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Saturday/Sunday Wintry Potential

245678

Comments

  • #52
    glack
    Registered Users Posts: 697 ✭✭✭glack


    Mortelaro wrote: »
    Yeah but this is 2019
    People with phones aren't going to be listening to radio one
    They're going to be looking at what I posted above and set out on their journeys accordingly
    Which leads to the Same confusion as last weekend

    If people can’t be bothered to scroll down and actually read the forecast, then that’s their own fault. It’s on the app so if people aren’t informed it’s due to their own laziness. Those pictures are always only a tiny part of the forecast.


  • #53
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    WRF just shows North of country getting any worthwhile wintriness.
    I see dewpoints will be above 0°C for much of the night till they bottom oit at minus 4 tomorrow in the showers.

    So weighting it up , nothing too noteworthy then tonight for many if WRF is correct.

    nmm_uk1-1-23-0_hsm6.png


  • #54
    highdef
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,323 ✭✭✭highdef


    Mount Vesuvius wrote: »
    WRF just shows North of country getting any worthwhile wintriness.
    I see dewpoints will be above 0°C for much of the night till they bottom oit at minus 4 tomorrow in the showers.

    So weighting it up , nothing too noteworthy then tonight for many if WRF is correct.

    nmm_uk1-1-23-0_hsm6.png

    I'm echoing your thoughts. As I mentioned, unless we get upgrades later today, chances are slim for most bar high ground in the northern 2/3 of the country....say from about 250/300m ASL in the middle section of the country and from maybe about 150ish metres ASL in the northern third, for snow to fall and stick readily. That's based on the current information at hand and my estimates might change later.


  • #55
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Yep, for now, go north and go high.


  • #56
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    very low risk of snow in low lying areas away from Northern Ireland according to the latest Hirlam. Looks like rain for the majority of us. Maybe later on things will change.

    hirlamuk-1-24-0.png?09-10


  • #57
    Mortelaro
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


    Met eireann still all rain on their website for cavan tonight and tomorrow
    There is a yellow exclamation triangle beside it but that's on every town and you can't even click through to a warning

    So Joe soap who sets met Éireann to their home town and who just looks at the 5 day and not the national will be totally unaware
    Ridiculous and careless imho


  • #58
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Obviously people here in Kildare are anxious of a repeat of last weekend. I think the confidence is there that there won’t be a repeat. Warnings have been issued though so we see what happens.

    I don’t think this potential would be worth GL commenting on anyways. ;-)


  • #59
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Latest Euro4 says "Looks like rain Ted" for tonight.

    However Sunday shows plenty of wintriness.

    475002.jpg


  • #60
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    I'm in Belfast today and there is lots of lying snow on the hills and mountains surrounding the city. Seems to be around 200m upwards.


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  • #61
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    ECMWF screenshots I took this morning, showing a sleet/snow marginal situation through the midlands overnight. Snowline down to around 100-150 metres. However, the Harmonie says no and ibstead has rain for places like Mullingar (100 m and right in the middle of the blue).

    Haven't had much more of a look since but would be surprised to see anything at lowest levels.


  • #62
    kittyn
    Registered Users Posts: 366 ✭✭kittyn


    Gaoth Laidir wrote: »
    ECMWF screenshots I took this morning, showing a sleet/snow marginal situation through the midlands overnight. Snowline down to around 100-150 metres. However, the Harmonie says no and ibstead has rain for places like Mullingar (100 m and right in the middle of the blue).

    Haven't had much more of a look since but would be surprised to see anything at lowest levels.

    Snow for me on those charts whoo .....


  • #63
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Hailstones. It's a sign.


  • #64
    Donegal Storm
    Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭Donegal Storm


    Overnight snow has all melted but frequent squally hail showers in Letterkenny all day


  • #65
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway, Leitrim, Mayo, Sligo, Clare, Kerry and Limerick

    West to northwest winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h and gusts of 90 to 110kmh, strongest in coastal areas.

    Valid: Sunday 10 March 2019 04:00 to Sunday 10 March 2019 23:59

    Issued: Saturday 09 March 2019 13:00

    Updated: Saturday 09 March 2019


  • #66
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    AROME signal for widespread sleet and snow across a good part of Leinster first thing tomorrow morning. Clearing to showers through the morning.

    3441_ifu0.png


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  • #67
    lucernarian
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    Any realtime hints as to the tracking of the low pressure vs what the models are showing for this evening?


  • #68
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    Will molls gap be out of bounds tomorrow morning?
    I'm traveling from kenmare to Killarney.


  • #69
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    not much snow is forecast away from the north-west, very little if anything in the Greater Dublin region.

    45-780UK.GIF?09-12


  • #70
    smurph6
    Registered Users Posts: 41 ✭smurph6


    Doing a cycle in Cork city tomorrow morning. Will the weather be ok down here for it


  • #71
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Donegal, Galway, Leitrim, Mayo, Sligo, Clare, Kerry and Limerick

    West to northwest winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h and gusts of 90 to 110kmh, strongest in coastal areas.
    Valid: Sunday 10 March 2019 04:00 to Sunday 10 March 2019 23:59
    Issued: Saturday 09 March 2019 13:00
    Updated: Saturday 09 March 2019 14:05


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  • #72
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Certainly nothing of too much notice for Greater Dublin overnight tonight. Tomorrow is looking raw and bitter.


  • #73
    Tacklebox
    Registered Users Posts: 419 ✭✭Tacklebox


    The wind has dropped in Clare, the lake over the road is like a sheet of glass.
    Temperature is not too bad but the sky has that brown snowy tinge about it.


  • #74
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Ha Met Error not willing to take any chances this weekend!


  • #75
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    AROME shows the tell tale signs of big convective gusts moving across the country during tomorrow, would expect loads of big blustery hail and wintry showers.

    I think the models especially the ECM showing less lying snow for tomorrow, that doesn't mean driving conditions won't be tricky at times especially under one of those big showers. Indeed they can be the most dangerous as you can happen upon one in a moment as your flying up the motorway and previous years have seen a few pile ups after heavy hail showers.

    anim_obn7.gif

    anim_lna4.gif

    anim_ins6.gif

    GEAECzn.png

    lHsHTfl.png

    wZantRD.png

    I4wsesQ.png


  • #76
    Snow Garden
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭Snow Garden


    Amazing hailstones at around 3am last night in Galway. Really heavy and loud. Thunder and lightning as well.


  • #77
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The progression of the cold airmass.

    Temps staying up above freezing tomorrow night in most places it would seem, the wind helping there. Windchill is another thing though, skinning!

    DWdiDLa.png

    gNnBlhn.png


    cfjGaVu.png

    rQswokm.png

    arpegeuk-43-24-0_ner9.png

    arpegeuk-43-33-0_eut3.png


  • #78
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The EURO 4 's take on the weather tomorrow, similar to the ECM but probably showing more wintry stuff and lying snow I would think tomorrow night , probably more so over higher ground but showing snow on lower ground also.

    fKtiCv4.gif

    UdiHxS1.gif

    This is it's idea of the amount of snow that might fall , not what will be on the ground as a lot of it will melt.

    2Ub0IQs.gif

    kU5Qdn2.gif


  • #79
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,752 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    5.2C in Kilkenny city at the moment, 3.7C on the nearby hills.

    Temperatures as expected continuing to fall.


  • #80
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    3.9C now here near Tralee, dropping slowly all day and evening from a high of 10.1C

    6.4mm of rain

    Breeze picking up


  • #81
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,428 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    Rain at the moment,persipation needs too increase to get a cooling effect.


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  • #82
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    Meteorite58 wrote: »
    3.9C now here near Tralee, dropping slowly all day and evening from a high of 10.1C

    6.4mm of rain

    Breeze picking up

    Do you think molls gap will be passable tomorrow morning?
    I'm heading back from kenmare!


  • #83
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Latest update on Met Eireann really backs away from anything wintry.


  • #84
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Down to 4.2c here in Kildare. May see some sleet if the fall continues tonight.


  • #85
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Lara Defeated Significant wrote: »
    Do you think molls gap will be passable tomorrow morning?
    I'm heading back from kenmare!

    I myself wouldent chance it. I would go around by Kilgarvan.


  • #86
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,174 ✭✭✭pauldry


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Latest update on Met Eireann really backs away from anything wintry.

    Thats very bold of them

    Might as well go to bed so. You may think its very hard for them to forecast snow but the actual forecast for today changed 4 times in the last week. If theres a strong jet they might as well go on holidays as it totally unpredictable even in realtime as opposed to slightly.


  • #87
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Amazing the respect given to Met Eireann forecasts. Their forecasts change because the editor changes!! If we put all 5 presenters on TV tonight we would ser 5 different forecasts


  • #88
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    I have the beer ready just in case.


  • #89
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    Amazing the respect given to Met Eireann forecasts. Their forecasts change because the editor changes!! If we put all 5 presenters on TV tonight we would ser 5 different forecasts

    What’s your prediction JS?!


  • #90
    uck51js9zml2yt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 18,268 ✭✭✭✭uck51js9zml2yt


    munsterlegend wrote: »
    What’s your prediction JS?!

    Will be a nice 23C with a a plenty count :)


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  • #91
    ZX7R
    Registered Users Posts: 3,428 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Down to 4.2c here in Kildare. May see some sleet if the fall continues tonight.

    Sleet on the windscreen of van maynooth


  • #92
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,067 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Slow drop in Temperatures, 3.3C now here near Tralee.

    Very wet, 11mm


  • #93
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    lastsnowradar_uk.gif


  • #94
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    heavy sleety rain at Dunshaughlin, wouldn't take much more than a 1 or 2 degree drop for this to fall as snow.


  • #95
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,981 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    My prediction is fairly widespread falling snow but very little sticking. BUT considering most of us spend half our lives chasing snow I think it will be notable for some!


  • #96
    Cork Boy 53
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    JanuarySnowstor wrote: »
    My prediction is fairly widespread falling snow but very little sticking. BUT considering most of us spend half our lives chasing snow I think it will be notable for some!

    No snow in west Cork last Sunday and I very much doubt there will be any this weekend either. Very rainy tonight.


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  • #97
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    The 11pm TAF's seem to indicate possible sporadic snow showers during the day tomorrow.


  • #98
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    On the TAFS, Rain Snow = Sleet and Snow Rain = wet snow?


  • #99
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    SleetAndSnow wrote: »
    On the TAFS, Rain Snow = Sleet and Snow Rain = wet snow?

    No,

    RASN= More rain than snow
    SNRA= More snow than rain

    The difference between them can be small, and often in Ireland it just says RASN for all levels of sleet. I rarely see SNRA, but it's getting more popular.


  • #100
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Great thanks JCX!


  • #101
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Gonzo wrote: »
    heavy sleety rain at Dunshaughlin, wouldn't take much more than a 1 or 2 degree drop for this to fall as snow.

    1522155392514.png


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