Dublin West General Election - SEE MOD NOTE POST 19.

colly10 · 27-02-2016 09:57AM

thomasj wrote: »

https://twitter.com/irishexaminer/status/703517969222078464

Sounds like partial first tally

Burton doing much better than expected? That's disappointing

Larbre34 · 27-02-2016 09:59AM

Donnelly will get there on that tally, Coppinger more likely to go off the cliff

ongarite · 27-02-2016 09:59AM

Much lower for Donnelly than expected but should get transfers

Kiwi_knock · 27-02-2016 10:01AM

https://twitter.com/CormacMcQuinn/status/703519508812713984

https://twitter.com/CormacMcQuinn/status/703519626097991680

mikeydublin · 27-02-2016 10:01AM

Does anyone know if the count in RDS is open to the public?

ThisRegard · 27-02-2016 10:03AM

Larbre34 wrote: »

Donnelly will get there on that tally, Coppinger more likely to go off the cliff

We can hope (that Coppinger goes off the cliff that is)

I'm loving this thread at the moment as previously people were cagey about who they were going to vote for, now the count is starting all gloves are off!

thomasj · 27-02-2016 10:13AM

Interesting image from littlepace
https://www.twitter.com/ShonaMurrayNT/status/703512341514686464?s=09

Remember to take those first tallies with a fine grain of salt, the boxes mainly opened so far would be Burton's area and castleknock etc. A long long way to go

AGC · 27-02-2016 10:36AM

ThisRegard wrote: »

Another pathetic reason to want someone elected though. You either vote for a person's policies or you don't, none of these crap spurious reasons. It's how you end up with a bad government.

But I reckon you wanted him elected from the outset anyway, you're just throwing in the above reason to be mischievous.

Ironic given your reason above for wanting to see him elected.

I simply said I hope he is elected. The letter is not the reason. I have shown support for him in the thread since the very start. I made it quite clear I would be happy to see him given a chance and disagreed with a lot of reasons outlined for him not suitable, age etc...

My reasons for wanting him elected have nothing to do with anything over the last few days. My opinion was made up a good while ago. Preferences certainly changed.

You have been on the thread throughout and you would have seen that so don't try and say my reasons are pathetic.

ongarite · 27-02-2016 11:00AM

50% of boxes tallied Varadkar (FG) 19% Chambers (FF) 17% Burton (Lab) 16% Coppinger (AAA) 16%
Donnelly (SF) 13% McGuinness (Ind) 7% O'Gorman (GP) 4% Noone (FG) 3%

rockatansky · 27-02-2016 11:09AM

ongarite wrote: »

50% of boxes tallied Varadkar (FG) 19% Chambers (FF) 17% Burton (Lab) 16% Coppinger (AAA) 16%
Donnelly (SF) 13% McGuinness (Ind) 7% O'Gorman (GP) 4% Noone (FG) 3%

Very suprised at Burton being that high. Many commentators had her written off.

ongarite · 27-02-2016 11:13AM

Burton failing back into Donnelly range now, transfers will be key to her re-election.

76% of boxes now tallied Varadkar (FG) 19% Chambers (FF) 17% Coppinger (AAA) 16% Burton (Lab) 15%
Donnelly (SF) 14% McGuinness (Ind) 7% O'Gorman (GP) 4%

thomasj · 27-02-2016 11:20AM

ongarite wrote: »

Burton failing back into Donnelly range now, transfers will be key to her re-election.

76% of boxes now tallied Varadkar (FG) 19% Chambers (FF) 17% Coppinger (AAA) 16% Burton (Lab) 15%
Donnelly (SF) 14% McGuinness (Ind) 7% O'Gorman (GP) 4%

I don't know, I'm starting to get the feeling it's the usual bunch from the dail , except chambers taking Higgins spot.

I get the feeling it will once again be close but no cigar for Donnelly. I could be wrong though.

thomasj · 27-02-2016 11:29AM

https://twitter.com/StephGrogan3/status/703541666662187008?s=09

rockatansky · 27-02-2016 11:31AM

thomasj wrote: »

https://twitter.com/StephGrogan3/status/703541666662187008?s=09

Surely that puts Joan in ahead of Paul Donnelly?

Godge · 27-02-2016 11:39AM

rockatansky wrote: »

Surely that puts Joan in ahead of Paul Donnelly?

McGuinness transfers will be crucial to decide.

O'Gorman and Noone will transfer more to Burton but if McGuinness goes solidly to SF, then there is a race.

secman · 27-02-2016 11:39AM

rockatansky wrote: »

Surely that puts Joan in ahead of Paul Donnelly?

There's is still 19 % floating around behind them, depends on mix and transfers

Larbre34 · 27-02-2016 11:41AM

Oh thats tight. Given the new precedent about ballots being blanked beyond number choices, this could take weeks and Courts and the divil knows what. Who will transfer to Chambers I ask myself..... Castleknock may yet not carry the day..

thomasj · 27-02-2016 11:49AM

Based on those figures, no one elected on first count.

After the talk of who varadkars 2nd preference votes should go to, he won't have any.

Grudaire · 27-02-2016 11:51AM

So final tally is out, odd mood in the count centre.. Uncertain of the final result. No transfers from Leo to help Joan, but she piled strongly herself.

O'Gorman got 4.2% by the tally, which is lower than I hoped but a big improvement on the last general election.

My own read of it is that the polls showing Joan in trouble really focused the minds, and took any soft voters to Labour..

Kiwi_knock · 27-02-2016 12:16PM

https://twitter.com/rjjd/status/703545938879582208

ongarite · 27-02-2016 12:25PM

4 votes between Coppinger & Burton.
WOW, every vote counts here.

oblivious · 27-02-2016 12:48PM

With the possibility of fianna fail getting 40 seats, will leo be the next leader of Fianna Gael and the next taoiseach??

thomasj · 27-02-2016 12:49PM

I'd say second election is more likely.

Grudaire · 27-02-2016 01:22PM

oblivious wrote:

With the possibility of fianna fail getting 40 seats, will leo be the next leader of Fianna Gael and the next taoiseach??

He didn't poll particularly convincingly this time around.

I think FG like their leaders to be able to carry another candidate in their constituency.

Toto Wolfcastle · 27-02-2016 01:26PM

Someone told me that Jack Chambers was referred to as a doctor on the radio.

Zaph · 27-02-2016 01:29PM

Grudaire wrote: »

He didn't poll particularly convincingly this time around.

I think FG like their leaders to be able to carry another candidate in their constituency.

I don't think that's ever likely to happen in this constituency. I think Leo will be party leader one day, but I think he'll have to wait his turn. Simon Coveney would be my guess as the next leader. He's got a longer record in the Dáil than Leo and comes from a good old-school FG family. He also has a second FG TD in his constituency if that's important to the party, although I've seen suggestions this morning that Jerry Buttimer could be in trouble, and there mightn't be many constituencies outside of Enda's that have more than one FG TD so they may have to rethink that particular strategy.

ThisRegard · 27-02-2016 01:33PM

Interesting to see how these transfers go

https://twitter.com/RTEdublinWEST/status/703572907339939840?s=09

Kiwi_knock · 27-02-2016 01:36PM

Toto Wolfcastle wrote: »

Someone told me that Jack Chambers was referred to as a doctor on the radio.

Yeah RTÉ referred to him as a doctor, they were saying that Leo's surplus will help Jack and that it was two doctors helping each other out.

Canadel · 27-02-2016 01:46PM

oblivious wrote: »

With the possibility of fianna fail getting 40 seats, will leo be the next leader of Fianna Gael and the next taoiseach??

One can only hope not.

ThisRegard · 27-02-2016 02:33PM

Surprised to see Donnolly having to battle with the rest of them.

Dublin West General Election - SEE MOD NOTE POST 19.

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