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Milk Price- Please read Mod note in post #1

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Milked out wrote: »
    Is the market not like that in thr UK? Suppliers switching and changing and then getting caught out in a prolonged down turn and a lot more than 10% of milk is going at below oat of production? And they have a big domestic market

    I think there are elements of that in the UK model but I don't think they have the flexibility for a single farm to supply multiple processors? It's vital that the milk lorry is co-operatively owned by local farmers.

    In the end, we are in a free global market, there is no magic premium in the Irish market any more than the UK market to save us from ourselves. Either processors are selling milk for a profit and passing it on to us via milk price & dividends, or they are handing us back our own money and making us fools to ourselves. Either way, along the way, they are helping themselves to a chunk of the takings while we run all the risks.

    It's actually a really interesting cultural question... we all say that farmers don't have enough control, co-ops must pay more etc. etc. - but if we are honest do we actually want to decide at farm level which processors we sell our milk to, or is that a step too far in terms of our confidence in ourselves?

    Do we really want to run businesses, or do we want to be contracted producers and let more qualified people decide how the money should be split up.

    I wonder how different all the various answers would be.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    First and most important principle, farmer co-ops own the transporters. The overriding principle of a co-op should be to get the farmers milk to the market, ie. to the processor able to pay best for it at the time, subject to the approval of the farmer. In other words the co-op takes the milk to market because sharing an expensive time sensitive milk lorry with your neighbours is quite obviously the common sense thing to do.

    Processors can be owned by anybody who wants to process. In the first instance of course most co-op suppliers already own part of a processor, so perhaps you would split these out. Existing suppliers would end up with distribution shares, processing shares, and milk supply agreements would then need to be addressed.

    Distributors could certainly keep agri-supply, inputs etc. I would have thought. Is there any obvious reason why a large scale international dairy commodity business is the best entity to weigh dry and compound straights or sell fertiliser, or a cup of coffee, or green diesel, or a bunch of filter socks?

    I don't see why a farmer should need to own a processor to supply it, but there is no reason at all why he shouldn't choose to support a particular processor by investing in it (as he does today) - he might choose to support more than one. And of course he can support a processor by contracting with it for his milk supply (or perhaps an equivalent volume of a certain quality) - at a fixed price, at a variable price, for a term or on whatever he can agree. Maybe he wants to basically supply powder at the floating market price, have a fixed price liquid contract with another supplier, and supply 30,000 litres a year for free to a small scale cheese-maker in return for shares while they get started and into market, whatever - provide a rich efficient distribution network and let entrepreneurial creativity do the rest.

    There's obviously an issue of logistics - where the actual milk from an actual farm goes. Some processors will need to know this (particularly the artisan ones) and others won't care as long as the quality can be certified. It ought to be possible for co-ops to exchange powder milk in the way electricity companies do - and simply deliver the net balance to each other to minimise costs. In other words, if I want to supply 100,000 litres to powder the milk might come from Whelan's tank, because when push came to shove less lorry journeys were involved. That much is not rocket science.

    And of course there is the big issue - what happens to the milk nobody wants? The answer is, the same as happens today, someone will buy it for the minimum price and turn it into powder for intervention or God knows what - and that is what is happening today, no matter how much it is disguised by loyalty payments, support payments, or any other return of shareholders funds.

    Edit:

    And when excess milk has to be virtually given away, more farmers will choose to support some little artisan, or an innovative vodka, or a science based protein start up, and some will fail and some will succeed and each time around we will have a more exciting, higher premium, dairy processing market so sell into. Our milk supply will grow because we have the products for it, not the other way around. Ask yourself, if amazon or google or apple were doing dairy processing in Ireland, would they really do it the way it is done today?

    +1. Excellent.

    There was an attempt by farmers here before the end of quotas to do something similar.
    It was proposed that farmers create a Coop that had only two jobs to do. Transport and auction milk to the processors. WAR!
    The Coops took a case to court saying that the farmers didn't own their quota (which was true as French farmers were never allowed a free asset), and thus 'Production Rights' were born...however supply contracts could be closed in 15 working days.
    Coops don't like competition or losing control over their suppliers...just like the large retailers.

    By the way, what is the minimum (€) that you have to invest to become a fully shared up supplier?
    It's €2k per million litres here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Dawggone wrote: »
    +1. Excellent.

    There was an attempt by farmers here before the end of quotas to do something similar.
    It was proposed that farmers create a Coop that had only two jobs to do. Transport and auction milk to the processors. WAR!
    The Coops took a case to court saying that the farmers didn't own their quota (which was true as French farmers were never allowed a free asset), and thus 'Production Rights' were born...however supply contracts could be closed in 15 working days.
    Coops don't like competition or losing control over their suppliers...just like the large retailers.

    By the way, what is the minimum (€) that you have to invest to become a fully shared up supplier?
    It's €2k per million litres here.

    No idea on the share-up as I don't supply a co-op, although might start soon with the excess.

    I think that French example ought to be studied very carefully by every Irish dairy farmer. The fact that the processors were so keen to fight - on a technical point - NOT to have the system tells you much more than any post of mine can about why we need to rebuild this from the ground up.

    If you have a link or anything to coverage of it flick it over to me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    No idea on the share-up as I don't supply a co-op, although might start soon with the excess.

    I think that French example ought to be studied very carefully by every Irish dairy farmer. The fact that the processors were so keen to fight - on a technical point - NOT to have the system tells you much more than any post of mine can about why we need to rebuild this from the ground up.

    If you have a link or anything to coverage of it flick it over to me.

    I've nothing on it and it's from a couple of years ago. I was shocked by the speed that the Coops took the case. They killed the idea dead before it could get any traction.
    In the Irish situation the farmers have a much stronger position because they own their right to supply from the legacy of owned quotas.

    I posted about it here three or more years ago.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,259 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Excellent stuff. The biggest obstacle is, as usual, farmers themselves.
    The lot yesterday were a cowed bunch.
    Would take a lot of leadership. That is some thing sadly lacking in this country.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Water John wrote: »
    Excellent stuff. The biggest obstacle is, as usual, farmers themselves.
    The lot yesterday were a cowed bunch.
    Would take a lot of leadership. That is some thing sadly lacking in this country.


    I know what you mean but I sometimes wonder if we are always waiting for a leader to show up and tell us what to do.

    Maybe it's not top down leadership but local example we need and a bit of creative disruption. There is a self-satisfied corporate gravy train which needs to be stopped in it's tracks, if only to give those involved at every level time to think hard and creatively about what we are actually doing.

    Forget politicians, do it locally - I like the Australian idea above. Why not club together and buy a calf pasturiser (or make one, it's a doddle) and share excess milk for calves while the price is low as now. Stop buying milk replacer in the creamery. Do the same with fert and arguably feed. Small local buying groups all working to a simple template would surely make enough difference that it would begin to show up in the monthly spreadsheets. If you can find someone to pasturise bottle it, or make yoghurt out of it within regulations then give it away on the co-op forecourt to every retail customer stopping for petrol and get the world to understand the problem.

    And that's important - because the only way to actually influence these businesses is through their own management reporting systems and the public perception (we are not the public, we are tied suppliers), which is why it would probably be easier for me with a team of 3 to merge the two largest co-ops in the country than it would be for the ten largest farmers in any district to actually make a real change to the way their local co-op is run. I know it it outrageous, but organisations which grow the way our co-ops have been allowed to always become creatures of their own ambition - and that is not the way they were designed to be. They were made to be small, and local, and co-operative.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,168 ✭✭✭milkprofit


    GLANBIA average pay 70,000e
    Strathroy 35 000k


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,794 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Any other prices for April?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,286 ✭✭✭alps


    Dawggone wrote: »
    +1. Excellent.

    There was an attempt by farmers here before the end of quotas to do something similar.
    It was proposed that farmers create a Coop that had only two jobs to do. Transport and auction milk to the processors. WAR!
    The Coops took a case to court saying that the farmers didn't own their quota (which was true as French farmers were never allowed a free asset), and thus 'Production Rights' were born...however supply contracts could be closed in 15 working days.
    Coops don't like competition or losing control over their suppliers...just like the large retailers.

    By the way, what is the minimum (€) that you have to invest to become a fully shared up supplier?
    It's €2k per million litres here.


    Ranges from 1.5c to 4c/l

    So for your million litres...15,000 to 40,000


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    German gov. announces support for dairy farmers.
    Portuguese gov. announces financial support in the way of loans for farmers.

    French and German dairy farmer unions call for the removal of intervention for dairy products and the reintroduction of temporary production controls i.e. QUOTA. Saying that intervention is supporting overproduction into a non existing market...


    Just saying.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,084 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    Dawggone wrote:
    French and German dairy farmer unions call for the removal of intervention for dairy products and the reintroduction of temporary production controls i.e. QUOTA. Saying that intervention is supporting overproduction into a non existing market...


    Looks like the ball is rolling, my days in dairy could be numbered.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    Looks like the ball is rolling, my days in dairy could be numbered.

    And mine. If quota comes back I'll have to cut numbers in a big way.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Dawggone wrote: »
    And mine. If quota comes back I'll have to cut numbers in a big way.

    Can't remember if there is a judicial review mechanism for the EU. Probably not given their fondness for opaque centralised government.

    Capricious move if it does happen, classic jr territory.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    Can't remember if there is a judicial review mechanism for the EU. Probably not given their fondness for opaque centralised government.

    Capricious move if it does happen, classic jr territory.

    Yes. Capricious/fickle. But then was it Keynes that said 'When the facts change, I change my mind'...

    Let's face it, would the appetite be there to fight the reintroduction of quotas? As in the countries that count?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Dawggone wrote: »
    Yes. Capricious/fickle. But then was it Keynes that said 'When the facts change, I change my mind'...

    Let's face it, would the appetite be there to fight the reintroduction of quotas? As in the countries that count?

    I suspect if there was compensation attached there wouldn't be... but amazing scope for argument on the basis of it. My guess is you'd be more likely to get a new form of quota which does the same job.. possibly nitrates related? tradeable? ... give it a green label will save paying compensation to anyone.

    Good for organics, people with big milky Holsteins, and close friends of politicians I suspect.

    Would look at the first with interest, always aim to be the second, and cut off my own head before becoming the third.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,794 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    milkprofit wrote: »
    GLANBIA average pay 70,000e
    Strathroy 35 000k
    Is it true that the lakelands guys are on expenses only?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    I suspect if there was compensation attached there wouldn't be... but amazing scope for argument on the basis of it.

    Of course there'll be a sweetener.

    If it does happen...temporary seems to be the main word use.

    Having said that Big Phil would never be able to return to the shores of the Emerald Isle again. Not without a Kevlar suit anyhow.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    I suspect if there was compensation attached there wouldn't be... but amazing scope for argument on the basis of it. My guess is you'd be more likely to get a new form of quota which does the same job.. possibly nitrates related? tradeable? ... give it a green label will save paying compensation to anyone.

    Good for organics, people with big milky Holsteins, and close friends of politicians I suspect.

    Would look at the first with interest, always aim to be the second, and cut off my own head before becoming the third.

    Nitrates definitely in the crosshairs anyhow. It's an easy sell and as you say, cheap and 'green'.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,084 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    Dawggone wrote: »
    Nitrates definitely in the crosshairs anyhow. It's an easy sell and as you say, cheap and 'green'.
    another reason to keep land prices inflated😡


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    another reason to keep land prices inflated😡

    Surely on nitrates the profit lies with the biggest cow on the smallest area? - Or would the nitrates "ticket" travel with the land?

    Roll nitrates into SFP entitlements, make them more tradeable and pledge to reduce the payout element steadily every year from here to eternity? Make Europes farmers greener and cheaper? grant aided AD plants everywhere to get around it?

    I can see endless fun here, there'll be so many oversized and ugly digesters in Munster it'll look like the canape table at an EU leaders summit.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,259 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Whelan you are right on Lakeland. Expenses only. But also the boys in DG are taking a 10% cut on their salary. Lets be fair here!!!.

    Guy in NI with 150 Cows and chickens also. AD plant was as good as the cows he said.

    Any options will be welcome in Munster. Nitrates and Greenhouse gases will be important in the future. Why not grant aid them AD plants, as the Germans do?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    another reason to keep land prices inflated😡

    Yes.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    Surely on nitrates the profit lies with the biggest cow on the smallest area? - Or would the nitrates "ticket" travel with the land?

    Roll nitrates into SFP entitlements, make them more tradeable and pledge to reduce the payout element steadily every year from here to eternity? Make Europes farmers greener and cheaper? grant aided AD plants everywhere to get around it?

    I can see endless fun here, there'll be so many oversized and ugly digesters in Munster it'll look like the canape table at an EU leaders summit.


    Nitrates are on a per hectare basis. Every cowpat counted and weighed...funny, cows indoors are allowed more nitrates, so mine are housed for 11mts, officially...

    Clovers and legumes are a very worthy antidote.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,920 ✭✭✭freedominacup


    Farmer Ed wrote: »

    Would they ever take their subsidies and their endless interference in markets and on farms and shove it up in their holes. And then fcuk off back under whatever socialist, interventionist dreamland stone they crawled out from under. We're on the way to a reasonably free market where you stand or fall on your abilities. Let the chips fall where they may.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    SFP to be paid out before end of summer.


    So, when the new Min. of Ag. announces that he organised early payment of SFP to help hard pressed farmers cash flow...tell him that Dawg organised it. :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    Would they ever take their subsidies and their endless interference in markets and on farms and shove it up in their holes. And then fcuk off back under whatever socialist, interventionist dreamland stone they crawled out from under. We're on the way to a reasonably free market where you stand or fall on your abilities. Let the chips fall where they may.

    +1000.


    Edit.
    Was talking to a merchant the other day and said as much. In fact I went as far as saying that the sooner milk hits 14cpl the better.

    Also, I'd like to see intervention finished.
    Put dairy on the same playing pitch as grains...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,084 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    Dawggone wrote: »
    SFP to be paid out before end of summer.


    So, when the new Min. of Ag. announces that he organised early payment of SFP to help hard pressed farmers cash flow...tell him that Dawg organised it. :)
    Is that in ireland dawg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kevthegaff wrote: »
    Is that in ireland dawg

    In France. But the French are the civil servants of Europe and the Germans are the 'Ministers', and when it's decided in France to pay SFP at a certain date it happens EUwide. It's never a measure that is won/achieved by an Irish Ag Min...even though they like to make the announcement at the ploughing fest in Sept...as if they're great men for looking after farmers.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,259 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Ah Michael Creed can announce it at Cork Summer Show.
    We won't say anything to steal his thunder Dawg.


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