Can the book be beaten ...long term?

del roy · 28-02-2014 10:19AM

BQQ wrote: »

Actually, most of the people on this thread seem to be saying fair play to him.
They must all be foreign :rolleyes:

del roy · 28-02-2014 10:35AM

Shan valley 3pts win 5/1
Midnight charmer 2pts win 5/2
Riddleofthesands 4/1 2pts win unpl
Vovalein 4pts win 7/2
Sceilig 4pts win
Irish thistle 5pts win 1st very very lucky winner

Must really fancy this today 5pts win dodgy connections an all that.

del roy · 28-02-2014 10:38AM

Shan valley 3pts win 5/1 2nd
Midnight charmer 2pts win 5/2 1st
Riddleofthesands 4/1 2pts win unpl
Vovalein 4pts win 7/2 2nd
Sceilig 4pts win 2nd
Irish thistle 5pts win 1st very very lucky winner

must really fancy this today

sorry lads made a balls of last post

del roy · 28-02-2014 11:33AM

Must really fancy this today 5pts win dodgy connections an all that.

3.00 Profile Star 5 pts win 5/1

8/1 now dead as a doe/doe

Pinesky · 28-02-2014 12:33PM

del roy wrote: »

Must really fancy this today 5pts win dodgy connections an all that.

3.00 Profile Star 5 pts win 5/1

8/1 now dead as a doe/doe

Nil desperandum
has the form in the book.

BumperD · 28-02-2014 03:36PM

del roy wrote: »

8/1 now dead as a doe/doe

FWIW Hugh Taylor Atr has marked one up in the same race - that may explain its price.

5pt win today?

""I fear all I have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve."

del roy · 28-02-2014 04:07PM

a very decent 2nd but that don't pay the bills :mad:

Nonoperational · 28-02-2014 04:08PM

Returned 20/1?!

del roy · 28-02-2014 04:16PM

Yes no/no

sick as a pig with the price and not collecting a penny from the bet,
thats punting,

I would say the kid is sick as well.

del roy · 28-02-2014 04:21PM

Shan valley 3pts win 5/1 2nd
Midnight charmer 2pts win 5/2 1st
Riddleofthesands 4/1 2pts win unpl
Vovalein 4pts win 7/2 2nd
Sceilig 4pts win 2nd
Irish thistle 5pts win 1st very very lucky winner
Profile star 5pts win 2nd 20/1

Anyone see anything that makes these stand out as win bets ?

BumperD · 28-02-2014 04:22PM

Near miss.

And I stand corrected. There is more than luck playing a hand in your mates selections. I put my hands up. I was wrong. If he won that at 20/1 it would have been the funniest thing ever. I was hoping he would win - would have added 105points to the Bank and put him miles in the clear.

del roy · 28-02-2014 04:28PM

yeah bumper I'm sick I lost money on that bet f$$king 20/1

what a plonker as del would say. :rolleyes:

del roy · 28-02-2014 04:30PM

oh yeah well the silly thing is I had 200 win on the same docket so I only would have got the first ton at 20s

but I would have been more than happy.

mailburner · 28-02-2014 05:41PM

so close there, great run
unusual to see one from that yard drift so much and
be out to win

first one ive backed but did it ew but
wouldnt have touched it had i seen double figures
gonna follow his big bets

del roy · 28-02-2014 05:46PM

mailburner, hope your not a postman, with that name.

yes a huge drift on that one today

Pinesky · 28-02-2014 06:20PM

del roy wrote: »

mailburner, hope your not a postman, with that name.

yes a huge drift on that one today

Had a nice ew @ 8/1
Delighted with the SP

del roy · 28-02-2014 07:57PM

Pinesky wrote: »

Had a nice ew @ 8/1
Delighted with the SP

if only we knew it was gonna drift, pinesky :mad:

Pinesky · 28-02-2014 08:02PM

del roy wrote: »

if only we knew it was gonna drift, pinesky :mad:

looked at the video . I think he may have been ridden to blow up a furlong out .
Jockey surprised he lasted so long.

del roy · 01-03-2014 02:53PM

5.10 true to form. 2pts e/w 12/1
5.15 mikemccaan 3pts win. 3/1

del roy · 01-03-2014 07:10PM

5.10 true to form. 2pts e/w 12/1 1st 28pts
5.15 mikemccaan 3pts win. 3/1 last

Took the 5pts lost on profile star from the bank

Bank +179.6pts
Starting bank 100pts
Profit +79.6pts

del roy · 01-03-2014 07:14PM

Sunday leopardstown 4.20 pass the hat 14/1 ladcrooks

He will not be betting over the next four days, next bet if betting Friday 7th

Howjoe1 · 01-03-2014 09:37PM

del roy wrote: »

Sunday leopardstown 4.20 pass the hat 14/1 ladcrooks

He will not be betting over the next four days, next bet if betting Friday 7th

Del,he is doing well. Some discussion on whether info or good homework. When I was a bit younger I picked my own selections based on my own analysis with some very good profit return. I always went of my own judgement and never looked at a price.Hence I often ended up with a 33/1 winner in my bets. Regular bet was 3 selctions of doubles and a treble.

But as I got older, I became more cagey and more drawn to favs (or put off by a big price) from which it is more difficult to beat the book.

Out of curiosity, does he only back the ones he puts up here or is he a daily punter?

del roy · 01-03-2014 11:58PM

Hi joe
No he insists he only backs the selections he gives me to put up here.
I think he is enjoying the challenge, can I also say I have met two people he works with daily and they say they too reckon he is telling it as it is regarding the last three years as they were on many big price winners from him in that time

Howjoe1 · 02-03-2014 12:07AM

del roy wrote: »

Hi joe
No he insists he only backs the selections he gives me to put up here.
I think he is enjoying the challenge, can I also say I have met two people he works with daily and they say they too reckon he is telling it as it is regarding the last three years as they were on many big price winners from him in that time

i don't doubt it. lack of discipline is the downfall of many a shrewd judge. If he is resisting the urge to back race for race and only places the ones you posts he is giving himself a half decent chance.

BumperD · 02-03-2014 03:38AM

And joe's first question, info or homework?

Nonoperational · 02-03-2014 04:24AM

Looks very much like homework. Case in point the 5/1 big bet that finished 20/1 second.

kupus · 02-03-2014 10:48AM

this guy could be the new ralphie! great results. hope it continues.

del roy · 02-03-2014 11:19AM

BumperD wrote: »

And joe's first question, info or homework?

Bumper my guess is some of it must be info
Ref Mr Marker...previous two runs pulled up..pulled up
He sticks it up here the night before at 14s.....winner. Info surely.

del roy · 02-03-2014 11:26AM

Nonoperational wrote: »

Looks very much like homework. Case in point the 5/1 big bet that finished 20/1 second.

Nono, spoke to his mate about the bet and as far as he can recall that bet had something to do with profile stars runs at ling field (two runs 1st and 2nd)
and the course record at the track

I will look at it today.

Oh btw the guy in his job stopped at 59pts said enough is enough he was only being greedy at this stage and he will follow him again next year.

del roy · 02-03-2014 11:30AM

kupus wrote: »

this guy could be the new ralphie! great results. hope it continues.

Lupus, early days yet,
Lets see how he plays Cheltenham, I am interested to see what his bets will be like,
Strange no ante post bets yet considering he likes to beat the price and nearly all bookmakers are now non runner no bet.

Can the book be beaten ...long term?

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