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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Spring / Summer 2019 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Big outlier again on 00Z ECM which brings some nice high pressure in next week, with such big changes on each run and large spread it is impossible to call next week.

    graphe_ens3.php_.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    GFS 06z looks like it has gone the ECM route but as you say with such wild changes from run to run, it's hard to really forecast this and note a trend. Some really pleasant warm late summer weather showing up. Charts almost give me a Summer 2018 vibe.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,174 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Looking at 10 day forecast

    Castlebar will be dry 1 day out of the 10. Sunday

    Dublin will be dry 8 days

    So the West will be Wet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,290 ✭✭✭tanko


    What is the outlook for next week?


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    tanko wrote: »
    What is the outlook for next week?

    cool and unsettled conditions developing from Tuesday. The following week may see another brief warmish spell, around the 2nd to 4th of September, temperatures possibly reaching 20 or 21C.

    High pressure moving in on Tuesday 2nd of September:

    GFSOPEU06_231_1.png

    High pressure over us on the 3rd of September:
    GFSOPEU06_252_1.png

    High pressure just about holding on till the 4th:
    GFSOPEU06_276_1.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Models been poor recently already but keep in mind that with the hurricane season starting to liven up in the Atlantic, model reliability will plummet further.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Models been poor recently already but keep in mind that with the hurricane season starting to liven up in the Atlantic, model reliability will plummet further.

    Been thinking the same sryanbruen, couple of tropical storms getting going with chance of cyclone formation quite high, if the remnants eventually start moving up towards our latitudes they can have a big impact on swinging the weather one way or the other often with big flip flopping from the models throwing out various scenarios. Interesting model watching though.

    Unsettled enough charts from the ECM 0Z if they verify with a succession of LP's bringing windy and wet weather at times from next weekend alternating between mild and cool as fronts go through and winds changing to NW'ly directions as the LP's track N bringing down colder air mass.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Latest models indicative of northerly winds and Atlantic ridge for early September, looking notably cool. However, the reliability remains very low.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Colder air mass heading our way at the end of the week giving a cool weekend.

    Sat highs of 14 to 17C
    Sun highs of 13 to 16C



    anim_zpf1.gif

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Overall outlook isn't too bad at all insofar as it can possibly be trusted. At least the models are agreeing.


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    No harm keeping an eye on where whats left of Dorian might end up eventually, ECM and GFS bringing the remnants a bit closer to us on this run.

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note: Opened a new Autumn FI Thread............................... https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2058011764


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