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Potential Storm Watch Fri 7 Dec 2018

24

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,320 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    Will it get named now since it has gone orange. Or is it not affecting enough counties?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,070 ✭✭✭Franz Von Peppercorn


    Deirdre!


  • Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Gets very close to Belmullet id expect a large gust reading there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    BBC NI day it won’t be named! I defended Met Éireann when Fionn was named as they were simply following the criteria but this makes a mockery of the system!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Villain wrote: »
    BBC NI day it won’t be named! I defended Met Éireann when Fionn was named as they were simply following the criteria but this makes a mockery of the system!

    How does it make a mockery of the system?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    How does it make a mockery of the system?

    Because the criteria was that any Orange Weather Warnings means the event is given a name.

    I mean Fionn wasn’t even a proper low but it reached Orange criteria so was named. I could see why Liam Dutton and others thought that was silly but I defended Met Eireann as that is the system in place.

    This goes against that which means no consistency and will only further confuse people.

    Just move to impact based system same as UK and name orange events, then people will be able to have more confidence in the system.


  • Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Doesn't deserve a name looking at their Harmonie model on Twitter.
    Impact based system looks the way forward alright as only the very Norh West looks the windiest.
    From midnight to 4am Friday.
    467600.jpg
    467602.jpg
    467603.jpg
    467605.jpg
    467606.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    The orange warning reads strangely, it's as if it's not a real one. Only valid for coastal and upland areas it seems, but would people living in these locations not expect harsher weather anyway?

    It appears the system may not actually be named.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 796 ✭✭✭Sycamore Tree


    It looks like this storm will pass most people by considering the timing and location. Perhaps some flooding around the high tides.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Max gusts forecast at Irish Airports on 5pm TAF:

    Dublin: 40kts
    Shannon: 41kts
    Cork: 38kts
    Knock: 46kts
    Belfast Aldergrove: 35kts
    Waterford: 40kts (Highest to Midnight)

    Nothing particularly shocking, none actually even fit into yellow criteria. (Yellow =90km/h(48.5kts) - 110km/h)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    The difference between what’s going to occur and the 12z EC chart from Tuesday which showed barely a disturbance on the front is shocking

    That 72hr chart from the deterministic is one of the worst I have seen in years


  • Registered Users Posts: 721 ✭✭✭Defaulter1831


    Villain wrote: »
    Because the criteria was that any Orange Weather Warnings means the event is given a name.

    I mean Fionn wasn’t even a proper low but it reached Orange criteria so was named. I could see why Liam Dutton and others thought that was silly but I defended Met Eireann as that is the system in place.

    This goes against that which means no consistency and will only further confuse people.

    Just move to impact based system same as UK and name orange events, then people will be able to have more confidence in the system.

    As with most things these days the UK always like to be different and do things their own way, and make a point of doing so.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,584 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    From the guidance it looks fairly borderline yellow to orange, so perhaps a few coastal gusts barely into the orange? But it will slam hard into the Hebrides later, orange alert conditions will verify there (or equivalent).

    Out to sea some very strong winds but 100-200 miles off the coast, will say most likely peak gusts about 67 knots Belmullet, 72 Malin Head, perhaps 60 at Finner. Mace Head always seems to do better than Belmullet when the wind is into a westerly direction so they may briefly match or exceed that 67 but I don't necessarily think it will translate into wind damage for Galway (city area).

    Graces7 can expect some fairly serious winds by 0300h.

    Not sure about the name question, I would vote to keep the next name for the next more impactful storm, 99% of the population will likely be saying "think that missed us here." Partly due to location and partly the timing, a few strong gusts around 0400h could be missed by many.

    Reserve the right to upgrade anyway if the last minute reporting causes a rethink.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 12Z just rolling out and keeping the track and strongest winds further out again since the last run. Strongest winds just on the coastal fringes, but nothing major standing out. Tomorrow evening may turn out windier than tonight , but still probably not greater than a yellow warning I reckon.

    YI4gou6.png


    1boZmcS.png


    xb8iENk.png

    aoJWjbD.png


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON similar to the ECM but maybe a bit stronger onshore winds tomorrow night but again just along coasts.

    tempresult_tee7.gif


    ARPEGE similar


    tempresult_tee7.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Deirdre is the biggest tease ever


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Heavy showers from an unstable air mass tomorrow with the passage of troughs giving the risk of hail and thunder. Feeling cool in the brisk wind.

    BDSYkWf.gif

    tempresult_jeo7.gif

    tempresult_pbo4.gif

    p0ubkcw.png


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Belmellet at 7pm was 1001 hpa, 9pm 995 hpa. dropping like a rock as they say


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    I read this system was already called Storm Etienne by the Portuguese Met Office which is why it wouldn't be called Deidre but If that's true why aren't Met Éireann calling it Etienne?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 456 ✭✭2013Lara


    Just seen wild lights at the zoo is cancelled tomorrow night due to the weather? Haven't seen anything to say Dublin will be hit at all?


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Pangea wrote: »
    I read this system was already called Storm Etienne by the Portuguese Met Office which is why it wouldn't be called Deidre but If that's true why aren't Met Éireann calling it Etienne?

    Etienne is long gone. That was earlier this week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Pangea wrote: »
    I read this system was already called Storm Etienne by the Portuguese Met Office which is why it wouldn't be called Deidre but If that's true why aren't Met Éireann calling it Etienne?

    No that was Monday and a different system, Met Éireann management took the decision not to name it as the Orange Warnings only affect coastal areas!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    Villain wrote: »
    No that was Monday and a different system, Met Éireann management took the decision not to name it as the Orange Warnings only affect coastal areas!

    Thanks for the clarification guys, thats a bit odd..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Windy enough in West Clare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 244 ✭✭Thepillowman


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Windy enough in West Clare.

    Windy enough at the other side of the county as well.


  • Registered Users Posts: 922 ✭✭✭crustybla


    Trampoline just taken down (again) in Co. Waterford. Very windy outside.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,970 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Very windy in Galway now some pretty strong gusts


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Max gusts forecast at Irish Airports on 5pm TAF:

    Dublin: 40kts
    Shannon: 41kts
    Cork: 38kts
    Knock: 46kts
    Belfast Aldergrove: 35kts
    Waterford: 40kts (Highest to Midnight)

    Nothing particularly shocking, none actually even fit into yellow criteria. (Yellow =90km/h(48.5kts) - 110km/h)

    Dublin revised down to 36kts, Cork down to 37kts, Knock down to 42kts. 11pm TAF


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    11pm (Getting windy in the west)

    Mace head gusting 45 knots
    Belmullet gusting 45 knots
    Newport gusting 44 knots

    (Belmullet down to 991 hpa)


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,506 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    Gust of 93 km/hr in Castlebar, pressure is down to 993.13 hPa.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Xenji wrote: »
    Gust of 93 km/hr in Castlebar, pressure is down to 993.13 hPa.

    Picked up very quickly in the last hour. rough night for those on the coast.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Gusts of 44 and 45 .

    What u got......unnamed?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 470 ✭✭P.lane78


    Where the storms have no names .....😀


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Very windy in Galway now some pretty strong gusts

    Yeah, plenty of rattles around the house now. No word from Graces7, she must be feeling this?


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,506 ✭✭✭✭Xenji


    112 km/hr now in Castlebar, it will be interesting to see in the morning the maximum, was not expecting it to be this strong so early.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,175 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Wind picking up in Sligo now only 72 hours of wind left


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Analysis at 00Z. Low 975 hPa, slightly higher than forecast 24 hours ago, but located in the right location. The Scottish reports will be interesting.

    ukmo_nat_fax_2018120700_000.png

    Forecast
    ukmo_nat_fax_2018120600_024.png


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note Amprodude / spookwoman cut it out and stop dragging the thread off topic. Observe the forum charter. If you dont adhere to the charter then you risk receiving warnings / infractions or bans. Use the report button if you have a problem with a post.


  • Registered Users Posts: 170 ✭✭Faustino


    Gotten very windy in West Dublin all of a sudden. Wasn’t expecting this side to be affected much?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Quite as a mouse here ...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,189 ✭✭✭✭RobbingBandit


    Very heavy bursts of rain with some hail about 45 minutes ago in Dublin 11 gusty but just usual December night really


  • Registered Users Posts: 32 Swellan


    I am confused as to how Ballyhaise is recording gusts of winds of 44-60kms/hour. There isn't a puff of wind in Cavan town. Skies are clear.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭Sundew


    Woken by a violent gust of wind 15 mins ago in Sth Galway. It sounds pretty bad out there. Glad I’m not on an offshore island this morning!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,477 ✭✭✭AllForIt


    Heavy but short lived shower of HAILSTONES here in west mayo at 6am.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 506 ✭✭✭tiegan


    very quiet all night in South Tipp


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 244 ✭✭Thepillowman


    Calm morning with clear skies in East Clare.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Yeah, plenty of rattles around the house now. No word from Graces7, she must be feeling this?

    Indeed yes... Advent is a quiet time computer wise for me , but today is a break...

    Some gales howl. Some rumble. This one is a screamer. Banshee wails... Some real drawn out eerie wails.... I am always deeply grateful for the advance warnings here that take these events seriously especially when they are localised. THANkYOU !

    Got fuel in and that was that. Managed to get shopping across as no boats today... LOVE living according to the weather!.

    Still buffeting out there..

    Stay safe.

    West Mayo offshore island


  • Registered Users Posts: 89 ✭✭coleria


    Graces7 wrote: »
    Indeed yes... Advent is a quiet time computer wise for me , but today is a break...

    Some gales howl. Some rumble. This one is a screamer. Banshee wails... Some real drawn out eerie wails.... I am always deeply grateful for the advance warnings here that take these events seriously especially when they are localised. THANkYOU !

    Got fuel in and that was that. Managed to get shopping across as no boats today... LOVE living according to the weather!.

    Still buffeting out there..

    Stay safe.

    West Mayo offshore island

    Glad youre ok Grace, was thinking about you last night, with this storm hitting Achill, Belmulet area.

    Very calm in Galway city, a few light clouds slowly meandering across the otherwise clear sky


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