The Football Tips Thread V

inforfun · 28-02-2014 10:43PM

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Over 3.5 tonight is 5/4

You probably are going to need 4 Colo Colo goals for that to win.
Only 1 goal from Cobresal in 3 away matches and against opposition that wasnt great.

seanhynes · 28-02-2014 10:57PM

baddebt wrote: »

Value tip for Saturday Fulham --Chelsea under 2.5goals 11/10pp , thats a steel
Magath's first job will be to tighten the defence (so i'll expect something like a 4-5-1 ) , and we'll chelsea don't have a habit of slaughtering teams .

Fulham +2 was 10/11 last I looked wouldn't be a bad shout either

shocksy · 28-02-2014 11:00PM

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Over 3.5 tonight is 5/4

Taking the Over 1.5 goals in the first half @ 6/5, hopefully they got off to a flyer

Shanotheslayer · 28-02-2014 11:13PM

shocksy wrote: »

Taking the Over 1.5 goals in the first half @ 6/5, hopefully they got off to a flyer

1-0 already

bradlente · 28-02-2014 11:14PM

bradlente wrote: »

Bilbao to win 2nd half 1.7

Granada have lost 7/12 second half away games in La Liga.Bilbao have won 8/12 second half home games.

4-0 at full-time and Bilbao won the 2nd half 2-0:)

shocksy · 28-02-2014 11:25PM

shocksy wrote: »

Taking the Over 1.5 goals in the first half @ 6/5, hopefully they got off to a flyer

BOOM

1-1 at the 24th minute.

Thanks for the heads up Francie81

francie81 · 28-02-2014 11:26PM

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

1-0 already

1-1 now and just one more I need for my double to come in

francie81 · 28-02-2014 11:27PM

shocksy wrote: »

BOOM

1-1 at the 24th minute.

Thanks for the heads up Francie81

More than welcome

bradlente · 28-02-2014 11:46PM

baddebt wrote: »

Value tip for Saturday Fulham --Chelsea under 2.5goals 11/10pp , thats a steel
Magath's first job will be to tighten the defence (so i'll expect something like a 4-5-1 ) , and we'll chelsea don't have a habit of slaughtering teams .

Hard one to call I think.Chelsea are keeping loads of clean sheets but Fulham have only failed to score once at home in the league this season.10/13 home games have gone over for them,Including the last 5.

Some stuff from opta:
Chelsea have recovered more points from losing positions than any other team in the Barclays Premier League this season (14).

Fulham have failed to score in six of their last nine Premier League games against Chelsea and netted only one goal in each of the other three.

Fulham have allowed the opposition more shots on target against them than any other team in the Premier League (173).

The second stat would follow the unders line of thinking but I'm thinking myself that Fulham will give it a go tomorrow.Not saying they'll attack but under the new manager they won't just sit back and soak up the pressure imo.Jose will probably welcome them on too as he likes his countering and that leads into the third stat there maybe coming into play.

seanhynes wrote: »

Fulham +2 was 10/11 last I looked wouldn't be a bad shout either

That looks a much nicer bet to me but are you sure that was the price?Best I can see is around 1/2.Think Fulham will come out raring to go and maybe get the lead,With Chelsea coming back later on and snatching something be it a draw or a win.-1 asian looks alright but I'm just gonna have a little punt on ht Fulham / ft Draw or Chelsea @11/1.Chelsea might be a bit tired and Fulham might be a bit up for it.

seanhynes · 28-02-2014 11:58PM

bradlente wrote: »

Hard one to call I think.Chelsea are keeping loads of clean sheets but Fulham have only failed to score once at home in the league this season.10/13 home games have gone over for them,Including the last 5.

Some stuff from opta:
Chelsea have recovered more points from losing positions than any other team in the Barclays Premier League this season (14).

Fulham have failed to score in six of their last nine Premier League games against Chelsea and netted only one goal in each of the other three.

Fulham have allowed the opposition more shots on target against them than any other team in the Premier League (173).

The second stat would follow the unders line of thinking but I'm thinking myself that Fulham will give it a go tomorrow.Not saying they'll attack but under the new manager they won't just sit back and soak up the pressure imo.Jose will probably welcome them on too as he likes his countering and that leads into the third stat there maybe coming into play.

That looks a much nicer bet to me but are you sure that was the price?Best I can see is around 1/2.Think Fulham will come out raring to go and maybe get the lead,With Chelsea coming back later on and snatching something be it a draw or a win.-1 asian looks alright but I'm just gonna have a little punt on ht Fulham / ft Draw or Chelsea @11/1.Chelsea might be a bit tired and Fulham might be a bit up for it.

ya on tuesday it was 10/11 and 5/6,guess its been hammered in after wednesdays match

Gatame · 01-03-2014 12:02AM

Bet365 a standout 13/10 on Sturridge anytime tomorrow. I think this is too good to pass on.. and 13/5 anytime assist on Boyles. I don't have the time to go into the stats on this right now but two big singles for me tomorrow. Has scored in last 8 games and think he's joint second on assists?? Might be on Suarez anytime assist at 12/5 also on boyles.

Lamposts · 01-03-2014 12:33AM

francie81 wrote: »

Lad's I've being following this league of late when it comes to goals and has being very kind to me I recommend any of you looking for overs in tonights late games this is sure to be one.

http://www.betrush.com/pick,Colo_Colo___Cobresal,74481.html

Over 3.5 in. :pac::pac:

Shanotheslayer · 01-03-2014 12:33AM

Lamposts wrote: »

Over 3.5 in. :pac::pac:

Booyahh.

bradlente · 01-03-2014 04:54AM

Gatame wrote: »

Bet365 a standout 13/10 on Sturridge anytime tomorrow. I think this is too good to pass on.. and 13/5 anytime assist on Boyles. I don't have the time to go into the stats on this right now but two big singles for me tomorrow. Has scored in last 8 games and think he's joint second on assists?? Might be on Suarez anytime assist at 12/5 also on boyles.

Can't decide which one of them to back and what.They're 6 and 7/1 to get motm as well.Might go for the 2 assist prices,That way if either of them bag an assist you're up.Only worry would be how Southampton held them at Anfield.Suarez and Coutinho were both missing for that game though.

bradlente · 01-03-2014 11:49AM

Under 3.5 Everton West Ham @1.5

10/13 away games under for the Hammers.8/12 home for Everton.

Some opta stuff:
In the last 10 league meetings between these two sides, there has only been one clean sheet kept by either side, Everton winning 2-0 at Goodison Park last season.
Roberto Martinez's side have failed to score in three of their last four Premier League matches, including the last two.
West Ham United have kept more clean sheets than any other team in the Premier League (13), including four shut outs in their last five matches in the competition.

Shane St. · 01-03-2014 12:31PM

bradlente wrote: »

Can't decide which one of them to back and what.They're 6 and 7/1 to get motm as well.Might go for the 2 assist prices,That way if either of them bag an assist you're up.Only worry would be how Southampton held them at Anfield.Suarez and Coutinho were both missing for that game though.

One thing about that match is that sky like to set agendas. If Southampton get anything out of the game don't be surprised to see Luke Shaw in the reckoning for MOTM

Note: Just got called up to the England squad for the 1st time

Gatame · 01-03-2014 12:40PM

bradlente wrote: »

Can't decide which one of them to back and what.They're 6 and 7/1 to get motm as well.Might go for the 2 assist prices,That way if either of them bag an assist you're up.Only worry would be how Southampton held them at Anfield.Suarez and Coutinho were both missing for that game though.

Southampton were a lot tighter at the start of the season also, seem to be letting in a lot more lately.

Colonialboy · 01-03-2014 12:45PM

FAI Intermediate Cup
Fancy Belgrove to beat Avondale 9/2
Belgrove at home, but play in the 2nd tier of Leinster Senior league,
Avondale going well in Munster Senior Legue but have lost 3 players to Cork City FC in the last 2 weeks . small stake ...

Shane St. · 01-03-2014 01:16PM

Little bit bored this morning so I found a few tips for the Liverpool game. Goodluck all

Southampton v Liverpool

This game screams goals to me. Southampton have found the net in 11/13 (85%~) of their home games, while Liverpool have found the net in 12/13 (92%) away from home. The both teams to score at 1/2 merits inclusion in any doubles or trebles.
Looking at the stats a little closer Liverpool can certainly justify their claim as the great entertainers of the Premier League. With a weak defense and a very good attack Rodgers has them playing to their strengths and their attitude this season has been you score 3 we score 4. This is backed up by the stats, in fact, Liverpool's last 7 league games have produced a staggering 36 goals (averaging over 5 goals per game).
The 6/4 for over 3.5 goals looks like a very good bet. This would have paid out in Southampton's last 2 home games as well as 6/7 of Liverpool's last league games. The over 4.5 goals at 16/5 is also worthy of a smaller stake.

With all this talk of goals it is now time to turn our attention to who will provide them. The man most likely is Daniel Sturridge. A favorite bet of mine this season has been him to score anytime. He has been the most consistent player in the league in covering this bet this season.
While Suarez may have hogged the headlines earlier in the season with his eye catching goal hauls every game Sturridge has been far more consistent in his scoring. He has found the net in 16/19 games (84%) and is on a club record run of scoring in his last 8 premier league games. The 10/11 Sturridge anytime scorer should be snapped up.

Turning to the match itself you feel Liverpool might just edge it. They have real momentum now (only 4 points off top spot) and they have the greater need to win with Southampton sitting comfortably in mid table.
Based on their tendencies this season if Liverpool are to progress you imagine they will concede as well. The both teams to score and Liverpool to win look an attractive option at 5/2.
Southampton have found the net in 5/7 of their league defeats while this bet has collected in Liverpool's last 3 games.

gudede · 01-03-2014 01:54PM

bradlente wrote: »

Under 3.5 Everton West Ham @1.5

10/13 away games under for the Hammers.8/12 home for Everton.

Some opta stuff:
In the last 10 league meetings between these two sides, there has only been one clean sheet kept by either side, Everton winning 2-0 at Goodison Park last season.
Roberto Martinez's side have failed to score in three of their last four Premier League matches, including the last two.
West Ham United have kept more clean sheets than any other team in the Premier League (13), including four shut outs in their last five matches in the competition.

Would wait to see if Lukaku start...Everton have struggled to score without him. If he doesn't start I'll be going under 2.5 @ 2.16.

Also fancy over 2.5 goals in the Forrest V Wigan game. Forest last 5 home games have been over 2.5 and Wigan's last two games. Hoping for a early goal, as both teams need the win for playoffs.

bradlente · 01-03-2014 03:12PM

gudede wrote: »

Would wait to see if Lukaku start...Everton have struggled to score without him. If he doesn't start I'll be going under 2.5 @ 2.16.

Also fancy over 2.5 goals in the Forrest V Wigan game. Forest last 5 home games have been over 2.5 and Wigan's last two games. Hoping for a early goal, as both teams need the win for playoffs.

Didn't think he'd be missing tbh.Might not be sharp and hasn't been firing them in either.He does play a part in getting a few goals so that could be a risk.
Not too keen on the overs there myself,Only 6/16 Wigan away games have gone over,9/16 for Forest.Then again like you said with it being a big playoff game and both sides having more overs than unders lately it could come in.But might become a case of trying not to lose the game rather than winning.

Collie D · 01-03-2014 03:28PM

Shane St. wrote: »

Little bit bored this morning so I found a few tips for the Liverpool game. Goodluck all

Southampton v Liverpool

This game screams goals to me. Southampton have found the net in 11/13 (85%~) of their home games, while Liverpool have found the net in 12/13 (92%) away from home. The both teams to score at 1/2 merits inclusion in any doubles or trebles.
Looking at the stats a little closer Liverpool can certainly justify their claim as the great entertainers of the Premier League. With a weak defense and a very good attack Rodgers has them playing to their strengths and their attitude this season has been you score 3 we score 4. This is backed up by the stats, in fact, Liverpool's last 7 league games have produced a staggering 36 goals (averaging over 5 goals per game).
The 6/4 for over 3.5 goals looks like a very good bet. This would have paid out in Southampton's last 2 home games as well as 6/7 of Liverpool's last league games. The over 4.5 goals at 16/5 is also worthy of a smaller stake.

With all this talk of goals it is now time to turn our attention to who will provide them. The man most likely is Daniel Sturridge. A favorite bet of mine this season has been him to score anytime. He has been the most consistent player in the league in covering this bet this season.
While Suarez may have hogged the headlines earlier in the season with his eye catching goal hauls every game Sturridge has been far more consistent in his scoring. He has found the net in 16/19 games (84%) and is on a club record run of scoring in his last 8 premier league games. The 10/11 Sturridge anytime scorer should be snapped up.

Turning to the match itself you feel Liverpool might just edge it. They have real momentum now (only 4 points off top spot) and they have the greater need to win with Southampton sitting comfortably in mid table.
Based on their tendencies this season if Liverpool are to progress you imagine they will concede as well. The both teams to score and Liverpool to win look an attractive option at 5/2.
Southampton have found the net in 5/7 of their league defeats while this bet has collected in Liverpool's last 3 games.

Where did you get that? Not pissing on your post, it's a decent write-up but the prices are much lower than best price. Only noticed because I've backed Sturridge myself.

Shane St. · 01-03-2014 03:41PM

Collie D wrote: »

Where did you get that? Not pissing on your post, it's a decent write-up but the prices are much lower than best price. Only noticed because I've backed Sturridge myself.

Paddy. Aye there probably are better prices around but I just use their prices cos i write for my friends site too and we need to keep paddy prices

P.Walnuts · 01-03-2014 03:51PM

Shane St. wrote: »

Paddy. Aye there probably are better prices around but I just use their prices cos i write for my friends site too and we need to keep paddy prices

Just keep in mind that PP has probably the worst goalscorer prices available, often even their wincast prices are still shorter than other firms goalscorer prices

Johnny86 · 01-03-2014 03:58PM

I never fancy teams that played away in Europe in mid-week and have to play away again in their league.

This weekend this happens to

Real Madrid (v Atletico Madrid)...Atletico 8/11 +1
Chelsea (v Fulham)..Fulham 9/5 +1
Juventus (v AC Milan)..Milan 8/11 +1
PAOK (v Ergotelis) (Greek League)
Slovan Liberic (v Vysočina Jihlava)...Vysocina 8/5
Real Betis (v Villareal)...Villareal are 2/5, or evens -1
Maribor (v Olimpija)..Olimpija 10/11 +1
Lazio (v Fiorentina)..Fiorentina 19/20
Ajax (v Feyenoord)...Feyenoord 13/10
Maccabi Tel Aviv (v Hapoel Ra'anana)...Hapoel 5/4 double chance
Porto (v Vitória Guimarães)...Vitoria 6/4 +1

I'd fancy each of the teams to be turned over on the handicap or outright.

inforfun · 01-03-2014 04:14PM

Johnny86 wrote: »

I never fancy teams that played away in Europe in mid-week and have to play away again in their league.

This weekend this happens to

Real Madrid (v Atletico Madrid)...Atletico 8/11 +1
Chelsea (v Fulham)..Fulham 9/5 +1
Juventus (v AC Milan)..Milan 8/11 +1
PAOK (v Ergotelis) (Greek League)
Slovan Liberic (v Vysočina Jihlava)...Vysocina 8/5
Real Betis (v Villareal)...Villareal are 2/5, or evens -1
Maribor (v Olimpija)..Olimpija 10/11 +1
Lazio (v Fiorentina)..Fiorentina 19/20
Ajax (v Feyenoord)...Feyenoord 13/10
Maccabi Tel Aviv (v Hapoel Ra'anana)...Hapoel 5/4 double chance
Porto (v Vitória Guimarães)...Vitoria 6/4 +1

I'd fancy each of the teams to be turned over on the handicap or outright.

Not disagreeing with you but Fiorentina played in Europa too. Had it easier that Lazio though.

Ajax did indeed play but i can name at least 4 players from Thursday who will not be in the line up against Feyenoord. Couple of them not even on the bench i reckon.
Ajax has more to worry about the injuries they have than about their match on thursday.

Johnny86 · 01-03-2014 05:18PM

inforfun wrote: »

Not disagreeing with you but Fiorentina played in Europa too. Had it easier that Lazio though.

Ajax did indeed play but i can name at least 4 players from Thursday who will not be in the line up against Feyenoord. Couple of them not even on the bench i reckon.
Ajax has more to worry about the injuries they have than about their match on thursday.

I suppose I'm just putting the full list of teams in there for completeness...didn't look at what kind of teams they put out, what games the team they were playing either...just noticed last weekend the way Barca, Atletico, Spurs all lost in the league that it may be linked to the European games.

bradlente · 01-03-2014 05:22PM

inforfun wrote: »

Not disagreeing with you but Fiorentina played in Europa too. Had it easier that Lazio though.

Ajax did indeed play but i can name at least 4 players from Thursday who will not be in the line up against Feyenoord. Couple of them not even on the bench i reckon.
Ajax has more to worry about the injuries they have than about their match on thursday.

What do you think of a Feyenoord win?

bradlente · 01-03-2014 05:28PM

bradlente wrote: »

I'm just gonna have a little punt on ht Fulham / ft Draw or Chelsea @11/1.Chelsea might be a bit tired and Fulham might be a bit up for it.

Unlucky to not take the lead early on from what I heard.Chelsea come into it later on,They're leaving it late more and more it seems.

inforfun · 01-03-2014 05:52PM

bradlente wrote: »

What do you think of a Feyenoord win?

They have to if they want to have a minimum chance on the title.

Ajax missing quite a few important players who have done the business for them the last few weeks: Schone, Fisher.

Feyenoord without injuries or suspensions.

Matches between these 2 are played without away fans and after Feyenoord got screwed 2x in 2 weeks by aweful refereeing, there is a proper one appointed fortunately.

So far i have taken BTTS in the first half > yes @4

Happened the last 2 seasons at home and the 2x they met at Ajax this season.

The Football Tips Thread V

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