning out for N.Ireland yet and met.ie plus POD don't give that high of totals for the NW in regards to Munster and Connacht. I'm confused?


  • #59
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    whataboutnow wrote: »
    I seen the bbc weather@6.27 and it showed the heaviest pulse of rain over the southern half of Ireland then coming to stand still over the north west of the country for the night while remaining in intensity. However the met office do not have a warning out for N.Ireland yet and met.ie plus POD don't give that high of totals for the NW in regards to Munster and Connacht. I'm confused?

    Going by the latest models the West looks to be the wettest part rather than the south (disruption wise, as everywhere looks like getting heavy spells)
    If I was to pick a spot for disruption I think it would have to be Athlone!


  • #60
    whataboutnow
    Registered Users Posts: 107 ✭✭whataboutnow


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Going by the latest models the West looks to be the wettest part rather than the south (disruption wise, as everywhere looks like getting heavy spells)
    If I was to pick a spot for disruption I think it would have to be Athlone!

    Thanks, could you tell me where I could check the latest precipitation models
    I don't have a notion,curious as to see what Donegal gets
    Thanks


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  • #61
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Latest HIRLAM (EMHI) keeping the heaviest of the rain a bit further west than the NAE as does the GFS. Interesting times ahead.

    EMHI 6hr totals up to 1200 UTC tomrorrow:

    207933.PNG

    Image Source: http://meteo.physic.ut.ee/ilmatark/

    Rest of run attached as panel image(too big to post directly)


  • #62
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Siobhan "Relentless" Ryan gave a very satisfactory forecast there and there should be no complaints about insufficient warning.


  • #63
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Its comeing up to Five to midnight so lets head over to Met Eireann on RTE Radio 1/Sky 0160 for the latest.


  • #64
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Wow.Some forecast there!!


  • #65
    Rougies
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,682 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Oscar Bravo wrote: »
    Wow.Some forecast there!!

    Missed it, has the relentlessness been upgraded?


  • #66
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    It was David Rogers "and during this spell of severe weather we will issue regular updates on our website www.met.ie" "winds could touch storm force in the SW,W later tomorrow".


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  • #67
    Storm 10
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Was on a friends boat tonight and valentia coast guard issued a storm warning for the west coast tomorrow


  • #68
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,962 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    120mm predicted for parts of the midlands according to maps on previous page, that sounds like alot of rain, imagine if it was winter we had all that in snowfall!


  • #69
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Amazing the difference between HIRLAM and NAE for this event at such short range.

    HIRLAM has the worst of it up along the west coast but with totals generally around 60mm at most away from west Cork and Kerry

    NAE has everything 100 miles further east with up to 120mm in the Midlands and very heavy rain all along the Shannon basin which could lead to serious flooding

    Its going to be a miserable day but an interesting one to watch at the same time!


  • #70
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Heavy rain just pushing in over Cork, its gonna be a wet one!:-)


  • #71
    whataboutnow
    Registered Users Posts: 107 ✭✭whataboutnow


    Harps wrote: »
    Amazing the difference between HIRLAM and NAE for this event at such short range.

    HIRLAM has the worst of it up along the west coast but with totals generally around 60mm at most away from west Cork and Kerry

    NAE has everything 100 miles further east with up to 120mm in the Midlands and very heavy rain all along the Shannon basin which could lead to serious flooding

    Its going to be a miserable day but an interesting one to watch at the same time!

    Harps how will Donegal fair in your opinion?
    It's been a while by the way,hope your well


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  • #72
    sparrowcar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,867 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    Met Eireann just updated their Gale warning at 0500

    Weather Warning

    Issued at 07 June 2012 - 01:47
    Weather Warning
    Today, Thursday, rainfall accumulations of 25 to 45mm will occur widely in Leinster and Ulster. In Connaught and Munster higher accumulations of 35 to 60mm will occur, and some mountainous regions in these provinces are likely to record 60 to 90mm.

    Strong winds will be a feature of today's weather also. East to northeast winds will reach gale force for a time in parts of Leinster and Ulster. In many parts of Connaught and Munster, north to northwest gales will occur by afternoon and gusts as high as 110 km/hr may be experienced locally, especially coastal locations.

    Additionally, any coastal areas experiencing onshore winds around times of high tide will be prone to overtopping by the sea.


    Issued 0200/07-06-2012

    Updates will follow as necessary.

    Gale Warning

    Easterly gales or strong gales developing this morning on all coasts and on the Irish Sea; northerly gales or strong gales developing on western and southern coasts this afternoon, with winds possibly reaching storm force later between Roche's Point and Slyne Head.
    Issued at 05:00 on 7-Jun-2012


  • #73
    Dodd
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,007 ✭✭✭Dodd


    I have taking my dog out for a long walk just in case it buckets down later but in south Dublin there is no sign of blue in the sky and it is raining lightly.
    I got flooded last time so I am keeping an eye on this.


  • #74
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Has the rain stopped already in Cork??! Am in bed and can't hear anything?!


  • #75
    Dodd
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,007 ✭✭✭Dodd


    leahyl wrote: »
    Has the rain stopped already in Cork??! Am in bed and can't hear anything?!

    I just looked out my window and it's still raining a little but I live in south Dublin and cant see from here what it's like outside your window.:)


  • #76
    goodies
    Registered Users Posts: 116 ✭✭goodies


    in north kerry here and very very heavy rain...already forming major pools on road outside....such a day for bloody moving house:rolleyes:


  • #77
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    14 mm of rain overnight at Cork Airport, 11 mm at Sherkin island, 9 mm at Roches point, 2 mm at Shannon Airport.

    I think the NAE is gone a bit bonkers with this one's storm totals, and anyway it has shifted its peak totals slightly further west and in line with the hirlam overnight. Certainly mountain slopes may reach the 100 mm mark, but I'd be surprised if any of the synoptic stations see more than 60-70 mm.


  • #78
    weisses
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,558 ✭✭✭weisses


    Only few drops this morning over here ... Dry ATM with light winds


  • #79
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Things not looking as severe I think. The east and south east not getting anything major .Bit of a let down so far. Head west for largest totals.


  • #80
    cyclops999
    Registered Users Posts: 402 ✭✭cyclops999


    Rain getting heavier in Athlone


  • #81
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,327 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    level 3?? really? it's still raining, but i was expecting to wake up to a torrential downpour


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  • #82
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Level 3????? :eek: Eh????? :eek:


  • #83
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    sunbabe08 wrote: »
    level 3?? really? it's still raining, but i was expecting to wake up to a torrential downpour

    Just drove into work there and it's pretty nasty now alright - a lot of surface water already so if it continues all day.....plus river was extremely high but don't think it's something to be concerned about

    Look at Met.ie 3 hour forecast :-O


  • #84
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    Level 3????? :eek: Eh????? :eek:

    Another mod stuck that up. I suppose it's for the high risk of flooding and high rainfall totals .


  • #85
    Mr Benevolent
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    The last time the rain was this constant there were floods in Dublin.


  • #86
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Confab wrote: »
    The last time the rain was this constant there were floods in Dublin.

    Yes I think the fact that it's "relentless" as Siobhan said (:D) means it could cause a lot of problems this evening for rush hour traffic in the main cities and a lot of flooding too:(


  • #87
    Redsunset
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Ah here, the NAE needs a drink or two to calm it's nerves. Shows over 6 inches (152mm) as top total over the two days. As Su says It certainly looks bonkers .

    12060900_0700.gif


  • #88
    SeaFields
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    leahyl wrote: »
    ...plus river was extremely high but don't think it's something to be concerned about...

    I was out macroom direction last night and the reservoir looked fairly full. Depends if they got an opportunity to bring the levels down over night outside of high tide times as to whether it'll cause problems.

    It also must be remembered that 40% of the flow of the river is outside of flood control by the ESB. Hightide time tonight in the city could be very dodgy if this torrential rain continues.


  • #89
    Jim_Kiy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 482 ✭✭Jim_Kiy


    Rain is getting heavier here..few hours of this will be plenty of local floods.


  • #90
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    sunbabe08 wrote: »
    level 3?? really? it's still raining, but i was expecting to wake up to a torrential downpour
    me too. a mere 3mm in my gauge relentless-ometer
    The west will get the worst of it.


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  • #91
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    SeaFields wrote: »
    It also must be remembered that 40% of the flow of the river is outside of flood control by the ESB. Hightide time tonight in the city could be very dodgy if this torrential rain continues.

    True....:(:eek:


  • #92
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Jim_Kiy wrote: »
    Rain is getting heavier here..few hours of this will be plenty of local floods.

    Where's 'here'?;)


  • #93
    Jim_Kiy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 482 ✭✭Jim_Kiy


    leahyl wrote: »
    Where's 'here'?;)

    Apologies I know thats annoying ..its Clondalkin .


  • #94
    Speak Now
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    redsunset wrote: »
    Things not looking as severe I think. The east and south east not getting anything major .Bit of a let down so far. Head west for largest totals.

    Heavy this morning in Waterford redsunset, 19mm so far.


  • #95
    MrFrisp
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,244 ✭✭✭MrFrisp


    Stopped raining in Cork for now...

    That a good thing,or a bad thing I wonder?





    .


  • #96
    Basq
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 44,032 ✭✭✭✭Basq


    Sligo is dry and mild anyways..


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  • #97
    outsourced_ire
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭outsourced_ire


    SexyGuy wrote: »
    Stopped raining in Cork for now...

    That a good thing,or a bad thing I wonder?





    .

    Still raining in Blackrock. Eased off slightly though.


  • #98
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Its starting to take a nice shape on sat24.com also a strike off the wexford coast? by the looks of it.


  • #99
    leahyl
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    How reliable is the 3 hour forecast map on met.ie? Cos if it's any way reliable then all I have to say is :eek::eek:


  • #100
    MrFrisp
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,244 ✭✭✭MrFrisp


    outsourced_ire wrote: »
    Still raining in Blackrock. Eased off slightly though.



    Yeah,,raining here now again...Togher/Lehenaghmore area.

    Didn't last long. :D







    .


  • #101
    snaps
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,138 ✭✭✭snaps


    not much happening here in mayo. Barely a breath of wind, overcast and drizzle. Bit of a let down. I think these events get ramped up. Its been fairly dry here this summer, even water butt is half full, when normally its on overflow.


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