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The Golf Tips Thread

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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    Weisberger first round leader @55/1

    I was going to back Mickelson @ 100/1 but he said himself yesterday he has pretty much no chance so am going with the following

    Fowler @ 33/1
    Matt Wallace @ 40/1
    Van Rooyen @100/1
    Harrington e/w @ 175/1
    Robert Macintyre e/w @ 200/1

    small stakes

    Nice return on MacIntyre


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,830 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Nice return on MacIntyre

    What odds did you get after the shares??

    200 / 5 = 40 / 4 = 10??


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,907 ✭✭✭Stevieluvsye


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    What odds did you get after the shares??

    200 / 5 = 40 / 4 = 10??

    He finished top 10 outright so i'm assuming it'll pay @ 40/1

    I'll collect during the week and see what happens


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,830 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    He finished top 10 outright so i'm assuming it'll pay @ 40/1

    I'll collect during the week and see what happens

    Apologies, he did too.....
    The PGA leader board hasn't refreshed when I looked at it....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,092 ✭✭✭The Tetrarch


    I bet 808 Euro on 15 players, and on Friday night sold five of the bets for 800 Euro, so had an 8 Euro loss.
    I partly sold these at 36 holes, keeping a bit of the bet in case they went all the way: J B Holmes; Cameron Smith; Justin Harding; Brooks Koepka
    I had 10 Euro on J B Homes at 650, 40 Euro on Justin Harding at 800 (-8 behind four leaders at -10 in the 3rd round).

    At one stage I had 5 of the 8 leaders, all at big prices.

    Lowry's back nine on Saturday ended the event as a betting proposition.
    During the third round I was in the stand at the 9th hole when he birdied.
    At that stage Lowry was one of four players at -10, before another five birdies by Lowry on the back nine effectively ended the contest.

    I will definitely be buying the DVD of the 2019 Open when it is available.
    Portrush is a fantastic course.
    It has the least number of bunkers of all the Open courses but the slopes and hollows around the greens are terrifying.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭DJIMI TRARORE


    Chancing a few quid on Rory Sabbatini this week,gut feeling a win is coming for him


  • Registered Users Posts: 9 Shandog


    Chancing a few quid on Rory Sabbatini this week,gut feeling a win is coming for him

    Some shout !!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭DJIMI TRARORE


    Chancing a few quid on Rory Sabbatini this week,gut feeling a win is coming for him

    The EW money will have to do,worth keeping an eye on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Overdue a win on the golf and Hoping Adam Scott can returun a dividend for my score ew 7 places.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Green off to a good start in Czech, can still get close to double figures.

    BMW just starting now, for one less place(6) can get still pick off any early leaders (helps with field elimination) at good prices.
    Went ante with a few wildcards earlier (for 7pl) in a smallish field: Ancer/Champ/Conners. 75-150+/1.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Green off to a good start in Czech, can still get close to double figures.

    BMW just starting now, for one less place(6) can get still pick off any early leaders (helps with field elimination) at good prices.
    Went ante with a few wildcards earlier (for 7pl) in a smallish field: Ancer/Champ/Conners. 75-150+/1.

    Conners the best of the bunch with T7 finish (125-150/1) place. B365 had the best price but as always they can be short on the e/w markets.

    eSLuSbu.png

    JT won comfortably as the 4th fav going in, but didn't bother.
    JT again v.short in the Tour 3.5, but lowest 72 market is better @8, 5pl.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Would it be fair to assume a book that currently offers a price of 3,000/1 for a R1L in a small field (Tour champ) (3pl) is a clear syntax error?

    More importantly, would my small e/w treble at odds of @39,823.88 become invalid (or remain honoured), because some Trader fell asleep upon their keyboard?


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is that based off them starting from 11 shots behind


  • Subscribers Posts: 41,830 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    Definite error and most likely won't be honoured if it came in... Someone hit an extra zero

    Who's the golfer (for the craic)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Ah good point MJ, the small txt says: inclusive of the Handicaps given to each golfer at the start of the event based on their FedEx Cup Points rankings.

    Still when you see 3,000/1 in a small field just sitting there, it's an interesting line builder on a small stake novelty acca.
    The (R1) big prices (2k/1+) include Glover, Conners, Bryson, Kokrak.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Having the usual e/w doubles:

    Boeing classic

    Kevin Sutherland 14/1
    Davis Love III 40/1

    Scandinavian invitation

    Lucas Herbert 90/1
    Paul waring 55/1

    4 e/w doubles

    Good luck all


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,099 ✭✭✭✭Mantis Toboggan


    Like mcEntyre at 15/8 to close it out.

    Didn't think Casey had it in him, fair play.

    Free Palestine 🇵🇸



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Some reasonable tournaments this week, have gone for:

    Pure Insurance Championship

    Kirk Triplett@30/1 & Woody Austin@12/1

    Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

    Tyrrell Hatton@25/1 & Matthias Schwab@45/1

    Safeway Open

    Ryan Moore@35/1 & Kevin Na@45/1

    Each way doubles and trebles (in the vain hope!)

    Good luck all


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    At the Shriners, recknon current R3 leader will blow it during R4, to allow WR7 (Patrick) to overtake & win it instead.
    3pl in a 2-horse race, safe but rather short 2.1 or 2.5 for either.
    Only advisable as a line selection on an acca due to low numerials.

    However better value can be found in the W/O (both) via Glover@5.0 circa 2pl.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    At the Shriners, recknon current R3 leader will blow it during R4, to allow WR7 (Patrick) to overtake & win it instead.
    3pl in a 2-horse race, safe but rather short 2.1 or 2.5 for either.
    Only advisable as a line selection on an acca due to low numerials.

    However better value can be found in the W/O (both) via Glover@5.0 circa 2pl.

    Typically, i backed him the week before and look what happened, when i needed him for a double :mad:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Back to the usual double this week - have gone for :

    The CJ Cup 2019 - Cameron Smith@16/1 & Rafa Cabrera Bello@25/1

    Dominion Charity Classic - Bernhard Langer@10/1 & Scott McCarron@10/1

    Good luck all


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    abarkie wrote: »
    Typically, i backed him the week before and look what happened, when i needed him for a double :mad:


    Cantlay did catch up on him for a playoff (4.0 market), but just failed to snatch the win.

    This week was lazy and went with simple and fairly tame 'WoTC' shortening market selections on the mixed accas yesterday, luckily both are up in the upper quadrants during/after R1. https://i.imgur.com/SawiKXy.png (won't allow image upload).

    Noticed Smith is off to a cracking early start in France -6 on 8th (live), and wouldn't discount this even at lowly 5.0 (6pl) as an acca filler for the weekend. Likewise for AnBH @7.5 for (5pl) after a bogey free R1 T1 in S.Kor.

    Sneaky small wilcard for CC@81 5pl (or 100 4pl) in the CJ also.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    It is a long time since i got a decent win betting on golf,though i have not been too active in the recent past on the small ball scene.

    This week is different however as i will be at the Victoria course watching the action,staying at one of the sponsors hotels the Dom Pedro Vilamoura and it would be nice to get some bookmakers cash to help fund the trip!

    I have watched this event a few times and it is always enjoyable and 20 under is the average winning score.
    Sam Horsfield and George Coetsee are two i am thinking about and i will finalise selections tomorrow.

    Selections finalised and bets on with PP 8 places.I dropped Coetsee and Horsfield from my bets and i do hope i wont regret it.

    Backed C Paisley 35/1 a tenner ew, E Pepperell 20/1 a tenner ew and O Fisher 100/1 a fiver ew for a total of 50 euro invested.

    All packed and ready to go and hope i have one left with a chance of at least a place to follow on sunday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    It is a long time since i got a decent win betting on golf,though i have not been too active in the recent past on the small ball scene.

    This week is different however as i will be at the Victoria course watching the action,staying at one of the sponsors hotels the Dom Pedro Vilamoura and it would be nice to get some bookmakers cash to help fund the trip!

    I have watched this event a few times and it is always enjoyable and 20 under is the average winning score.
    Sam Horsfield and George Coetsee are two i am thinking about and i will finalise selections tomorrow.

    Sam Horsefield tipped by smartgolfbets


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    This week's golf double :

    Zozo championship

    Jordan speith 25/1 & byeong Hun An 45/1

    Portugal masters

    Lucas bjerregard 20/1 & George coetzee 25/1

    Good luck all


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Like the look of Zozo, not Algarve, much smaller field and still 7pl.

    Just starting very shortly and will give early starter C'Conners another chance, also Ancer@56 and wildcard Kodaira@101 for this 1RL market (6pl).
    JT@19 was also priced up at (nearly) 200% with one book for this too as a more conservative selection.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Sipping a sagres in the Dom Pedro Vilamoura, used to be called the Dom Pedro Golf.
    On good terms with golf selections and will be following O Fisher tomorrow a nd willing him on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Pepperell didn't sparkle but got placed Paisley played very well to get placed and Fis her just avoided a total collapse and gets me a am all consolation of a fraction of my place bet.A great tournament I really enjoyed it and won the price of dinner and a few drinks before heading home tomorow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Back for another go, this week gone for :

    WGC HSBC Champions - Xander Schauffele@12/1 & Henrik Stenson@25/1


    Invesco QQQ Championship - Scott Parel@11/1 & Woody Austin@9/1

    E/w doubles as always

    Good luck all


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  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭Waccamacca3


    I did justin rose this week always a slow starter but 2 off the real leaders cant see Li lasting


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Trying again for another go, so going for :

    Turkish Airlines Open 2019

    Eddie Pepperell@35/1 & Andy Sullivan@55/1

    Charles Schwab Cup Championship 2019

    Jerry Kelly@11/1 & Joe Durant@50/1

    Good luck all


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Jeremy Chapman suggests that Jon Rham,Hatton,Willet,Westwood and McIntyre are woth supporting in the DP world tour championship.

    His main bet is 21/2 pts ew Rham.

    i am with him on Rham who has played very well in Europe this year and has a great chance here.4th last year and a winner the year before he could be ready for this after a break.

    Available at 7/1 i have have backed him at 13/2 win only
    with Boyles who are money back (free bet) if 2nd 3rd or 4th inc ties.
    I asked today what was the max amount and the guy i asked was not sure but said he thought it was €20.I did it twice in the same shop and will do it twice more tomorrow in another shop.

    Boyles are only money back if one is on the grid,however PP is also money back at 13/2 if 2nd 3rd or 4th.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Following a rare win last week to a decent stake (phew) i will be hoping to follow up and the televised womens tour event in Spain might be the place to look as so many in the field have little chance of success.

    I will have a look at the form and have a bet later.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Following a rare win last week to a decent stake (phew) i will be hoping to follow up and the televised womens tour event in Spain might be the place to look as so many in the field have little chance of success.

    I will have a look at the form and have a bet later.

    NANA MADSEN 10s for the Spanish Open,played well last week for 3 rounds and there are only a few decent women playing this week so i have a few quid ew.

    In South Africa young Zander Lombard might be able to overcome a few out of form but more established players 20S pp 7 places.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    NANA MADSEN 10s for the Spanish Open,played well last week for 3 rounds and there are only a few decent women playing this week so i have a few quid ew.

    In South Africa young Zander Lombard might be able to overcome a few out of form but more established players 20S pp 7 places.

    I did not follow up last weeks win but i feel i should have,Lombard had an 8 at the last and i now only get a 1/4 of the place money its a pity he did not get a 7.

    Madsen was even worse,3 double bogeys in the final round, at the 4th.13th and 18th and she was only beaten a shot!!! a par at the last would have won me the cash,painful.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    NANA MADSEN 10s for the Spanish Open,played well last week for 3 rounds and there are only a few decent women playing this week so i have a few quid ew.

    In South Africa young Zander Lombard might be able to overcome a few out of form but more established players 20S pp 7 places.

    I did not follow up last weeks win but i feel i should have,Lombard had an 8 at the last and i now only get a 1/4 of the place money its a pity he did not get a 7.

    Madsen was even worse,3 double bogeys in the final round, at the 4th.13th and 18th and she was only beaten a shot!!! a par at the last would have won me the cash,painful.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Lots of golf this week but Australia not on tv.

    Justin Harding 20s and Matthieu Pavon 66s will do me in Mauritius both having a bit of course form.

    Rahm could win the Hero but i will have a few quid ew Patrick Reed 16s 5 places.
    Garcia could be worth a few quid in Australia.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 336 ✭✭Banner2theend


    Tiger Woods at 10/1 for the Hero World Challenge is an absolute steal. Word from Bahamas is that in practice and in Tuesday's pro-am, he was flushing it with his driver and irons. Tournament starts today instead of the traditional Thursday. Really looking forward to see what Tiger can do this week.

    Connor Syme at 60/1 generally for the Mauritius Open, looks like a strong each-way bet. Played some really good golf at last week's Alfred Dunhill at Leopard Creek, finishing 11th. Really impressed with his ball-striking too.

    Looking forward to this week's golf most certainly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Tiger gets out in about an hour, spotted optimal price @12, but this is for 1stRL, however this still the same 4pl(1/4) as would be for outright (at shorter) via Sky.
    Wonder if Speith @29 with same book is also slightly high, for 4pl out of just 18 or so contenders. Another price irregularity is Watson @46.
    Again only value if they perform.

    Elsewhere at Powers they're doing 5pl (1/5) for both markets and Tony Finau@19 for the Leader after R1 is better than anywhere else.

    Down under and just noticed an oddity with Windred priced +50-80% average price @81. Also with +20% is Warren@251.
    But 1stRL Garcia @23 might be more sensible and conservative slight advantge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Matthieu Pavon is 80/1 with Lads only 66/1 PP both going 7 places,it pays to shop around.
    I put a tenner ew on my fancies but had another tenner ew Pavon at the 80/1 and backed Reed ew without Thomas and Rahm at the lesser price of 12/1 a drop of 4 points from the 16s available for a straight win.

    I hope i get someone at least placed as it was not my intention to invest a 100 but thats just the way it worked out.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Having another go this week, so going for :

    Hero World Challenge

    Tiger Woods 10/1 & Rickie Fowler 12/1

    Mauritius Open

    George Coetzee 14/1 & Romain Langasque 16/1

    Good luck all


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    Reid cock up cost me a few quid only got the place money and Pavons blowout in round 3 ruined any chance of a big payout.

    Two bets this week in the QBE Shootout Horschel/Todd win at 9/2 and Hoffman/Kisner ew at 10/1.


  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭Waccamacca3


    Had detry in Mauritius can't believe he put it in the bunker on 16 while leading went 1/4 on paddy. I'm looking forward to a better year starting on pga thinking of going dustin this year


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    First tournament of the year and i ahave gone with Patrick reed at 12/1 5 places and backed REED again at 13/2 without Rahm,Johnson,Cantlay ,Schauffle and Thomas.

    I have 15 ew on both bets and i was influenced by the fact that Reed kept going over the winter and he may be less rusty than some.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    First tournament of the year and i ahave gone with Patrick reed at 12/1 5 places and backed REED again at 13/2 without Rahm,Johnson,Cantlay ,Schauffle and Thomas.

    I have 15 ew on both bets and i was influenced by the fact that Reed kept going over the winter and he may be less rusty than some.


    This W/O market is very good, still 5pl (as per outright) but without many big names, went Fowler circa 8.0. Starts in a handful of hours, as does the L'Pool who will likely have a few 1stGS to populate a mixed e/w acca.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 393 ✭✭CheltenhamJ


    Fowler ew at 14’s for me


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    First tournament of the year and i ahave gone with Patrick reed at 12/1 5 places and backed REED again at 13/2 without Rahm,Johnson,Cantlay ,Schauffle and Thomas.

    I have 15 ew on both bets and i was influenced by the fact that Reed kept going over the winter and he may be less rusty than some.

    Who was doing that market - without the players?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,723 ✭✭✭zimmermania


    abarkie wrote: »
    Who was doing that market - without the players?

    Paddy Power,though my bet is not looking very healthy now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭Waccamacca3


    Anyone think kuchar 14s is is good bet now


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Anyone think kuchar 14s is is good bet now
    If already backed any of these JT/Fowler/Rahm, then could be a decent Alt/Arb/Offset acca-builder, and it does have 40% market availabily @17.0 (16/1), not just default 14/1.


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