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September 2020 Boards weather forecast contest

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,130 ✭✭✭John mac


    i had the sun and rain opposite .:)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    yup. a balls of a month. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,047 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Don't forgot to post your Oct forecast today if you haven't already to avoid any late penalties!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,584 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Final values ... all to be checked tomorrow from MS

    IMT 13.2

    MAX 24.7

    MIN -2.1

    PRC 83% (est, to be adjusted from MS)

    SUN (est, to be adjusted from MS) 110%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,864 ✭✭✭mr.stonewall


    Final values ... all to be checked tomorrow from MS

    IMT 13.2

    MAX 24.7

    MIN -2.1

    PRC 83% (est, to be adjusted from MS)

    SUN (est, to be adjusted from MS) 110%

    Pity I couldn't cash in my results based on the estimates. Strange month indeed, but a break needed from the dreary summer. Many thanks for MTC for running this. Only getting into really following charts and this forum has a wealth of knowledge with all posters.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,584 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Scoring for September 2020

    Final confirmed values after checking the Monthly Statement

    IMT 13.2 _ MAX 24.7 _ MIN --2.1 _ PRC 082 _ SUN 106



    FORECASTER _________IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__ Bonus ____ TOTAL


    waterways __ (-2) ____ 24 _ 19*_ 20*_ 07 _ 10 ____ 8 _ 88-2 = 86

    Dasa29 _____________ 24 _ 17*_ 11*_ 11 _ 06 ____ 7 ______ 76


    ____ NormaL ________ 24 _ 15*_ 11*_ 06 _ 09 ____ 6 ______ 71


    MrStonewall __________20 _ 13*_ 05*_ 15 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 69

    Joe Public ___________ 24 _ 15*_ 16*_ 00 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 69

    Rikand ______________23 _ 17*_ 00__ 12 _ 07 ____ 9 ______ 68

    Gonzo ______________ 23 _ 05*_ 19*_ 12 _ 08 ____ 1 ______ 68

    M.T. Cranium _________17 _ 20*_ 02*_ 08 _ 10 ____ 7 ______ 64

    200motels ___________25 _ 11*_ 00__ 13 _ 09 ____ 6 ______ 64

    Jpmarn _____________ 25 _ 14*_ 01*_ 04 _ 09 ____ 8 ______ 61

    Tae laidir ____________23 _ 00__ 20*_ 00 _ 10 ____ 7 ______ 60


    ____ Con Sensus _____ 24 _ 09*_ 02*_ 08 _ 09 ____ 8 ______ 60


    Artane2002 __________23 _ 14*_ 03*_ 06 _ 08 ____ 5 ______ 59

    sryanbruen __________ 24 _ 02*_ 04*_ 12 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 58

    Adam240610 __ (-1) __ 21 _ 09*_ 02*_ 14 _ 07 ____ 6 _59-1= 58

    Bsal ________________22 _ 01*_ 11*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 7 ______ 56

    WesternStorm ________22 _ 08*_ 00__ 10 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 56

    john mac ____________24 _ 11*_ 02*_ 04 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 55

    Sunflower3 __________ 25 _ 03*_ 00__ 09 _ 08 ____ 6 ______ 51

    mickger844posts ______23 _ 02*_ 00__ 09 _ 09 ____ 7 ______ 50

    Dacogawa ___________ 23 _ 11*_ 03*_ 00 _ 07 ____ 6 ______ 50

    MrSkinner ___________ 18 _ 17*_ 00__ 00 _ 07 ____ 7 ______ 49

    Kindred Spirit ________ 22 _ 01*_ 02*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 8 ______ 48

    Appledrop __ (-2) _____ 19 _ 02*_ 00__ 13 _ 06 ___ 10 _50-2= 48

    Tazio _______________ 18 _ 00__ 00__ 09 _ 08 ___ 12 ______ 47

    DOCARCH ___________ 22 _ 03*_ 05*_ 07 _ 08 ____ 2 ______ 47

    BLIZZARD7 __ (-3) ____ 20 _ 10*_ 02*_ 01 _ 10 ____ 6 _49-3= 46

    Pauldry ______________21 _ 02*_ 01*_ 02 _ 08 ____ 4 ______ 38

    Eon1208 ___ (-10) ____ 17 _ 08*_ 00__ 10 _ 07 ___ (^) _42-10=32

    ___________________________________________

    * reduced boosts for minimum progression as some raw scores higher than 18/20.

    (^) Eon1208 entered too late to try the bonus question and the late penalty is
    (once again) smaller than would be assessed on a regular entrant. Anyway I
    promised I would score the forecast.

    Well done to waterways for one of the highest scores we have had this year, dasa29 also doing very well this month. Many of us seemed to miss one or two elements totally so a lot of the scores are similar in total.


    ========================================

    (actual forecasts)

    FORECASTER _________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ 2nd Sept rain (Cork, DubA)

    M.T. Cranium _________ 14.0 _ 24.5 _ 0.0 _ 102 _ 105 ___ 10.5 _ 8.8

    BLIZZARD7 __ (-3) ____ 13.7 _ 26.0 _ 0.0 _ 125 _ 105 ___ 11.5 _ 8.8

    MrStonewall __________ 13.7_ 23.7 _--0.4_ 082 _ 110 ____8.0 _ 5.0

    Pauldry ______________13.6 _ 22.5 _ 0.3 _ 120 _ 095 ___ 15.0 _ 9.0

    Artane2002 __________ 13.4 _ 23.8 _--0.2_ 110 _ 095 ___ 12.0 _ 8.0

    Dacogawa ___________ 13.4 _ 23.5 _--0.2_ 155 _ 090 ____ 3.0 _12.0

    Gonzo ______________ 13.4 _ 22.9 _--1.8_ 072 _ 116 ___ 19.0 _ 7.0

    mickger844posts ______13.4 _ 22.1 _ 1.3 _ 100 _ 110 ___ 10.0 _ 8.0

    Tae laidir ____________13.4 _ 21.4 _--2.0_ 134 _ 104 ____ 6.0 _ 8.0

    Joe Public ___________ 13.3 _ 25.5 _--1.5_ 130 _ 095 ___ 15.0 _12.0

    waterways __ (-2) ____ 13.3 _ 24.3 _--2.0_ 107 _ 108 ____ 4.1 _17.6

    Dasa29 _____________ 13.3 _ 24.0 _--1.0_ 095 _ 125 ___ 12.0 _10.0

    john mac ____________13.3 _ 23.5 _ 0.2 _ 110 _ 095 ____ 8.0 _ 4.0


    ____ Con Sensus _____ 13.3 _ 23.3 _ 0.0 _ 104 _ 101 ___ 10.3 _ 8.9


    sryanbruen __________ 13.3 _ 22.2 _--0.3_ 090 _ 100 ____ 9.0 _ 6.0

    Jpmarn _____________ 13.2 _ 23.8 _ 0.4 _ 115 _ 110 ___ 12.5 _18.8

    200motels ___________13.2 _ 23.5 _ 1.1 _ 088 _ 101 ___ 22.0 _25.0

    Sunflower3 __________13.2 _ 22.8 _ 1.0 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 5.5 _ 7.5


    ____ NormaL ________13.1 _ 25.5 _--1.0_ 100 _ 100 ____ 3.0 _16.0


    Rikand _____________ 13.0 _ 24.0 _ 1.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 5.0 _12.0

    WesternStorm _______ 12.9 _ 23.2 _ 1.5 _ 098 _ 103 ____ 9.0 _ 7.0

    DOCARCH __________ 12.9 _ 22.8 _--0.4_ 105 _ 115 ___ 12.2 _ 3.8

    Kindred Spirit ________12.9 _ 22.0 _ 0.0 _ 105 _ 095 ___ 12.0 _12.0

    Bsal _______________ 12.9 _ 21.9 _--1.0_ 105 _ 095 ____ 6.0 _ 7.5

    Adam240610 __ (-1) __12.8 _ 23.3 _ 0.1 _ 085 _ 120 ____ 4.0 _10.0

    Appledrop __ (-2) ____ 12.6 _ 22.5 _ 1.2 _ 075 _ 085 ___ 10.0 _13.0

    MrSkinner ___________12.5 _ 24.0 _ 1.0 _ 130 _ 090 ___ 17.0 _17.0

    Tazio _______________12.5 _ 21.0 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 9.0 _25.0

    ____________________________________________________

    Annual scoring summary will be along later today.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,047 ✭✭✭appledrop


    Thanks M.T. I knew I was miles off this month.

    I'm actually delighted because that meant September turned out much drier, sunny + warmer than expected!

    How could you not be happy about that after the worse summer in Dublin in a long time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,584 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Annual scoring update January to September 2020

    This month, we shift the format of the table to the "best 7/9" totals as we close in on the eventual best 10/12 to determine the main "Boards award" -- the total scores are still tracked in the left column but the table is now in the order of the final rank value.


    rank _ FORECASTER ______ Jan _Feb _Mar _Apr _May _Jun _Jul _Aug _Sep __TOTAL___ Best 7/9 (rank, prev)



    (01)_(01)__ NormaL _______ 70 _ 50 _ 73 _ 55 _ 52 _ 78 _ 59 _ 70 _ 71 __ 578 ____ 476 (01) (02)


    t02_(01) _Pauldry __________63 _ 36 _ 58 _ 69 _ 46 _ 79 _ 77 _ 76 _ 38 __ 542 ____ 468 (01) (01)

    01_(t02)_Jpmarn __________ 86 _ 51 _ 50 _ 61 _ 39 _ 62 _ 73 _ 71 _ 61 __ 554 ____ 465 (02) (02)

    04_(09)_ Dasa29 __________ 48 _ 70 _ 55 _ 38 _ 53 _ 63 _ 66 _ 70 _ 76 __ 539 ____ 453 (03) (08t)

    15_(16)_Rikand ___________ 68 _ 38 _ 64 _ 73 _ 66 _ 41 _ --- _ 71 _ 68 __ 489 ____ 451 (04) (10)

    07 _(t07) _sryanbruen ______ 47 _ 58 _ 88 _ 71 _ 43 _ 54 _ 70 _ 35 _ 58 __ 524 ____ 446 (05) (07)

    t02_(t02)_ Mrskinner _______ 86 _ 54 _ 72 _ 61 _ 60 _ 49 _ 49 _ 62 _ 49 __ 542 ____ 444 (06) (03)


    (02)_(04)___ Con Sensus ___ 70 _ 62 _ 59 _ 69 _ 57 _ 64 _ 58 _ 49 _ 60 __ 548 ____ 442 (07) (04)


    11_(12) _ Adam240610 ____ 62 _ 38 _ 58 _ 69 _ 47 _ 80 _ 64 _ 37 _ 58 __ 513 ____ 438 (08) (11t)

    05_(04)_Dacogawa ________73 _ 64 _ 53 _ 51 _ 62 _ 59 _ 63 _ 62 _ 50 __ 537 ____ 436 (09) (04)

    06_(05)_DOCARCH ________58 _ 61 _ 62 _ 50 _ 54 _ 69 _ 62 _ 68 _ 47 __ 531 ____ 434 (10) (05)

    t08_(06)_ Kindred Spirit_____61 _ 63 _ 71 _ 71 _ 60 _ 53 _ 37 _ 53 _ 48 __ 517 ____ 432 (11t) (06)

    17_(17)_200motels ________47 _ --- _ 75 _ 61 _ 60 _ 65 _ 60 _ 43 _ 64 __ 475 ____ 432 (11t) (14)

    18_(18)_Joe Public ________ 70 _ 65 _ 42 _ 39 _ 78 _ 59 _ --- _ 47 _ 69 __ 469 ____ 430 (12) (17)

    13_(11)_ Sunflower3 ______ 68 _ 60 _ 50 _ 57 _ 51 _ 71 _ 32 _ 68 _ 51 __ 508 ____ 426 (13) (08t)

    t08_(10) _Artane2002 ______56 _ 63 _ 65 _ 69 _ 52 _ 50 _ 61 _ 42 _ 59 __ 517 ____ 425 (14) (13)

    14_(14)_M.T. Cranium _____ 69 _ 59 _ 60 _ 51 _ 35 _ 75 _ 46 _ 44 _ 64 __ 503 ____ 424 (15) (16)

    10_(t07)_mickger844posts __55 _ 63 _ 60 _ 48 _ 74 _ 59 _ 54 _ 53 _ 50 __ 516 ____ 418 (16) (11t)

    12_(13)_Bsal ____________ 62 _ 54 _ 57 _ 52 _ 48 _ 49 _ 67 _ 65 _ 56 __ 510 ____ 413 (17t) (15)

    19_(20) _waterways _______--- _ 54 _ 42 _ 44 _ 67 _ 42 _ 63 _ 57 _ 86 __ 455 ____ 413 (17t) (19)

    16_(15) _john mac ________ 64 _ 46 _ 52 _ 61 _ 59 _ 57 _ 41 _ 51 _ 55 __ 486 ____ 399 (19) (18)

    20_(19) _Tae laidir ________ 67 _ 49 _ 48 _ 49 _ 53 _ 45 _ 37 _ 35 _ 60 __ 443 ____ 371 (20) (20)

    21_(21) _BLIZZARD7 _______66 _ 36 _ 47 _ 44 _ 53 _ 15 _ --- _ 29 _ 46 __ 336 ____ 321 (21) (21)


    22_(22)_Appledrop ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 47 _ 80 _ 71 _ 48 __246

    23 _(23)_Mr Stonewall _____ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 34 _ 50 _ --- _ 43 _ 69 __ 196

    24 _(24)_WesternStorm _____54 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 20 _ 48 _ 56 __ 178

    25 _(25) _Gonzo __________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 84 _ 25 _ 68 __ 177

    26_ (27)_Tazio ____________--- _ --- _ --- _ 68 _ --- _ 35 _ --- _ --- _ 47 __ 150

    27 _(26) _Eon1208 ________ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ 50 _ 57 _ 32 __ 139

    28 _(28)_JCXBXC __________ 58 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----_--- ___ 58

    29 _(29)_esposito __________49 _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ --- _ ----_ --- ___ 49

    =================================================

    Will post comments later, need to post and run ... also will check for accuracy of ranks etc


  • Registered Users Posts: 377 ✭✭waterways


    Thanks M.T. Cranium for all your good work on here! I'm glad to take part every month and to see familiar faces on here in difficult times. Please take good care all of you.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Up to 4th, the fight back is on :D


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