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Milk Price- Please read Mod note in post #1

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    From a traders perspective I've always found causation a bit overrated.

    Lol.
    You would!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Dawggone wrote:
    Secondly, I would argue that it should be farmers 'reacting' to market demands. Isn't that what the Agri establishment told us we should be doing? (Tongue firmly in cheek!)


    I think the pure organic line is farmers should respond first to the soils needs and that cooking evolved to make efficient use of the diversity of nature's produce.

    Without that for every chicken breast the market demands you are left with two useless thighs. It takes a caring farmer and a decent chef to rectify this position (coq au vin) and set everything to rights.

    The agro industrial solution is for farmers to produce breasts for everyone, then grind up the thighs and feed them to dairy cows, or fish, or children (chicken nuggets).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    I think the pure organic line is farmers should respond first to the soils needs and that cooking evolved to make efficient use of the diversity of nature's produce.

    Without that for every chicken breast the market demands you are left with two useless thighs. It takes a caring farmer and a decent chef to rectify this position (coq au vin) and set everything to rights.

    The agro industrial solution is for farmers to produce breasts for everyone, then grind up the thighs and feed them to dairy cows, or fish, or children (chicken nuggets).

    Ah, chicken nuggets...

    The biggest problem I have with organic *here* is the fact that large Coop's get their greasy little fingers into something that should be exclusive to individual farmers/land/provenance/terroir...iykwim.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,671 ✭✭✭Mehaffey1


    Out and about these past few days, very sombre moods from sharemilkers around the place.

    Half planning to get to a DairyNZ discussion group tomorrow if I don't get too hammered tonight. Don't think there's a set topic but maybe a guest speaker likely to be talking about setting targets for autumn production and possibly transitioning onto winter crop.

    Will report back with a gist of things if I make it.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    A glimmer of optimism...

    The Cooperative Sodiaal have announced a minimum base price of 30cpl for the whole of 2016.

    That should keep some of their 13k suppliers happy. A couple of other Coops have come out with the same price.


    Hopefully the bottom has been reached.
    :)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,309 ✭✭✭atlantic mist


    Friesland campina holding at 28.27c/liter

    dwag i do see where you are coming from on the organics, it would be a shift in practices but i really dont think the conventional industrial organics you can do in your one stop shop farm is what will be replicated here

    its aimed at health/environmentally friendly conscious people how quick before the premium goes when the healthy consumer hears its actually from intensive in door set ups? The french are good at marketing so im sure yell find a way around it but could we?

    cuba is good example for organics cut off from fertiliser and chemicals

    sure back in the day they were organics here using seaweed as fertiliser carted from the beach, cows housed under furz bushes, twas the finest but i could count the cows they also milked on one hand, funnily they actually made a living out of it, i often look back at previous generations and wonder why we stopped doing some things the way they done!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Friesland campina holding at 28.27c/liter


    sure back in the day they were organics here using seaweed as fertiliser carted from the beach, cows housed under furz bushes, twas the finest but i could count the cows they also milked on one hand, funnily they actually made a living out of it, i often look back at previous generations and wonder why we stopped doing some things the way they done!!!

    The part that almost never seems to come up in discussions about organics / traditional methods is flavour.

    For obvious reasons it's difficult to be scientific about it (which rather suits the large scale processors) but food dug / milked fresh from balanced soils and healthy pastures really does have a whole different level of taste to heavily processed food, from crops bred for yield rather than for flavour.

    And flavour is important, when it comes to food. Or at least it should be.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,287 ✭✭✭alps


    kowtow wrote: »
    The part that almost never seems to come up in discussions about organics / traditional methods is flavour.

    For obvious reasons it's difficult to be scientific about it (which rather suits the large scale processors) but food dug / milked fresh from balanced soils and healthy pastures really does have a whole different level of taste to heavily processed food, from crops bred for yield rather than for flavour.

    And flavour is important, when it comes to food. Or at least it should be.

    No no no no.....

    The coop produces the food......The plc adds the flavour....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,095 ✭✭✭yosemitesam1


    kowtow wrote: »
    The part that almost never seems to come up in discussions about organics / traditional methods is flavour.

    For obvious reasons it's difficult to be scientific about it (which rather suits the large scale processors) but food dug / milked fresh from balanced soils and healthy pastures really does have a whole different level of taste to heavily processed food, from crops bred for yield rather than for flavour.

    And flavour is important, when it comes to food. Or at least it should be.

    What sort of swards do you have kowtow? Would it be possible to taste a difference between a ryegrass monoculture compared to a herbal ley with maybe 8 or 10 different species?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,287 ✭✭✭alps


    What sort of swards do you have kowtow? Would it be possible to taste a difference between a ryegrass monoculture compared to a herbal ley with maybe 8 or 10 different species?

    Quaint old lady round these parts, and used to get the visit from the parish priest once a week. There were no modern conveniences in the home but the Priest was always looked after the best. She had hens and one duck and the Priest was always served a duck egg. Sitting down to a fine egg one morning he tried
    Urging the lady to update facilities....
    "Kitty, would you ever think of putting in a bathroom like the neighbours? It must be awful heading out in the cold and wet to do a bit of business."

    "Yera Chryst Father. . With the little bit if business I'd have, the duck can eat it"


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    alps wrote: »
    No no no no.....

    The coop produces the food......The plc adds the flavour....

    Lmao!
    Drôle.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone



    its aimed at health/environmentally friendly conscious people how quick before the premium goes when the healthy consumer hears its actually from intensive in door set ups? The french are good at marketing so im sure yell find a way around it but could we?


    +1.
    There are some organic processors now insisting on cows being on pasture for 100 day a year...
    The fact that you can use as much antibiotics as needed seems, to me, much more of a problem. On a day like today I'd prefer milk from cows that are housed!
    The soil used for fodder would be completely organic however...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    What sort of swards do you have kowtow? Would it be possible to taste a difference between a ryegrass monoculture compared to a herbal ley with maybe 8 or 10 different species?

    Apart from some recent reseeding ours are old pasture honed by a combination of ignorance (me) and neglect (my immediate predecessor, who had this as an outfarm) - so I'm not sure that we would be a good example, at least not yet.

    But in Switzerland I've known plenty of locals who can taste a dollop of cream and tell you which of the local slopes it came from, and whether low middle or high between 1200m and 2200m say of grazing altitude.

    Even more so with cheese although they'll know which families cheese chalet it came from anyway so they might be cheating! - certainly they'll know the season by the moisture and taste. Theirs is all raw milk of course - and perhaps more importantly Alpine meadows are the polar opposite of a ryegrass monocrop, so the cows are eating a very varied diet depending on altitude and time of year.

    The ryegrass diet does concern me a bit - like most people here I don't see that I have any choice personally but to grow a monocrop of sorts because land here is too expensive not to grow adequate quantities of forage, even for cheese-making.

    I'm hoping to do some experimentation this year and through to winter between hay (if we get lucky), haylage, and silage to see what discernible flavour differences there are in the milk - it's one of the important factors in settling on a style of cheese to make commercially. Ireland is a bit like the USA in having no continuing tradition of historical cheesemaking and therefore no natural terroir or style - an advantage in some ways but a bit daunting in others if you are trying to produce a product which is true to the land it comes from.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    kowtow wrote: »
    The part that almost never seems to come up in discussions about organics / traditional methods is flavour.

    For obvious reasons it's difficult to be scientific about it (which rather suits the large scale processors) but food dug / milked fresh from balanced soils and healthy pastures really does have a whole different level of taste to heavily processed food, from crops bred for yield rather than for flavour.

    And flavour is important, when it comes to food. Or at least it should be.

    +1.
    Le Goût. Taste.

    When I was here for a while, I got to know a gnarled oldman that has an amazing variety of fruits and veg for sale at the Saturday market. He grows all his own produce organically.
    I struck up a rapport with him...until I asked one day what kind of yields was he getting from his yellow and purple carrots...he lost the head shouting why would he grow for yield because he only grows for flavor!
    He now won't serve me and he calls me le roast beef!
    OH has to shop from him now...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,095 ✭✭✭yosemitesam1


    I suppose a lot depends on stocking rates but the herbal leys do have good potential, there was a nz trial a few years ago and the herbal ley was at 90% of the intensive ryegrass plot, someone like Cotswold seeds might have UK figures..
    Newman turner and Robert Elliott's books are worth a read for a different perspective on farming


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,551 ✭✭✭keep going


    All this talk of organic and the one big problem hasnt been mentioned, its unsustainable. If you were to do it by the book without extra subsidies there s not enough premium to compensate for the reduced production that can justify the extra work.yeah its grand to sell your stuff to the "avoca"set but look at the supermarkets and foodoutlets, the volmue is dictated by price


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,282 ✭✭✭Deepsouthwest


    keep going wrote: »
    All this talk of organic and the one big problem hasnt been mentioned, its unsustainable. If you were to do it by the book without extra subsidies there s not enough premium to compensate for the reduced production that can justify the extra work.yeah its grand to sell your stuff to the "avoca"set but look at the supermarkets and foodoutlets, the volmue is dictated by price

    The "avoca set," love it!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭frazzledhome


    The "avoca set," love it!!

    Avoca, over priced mass produced muck


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Avoca, over priced mass produced muck
    I believe the correct term is 'branded lifestyle products';)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,847 ✭✭✭Brown Podzol


    I believe the correct term is 'branded lifestyle products';)

    That's it so. We have the solution. Avoca milk.:D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Avoca, over priced mass produced muck

    And a very random store layout.

    I've come to the conclusion they do it for security reasons.

    The average robber, breaking into Avoca during the night and shining a flashlight around, would conclude that others had got there before him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    keep going wrote: »
    All this talk of organic and the one big problem hasnt been mentioned, its unsustainable. If you were to do it by the book without extra subsidies there s not enough premium to compensate for the reduced production that can justify the extra work.yeah its grand to sell your stuff to the "avoca"set but look at the supermarkets and foodoutlets, the volmue is dictated by price

    That's certainly the obvious conclusion, but I'm not sure that it's true in the fullest sense. As someone said above - the small mixed farms somehow seemed to make a better living (not to mention the families they fed directly).

    It's only during the sixty years or so that farmers have taken up the industrial practice of specialisation lock stock and barrel. Where once farms produced a diversity of food (by and large) we now specialise and produce single ingredients, largely grown as mono-crops, the raw materials for a process which sees food - perhaps - only as fuel.

    The availability of synthetic fertiliser has enabled us to make a production line of agriculture, producing food down to a price, but at considerable cost (family economics, environmental, and - importantly - quality). In fact, the resulting industry is so dysfunctional in economic terms that it requires constant taxpayer support just to get the raw material out of the farm gate.

    What we've done is to separate production entirely from consumption, which is the polar opposite of what the worlds successful industries do.

    I think as farmers we still see specialisation / industrialisation as progress - but I wonder if we are missing a trick, and if that will always be the case. Plenty of industries (not least technology) have discovered that specialisation is a road to dwindling profits and destroys innovation.

    In my Fathers day secretaries typed letters, receptionists answered phones, messengers carried messages, drivers drove, computer people did spreadsheets, accountants prepared accounts, Mothers or Nannies looked after children, the girls cooked, and parenting (if it was even a thing) was the province of the schoolmaster.

    But we've moved a long way past that today, from the tiniest Cork business to a Wall street skyscraper you'd be pushed to find a middle aged businessman or woman who doesn't do - or take a strong interest in - most of those things themselves.

    It's easy to dismiss mixed & organic farming as a fad - but it's a fad which has been going strong for 7950 of the last 8000 years of agriculture.

    Who knows, it might come back into fashion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,287 ✭✭✭alps


    Any one at Dairy Seminar in Nenagh last night? Denis Brosnan predicts a milk price of between 20 and 22 c/l for the next 4 to 5 years? That no of dairy farmers will be down to 7000 in 10 years time? Can anyone throw some light on the subject....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,432 ✭✭✭fepper


    Where's neath?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,811 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    alps wrote: »
    Any one at Dairy Seminar in Neath last night? Denis Brosnan predicts a milk price of between 20 and 22 c/l for the next 4 to 5 years? That no of dairy farmers will be down to 7000 in 10 years time? Can anyone throw some light on the subject....
    Interesting that I got a brochure on forestry with my lakelands bill today


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,287 ✭✭✭alps


    fepper wrote: »
    Where's neath?

    Good Spot fepper. .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,432 ✭✭✭fepper


    alps wrote: »
    Any one at Dairy Seminar in Nenagh last night? Denis Brosnan predicts a milk price of between 20 and 22 c/l for the next 4 to 5 years? That no of dairy farmers will be down to 7000 in 10 years time? Can anyone throw some light on the subject....
    Denis brosnan pulls no punches and certainly knows what he is talking about


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Back to conventional milk prices..

    A couple of articles suggest that EU nations (France, Germany?) are pushing for subsidies to take people out of production when prices fall.

    From an EU perspective you'd have thought we'd have learned a bit about moral hazard by now, but apparently not.

    NZ / US producers must be thrilled that EU taxpayers, not content with subsidising our own markets, are now going to underwrite the world milk price as well.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    alps wrote: »
    Any one at Dairy Seminar in Nenagh last night? Denis Brosnan predicts a milk price of between 20 and 22 c/l for the next 4 to 5 years? That no of dairy farmers will be down to 7000 in 10 years time? Can anyone throw some light on the subject....
    In 1973, when we joined the EEC, there were some 145,000 dairy farmers in Ireland.

    In 2016, there are some 17,500 dairy farmers, iirc.

    Off farm employment is hugely attractive in terms of wages and hours worked so there will nearly always be a stronger pull off farm than on farm.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,132 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    fepper wrote: »
    Denis brosnan pulls no punches and certainly knows what he is talking about

    Pretty outlandish statement to be fair, it ultimately means that dairy/grain/beef markets are screwed indefinitely for the next 5 years as all are pretty much linked together in so far as cheap grain means lots of milk pumped out and to a lesser extent beef....
    So the worlds goverments are heading for a situation where they are prepared to basically bankrupt nearly all farmers worldwide and destroy rural economies, if that comes to pass could be a fairly big famine on the cards in the not so distant future


This discussion has been closed.
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