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Just for Fun: Overnight Low - January 8th-9th 2021

  • 08-01-2021 4:52pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Spot Prediction Questions:

    1: What will be the lowest temperature recorded tonight?
    2: What station will record the lowest from Met Eireann's Network (including ACS Stations - see wow.met.ie or wow.metoffice.co.uk)

    Update: Give your top three stations and values!

    My guess: Thomastown ACS (Kilkenny) -9.6c
    Tullow -8.9c
    Durrow -8.7c


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 205 ✭✭CirrusBusiness


    CirrusBusiness _ -8.2c ___ Naas, Kildare County ___
    _ -8.1c ___ Johnstown(Urlingford)__
    _ -8.0c ___ Durrow


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Going for....

    1: Tullow = -8.1c
    2: Gurteen = -6.8c


  • Posts: 13,688 ✭✭✭✭ Amalia Noisy Shampoo


    Oak Park, Carlow...-7.8c


  • Registered Users Posts: 66 ✭✭Zogabomb


    Oak Park, -6.8


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,718 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    Gurteen -7.1°c


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,897 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    This thread will get a frosty reception OP

    I'll get my coat :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,483 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Oak Park -7.8C

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Just updated the OP - include your top three guesses!

    The thread will lock at 2AM!


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Durrow should be disqualified from the competition! :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭circadian


    Kilkit -5.2
    Naas -6.5
    Oak Park - 7.2

    I think Malin Head will come in at the warmest around 3 degrees.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Dunsany, - 6.8.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Naas -5.5°c
    Durrow -6.4°c
    Tullow -7.2°c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 590 ✭✭✭Monkeynut


    Pfizer -70c
    Tullow -7.9c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Durrow should be disqualified from the competition! :)

    :D

    Photo evidence of the low temperature can be provided upon receipt of such requests in writing! :pac:

    Just to add, Loch Glascarnoch at 250m in the west of Scotland is currently at -10.6c (not a typo or an error)!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭piplip87


    Ballyhaise -7.8
    Mullingar -6.2


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Danno wrote: »
    :D

    Photo evidence of the low temperature can be provided upon receipt of such requests in writing! :pac:

    Make sure to take thermo out of freezer before photo!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Make sure to take thermo out of freezer before photo!

    LOLs!!! :pac:

    I'm busted folks before I even begin! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 826 ✭✭✭adam240610


    Tullow -7.7 because that's the temp I said for the monthly weather forecast for mt hahaha

    E: make it tullow, oak park, and carlow if three are needed, all -7.7


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,684 ✭✭✭Darwin


    Well given the automated met.ie temp forecast is showing -9 for my location tomorrow morning, let's try:

    Lynally (Tullamore): -8.1c
    Roscrea: -9.2c
    Portlaoise: -9.0c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    -9.1 at Danno's location, -8.5 somewhere else within 50 km, I don't know the co-op network in much detail, but among the official stations, -7.4 at Oak Park.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭esposito


    I will go for:
    Gurteen -8.2 C
    Oak Park -8.1 C
    Durrow: -7.8 C


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,015 ✭✭✭John.Icy


    Forgefield (S.Kildare, MetE WOW) -> -8.3c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Goldfinch8


    Durrow -8.6c
    Gurteen -8.4c
    Mullingar -8.3c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,174 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Dunsany -10c
    Mullingar -9c
    Gurteen -8.4c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Danno wrote: »
    :D


    Just to add, Loch Glascarnoch at 250m in the west of Scotland is currently at -10.6c (not a typo or an error)!!!

    There is a 13-cm covering of lying snow there, so no doubt helping the temps fall. Max today was -3.5 C.

    When and how will the minima be determined? The synops report minima at 6 am, but at this time of the year the actual minimum is reached a couple of hours after that, so in that case it will have to be the daily data the following day. I don't think the WOW stations report actual minima, do they?

    Anyway, my choices are

    -6.3 Johnstown
    -5.8 Oak Park
    -5.3 Garrymore


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Dunsany -8.4C
    Oak Park -9.6C
    Mullingar -7.2C

    it's possible some places without any stations could get to -10C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Chilly over the snowfields near Edinburgh

    D1-B9-A449-9-D3-F-4989-8-C03-3781619-CF872.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 209 ✭✭SophieLockhart


    2am sounds a bit late to close it lol

    Gurteen -8.6
    somewhereineverheardof -9.4


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Gonzo wrote: »
    Dunsany -8.4C
    Oak Park -9.6C
    Mullingar -7.2C

    it's possible some places without any stations could get to -10C.

    I doubt it. I can't see -7 being beaten. Current dewpoints are down to around -4 and should fall another couple of degrees. That will be the limit of the low temperatures.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,354 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Steady at -4 minima the last 2 obs, talk of -10 at any given station is a bit fanciful.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,684 ✭✭✭Darwin


    I agree nothing that cold in the works this side of midnight, I think the question posted by Danno is a little ambiguous. If it covers post sunrise tomorrow, as GL alluded too, coldest part of this spell will be post 6am so -9c is possible. We still have snow cover in the driveway from Thursday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,845 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Oak park -7.1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Darwin wrote: »
    I agree nothing that cold in the works this side of midnight, I think the question posted by Danno is a little ambiguous. If it covers post sunrise tomorrow, as GL alluded too, coldest part of this spell will be post 6am so -9c is possible. We still have snow cover in the driveway from Thursday.

    Often the lowest temps of the night are just before sunrise, and as Obs are taken at 9am at climate stations, its unlikely that after 9am would go lower.

    Hope this helps!

    Oh, it's just for fun anyways! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 205 ✭✭CirrusBusiness


    Darwin wrote: »
    I agree nothing that cold in the works this side of midnight, I think the question posted by Danno is a little ambiguous. If it covers post sunrise tomorrow, as GL alluded too, coldest part of this spell will be post 6am so -9c is possible. We still have snow cover in the driveway from Thursday.

    Surely the event we are guessing for is the lowest temp between tonight and tomorrow morning (say up to 9am). Most guidance suggests lowest temps occuring sometime between 04:00 and 08:00 tomorrow morning.


  • Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Naas, minus 8

    Dew points might just fall a little lower than minus 6, we shall see.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 366 ✭✭daniel_t1409


    Oak park, -8.6


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,956 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    - 7.5 Mullingar
    - 7.6 Dunsany
    - 8.1 Oak Park


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,684 ✭✭✭Darwin


    I'll just leave this here and see if it verifies (SW Laois):

    JUoaVIi.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,816 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    Lynally, Tullamore, Co. Offaly -6.3c

    Oak Park, Carlow -6.2c

    Thomastown ACS -5.9c


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Kilcogy (S.Cavan) https://wow.met.ie/stations/202101088kx9qw1t6we6zd9pyyb96sptuh

    and Naas (E.Kildare) http://naasweather.com/

    both first past the -5c hurdle!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Kilcogy -6.3c at 9.30pm!

    Knew them Cavan lads wouldn't light a fire! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Dunsany -9.3c


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭mumo3


    Current temp - 5 but it doesn't seem that cold


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    mumo3 wrote: »
    Current temp - 5 but it doesn't seem that cold

    Relatively still air and humidity is a little lower than usual.

    Meanwhile, Kilcogy -6.4c, Dunsany and Navan ACS -5.8c. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Gurteen -9.2


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Durrow -10.1C
    Dunsany -9.8
    Johnstown -9.2C


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,323 ✭✭✭highdef


    Danno wrote: »
    Relatively still air and humidity is a little lower than usual.

    Meanwhile, Kilcogy -6.4c, Dunsany and Navan ACS -5.8c. :)

    KILCOGY waste water treatment plant (Cavan) is down to -7° now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    I see more overnight temperatures than anybody since that's when I'm active and preparing forecasts. So I can confirm that normally, the lowest temperatures there (as anywhere else really) occur just around sunrise, certainly in the three hourly obs that end with sunrise. There are of course exceptions, if cloud moves in over the entire country then most minima will be the hour of last clear skies.

    As to dew point indicating likely minima, this is a reasonable guide but there is a tendency for temp/dp couplets to drop a few degrees after midnight, so a minimum dew point of -6 now does not guarantee a minimum of -6 later.

    Then with regard to this contest, I would also point out that the auxiliary network generally runs a bit colder in terms of extreme low, one or two of the stations may be somewhat "frost hollow" situated and I've factored that into my guesses.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    KILCOGY ACS :: -8.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Knock knock, just hit -6.0c here in southern Laois...

    https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICOLAOIS2/graph/2018-02-28/2018-02-28/daily

    and

    https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICOLAOIS2/graph/2018-03-1/2018-03-1/daily

    was during Storm Emma where -9.4c (AWS) and -9.7c (Stevensons Screen) was reached.

    No wind tonight. No cloud either.


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