The Dublin West 2014 By-Election Thread

athtrasna · 23-05-2014 09:54PM

January wrote: »

He's sharing photos if it's the same candidate I'm seeing.. I didn't think it was an offence!

it is for the people whose photos they were...including his brother IIRC

Hilly Bill · 23-05-2014 10:11PM

Grudaire wrote: »

The final candidate lists aren't going to change anymore: http://www.dublincountyreturningofficer.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=193:list-of-candidates-2014-bye-election&catid=43:dublin-west-bye-election-2014&Itemid=201

Do Fís Nua not realise you need to campaign to get elected!?

O sugar , i thought it was Irish for Non Party

. I think they got my euro vote

.

January · 23-05-2014 10:14PM

Bobblehead Panda wrote: »

Which candidate is that?

FF by-election candidate.

LoonyLovegood · 24-05-2014 12:57AM

Wait, that's an offence? One of my most detested political 'commentator's posted photos of his completed ballots. Ooooh.

Morag · 24-05-2014 01:06AM

I posted a pic of my ballot papers, but I didn't take the pic while in the polling booth.

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 09:54AM

There is a live tally by some on Twitter: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qJodg_zyUXUoGoNy40EHugjBlAXV58ZxQEDACm179ZE/pubhtml

Coppinger in the lead, but Donnelly polling very strongly as well. McGuinness is doing well. Hall is still in contention. It is not looking good for Coghlan. 10% of the boxes have been counted so far.

LoonyLovegood · 24-05-2014 10:43AM

I'm just wondering where the transfers will go. I can't predict where the bulk of Coughlan or Mulligans will be. They also haven't opened any boxes from the Castleknock end.

athtrasna · 24-05-2014 10:57AM

Morag wrote: »

I posted a pic of my ballot papers, but I didn't take the pic while in the polling booth.

If the ballots were completed it's illegal, if they were blank then you're grand

Grudaire · 24-05-2014 11:00AM

CTYIgirl wrote: »

I'm just wondering where the transfers will go. I can't predict where the bulk of Coughlan or Mulligans will be. They also haven't opened any boxes from the Castleknock end.

I've been helping at the tally. The voting patterns are weird a lot of people just putting down number 1s

Green doing better than labour at the moment though for the bye election. Looks like coppinger but it's very early yet

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 11:01AM

Will be a disaster for FG if Coghlan ends up in 5th. At this stage transfers will be massive.

retalivity · 24-05-2014 11:03AM

Living in d15 but not eligible to vote here... would love to see coughlan fail miserably. Had his people knocking on the car window at the lights in castleknock on the way to work yesterday, waved them off but they then started trying to put the flyer beteeen the glass and the door! Promptly rolled down the window and told them to fcuk off.
Would never vote fg anyway but the policy of parachuting names or faces in with no experience and clearly no idea what to do (tv3 appearance) really grates on me

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 11:21AM

Looks like a two horse race at the moment, McGuinness drifting away. Have any Castleknock boxes been opened yet?

Grudaire · 24-05-2014 11:30AM

Kiwi_knock wrote: »

Looks like a two horse race at the moment, McGuinness drifting away. Have any Castleknock boxes been opened yet?

Don't think so..

LoonyLovegood · 24-05-2014 11:49AM

Grudaire wrote: »

I've been helping at the tally. The voting patterns are weird a lot of people just putting down number 1s

Green doing better than labour at the moment though for the bye election. Looks like coppinger but it's very early yet

I was talking to my Mam about that when we went in yesterday. She'll usually get to 5 or 6 on the list, she only got to 2.

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 12:10PM

Donnelly goes ahead with 10% of boxes left. Could a massive shock be on the cards.

LoonyLovegood · 24-05-2014 12:34PM

44 votes between Donnelly and Coppinger. Boyne, Kidd and Lyons to be eliminated. The Greens have beaten Labour on first preferences by almost 400!

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 12:38PM

ThisRegard · 24-05-2014 03:24PM

Kiwi_knock wrote: »

Donnelly goes ahead with 10% of boxes left. Could a massive shock be on the cards.

RTE have the two of them neck and neck. I gave neither a preference but would rather Donnelly over Copinger.

ThisRegard · 24-05-2014 03:41PM

Donnolly ahead on the actual count. No one called that this morning. Who's more transfer friendly?

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 03:43PM

Still would have Coppinger as favourite, but then no one thought Donnelly would do that well.

Donnelly (SF) 6056
Coppinger (SP) 5977
McGuinness (FF) 5053
Hall (Ind) 3803
Coghlan (FG) 3715
O’Gorman (Grn) 1856
Mulligan (Lab) 1505

Grudaire · 24-05-2014 03:49PM

I imagine coppinger is more transfer friendly. So I'd still guess that she had it..

Either way very glad to see Roderic do better than Labour! :-)

rockatansky · 24-05-2014 04:00PM

I can see Ruth Coppinger getting the seat alright. As mentioned already she would be more transfer friendly.

LoonyLovegood · 24-05-2014 05:05PM

I'm looking from the Castleknock end of things though, Donnelly and Coppinger have their heartlands in the same area, while here's always been more FF/Lab. With Mulligan and O'Gorman being elimnated here, I reckon Hall/McGuinness could do well from them. But it's still all to play for.

Plus, I reckon Coppinger will call a recount anyway.

Grudaire · 24-05-2014 05:25PM

CTYIgirl wrote: »

I'm looking from the Castleknock end of things though, Donnelly and Coppinger have their heartlands in the same area, while here's always been more FF/Lab. With Mulligan and O'Gorman being elimnated here, I reckon Hall/McGuinness could do well from them. But it's still all to play for.

Plus, I reckon Coppinger will call a recount anyway.

Green and Labour.. Both left of centre.. Shouldn't be natural ff/ex-ff supporters. I think the big surprise will be how many voters didn't go down the last beyond 3..

Zaph · 24-05-2014 05:34PM

Grudaire wrote: »

I think the big surprise will be how many voters didn't go down the last beyond 3..

I think there'll be an unprecedented number of non-transferable votes once we get a few counts in. That's going to make getting an early lead even more important than ever.

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 05:50PM

Coppinger goes ahead. Coghlan eliminated. McGuinness will be looking to go ahead of Donnelly with Coghlan's and Hall's votes.

#dubw third count result: Coghlan 4,693, Coppinger 6,744, Donnelly 6,296, Hall 4,783, McGuinness 5,691

Zaph · 24-05-2014 05:54PM

Would have suited McGuinness better to have Hall eliminated first. Given that Coghlan and Hall are both Castleknock based, there's an outside chance that Hall could overtake McGuinness in the next count.

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 07:15PM

McGuinness goes second. Hall eliminated, where will his votes.

Fourth #dubw count: Coppinger 7,342, McGuinness 6,789 (1,098 transfers), Donnelly 6,516, Hall 5,846

Kiwi_knock · 24-05-2014 08:23PM

Donnelly eliminated, would be a shock if McGuinness overtook Coppinger.

Coppinger 8807
McGuinness 8163
Donnelly 7028

Hilly Bill · 24-05-2014 08:45PM

Topping the poll with the first preference and then getting knocked out ??? its a strange system.

The Dublin West 2014 By-Election Thread

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