Heavy Rain - Flood risk

WolfeIRE · 28-10-2010 5:42pm #1

A lot of rain forecast for Ireland in the next five days, with medium term outlooks predicting further atlantic systems will be crossing the country.

Last November saw a similar set up which resulted in serious flooding throughout the country, particulary in counties Cork, Clare and Galway. The only difference this year is that the current wet spel of weather has not been preceeded by a record breaking wet summer, as experienced in 2009.

The water table is pretty much at capacity according to http://www.met.ie/agmet/smd_wds.asp so any sustained rainfall will lead to flooding as the water has nowhere to go.

Latest warning from Met Eireann.

Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued at 28 October 2010 - 14:09
Rainfall Warning
Rainfall amounts of 25 - 40mm likely in parts of Munster and Leinster.

from 18:00 28/10/2010
to 18:00 29/10/2010

Deep Easterly · 28-10-2010 6:12pm

Here is where tomorrow's potential wave is beginning to develop on the 12z Fax analysis, with arrow showing where most of the main models have it running over the next 18/24hrs

Current Sat image with wave formation starting in circled area:

Will be interesting to see how it develops over the next 24hrs

km79 · 28-10-2010 6:54pm

not again:eek:

isle of man · 28-10-2010 8:29pm

wind has got up here,

John2009 · 28-10-2010 8:38pm

Winds have really picked up here in the past 2 hours, no heavy rain since about 4;30pm just spots of drizzle,

have my new Panasonic Lumix so i'll get a quick night time video later if the wind and rain gets any bit violent

Deep Easterly · 28-10-2010 8:45pm

ECMWF rain forecast for midday tomorrow:

Might be wise to bring one of these:
images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTA4HGNjBSxtyl67VEhQEIMaZShrgmSYZYLt7Ft3dgIe23CzU4&t=1&usg=__WVZzlPcevIVjA__HrZVfR2aJjO4=

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTA4HGNjBSxtyl67VEhQEIMaZShrgmSYZYLt7Ft3dgIe23CzU4&t=1&usg=__WVZzlPcevIVjA__HrZVfR2aJjO4=

if you are planning outdoor activiites tomorrow.

CarMuppet · 28-10-2010 9:32pm

I'm in Riverstick now on a hill open from the SE right around tonthe west. My iPhone is getting soaked as I'm typing this bit the wind has seriouly picked up. No way p measuring speed but heavy rain is falling sideways. And trees are flexing a lot. Right back to the 4x4 for me now.

sunbabe08 · 28-10-2010 9:37pm

heavy rain here in cork. wind picking up again. love this type of weather

up for anything · 28-10-2010 9:42pm

Well it is half term so of course it is going to be wet and windy. Five days should bring us nicely to Monday which I predict will bring clear blue skies, cold but no wind or rain all day till 3pm.

Wet but not pouring here in KK and no wind to speak of but with the recent rain the leaves have turned into a sodden mess everywhere which can be worse than ice for skidding on so watch out on the roads.

Min · 28-10-2010 10:12pm

Very windy on the hills in KK...

John2009 · 28-10-2010 10:12pm

Just a clip from a passing shower at 9:45pm, taking with my Panasonic Lumix TZ7 sorry about the strong blue streaks but its typical of CCD sensors in cameras,

the camera is brand new and this is actually my first night video with a digital camera, 720p available on the Youtube clip

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S8wVcRMpoaI

mike65 · 28-10-2010 10:18pm

I'd forgotton what serious rain was like, but it looks like we're going to make up for whatever deficit there may be in the Deise soil.

thetonynator · 28-10-2010 10:46pm

Min wrote: »

Very windy on the hills in KK...

Very windy on the flat low bits in kk also!!!

CarMuppet wrote: »

I'm in Riverstick now on a hill open from the SE right around tonthe west. My iPhone is getting soaked as I'm typing this bit the wind has seriouly picked up. No way p measuring speed but heavy rain is falling sideways. And trees are flexing a lot. Right back to the 4x4 for me now.

Being an iphone it will probably lose signal or something now . . .

irish1967 · 28-10-2010 10:53pm

Really windy up here now. Howling outside. Accu giving gusts of 50plus. Temp about 12 c.

gbee · 28-10-2010 11:00pm

My weather station shows 171.4 kmh @7.48PM. That's about 100 more than most near me.

thetonynator · 28-10-2010 11:07pm

gbee wrote: »

My weather station shows 171.4 kmh @7.48PM. That's about 100 more than most near me.

I've a feeling that might not be 100% accurate . . .:P

Danno · 29-10-2010 12:11am

Max gust 38mph before 11pm along with a balmy day max of 14.9c (also before 11pm) and 3.6mm recorded for the day.

WolfeIRE · 29-10-2010 12:35am

Putting 2009 and 2010 into context

looking at the rainfall in mm's for shannon airport in nov 2009 - 263.2!!

http://www.met.ie/climate/monthly-data.asp?Num=518

Only 48 mm up to yesterday eve for october. 84mm in oct 2009.

Joe Public · 29-10-2010 1:00am

gbee wrote: »

My weather station shows 171.4 kmh @7.48PM. That's about 100 more than most near me.

thetonynator wrote: »

I've a feeling that might not be 100% accurate . . .:P

The weather station must be on the roof of the car:)

Redsunset · 29-10-2010 1:08am

NAE showing lots of precip especially over eastern ireland around Noon.

ECM Agrees

While GFS has the heaviest rain skirting south east coast.

No matter which chart is correct, its still gonna be wet and im out in it all day,yes can't wait.:rolleyes:

thetonynator · 29-10-2010 10:08am

Theres a big purple 37 right over my house . . and another blob of purple in the other chart . .but looking out the window, i ont need any charts to tell me that its absolutely p!ssing down outside!

:pac:

thetonynator · 29-10-2010 10:24am

I've a feeling that something might have gone wrong there after 8.00 . . .

On kilkennyweather.com . . .

M.T. Cranium · 29-10-2010 10:38am

Maybe not, the wave forming along the front has pushed the front back slightly as a warm front, this is likely what happened at the Kilkenny station as per the graph. Torrential rainfall rates along the path of the wave as it moves northeast through s.e. Ireland today. Roches Point already showed one hour with 14 mms.

TheMilkyPirate · 29-10-2010 10:47am

Looks like were gonna get the full force of this in wexford town which i'm quite happy about because i have sweet f a to do all day except sit in my room watching sky HD and listening to the rain smack off my roof

gbee · 29-10-2010 10:53am

[QUOTE=M.T. Cranium;68742188 Ireland today. Roches Point already showed one hour with 14 mms.[/QUOTE]

I'm showing 33mm since midnight!

WolfeIRE · 29-10-2010 11:08am

Motorists in parts of Munster and south Leinster have been urged to slow down following torrential downpours.

Met Éireann has issued a weather warning for 25-40mm of rainfall in these regions.
AA Roadwatch says there is flooding and heavy surface water on roads in counties Cork and Tipperary.

In Cork city, motorists are experiencing delays around Wellington Bridge and Sundays Well due to flooding, while flooding has also been reported on the North Ring Road, Monkstown and the Crosshaven to Carrigaline Road.
In west Cork, AA Roadwatch says there is flooding around Kinsale, while in north Cork there is heavy surface on the M8 southbound at junction 17.

Flooding is also affecting the N25 Carigtwohill to Middleton road at Lynnwenn Lodge and Minister Hill, the Mill Road and Bailick Road.

AA Roadwatch is also warning motorists about flooding around Cobh especially on the Lower Road and Ticnock area.

In Tipperary, Heavy rain and surface water is affecting the N24 Limerick to Tipperary road south of Cahir.

Despite the heavy rain overnight, a spokeswoman for Cork City Council said it currently has no need to issue a flood warning.

High tide in the city centre was at 10am and passed without incident.

She added that the Council has received no information from Met Éireann to indicate that they should be issuing any warnings.

The situation will be reviewed throughout the day.

mickger844posts · 29-10-2010 11:14am

19.6mm here since midnight with a max of 48.0mm/hr rain rate at 10.18 this morning. Recorded on my station at www.waterfordcityweather.com

Aiel · 29-10-2010 11:37am

Serious rain here in Galway City all morning,the apptly named Sea Road was quite a sight a few hours ago.Still raining now.Its the drains and sewage system in Galway that cant cope with any heavy rain.Last Friday there was a cloud burst and "stuff" starting coming up from ManHoles and Drains etc and today its the same,disgusting.I drove through Gort yesterday,they were putting sandbags out in some shops,they know their in for another horrible time it seems.

Poly · 29-10-2010 11:40am

Any sign of a let up lads?

mickger844posts · 29-10-2010 11:45am

Poly wrote: »

Any sign of a let up lads?

Its stopped raining here and by the looks of the radar we might be finished with it for now.

pauldry · 29-10-2010 11:47am

Still lashing in E Mayo. It was spittin in Sligo when I left at 834am.

Southwest seems clear now but the rain is not going West to East it is going South to North and East very slowly so late evening before Leinster sees a clearance.

Min · 29-10-2010 12:23pm

Last November we had heavy rain, but my barn never got flooded by rain water rushing down the hills to flood the people who live in water friendly holes.....
The rain was so heavy this morning that the drain burst it's banks and some entered the barn, ok lucky there is nothing there that it can damage.

One would have thought it would have happened last year.

rua327 · 29-10-2010 12:26pm

Still raining heavily in Cork. Carrigaline / Crosshaven road, and around are badly flooded. Great craíc :pac:

snowjon · 29-10-2010 12:39pm

Very dark and very wet with occasional torrential bursts of rain - no sign of flooding just yet....

10.6C

Aiel · 29-10-2010 12:57pm

The big lump of cloud currently covering over half the country(met eireann's radar) is very slow moving,wont be surprised if there's decent sized floods in places this evening.

Min · 29-10-2010 1:04pm

I hear some of the roads around Kilkenny county are currently flooded.

mickger844posts · 29-10-2010 1:08pm

Temp has taken a massive dive in the last 30 mins from 14.1c to 9.9c

nacho libre · 29-10-2010 1:09pm

There was very heavy rain at around 9-11 this morning. It has been lighter ever since. It certainly seems we missed the worst of it anyway.

Ghost Train · 29-10-2010 1:10pm

Rainfall forecast for 3pm today

thetonynator · 29-10-2010 1:14pm

More dramatic temp change!!! Still raining here but not near as heavy . . .

snowjon · 29-10-2010 1:16pm

Still tipping it down here - 10mm in the last couple of hours

thetonynator · 29-10-2010 1:18pm

http://www.irelandsweather.com/

Look at the line between 8/9 degrees and 14/15 degrees at the east coast where the front is passing!!!

Lady_North1 · 29-10-2010 2:24pm

So dark that the street lights have been on all day so far....... Real duvet day.

snowjon · 29-10-2010 3:06pm

The wind has picked up here markedly in the last hour from a dead calm at midday to near gale force now! The rain has eased a little bit and the temperature has shot up to 14C

snowjon · 29-10-2010 3:31pm

Really strange day here according to my weather station - since 11am I've recorded 19mm of rain, which is not unexpected.

However, at midday, the temperature jumped from 10.6 to 12C in 5 minutes, then slowly dropped back to 10.1 C at 1.15pm. Then it shot up again to 14C at 1.30pm, and just now it has dropped back 3 degrees to 10.4C in a matter of minutes. The rain has been relentless throughout, but the wind suddenly picked up from near calm conditions to near-gale at about 2pm.

Torrential rain falling just now - the heaviest I've seen all day - almost tropical intensity

Storm 10 · 29-10-2010 3:53pm

Today in Galway has been like a monsoon with torrential rain very bad floods on the roads and traffic jams from hell.

redsteveireland · 29-10-2010 4:15pm

Storm 10 wrote: »

Today in Galway has been like a monsoon with torrential rain very bad floods on the roads and traffic jams from hell.

And that's different from every other day because......????:pac:

DOCARCH · 29-10-2010 4:17pm

snowjon wrote: »

However, at midday, the temperature jumped from 10.6 to 12C in 5 minutes, then slowly dropped back to 10.1 C at 1.15pm. Then it shot up again to 14C at 1.30pm, and just now it has dropped back 3 degrees to 10.4C in a matter of minutes. The rain has been relentless throughout, but the wind suddenly picked up from near calm conditions to near-gale at about 2pm.

The front was obviously 'waving' over you.

It was very clear when front moved through here. 14.3c at 2pm - by 3pm it was 9.3c! 8.0c atm. 18mm of rain here since midnight.

jay28 · 29-10-2010 4:21pm

Just stopped raining here in wicklow about 30 minutes ago,
8.4c at the moment and 23.7mm of rain since midnight

Ghost Train · 29-10-2010 4:25pm

sky looks pretty clear in south dublin, suns out

eskimocat · 29-10-2010 5:11pm

Some really really heavy showers here today. Wind calm for now. pity my rain gauge is not working!

would love to know how much has fallen today!

Heavy Rain - Flood risk

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