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AIB in payout Bonanza for mortgage defaulters

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭uch


    22/25



  • Moderators, Music Moderators Posts: 35,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭dr.bollocko


    kjl wrote: »
    I'm waiting for the bubble to pop before I buy my first place.

    Me too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,863 ✭✭✭touts


    tin79 wrote: »
    Yes all the Irish tax payers are so lazy. Except you who are so proactive as to come on an anonymous forum and copy a few lines from the socialist handbook while never quite grasping how good you actually have it.


    You have to laugh when people come out and say things like the irish taxpayer doesn't grasp how good they actually have it. They never say who they are basing the comparison against but I suspect it is some vague combination of cherry picked elements of life in a random selection of impoverished nations. This is the sort of attitude that is ramming this country into the ground as it allows the government decide they have scope for more and more taxes and more and more service cuts.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,318 ✭✭✭✭Menas


    We dont know the details of this couple but I would guess that they have no demonstrable way (now or ever) to pay back their debt and have been very frank and open in their dealing with their lender.

    Many are strategically defaulting on their debts hoping to get a deal such as this and I reckon they will not get away with it. Landlords not paying mortgage but pocketing rent seems to be an issue at present for eg.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,292 ✭✭✭Zamboni


    hopefully this couple can now spend their money in the real economy

    As mentioned in another thread - it's a zero sum game.
    That €150k will be taken out of our PAYE and will stop our spend in the economy.
    There is no such thing as AIB anymore - it's us.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Tiddlypeeps


    We are in the middle of an artificial price bubble in some places again because of lack of stock available though, right?

    It definitely seems so. It's just pushing the inevitable off for another day. Which could work out fine if the economy is in a better place when they do finally have to deal with the elephant in the room.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭KyussBishop


    This is the only way that many of the unsustainable mortgages can be resolved - there are a large amount of them being long-fingered into the future, that are going to require writeoffs - it's simply not possible now, that all of them will be paid.

    There's a lot of private debt out there, with no presently sustainable way of being repaid (not unless we have a full-blown economic recovery - not this measly 'still 5-10+ years away from full employment' faux recovery; if we head into deflation, which we're at risk of now, that's not going to last long - and deflation will make debts even more unsustainable).

    What matters now, is that this is done fairly - without banks fraudulently giving writeoff's to people with the right connections.
    The most (practical and) fair way of doing this, would be a blanket debt-jubilee - but that's politically impossible, as it'd have to be agreed at an EU level - where nothing can ever be agreed upon, when it comes to economic recovery.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,279 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    I don't understand why mortgages are not getting foreclosed.

    They are repossessing some homes. Numbers are listed in the Central Banks quarterly arrears and repossession statistics. But foreclosure is usually an option of last resort for the bank. It usually crystallises their loses in addition to being a total legal and administrative nightmare
    Loop hole in the law you basically can't reposes a family home/primary residence buy to lets are getting repossessed however.

    I think mortgages after a new law in 2009 was passed can be repossessed as well now but the law can't be retrospectively applied.

    AFAIK the loophole created by the Dunne judgement was closed by legislation last year.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭KyussBishop


    kjl wrote: »
    I'm waiting for the bubble to pop before I buy my first place.
    There's no way of telling how long that bubble will last - could be decades - it's likely wealthy rentiers with a lot of cash at hand, snapping up houses, rather than the previous debt-based bubble.

    It's advantageous for them to keep prices high, as it helps them keep rents high too, and they'll have the political support to do it as well, to stop prices falling, which avoids the banks acknowledging their insolvency.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 611 ✭✭✭ForstalDave


    My main issue with this is that it may encourage more people to not pay there mortgage thinking that they will get the same deal, This could end up costing AIB alot more in the long run


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    Presume the bank just weighed up getting a reduced but steady amount paid off the mortgage long term against the hassle of foreclosing the house and trying to sell it at a loss, as well as seeing that loss actually realized on their balances immediately.

    I doubt any institution - especially a bank - just writes off debt out of sheer benevolence.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,943 ✭✭✭smcgiff


    My main issue with this is that it may encourage more people to not pay there mortgage thinking that they will get the same deal, This could end up costing AIB alot more in the long run

    I'm very surprised there wasn't an "embarrassment" clause to ensure this wasn't leaked.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,484 ✭✭✭username123


    smcgiff wrote: »
    I think, possibly, that the bank may not be able to set up mortgages paying beyond retirement age.

    My father in laws mortgage well exceeds his retirement age. How any bank thought someone would or could continue paying the mortgage into their 80s is beyond me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,943 ✭✭✭smcgiff


    My father in laws mortgage well exceeds his retirement age. How any bank thought someone would or could continue paying the mortgage into their 80s is beyond me.

    The life assurance cost can't be pretty either


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    This could end up costing AIB alot more in the long run

    Like I said, they probably just balanced it all and went for their best chance of getting something.

    You put the people out of their house and sell it and they're still liable for negative equity plus exorbitant rent as they now have no family home. So rent + negative equity means the chance of the bank getting the negative equity owed is even worse. If the guy goes bankrupt they get fuck all.

    They probably just weighed it up and thought getting 250k (plus interest) is as good as they could hope for at the time.

    I would assume if the house is sold above a certain price, the bank can claw back the written off balance as well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 611 ✭✭✭ForstalDave


    anncoates wrote: »
    Like I said, they probably just balanced it all and went for their best chance of getting something.

    My statement was in regards to that this sets a precedent and may cause ore people to default in the hope of getting "a deal" which would cost AIB more in the long run


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭KyussBishop


    My father in laws mortgage well exceeds his retirement age. How any bank thought someone would or could continue paying the mortgage into their 80s is beyond me.
    Given the sheer breadth of reckless lending by banks, it's likely they never expected it all to be paid off, but was done to enrich property developer friends, and bank CEO's/management (though salaries/bonuses/perks etc.), and to enrich other friends in related financial sectors.

    Today, one of the fastest ways for a wide array of people to get rich, is to profit off of a fraudulent economic bubble - and property is the most profitable of all, because of how much economic activity it generates.

    The more unsustainable the bubble, the more useless the property and locations of that property (since that allows more to be built and wildly changes the on-paper valuation of the land/property, based on the initial investment), the more false short-term 'profits' can be put down in the books, and the higher the payments/perks people can justify for themselves; the property doesn't even need to be useful, it can just be an excuse for funnelling huge amounts of money into useless efforts, that people can skim profits from.

    Then when it all goes to shít, they can just walk away from it and let the rest of society pay for the mess; so yes, unsustainable mortgages are a feature, not a bug.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    My statement was in regards to that this sets a precedent and may cause ore people to default in the hope of getting "a deal" which would cost AIB more in the long run

    That's just conjecture.

    I'd assume insinuations as rapacious as banks are hardly writing off debt willy-nilly.

    Not saying this about you personally, but it's a good job nobody in here is tasked with dealing with the shitheap the country find itself in re: mortgages. The fact of the matter is that it exists and isn't going to go away. Merely fulminating about it isn't going to change that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    I don't understand why mortgages are not getting foreclosed.

    Presumably all but a minuscule amount would never cover the outstanding mortgage if sold at them moment.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 906 ✭✭✭Eight Ball


    Bottom line is look at your wage slip and then look at the tax paid part, that money is funding this couple and the many more that are to follow for their inability to pay THEIR debts. I work full time and my wife part time and would have loved to be able to send our daughter on the school trip this year but just cant afford it. I'd love to change the car but can't afford it. Maybe a meal out once a month but no. It's not just these people either it's the long term scroungers on the dole (and I don't mean the newly unemployed) and the fat pensions for PS that we can't afford.

    You really wonder why to bother even working sometimes you really do.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    Eight Ball wrote: »
    It's not just these people either it's the long term scroungers on the dole (and I don't mean the newly unemployed) and the fat pensions for PS that we can't afford.

    Don't forget the travellers and the feminists as well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,292 ✭✭✭Zamboni


    anncoates wrote: »
    That's just conjecture.

    I'd assume insinuations as rapacious as banks are hardly writing off debt willy-nilly.

    Not saying this about you personally, but it's a good job nobody in here is tasked with dealing with the shitheap the country find itself in re: mortgages. The fact of the matter is that it exists and isn't going to go away. Merely fulminating about it isn't going to change that.

    AIB, acting on the taxpayers behalf, could at least have the courtesy to request voluntary surrender of the asset as part of the write down negotiation.
    Moral hazard is the issue here. Not debt write down.

    I feel sorry for all the AIB customers who have suffered reduced income and struggled to keep their repayments up to date.
    What incentive is there for them to continue?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 611 ✭✭✭ForstalDave


    anncoates wrote: »
    That's just conjecture.

    I'd assume insinuations as rapacious as banks are hardly writing off debt willy-nilly.

    Not saying this about you personally, but it's a good job nobody in here is tasked with dealing with the shitheap the country find itself in re: mortgages. The fact of the matter is that it exists and isn't going to go away. Merely fulminating about it isn't going to change that.

    Yes it is conjecture, but it is also a valid point,people mite be tempted to not pay based on the fact that AIB has shown a willingness to write down debt and this is something that has to be taken into consideration.

    Also just because its "not going away" doesn't mean that we just have to accept silently hows its dealt with, debate is the basis of a free socity


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,925 ✭✭✭✭anncoates


    Zamboni wrote: »
    AIB, acting on the taxpayers behalf, could at least have the courtesy to request voluntary surrender of the asset as part of the write down negotiation

    But that still leaves them with a deprecated asset to sell. And the chances of them getting the 250k owed will be even less when the family have to rent somewhere as well as service their remainder of their mortgage.

    No fan myself of AIB or of people that willingly don't pay their debts but most people here just want sackcloth and ashes or, - amusingly for people criticizing the property boom - are obsessed with notion of cheap houses coming on to the market.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 680 ✭✭✭MS.ing


    This would put more houses on the market which would in turn lower property prices leaving them even more out of pocket.

    like returning houses to their actual value? cant be doing that can we :eek:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,484 ✭✭✭username123


    smcgiff wrote: »
    The life assurance cost can't be pretty either

    There is none. He was too old to qualify so they waived it....... I'm serious.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭KyussBishop


    It's bizarre really, that people defend banks and developers being able to heavily overprice their assets (and profit from that, through sales and new developments), by allowing the entire property market to be manipulated.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,292 ✭✭✭Zamboni


    anncoates wrote: »
    No fan myself of AIB or of people that willingly don't pay their debts but most people here just want sackcloth and ashes or, - amusingly for people criticizing the property boom - are obsessed with notion of cheap houses coming on to the market.

    I think folk just want a normal market.
    A normal functioning property market consists of transactions, repossessions, debt write downs and fire sales.
    We have little of any.

    Everyone is having the piss taken out of them from this.
    • The tax payer.
    • Up to date borrowers in AIB.
    • Distressed borrowers in other (non state) banks.
    • Tenants/FTBers who aren't permitted to bid on unsustainable financed properties.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,279 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    While it definitely is a risk, strategic default isn't as easy as most people think. It's not simply a case of stopping paying your mortgage and waiting for the bank to give you a deal. If you're found to already have the means to pay, nobody's going to be offering you much on the basis of there being no assurance you'd meet the revised terms.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,335 ✭✭✭Mr.Micro


    Whatever way it works, it's taxpayers money that AIB is writing off. In reality AIB should not exist, as it collapsed in economic crisis, only surviving with bailouts. I am sure many of the same types are still employed by the bank with the same incompetence and business naïveté.


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