Snow/Ice warning: 26 / 27 / 28 Jan 2020

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

If I do see snow (which will be nothing more than shcutter) from this event, it would be the first observed snow this winter for my location, which is extraordinary in itself. I was actually kinda hoping that I could get through this winter without seeing a single flake, just to see if it can be achieved, but I guess climatology will always win out in the end.

not a flake fell here all last winter, at least I can't remember one! We did get some brief snowfall in March one Sunday afternoon. Not a flake this year either. I'll amazed if I see any snow from Monday/Tuesday event.

Looking through the charts and the ECM 12Z has 850 hpa charts as low as the GFS 18Z at the moment. Fax chart showing the 528 dam line moving down below Ireland and staying there out to Tuesday. Showers on Sunday in an increasingly cold air mass turning more wintry through the day into the evening . Best chance of snow in the W, NW and N during the passage of a trough later Sunday evening. Charts showing increasing instability Sunday onward over the sea and moving in from the coasts so looks like sending in convective type weather with big hail showers with gusty winds possible in the mix and lightning could show up especially along coastal counties. Bitter cold overnight into Monday and a very cold blustery day with showers to follow , many wintry more so in the Western half of the country and especially along Atlantic Counties. Monday troughs moving down along the Western side of the country could produce longer wintry spells. Hard to call amounts but looks like the W, NW and N getting the most chance of snow at lower levels . No doubt that mountain ranges will get a good plastering and could be tricky road conditions during some of the heavy showers especially from hail and thinking some roads on higher terrain will need close attention along the Western side of the country from later Sunday out to Tuesday into Weds morning.

Big departure from the calm benign week gone by . Windchill will be a factor . Freezing conditions Monday night despite the wind . Looking forward to the sunny spells Sunday, Monday Tuesday with big cloudscapes and white mountain tops , good photo opportunities !

Hi Res models just coming into view, EURO 4 favours Munster getting some snow Sunday night, HIRLAM not that far yet but the latest run showing some heavy precipitation coming in towards Munster too ?